GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential:
Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area).
Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070.
2. Support Holding Strong:
Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range.
Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection.
3. Sideways Consolidation:
Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves).
Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
Forexsignal
xAUUSD Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience📊 XAUUSD WEEKLY INSIGHT | Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience
As we close out a volatile trading week, let’s zoom out and assess what’s really happening with gold. The recent price action on the higher timeframes is revealing important signals — and it’s time to take a strategic pause before the next move.
🔍 WEEKLY SNAPSHOT:
Gold experienced a sharp correction of over $50, followed by a late-session recovery into the weekend. The result?
✅ Long upper wicks on both the W1 and D1 candles,
✅ Signs of rejection from all-time highs,
✅ Yet price still managed to close above the 50% candle body range — momentum is cooling, but not reversing (yet).
The big question now is:
Is this a healthy pullback within the uptrend… or the beginning of something deeper?
📐 Key Takeaways:
Structure on higher timeframes remains bullish – price is still moving within the primary ascending channel
Short-term retracement has reached the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone on H1 and H2 – a potential decision area
End-of-week buying indicates positioning by informed participants, not random volatility
No confirmation of a major reversal yet – but conditions are developing
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support Zones: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
🧠 Mindset Going Into Next Week:
Don’t rush it.
Let Monday’s open reveal the volume story — whether through gaps, spikes, or clean structure. The best setups form after the market shows its hand, not before.
This is where strategic patience beats emotional trading.
📣 Final Note:
Stay focused on structure. Respect your levels. Watch how price reacts — not just where it goes.
And remember: sometimes no trade is a powerful trade when the market is indecisive.
More insights coming soon on market psychology and execution discipline.
💬 Feel free to leave a comment, follow for updates, or share your own views below.
Wishing everyone a strong and clear start to the new week,
— AD | Money Market Flow
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario.
Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward.
Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated.
Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD .
Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook :
Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar.
Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame .
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) .
I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today .
Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
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Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
breakdown of the setup! Read CaptionThis is a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showing a bullish channel with price currently trading near its upper boundary. Here’s a breakdown of the setup:
Market Structure:
Trend: Gold is in a strong uptrend, moving within a well-defined ascending channel.
Current Price: Around $2,998, with a recent high of $3,000.55.
Key Target: A potential bullish breakout targeting $3,020+.
Support Zones: Highlighted between $2,930 - $2,860 as possible retracement levels.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the midline of the channel, a push toward $3,020 - $3,050 could be expected.
Pullback & Retest: A minor correction toward $2,970 - $2,960 before resuming its uptrend.
Deeper Retracement: A stronger pullback could lead to a test of $2,930 or even $2,860, aligning with the lower trendline.
Trading Plan:
Buy on dips if price retests lower support zones within the channel.
Breakout trade above $3,020 could indicate further upside potential.
Risk management: Watch for bearish rejection candles near resistance.
This setup favors bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback is possible before the next leg up. 📈🔥
XAUUSD - Short Trade after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)Short after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)
📌 Entry: Sell within the $3,005 - $3,010 range if there is a clear rejection and price weakness.
🎯 Take-Profit 1: $2,985 (immediate support)
🎯 Take-Profit 2: $2,970 (recent lows)
🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,015 (above resistance)
🔹 Probability: High – Confirmed by weak volume on rallies and strong resistance.
Trade Rationale:
Key Resistance Zone ($3,005 - $3,010): This level has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers step in to push prices lower. If price action shows rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles), it confirms a high-probability short setup.
Weak Volume on Rallies: Volume analysis suggests that bullish momentum lacks strong participation. A rising price with decreasing volume often signals an exhaustion of buyers, increasing the probability of a reversal.
Technical Indicators Align:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Overbought or showing bearish divergence, signaling potential downside pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Losing bullish momentum or forming a bearish crossover, indicating potential for a pullback.
Donchian Trend & Moving Averages : Price is testing upper Donchian bands and key moving averages are suggesting overextension.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
> The stop-loss at $3,015 ensures protection against false breakouts.
> The first take-profit ($2,985) targets the nearest support, locking in quick profits.
> The second take-profit ($2,970) aligns with recent swing lows, maximizing the downside potential.
Final RRR (TP2) is 1 : 3,4
Conclusion:
A rejection from the $3,005 - $3,010 resistance zone presents a solid short opportunity, backed by weak bullish momentum, technical confluence, and favorable risk-reward. If the price fails to break higher and shows signs of rejection, this trade setup has a strong probability of success.
⚠️ Final Warning: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
What do you think about this setup? Would you take this trade? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ?
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD ROAD MAP 3000 TO WATERFALL ALERT!🔥 Attention Traders! 🔥
XAUUSD is on fire! 🔥 Here's the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch out for a potential drop if price falls below 2979. Targets: 2940 & 2960.
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above 2989 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for targets: 3000 & 3020.
