$BTC.D Death Cross Has Occurred! The Signal on ₿itcoin Dominance We've Been Waiting All Cycle For 🔥
20 / 50 WMA Death Cross has officially occurred on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
So close to Alt Season I can taste it 😋
Fibonacci Retracement
9D Timeframe Analysis using Ichimoku Cloud / Fib/ ICT
Price Action: The candle is pushing north and attempting to turn into a green candle. If the candle successfully turns green and creates a big long wick. The candle can be the support candle for this bullish. The candle won't be closed until this Friday night. Since the candle already discovered the south side and created long wicks. If the candle turns green we will experience the new discovery price on the north side.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is currently trading above the Kijun-Sen ($109,454.3). If the price continues trading above this level. The trend is validated by the Kijiun-Sen. The Kijun-Sen sometimes plays a role such as a healthy pull back point where you can enter for a long position or a confirmation of a trend. The prices usually pulled back to this line after all time high. Price usually consolidated between (above/below) the lines before the pump in a bull market. The Kijin-Sen is also pushing upward which is a bullish sign but the Tenkan-Sen is flattened out. When the Tenkan-Sen is flat out, the price tends to trade sideways or we can say that the momentum has reduced. Cloud A is still shifting upward while Cloud B has flatted. Cloud A shifting upward means the momentum is still there but the current momentum which is the Tenkan-sen is flat.
Fibonacci: I drawed a fibonacci from $126208.5 to $101.516.5. The all time high point to the 20 billions liquidated event in crypto space. 1 candle made all time high and 1 candle flash crashed to the fair value gap. With the fibonacci, the 0.618 and 0.65 are showing $116,776.2 and $117,566.3. If the low range fib is the bottom then the price has to retrace back to 0.618 in others to continue the massive sell off. So this is playing a key level on the bears for short.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): There is a fair value gap when I draw a fip from the previous low in April to the all time high end of September. There is a fair value gap at the 0.65 fib level. Which shows that if the price is retraced back to that level. We are sill in the up trend in favor of the bull
Cipher B: The vwap is trading below money flow and momentum. The Money flow has flatted out while momentum is going down. This is not a good sign because the vwap is pointing south and trading below moneyflow which could lead to the consolidation. The consolidation is not always bad but shows that the trend is cooling down.
Key Levels: 0.618 from bull and bear. If the price is dropped to the fair value gap which is $94.226.1. The actual fair value gap at 0.65 not 0.618 but those levels go together. We will call 126208.5 the top. But if the price is defense above the Kinjun-Sen and does not retrace at the 0.618 from the high to the wick then we are not at the top yet.
Outlook: The change in Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen. The shift of direction in those will be first noticed before anything other factors. Also price trading above/below/between those levels as well.
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Fights Back w/ Weekly CloseCrypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap looking similar to CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Thankfully did not close outside of the Danger Zone.
It's absolutely imperative that Bulls reclaim the 20WMA this week and close above the .236 Fib
Losing the 20WMA has signaled more downside / sideways chop historically.
Hopefully this is just a fake-out, otherwise the 50% Gann will be retested alongside the 50WMA.
$BTC Bulls Fight Back With Weekly CloseNot sure how I continue to amaze myself, but I do 🤓
Notice how those MMs respected my DANGER ZONE POI to the dollar?
Thankfully CRYPTOCAP:BTC did not close the Week outside the DZ.
The battle between Bulls and Bears is FIERCE 🔥
Bulls cannot afford another blue weekly close.
If so, the 50WMA retest ~102k will be inevitable.
Bulls need to reclaim and close this upcoming week above the 20WMA and .236 Fib
A close ~$116k would be super bullish.
That should be enough ammo to spark the long awaited parabola that UpTober has historically brought us.
BTC/USD 4H chart reviewBitcoin is currently trading around $109,000, a rebound after falling. An attempt to break the short-term downtrend is visible (yellow SMA line 1).
The previous lows were around USD 104,500 - 105,000, and the current candle is trying to break the local resistance around USD 109,000 - 110,000.
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📊 2. Moving Averages (SMA / EMA)
You have several averages on the chart:
• The yellow line (SMA #1) – the short-term average, currently slightly sloping downwards, but the price is just breaking it from below – is the first sign of a change in momentum.
