USDJPY Breaks Falling Wedge Pattern, Ready to pump!USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) has started to climb from its Support lines and Support zone(155.100 JPY-154.120 JPY), showing good momentum in its upward movement.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it seems that USDJPY has successfully broken the upper lines of the falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, which is a positive sign for the continuation of the bullish trend.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDJPY has completed main wave 4 using a Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Support zone(155.100 JPY-154.120 JPY).
Looking ahead, I expect USDJPY to resume its upward movement following a pullback to its Fibonacci levels, potentially rising at least to the 155.94 JPY.
First Target: 155.94 JPY.
Second Target: 156.27 JPY.
Stop Loss(SL): 154.82 JPY.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
📌 U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Strong Bullish Breakout Expected Soon!In this analysis, we're looking at gold on the 2-hour timeframe. Right now, gold is around $4336, and many people expect the price to get rejected (bounce down) from this level. But in my opinion, gold's momentum is much stronger than it appears, and I expect we'll soon see a powerful breakout above this level! If it breaks out, my upside targets are $4344, $4350, and $4366 in order. I'll post an update for this analysis soon!
#NZDUSD: Three Targets, Swing Buy, Ready For Next Big MoveDear Traders
NZDUSD Chart Analysis SMC+ICT💭📊
🔺The price was rejected at 0.5580, a ‘discounted zone’ price, which was reversed without consolidation or accumulation. The price then moved in an impulse pattern and encountered strong resistance at 0.58320.
🔺A rejection at 0.58320 presents a favourable opportunity for traders to optimise the next significant price impulse. This analysis suggests a potential reversal from 0.5710.
Entry, Take Profit And Stop Loss👨💻📈
🔺 The entry between the blue and red horizontal lines indicates a significant volume zone and can be considered a discounted buying opportunity.
🔺A stop loss can be placed at the red horizontal line or increased based on your own analysis.
🔺We recommend targeting take profit first at the outset. As the price crosses our take profit level, you can consider adjusting the take profit area.
Like And Comment❤️
Team Setupsfx_🏆
XAU/USD | Gold Near Previous ATH, Next Breakout in Focus!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved exactly as expected and continued higher. Gold successfully hit the $4351 and $4359 targets and even pushed up to $4375.
Based on the main analysis, the next key target is a new all time high above $4382. Since gold has reached the very strong supply area around the previous ATH, the pullback we are seeing now is normal and has brought price back to around $4359. I expect a small correction first, followed by another bullish move and a fresh high. Targets above $4400 are clearly not out of reach.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Related Analysis :
EUR/USD | EURUSD Pullback From Supply, Buyers Step Back In!By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved up as expected and reached the supply zone between $1.178 and $1.182. As soon as price hit this key area, selling pressure appeared and EURUSD dropped to $1.17.
After reaching this level, buyers stepped in again and demand increased. Right now, #EURUSD is trading around $1.17330. I expect to first see another upward move, and then we should watch the price reaction again at the $1.178 to $1.182 supply zone.
THE LATEST TA on EURUSD :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY: Bearish Drop to 154.57?FX:USDJPY is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price approaching a key resistance zone near cumulative short liquidation, converging with a downward trendline touch and a potential entry area that could trigger downside momentum if sellers break the ongoing consolidation. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the recent rally, targeting lower support levels with favorable risk-reward exceeding 1:3.🔥
Entry between 155.78–155.94 for a short position🎯. Targets at 155 (first), 154.57 (second). Set a stop loss at a daily close above 156.165 📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3. Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging yen's persistent weakness.🌟
Fundamentally , USD/JPY faces a packed week with U.S. payrolls, key Fed speakers and a pivotal BoJ meeting all on tap. The BoJ is expected to potentially hike rates this week, with market seeing a rise in USD/JPY as anticipation builds. On the USD side, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released a highly mixed employment report on Tuesday, offering markets both reassurance and renewed concern, deepening Fed's focus on labor risks. Weak US data has pressured the Dollar, keeping DXY near 98.30, which could influence the pair further. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
155.78 – 155.94
🎯 Targets:
• 155.00 (first)
• 154.57 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close above 156.165
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3 overall
💡 Your view?
Will USDJPY reject this resistance for a deeper pullback toward 154.57 — or does momentum push it into another upside extension? 👇
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red).
At this stage, I see:
1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683.
2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is successfully moving in an upward impulse “12345” in a medium-term wave “3”.
I believe that this week we will see a continuation of the upward movement.
A slight correction to the support area of 1.17049 is possible to complete wave “4”, followed by an update of the local maximum of the lower-order wave “3” and reaching the resistance area of 1.18000.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAU/USD | Get Ready for $4400 Target and Beyond! (READ)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved exactly as expected. Gold first made a small pullback and dropped to the $4290 demand zone. As soon as price reached this key area, strong buying pressure came in and gold successfully hit the first target at $4343.