📈 Stay Tuned: Share your thoughts and strategies as we navigate this golden market! Let's hit new highs! 💰🚀
XAUUSD BUY AGAIN ALL TIEM HIGHFakeout Possibility:
The price has sharply surged, but it may be a liquidity grab before a reversal.
If buyers fail to hold above the first support zone, a deeper drop could occur.
Resistance Strength:
The resistance zones above are historically strong, making a breakout difficult.
If momentum weakens before reaching the first target, a rejection is likely.
Potential Double Top Formation:
If price retests resistance without breaking, a double top pattern could form.
This could trigger a reversal towards the lower support levels.
Volume Confirmation:
If there is decreasing bullish volume as price climbs, it may indicate a false rally.
Strong bearish volume appearing at resistance would support a reversal
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish)
Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout
The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal.
If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally.
Support Failure Instead of Bounce
The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead.
A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below).
Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend
If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal.
The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop.
Fundamental Risks
Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally.
If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
Eur/Usd (Mar/12) Weekly Analyzehello everyone.
a you can see price touched weekly cloud res ( same as monthly cloud ) so i expect price go down from here.
.......................................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
GBPJPY Buy Analysis: GTEGBPJPY has successfully broken out of the descending trendline, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals a potential continuation to the upside, with price now targeting the next resistance zone around 192.50 - 193.00.
As long as price holds above the breakout level near 191.30, the bullish momentum remains intact. The breakout suggests further upside movement, with buyers stepping in to push price toward the previous highs. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes to strengthen the move.
US30 (Dow Jones) Buy Analysis: GTEUS30 has successfully pushed through an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price action suggests a continuation upward, with the next target being the top trendline around 41,950 - 42,000.
With CPI news scheduled for tomorrow morning, we can anticipate further volatility, but until then, US30 is likely to maintain its bullish structure. As long as price holds above the recent support zone around 41,500, the bias remains bullish towards the higher resistance levels.
Gold market analysis GTEBased on the trend lines in the image, gold (XAU/USD) appears to be forming a descending wedge pattern with lower highs, suggesting bearish momentum. The price recently tested resistance around $2,930 but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure.
With the lower trendline acting as support, a potential breakdown below $2,910 could accelerate the sell-off towards $2,900 and lower targets around $2,895-$2,880. Additionally, stochastic divergence at the bottom signals weakening bullish momentum.
Given this setup, we are selling gold with a downside bias, watching for further confirmation of bearish continuation.
EURUSD’s Pullback in Play: Next Stop $1.0934?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has managed to break through the Resistance zone($1.0817-$1.0760) and has been on a good upward trend with good momentum in the past week.
The EURUSD appears to be completing a pullback to the Resistance zone (broken) .
According to the Elliott Wave theory , the EURUSD appears to have completed wave 4 , which is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) after completing the pullbac k.
Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0755, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD: Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Will $2930 Hold or Break?By analyzing the gold chart on the two-hour timeframe, we can see that the price followed the expected bearish movement yesterday, correcting from its recent high of $2928 down to $2900 before finding temporary support. Currently, gold is trading around $2916, showing signs of indecision as it consolidates within a key range.
🔍 Key Levels & Liquidity Considerations
A significant liquidity pool exists between $2928 and $2930, which could act as a magnet for price. If gold moves toward this range, we might witness liquidity collection before a potential strong rejection and deeper decline.
As long as gold remains below $2930, the bearish outlook remains intact, and further corrections toward $2900 and potentially lower levels could unfold. However, if buyers manage to push the price above $2930 and sustain a breakout with clear confirmation and bullish momentum, we could see gold targeting levels above $2950 in the coming sessions.
📌 Primary & Alternative Scenarios:
🔹 Primary Bearish Scenario: A move into the $2928-$2930 liquidity zone, followed by rejection and continuation of the correction.
🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above $2930 with a strong close and confirmation, leading to further bullish expansion toward $2950+.
🎯 Final Outlook
At this stage, the bearish bias remains dominant, but traders should carefully monitor price action near key liquidity zones before executing positions. Watching how gold reacts around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.
Stay updated as we track the market closely! 🔥
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel
The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection.
If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce.
2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected
The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic.
Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move.
3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis
There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying.
RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal.
4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup
The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.).
If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones.
Possible Alternative Scenario
A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
EUR/USD Breaks Resistance – Bullish Momentum or Pullback Ahead?what are your ideas on EURUSD?
The EURO/USD pair breaks a resistance level after touching the bottom of the ascending channel,increasing the probability of a new bullish wave.
AS THE RESISTANCE IS BROKEN NOW THE NEXT target will be the top of the channel .
Here we have two points to watch on
A bullish continuation is likely if price holds above the resistance.
A rejection from the 200 EMA could lead to consolidation or a pullback before another attempt higher.
what do you think will EUR/USD sustain the support and be on bullish movement ?
Bullish rise?AUD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5616
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.5581
Why we like it:
There os a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5679
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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