• Red line (EMA Cross 50/200) – it looks like the 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA, confirming the downtrend in the broader picture.
• Blue and green zones (EMA/SMA of higher intervals) – show strong resistance zones:
• $112,592
• $115,674
→ These are targets for a potential upside rally if the 109k breakout holds.
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💹 3. MACD
• The MACD line crossed the signal line from below → it is a buy signal (bullish crossover).
• The histogram increases above zero, which confirms the upward momentum.
➡️ MACD confirms that the upward correction continues, but we do not have a full upward trend yet.
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📈 4. RSI
• RSI is around 55-60, i.e. neutral and upward.
• It was previously in the oversold zone (around 30), so the current rebound is a healthy reaction.
➡️ No overbought yet, so there is room for further upward movement.
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🧱 5. Key technical levels.
Level
Support 1
$106,550
local support after rebound
Support 2
$104,550
strong bottom from the previous move
Support 3
$101,700
the last bastion of buyers
Resistance 1
$109,000-$110,000
currently tested level
Resistance 2
$112,600
another growth target
Resistance 3
$115,700
EMA200 key barrier – trend change if it breaks
GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase.
The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040.
Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.
$3,500 ETH Incoming! I AM SHORT!#ETH just rejected from a 4H supply zone. If the bearish PA continues, we will expect the local lows to be taken out and the $3,500 psychological number to be tested.
How long will it take?
Just sit back and enjoy the ride.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
BTCUSD 1D Chart • Trend: clear decline in the descending channel (yellow lines).
• EMA 50/200: during a bearish cross (death cross) - medium-term bearish signal.
• SMA 50 / 100 / 200: price below all key averages - a classic signal of market weakness.
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📉 1. Trend indicators
🔹 EMA Cross 50/200 (blue)
• The price has fallen below EMA 200, which means that the medium-term trend is currently negative.
• In addition, the EMA 50 breaks the EMA 200 from above - a sell signal.
🔹 Descending Channel (Yellow)
• The price is close to the lower band of the channel, which may result in a short-term technical rebound, but the main trend remains down.
• Upper channel line (resistance): approximately USD 114,000-115,000
• Bottom Line (Support): ~$101,000
📊 3. Momentum indicators
🔸RSI
• RSI ≈ 37 → close to oversold zone, but not extreme yet.
• Signal: Possible short bounce if it stays above the 30 level.
🔸 MACD
• The MACD line is below the signal line and the negative histogram is growing → the downward momentum continues.
• No signs of reversal yet.
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🔥 4. What does this mean in practice
🔻 Short-term (1-7 days):
• Downward trend with a possible technical rebound in the area of USD 104,000-101,000.
• RSI close to oversold → possible pullback to USD 109,000–110,000.
⚖️ Medium term (2-4 weeks):
• Until BTC returns above EMA 200 (approx. 115,000), the market remains in a correction/distribution phase.
• If the price breaks 101,000 down, a possible decline to 96,900 or even USD 92,000 (previous macro support).
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📈 5. Scenarios
✅ Bullish (less likely now)
• Maintaining above $104,000
• Breakout 109,000 → USD 112,000 → test 115,000
• Breakout of EMA 200 → trend reversal signal
❌ Bearish (more likely)
• 104,000 raise → $101,000 test
• If the support breaks, a decline to 96,900-97,000 is possible within a few days.
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week.
Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense.
However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold.
The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases.
Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout
Resistance levels: 4350, 4380
Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280
Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCAD → The hunt for liquidity ahead of growthFX:GBPCAD , after breaking through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern and updating its high to 1.8915, is forming a correction to retest the zone of interest before continuing its growth
The British pound is forming an uptrend, which supports the price of the currency pair.
The currency pair is forming a breakout of resistance. After updating the maximum, the price is rolling back to retest the previously broken consolidation border. Liquidity capture relative to 1.8825 - 1.8807 could lead to a shift in the imbalance towards buyers and provoke continued growth.
Resistance levels: 1.8915
Support levels: 1.8825, 1.8808
If, during the retest of support, the bulls keep the price above this zone, then the chances of a reversal and growth will be high. 1.8915 - 1.900 can be considered as a potential target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The aggressive trend continues. Focus on 4240FX:XAUUSD continues to break records, testing the $4,240 level amid a weakening dollar and sustained demand for safe-haven assets. The risks of a correction are growing as economic news releases approach.
