BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context
After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential
Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower.
Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point
Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel.
Channel Continuation Structure
The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000.
Final Thoughts
This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from.
If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
Forex
XAUUSD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction yesterday, dropping to as low as $3327. However, gold rebounded and is currently trading around the $3344 level.
The key condition for further bullish movement is a stable hold above $3338. If this level holds, the next potential upside targets are $3366 and $3399 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURGBP reached strong resistance: Likely reversal incomingPrice has been in a strong impulsive rally, pushing aggressively into a well established resistance zone. This zone is marked by a prior sharp sell-off, suggesting it could trigger selling interst again.
The current move appears overextended in the short term. The ascending channel is extremly vertical, showing momentum, but this type of movement often leads to exhaustion, especially when met with a key zone like so. Volume profile shows a lack of recent trading activity at these levels, which can exaggerate volatility once price enters this area.
Given how clean and one-sided the climb has been, a pullback is not only likely, but it would be healthy. The projected reaction toward the 0.85800 area makes sense technically: it corresponds with key Fibonacci retracement levels (between 0.5 and 0.618), adding confluence to the idea of a corrective move before any continuation or reversal.
Until there’s a clear break above the upper bound of this zone with sustained volume, this remains a high-probability area for short-term rejection or distribution.
If price starts printing long upper wicks, slowing momentum, or bearish engulfing patterns on lower timeframes, that could offer early signals of weakness and a shift in momentum.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice . Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again.
But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD/USD(New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar) chart on the 1H timefrm NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar) chart on the 1H timeframe:
Price has broken below the ascending trendline and is now trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming bearish momentum.
You already have clear two downside target levels marked on the chart.
Based on your chart:
✅ First Target: 0.60200
✅ Second Target: 0.59500
---
Quick Summary:
Bearish breakout confirmed.
Targets are positioned at 0.60200 and 0.59500.
As long as price stays below the Ichimoku Cloud, the bearish trend is valid.
Let me know if you want stop-loss or confirmation levels suggestions.
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation
The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players.
Manipulation and Distribution
This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks.
Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw
Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down.
Execution Insight
If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this.
Final Thoughts
Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing.
If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis..Looking at My EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis:
Current Price:
Around 1.1819
Observations:
Price is moving inside an ascending channel
Breakout from the upper channel line is happening
Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum as price is well above the cloud
---
Target Levels:
✅ First Target Zone: 1.1900 - 1.1950
✅ Final Target Zone: 1.2000 - 1.2020 (as marked on your chart)
---
Notes:
Watch for strong breakout confirmation above 1.1850
If momentum continues, price can reach 1.2000
Use stop-loss below 1.1750 to manage risk
---
If you want, I can help suggest stop-loss, entry, and risk management in detail. Let me know!
(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:
You have a clear triangle breakout happening.
The chart shows two bullish target positions marked with blue arrows.
Based on your chart:
Current Price Zone: Around 66.20 - 66.25
Target Levels:
✅ First Target: 67.00
✅ Second Target: 68.00 - 68.10
---
Summary Trading Idea:
Breakout above resistance trendline confirmed.
First resistance and partial target at 67.00
Final target near 68.00 - 68.10, where the next significant resistance lies.
Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a detailed entry strategy.
ETH/USD (Ethereum to US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. ETH/USD (Ethereum to US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s visible:
There is an Ichimoku Cloud indicator on the chart.
A resistance zone is marked at the top (around $2,540 – $2,550).
A support zone appears around $2,440 – $2,460.
There's a bullish arrow pointing toward the resistance zone, suggesting an expected upward movement.
🎯 Target:
Based on the chart setup and your markup:
Short-term bullish target (Take Profit): $2,545 – $2,550
Entry zone appears to be: Around $2,460
Stop loss (if managing risk): Below $2,430
This setup looks like a range play or breakout attempt, betting on ETH bouncing off support and retesting resistance.
.
