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FOMC

Stocks Make New Lows After the FOMCStocks got slammed yesterday, breaking through lows in the 3800's. We anticipated support at the base of the 3800 handle, but the S&P 500 broke down even lower, currently feeling out the highs of the 3700 handle. At this time, 3758 has provided support and we appear to be attempting a push back to the 3800's. The FOMC meeting came out more hawkish than expected. Although we did get the projected 75 bps hike, the rhetoric of Powell's press conference that followed was quite somber and the markets did not get the dovishness they expected. They've reacted accordingly with this selloff. If we are able to break through current levels then 3825 is the next target. If not, 3758 should hold as a floor for now.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
The Bond Market Reacts to the FOMCBonds have slid further and there is no relief rally insight. The markets were hoping for a 'dovish hike' in the sense that the 75 bps hike would be followed by dovish rhetoric. In fact it was the opposite. Yields have maintained highs pressing prices further down. We are hugging 113'12 and expect support there. If not, we will use Fibonacci extension levels to determine support levels further down. Our targets are 115'03 and 115'29 if we get our relief rally.
CBOT:ZN1!Short
by quantguy
Post FOMC autopsy - SPX, GOLD, BTC, USOIL, DAX, BONDSI forgot wheat - still looks fine for bulls. All in the video, expecting a pump up today and then further selling to 3700. Sentiment is extremely bearish and so with the technicals I'm watching I'm expecting a rally sooner rather than later. OIL looks good for a nice swing up, Gold as well, Bonds may have a breakout on TLT, but we need to see follow through - one more low there would not be a problem. BTC still holding fib support - to me that's bullish. DAX at strong trendline support with Weekly bull divergence - also looks good for a nice rally. good luck!
XETR:DAX
by the_sunship
3
BTC Long Term Buy Levels and Sentiment DiscussionNot financial advice - I hope you find my TradingView posts educational and entertaining Bitcoin has been struggling as of late behind a harsh economic backdrop. Historically, Bitcoin has not performed well in September and I don't see 2022 being an exception. From the previous all time high of Bitcoin in November 2021, it is down upwards of 70%. Looking at bear markets historically, hitting the 85% mark would indicate the end of the bear market in the range of $10-14K. Let's look at some important pieces of information to keep in mind over the coming days, weeks and months. Interest Rates The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates tomorrow (9/21) by either 75 or 100 basis points. Given that the S&P 500 is holding below resistance, markets are prepared to either push above or fall below. Bitcoin is in a very similar situation. The Federal Reserve has expressed that their primary goal is to get inflation under control. With consumer inflation dropping slightly, and core inflation increasing slightly, I am personally expecting a 100 point hike. Bitcoin dropping below the 0.618 Fibonacci circle would be exceptionally bearish, finding temporary support at the 0.5 Fibonacci circle. Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment There is an abundance of fear in the market. Anticipation of doom, with Bitcoin reaching levels of $10K, $9K, $4K, even $2K. These levels are possible, especially since this is the first recession Bitcoin has been a part of. Assuming an (unlikely) pivot from the Federal Reserve, this doom sentiment may indicate a (temporary) double bottom on BTC. Historically it is rare to see the cryptocurrency fear and greed go below 10, which we have already seen during this bear market. My Takeaways Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Limit orders are your friend. Many people are expecting a drop to $10-14K. Bitcoin might find support above those levels OR it might find support below. I have included possible buy levels on the chart (in turquoise) at $17.7K, $16.6K, $14.3K, $12.5K, $9.4K, and $5.7K. Given a drop below $2.7K (in orange), it would be safe to assume in my mind that Bitcoin is in an extended bear market at least until the Federal Reserve pivots to a more dovish stance. Nothing is a guarantee, but as it stands - the market is not on the side of Bitcoin. "No cash on me girl, I only pay with circles" ~Deaton Chris Anthony Happy trading (and investing), everyone!