Key supporting factors: Statements by US officials about China's “seizure of supply chains” and retaliatory measures are keeping markets on edge. US shutdown: The government shutdown is costing the economy $15 billion a week, increasing uncertainty. The probability of a rate cut in October and December is ~95%, which is putting pressure on the dollar. However, statements by Fed officials may adjust market expectations.
The bullish trend for gold remains unchanged. Any corrections will be seen as a buying opportunity. Key benchmarks are the development of the trade conflict and negotiations on the resumption of the US government.
Support levels: 4212, 4203
Resistance levels: 4234, 4235, 4250
Within the uptrend, it is worth waiting for a correction to support in order to open positions more profitably. There are no reasons for a trend reversal, and the fundamental background is bullish. We expect a retest of support before growth. However, a breakout of the 4234-4239 zone could trigger further growth!
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → False breakout? Target - gap?FX:USDJPY faces trend resistance during its rally and enters a correction. A retest of the range boundary is forming, the breakdown of which may trigger a sell-off.
The currency pair's growth, linked to the news, is slowing down. The price is testing the range boundary as part of a pullback, and the bullish reaction is weakening. Wednesday's daily candle closed below 151.23, which generally indicates buyer uncertainty.
Accordingly, there is a struggle for the 150.85 - 151.23 area, and the price closing below the key support zone will bring the price into the range. This, in turn, may provoke the closure of the gap (149.0 - 147.55).
Resistance levels: 151.23, 151.73
Support levels: 150.85, 149.93, 149.0
A false breakout and consolidation in the selling zone is a fairly strong signal that indicates the strength of the seller. A decline in the dollar index may trigger a decline in the price of the currency pair.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETH/USDT 4H chart review📉 Main trend (short-term)
• The price is below the black downtrend line, which means sellers are dominating.
• There is an attempt to break out above the trendline, but there is no continuation - i.e. a false breakout (so-called "bull trap").
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🔴 Key support and resistance levels
• Resistances:
• 4,252 USDT – local resistance, the limit of the previous rebound.
• 4,471 USDT – strong resistance, earlier peak after breakout.
• 4,750 USDT – main resistance from a higher interval (possible target after a trend change).
• Support:
• 3,963 USDT – current price level, acts as local support.
• 3,763 USDT – next strong support, confirmed by the previous rebound.
• 3,435 USDT – critical zone, bottom of the structure.
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📊 RSI (oscillator)
• RSI (bottom chart) is close to the oversold zone (<30).
• This means that the market is overloaded with selling and a technical rebound may occur in the short term.
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🔍 Volume
• Volume decreases with subsequent declines → a sign of supply fatigue.
• This may suggest that a local bottom is approaching and a possible corrective move upwards.
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📈 Scenarios
✅ Bull scenario
• If ETH stays above USDT 3,960-3,970, there may be a rebound to:
👉 USDT 4,250-4,470 (first target).
• Confirmation: a candle closing above the black trend line.
❌ Bear scenario
• If the price drops below USDT 3,960 and stays there for 4H,
next drop target is:
👉 3,760 USDT, and in the event of a breakout – 3,435 USDT.
GOLD → After the pullback, growth may continue. 4250 - 4300?FX:XAUUSD continues to break records, approaching the $4,200 level amid escalating trade tensions and expectations of Fed policy easing. A correction is forming before the possible continuation of growth...
Key growth drivers: Trump is considering a ban on Chinese vegetable oil imports, and the parties are imposing reciprocal port fees. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October and December exceeds 90%, despite Powell's cautious comments. The current correction in gold is seen as a buying opportunity.
Growth to $4250+ will continue if trade tensions persist and the Fed maintains its dovish rhetoric.
Resistance levels: 4200, 4218, 4250
Support levels: 4179, 4166, 4155
A pullback is forming. A false breakdown of the specified support zone could support further growth, provided that the bulls hold their defense above the specified levels. The market remains bullish and aggressive, and there are currently no technical or fundamental reasons for a deep correction
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation in the medium term. Focus on 109,5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a trading range after a sharp decline. Each distribution is followed by consolidation before the next distribution. Market phases in all their glory
After a sharp decline, Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase, forming a trading channel of 109,500-115,700. A liquidity pool has formed relative to the lower boundary and resistance at 113600, which can be liquidated in turn (within the current consolidation).