Solana (SOL/USDT) 4H Reverse H&S PatternSolana (SOL/USDT) – 4H Market Outlook | July 1, 2025
Introduction
SOL has formed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, followed by a clean breakout above resistance. While the lower time frame is bullish, the higher time frame remains bearish, creating a short-term opportunity within a broader downtrend.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply Zone: 176 – 187
Demand Zone: 126 – 143
Psychological Levels: 140 and 160
Context 2: Technical Structure
Pattern: Reverse Head & Shoulders
Breakout: Confirmed above neckline/resistance
FVGs:
One below price (within demand)
One above price (potential target)
Golden Pocket: Sits just above lower FVG and inside demand — strong confluence support
Context 3: Volume Insight
OBV Indicator: Shows a sudden volume spike, adding strength to the breakout and the bullish pattern confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
Price pulls back into the golden pocket + FVG + demand zone
Finds support → bounces to form higher low
Second leg of the move breaks swing high → targets upper FVG and 160 psychological level
Bearish Scenario
Price breaks back below demand zone and invalidates the golden pocket
Fails to hold structure → reverts to macro bearish trend
Potential retest of previous swing low below 126
Summary
SOL is showing bullish momentum on the 4H after completing a reversal pattern and spiking in volume. A pullback into the demand zone confluence may offer a strong long setup — but failure to hold could revalidate the higher timeframe downtrend.
XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 4h chart pattern XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe displays a bullish cup and handle pattern forming, with a breakout above the handle resistance and Ichimoku cloud.
Technical Observations:
Cup and Handle pattern indicates bullish continuation.
Breakout has occurred above trendline and handle.
Price is trading near $3,350 (approx).
Two upside TARGETS are marked on the chart.
---
🎯 Projected Targets (Approximate):
Based on your chart:
1. First Target (TP1): Around $3,390 - $3,395
2. Second Target (TP2): Around $3,425 - $3,430
These targets align with the measured move of the cup height projected from the breakout level.
---
✅ Confirmation:
Price is above the trendline and trying to hold above the Ichimoku cloud.
Entry would be ideal on a pullback to the breakout zone (~31,335-$3,340) for lower risk.
Stop-loss can be considered below the handle low (~$3,310 or $3,305).
Let me know if you want Fibonacci-based targets or support/resistance levels as well.
US30Y Bullish ideaThis is a potential idea of the 30 year bond yield potentially having movement to the upside. We have already reached into a daily volume imbalance and weekly volume imbalance. We also have a monthly order block that is acting as support combined with our volume imbalance levels. We also have relative strength with the US30Y against the US10Y and US5Y. Could be a potential idea to look for bullish ideas with the the fact that we are in a potential point were we could have a Quarterly shift.
*Targeting
A move to the upside were we have buyside liquidity and the 4H fair value gap.
BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:
---
Current Price:
Around 106,636 USD
---
Bearish Setup Observations:
Price has broken the ascending trendline support
Price is below Ichimoku Cloud — bearish confirmation
Retest of broken trendline area failed, suggesting more downside
---
Target Levels Based on Your Chart:
✅ First Target: Around 105,200 - 105,400 USD
✅ Second Target (Final Target): Around 103,200 - 103,500 USD
---
Conclusion:
Bearish momentum is strong; watch for price to test 105,200 zone
If that level breaks, likely move toward 103,200
Resistance area remains near 107,200 - 107,500 (good stop-loss zone for shorts)
---
Would you like a risk management suggestion for this setup? Let me know!
AUDJPY - let's do it again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last AUDJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the first blue circle zone and surged in a parabolic manner.
📈AUDJPY is currently retesting the intersection of the blue trendline and red support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY is around the latest blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,336.38
Target Level: 3,250.04
Stop Loss: 3,393.93
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Bounces from Demand Zone – Next Targets in Sight!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that today, price once again dipped into our key demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block) between $3245 and $3262, where it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3296.
Currently, gold is trading around $3281, and as long as price holds above $3273, we expect further upside. The next potential targets are $3294, $3300, and $3309.
🎥 If you enjoyed this video analysis and found it helpful, please show your support with a LIKE and COMMENT below!
These video-style breakdowns take time and effort, and I’ll only continue them with your support 🙌
Your engagement is my biggest motivation to keep going 💛
Thanks for being part of the journey!