by jpwall
FOMC 21.9.2022. Just an idea.In all of 2022. market rallied after FOMC meeting just to go lower shortly afterwards. Only on 16th march it went lower straight away. My base case is market just go lower fading the summer rally move all the way and finding support somewhere around 269 (PT 1, june 22. low) or 237 (PT2, precovid high). Second case is retest of vopc, roughly 312. and than lower. Third case brakes through 312 and retest it, that would be bullish case for me. All thoughts and ideas are welcome. Happy hunting.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Robert077
FOMC meeting is close - what to expectBTC is consolidating before the movement, you can see how spread is lowering. Usually during FOMC price goes both ways so don't try to enter with scalp stop-losses. On chart I draw with horizontal lines targets for marketmaker. in 70% of cases he will hit both. I advice you not to participate in trades during FOMC meeting if you don't know any exploit. Take care If you like the idea, please, press a like to let me know that my work is valuable for you. Thank you and trade wisely!💓😊
by Bikotrading_Academy
2
BTCUSDT 60 min chart analysis As we approach the FOMC release, volatility in the market is expected to increase. As we can see, price has rallied to a key Bearish Orderblock on the hourly timeframe chart. I am looking to short BTCUSDT due to the following confluences: ~ Price has reached a key Bearish Orderblock. ~ Price has reached the premium area of the current trading range on this hourly chart. ~ There is Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) by $18 800 that is very likely to get raided. ~ There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) just below the BSL by $18 500. ~ The Market structure on the higher timeframes such as the Daily timeframe is still bearish with a major BSL around $17 500 price level. So i can expect price to reach that price level before targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) above current price level. Any important news release adds volatility to make the price action move quicker than usual days when there are no news releases. This is a High probable trade setup but not a Certainty. Happy Trading Pals
Short
by Evaliste
4
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT - FOMC!KOG Report – FOMC This is our view for FOMC today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and can cause aggressive swings in price. For this FOMC KOG Report we’re going to reference the KOG Report shared on Sunday where we said we would be looking for some form of relief rally in Gold. We suggested earlier in the month that we could potentially see this rally happening at some point during the last week of September, so for that reason we will be looking at the lower levels to go long. We have targets below which we would like to see completed before the move to the upside, what we want to see though is how the price reacts to these levels and where it creates its base. Our daily is already showing some bullish signs, however, the weekly is suggesting some more movement down is possible. A lot of traders will be sitting long here at the 200MA so a sweep of liquidity on the lows is very possible. For the reasons above, we’ll again be looking at the extreme levels to take entries with a plan to take this up towards the 1700+ price regions. Illustrated on the chart are the key support and resistance levels we feel they can tap into before swinging the move in the opposite direction! The first level we’re looking at is just below the 1650 psychological level where if we see a strong support we feel there will be an opportunity to take the long trade back up towards the 1680-95 price points. We’re going to keep it simple for this report as our plans are on the KOG reports and nothing has really changed, apart from the ranging price action that we’re witnessing pre-event. Its also possible that the market has priced in this release, in which case we will continue as we are. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
EUR/USD remains under pressure ahead of FOMCThe EUR/USD looks set to break to a new low for the year, as nothing has fundamentally changed to encourage dip buyers to step in yet. Will that change after the FOMC decision today remains to be seen? But I think the Fed is going to maintain a hawkish stance, which should keep the dollar supported. The euro faces continued headwinds from a weak Eurozone economy, crippled because of an energy crisis among other things. Russia's President Putin has said that military reservists are to be sent to Ukraine as part of a "partial mobilisation" of his forces which means the war looks like will drag on unfortunately. This is bad news for the Eurozone and its energy crisis. With EUR/USD breaking short-term support in the shaded region shown on the chart, the path of least resistance remains to the downside inside the long-term bear channel. A break to a new low looks increasingly likely. Admittedly, the EUR/USD looks severely oversold and much of the downside risks may already be priced in. But I will only change my view on the EUR/USD when the charts tell us by making a higher high or creating a key reversal pattern. By Fawad Razaqzada on behalf of FOREX.com
Short
by FOREX.com
2