Technically, the market has paused for consolidation and stabilization of the situation provoked by Trump and the liquidation. There are no technical prerequisites for the price to break out of the range. There is a liquidity pool relative to 109500, formed by the halt in the decline on October 11 and the retest on October 14, which may be of interest to MM before the growth.
Support levels: 109500, 108500
Resistance levels: 113,600, 115,730
Classic consolidation, the boundaries of which have not yet been tested. Possible false maneuvers relative to the specified levels to form a large MM position before moving in one direction or another in the medium term. Major players are still uncertain about further movement due to Trump's activism and his tariff strategy, which creates additional risks, and for this reason, I would not expect strong growth beyond the specified boundaries for now.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction to 4090. What could this mean?FX:XAUUSD , after updating its high to 4180, formed a correction and descended to the support zone of 4090, forming an intermediate bottom. We have a trading range...
Key drivers: China has introduced controls on rare earth metal exports, and the parties are holding consultations. A meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping is scheduled for the end of October.
Expectations of two rate cuts before the end of the year are strengthening gold's position. The ongoing government shutdown is fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
Today, attention is focused on Powell's speech, which could set the tone for the market.
The bullish trend for gold continues. The absence of bearish factors and ongoing macro risks continue to push the price up. Corrections are seen as an opportunity to buy.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4180
Support levels: 4117, 4090, 4059
The price is testing the 4150 liquidity zone, which could trigger a pullback within the range. A retest of support at 4117-4090 could support the market, and a change in imbalance could lead to another rally to 4180 - 4200
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD 1D chart review• Bitcoin remains in a broad uptrend, but is currently seeing a correction following a strong breakout from around $109,000 → $124,000.
• The daily candle shows a large decline from the upper level, which may suggest strong resistance and profit-taking.
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📈 Key technical levels
🟩 Resistances:
• USD 117,828 – the nearest strong resistance, marked by previous local highs.
• USD 120,000–124,000 – last peak zone and potential sales area.
🟥 Support:
• USD 113,600 – first short-term support (price is currently testing it).
• USD 108,968 – strong support aligned with EMA 50 and yellow trend line.
• USD 104,366 – another strong support, consistent with the previous low and EMA 200 level.
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🧭 Trend and moving averages
• EMA 50 (yellow) is trending upwards - the medium-term trend is still upwards.
• EMA 200 (blue) is also climbing - long-term trend maintained.
• Price above EMA 200, but above EMA 50 only slightly - the market is in the equilibrium zone (there may be a larger move in one direction).
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📊 Technical indicators
🔹 MACD:
• The MACD line begins to approach the signal line from above → bearish crossover.
• The histogram with red bars confirms the slowdown in momentum.
➡️ Suggests that there may be a continuation of correction to lower support levels.
🔹RSI:
• RSI ~50, neutral but heading down.
• There is no oversold yet, but the momentum is waning - the market is losing buyer power.
➡️ If the RSI drops below 45, it will confirm downward pressure.
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📉 Pricing scenarios
✅ Growth scenario (rebound)
• Price remains above USD 109,000 (EMA 50 + trendline).
• Breakout and closing of the daily candle above USD 117,800 → opens the way to USD 122-124,000.
• Condition: MACD must turn upwards and RSI >55.
⚠️ Downside scenario (correction)
• If price breaks above $109,000, we could see a test of $104,000-105,000 (EMA 200).
• Loss of USD 104,000 → possible move towards USD 98,000–100,000 (previous consolidation zone).
UDSUSD – FVG’s Not Filled, Trend Ain’t Done YetHey There Guys,
Post-BOS, the market’s still pushing with upside momentum.
That upper +FVG hasn’t been filled yet, so the trend’s not showing signs of fatigue.
The Strong Buy Zone below is still in play—if liquidity gets pulled down there, buyers could step in hard.
As long as we don’t get a daily close below the main support zone, dips are still buying opportunities.
I will share updates here.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
EURUSD → Bearish distribution to 1.1400FX:EURUSD continues its downward trend. The market structure is bearish (locally), and a breakdown of the nearest support level could intensify the sell-off, leading to new lows
The dollar is rising, and the currency pair is changing its medium-term direction after breaking out of consolidation. The structure is weak, and the decline may continue to 1.14.