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
Bitcoin & Ethereum New Quarter | What To Look For🎯 New Quarter For COINBASE:BTCUSD & COINBASE:ETHUSD — What To Look For
As we enter a new quarter, smart money is already positioning.
Institutional investors, hedge funds, and asset managers don’t just trade price — they rotate capital based on quarterly performance, risk appetite, and macro expectations. That’s why each quarterly open is a key inflection point across all markets — including crypto.
In this video, I break down:
• 🧠 How institutional capital rotation impacts Bitcoin and Ethereum
• 📈 Key levels to watch as Q3 unfolds
• 🔁 What are the likely outcomes
• 📊 How to prepare for volatility and new trend formation
This isn’t just another candle — it’s the start of a new chapter in the cycle.
If you’re serious about understanding where the money flows next , this video is for you.
This is the likely outcome
Price not ready to moon yet
Strong candle implying new highs incoming
Watch for bearish stop hunt on new quarter
This is a bullish outside bar
MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts
👍 Enjoyed the insights?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below — and don’t forget to like this post to support the channel!
USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break 0ut.USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break below the ascending trendline and Ichimoku cloud support, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Key Bearish Targets (Based on the chart):
1. First Target Zone:
📉 140.88
This level aligns with previous structure support and is marked as the initial target on the chart.
2. Second Target Zone:
📉 138.85 – 139.00
This is a deeper support zone and is indicated as the next bearish leg if price momentum continues downward.
Summary:
Current Price: ~142.74
Trend: Bearish (Breakdown from trendline + Ichimoku bearish signals)
Target 1: 140.88
Target 2: 138.85
Let me know if you want SL (stop-loss) or entry suggestions.
GOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formationGOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formation, which often indicates a bullish reversal setup. Based on the chart:
Key Levels:
Current Price Zone: Around 3,323 - 3,330
First Target: Near 3,380 - 3,400
Final Target: Near 3,440 - 3,460
Analysis:
Price is forming a cup pattern with resistance around 3,380 - 3,400
Break above 3,400 could lead towards the final target zone of 3,440 - 3,460
Watch for price reaction near Ichimoku Cloud; clean breakout above the cloud confirms bullish momentum
Suggested Targets:
✅ First Target: 3,380 - 3,400 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,440 - 3,460 USD
Note: Wait for confirmation above 3,330 - 3,340 and bullish momentum to continue.
If you want, I can also give stop-loss and entry suggestions based on this chart. Let me know!
NFLX (Netflix Inc.) on the 1-hour chart (NASDAQ)NFLX (Netflix Inc.) on the 1-hour chart (NASDAQ) using price action, trendlines, and Ichimoku Cloud.
Observations:
There's a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Price recently pulled back and is currently testing the Ichimoku cloud support, possibly forming a bullish continuation pattern.
A trendline from June is acting as dynamic support.
I have a yellow resistance zone drawn at the top, signaling the next potential bullish target.
---
🎯 Target (Short-Term):
Primary Target Zone: $1,335 – $1,340
(This is the previous swing high and resistance area you've marked.)
Secondary Target (if breakout succeeds): $1,350+
---
🛑 Suggested Stop Loss:
Below $1,270, or below the trendline/Ichimoku cloud for safer risk management.
---
📝 Summary:
Bias: Bullish continuation.
Buy zone: Near current price (~$1,290–$1,295) or on confirmation candle.
Target: $1,335–$1,340
Invalidation: Break and close below $1,270 trendline.
Let me know if you'd like a breakdown for a swing or intraday trade.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
EURO - Price can start to decline from resistance line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew to $1.1500 level and even broke it, after which started to decline in wedge.
Price declined to support line, breaking two levels, after which it turned around and started to move up.
Soon, EUR broke $1.1215 level and then rose more, after which made a correction to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to $1.1500 level, broke it one more time, and tried to grow more, but failed.
But recently it turned around and quickly rose to resistance line of wedge and now trades near.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from resistance line and fall to $1.1520 support line of wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.