The focus is on the current consolidation, which is forming against the backdrop of a downtrend. Consolidation below 1.1588 and a close below 1.1557 will confirm the strength of the sellers and, in turn, may trigger a decline to the liquidity zone of 1.146 - 1.1400
Resistance levels: 1.1588, 1.1630
Support levels: 1.1557, 1.1461
On D1, the market confirmed the trend reversal, with a bearish distribution forming locally. The liquidity zone that may be of interest to the market is below 1.140, so a medium-term move in this direction can be considered if the price closes below 1.1557
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Ready for continued growth. Target 4100 - 4125FX:XAUUSD remains above $4,000, starting the week with a record high amid the escalating trade war between the US and China. Traders bought up all of last week's decline.
Key drivers: Trump's new tariffs: Introduction of 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and export controls on software from November 1. China is not sitting idly by: Restrictions on exports of rare earth metals and technologies.
The ongoing shutdown and trade uncertainty are weakening the dollar.
US inflation data (CPI on October 24) will be the first key release after the shutdown.
Speeches by Fed officials may adjust rate expectations.
Gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum will depend on the progress of trade negotiations. A breakout to new highs is likely if tensions remain high.
Resistance levels: 4078, 4100, 4110
Support levels: 4059
A breakout of 4078 and a close above the key level could trigger a continuation of the growth to 4100. An additional scenario could be a correction to 4059 before further growth to 4100-4125.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BNB/USDT 1D Chart Review🧭 Key technical levels
Resistances:
• 1,344–1,350 USDT – local resistance (last candle highs).
• 1,535 USDT – strong resistance from previous highs.
Support:
• 1,193–1,200 USDT – first strong support (the reaction of the candles is visible).
• 1,080 USDT – another important level, coincident with the yellow uptrend line and EMA50.
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📊 Technical indicators
1.EMA/SMA:
• The red SMA and yellow EMA show that the medium-term trend is up (EMA 50 > EMA 200).
• The price is currently testing the zone between the SMA and EMA - if it stays above ~1,190-1,200, a rebound may occur.
2. MACD (bottom):
• The signal line (orange) crosses the MACD (blue) from above → bearish signal.
• The histogram is starting to flatten - possible end of correction if it lasts for a few days.
3.RSI:
• RSI around 50-55, neutral → no overbought or oversold yet.
• If the RSI rebounds from 50 upwards, it may mean the price rebounds from support.
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📈 Scenarios
✅ Upward scenario (more likely if it maintains support)
• Maintaining above 1,190 USDT → reflection towards 1,344 and then 1,535.
• Confirmation: daily candle closed above 1,344 + increasing volume.
⚠️ Downside scenario
• Loss of the level of 1,190 USDT → correction to 1,080 USDT (EMA 50 test).
• If this support breaks, the next target is around USDT 950-1,000.
XRPUSDT → Resistance at 2,700 could trigger a correction BINANCE:XRPUSDT is forming a correction after a strong sell-off. It is not yet worth hoping for strong growth without pullbacks, as there is a strong resistance zone ahead.
The cryptocurrency market is recovering after liquidation. Bitcoin and XRP are approaching a strong resistance zone, where a correction may form.
Technically, after two months of consolidation, the price broke through the support of the trading range, forming a breakdown of the structure. As part of the correction, the price is testing the liquidity zone of 2.7 - 2.7266, which may trigger a sell-off.
Resistance levels: 2.7 - 2.7266, 2.8286
Support levels: 2.505
A sharp rise and the lack of technical potential to break through the resistance level of 2.70 may trigger a false breakout and a correction to the support level of 2.5050.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Incredible Weekly Close!The Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap showed incredible resilience after nuking ~25% this week.
Closed the Week just below the WEMA9 at $3.86T, but above the .236 Fib and stayed cleared of the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Notice that wick all the way down to the 50WMA where it bounced literally right off the trendline breakout I drew back in July.
Those MMs are really respecting my TA these days huh 🤓
This dump covered the 50% Gann level retrace, which give me confluence that the hardest part of behind us.
Bears weren't even able to form a Bearish Engulfing candle.
Next up Bulls need to reclaim the 9WEMA as mentioned in the previous post.