So far, this analysis has delivered more than 500 pips in profit. I expect gold to continue moving higher. Even though price is currently inside a supply zone, the strong momentum suggests a possible breakout. The next upside targets are $4351, $4359, and $4382.
the last TA on TVC:GOLD :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?Cable (GBP/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3396
1st Support: 1.3316
1st Resistance: 1.3437
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish reversalUS Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.24
1st Support: 97.90
1st Resistance: 98.76
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USDCAD H4 | Bullish Reversal Off Multi Swing LowMomentum: Bearish
The price is falling towards the buy entry which has been identified as a multi-swing low support.
Buy entry: 1.3766
Multi swing low support
Stop loss: 1.3688
Pullback support
Take profit: 1.3822
Pullback resistance
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Potential bearish drop?Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support, which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6619
1st Support: 0.6540
1st Resistance: 0.6672
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Gold price analysis on December 18thGold prices continue to show a clear reaction around the 4350 mark – a crucial round resistance zone attracting strong selling pressure from the market. In a correction scenario, selling pressure could push prices back to test the 4270 area to accumulate further momentum, thereby forming a wide-range sideways structure before the next direction.
Conversely, if buyers maintain their current strength, a break above 4350 during the US session is entirely possible. Liquidity remains low at the start of the Asian session, prices are moving slowly, and the market is awaiting CPI data – a factor that could create significant volatility during the day.
Trading Strategy
Prioritize BUY when price rejection signals appear at support zones: 4310 – 4265 – 4217
Target: 4400
Risk:
If the price breaks below 4265, the short-term uptrend will slow down, and it is necessary to wait for lower price levels to find new BUY opportunities that fit the market structure.
EURGBP: Overbought Market & Retracement 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP may retrace from the underlined key daily/intraday resistance.
A double top pattern formation of that indicates an overbought
state of the market.
I expect a bearish movement to 0.877
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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USDCHF: Bullish Push to 0.805?FX:USDCHF is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price forming higher lows along an upward trendline after bouncing from support, converging with a downward trendline touch that could ignite upside momentum if buyers break through amid recent consolidation. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity post-downtrend, targeting higher resistance levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3.🔥
Entry between 0.7900–0.79155 for a long position. Target at 0.80500 . Set a stop loss at a close below 0.78745 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum near the trendlines.🌟
Fundamentally , USDCHF is trading around 0.796 in mid-December 2025, with recent central bank decisions shaping the pair's direction. For the US Dollar, the FOMC cut rates by 25 bps on December 10 to 3.50%-3.75% in a 9-3 split vote, with hawkish guidance signaling fewer future cuts amid labor resilience and inflation concerns. For the Swiss Franc, the SNB held its policy rate at 0% on December 11 despite low inflation , with forecasts indicating no changes through 2026 and a low bar for negative rates, potentially weakening CHF further. These outcomes could favor USD strength against CHF if Fed's hawkishness persists. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.7900 – 0.79155
🎯 Target:
• 0.80500
❌ Stop Loss:
• Close below 0.78745
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3
💡 Your view?
Will USDCHF break above the trendline and run toward 0.8050 — or does resistance hold for another rejection? 👇
Expect Gold To Sell Off Toward The Fvg And Lower Demand Zones📉 Trade Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
Market Context
• Price is holding strong resistance around 4,345 – 4,350, shown by multiple rejections.
• The market previously made a bullish move, but momentum is now weakening near resistance.
• A Market Structure Shift (MSS) is already marked on the left, indicating smart money activity earlier.
• Price is now consolidating under resistance, suggesting distribution.
⸻
🎯 Trade Idea
• Sell from resistance after rejection / confirmation
• This is a mean reversion + liquidity grab setup
⸻
🟢 Entry Zone (Sell)
• Around 4,336 – 4,345
• Best entry after bearish confirmation (rejection candle / lower high)
⸻
🛑 Stop Loss
• Above resistance at ~4,360
• Invalidates the idea if resistance breaks cleanly
⸻
🎯 Take Profit Targets
1. TP1: 4,247 → Fair Value Gap (FVG fill)
2. TP2: 4,210 → Demand zone
3. TP3 (Runner): 4,188 → Major liquidity & imbalance
⸻
🔍 Concepts Used
• Strong HTF resistance
• Liquidity sweep potential above highs
• Fair Value Gap (FVG) as downside magnet
• Smart Money / ICT-based structure
XAUUSD M30: Watch for BUY at 4.317–4.303, target 4.337–4.3461) Market Context (M30) – SMC & Price Structure
• The chart is on the M30 timeframe (not H1).
• After the impulsive move up, price has entered a consolidation / corrective phase , with BOS and ChoCH signals indicating a rotation of order flow around the equilibrium zone.
• Price is currently trading in the middle of the range, so the optimal approach is to wait for price to return to Demand/OB or wait for a sweep into Supply before making decisions.
2) Key Levels
• Supply / $$$ (upper targets): 4,346.655
• Intermediate Supply: 4,337.166
• OB Buy (Demand 1): 4,317–4,315 (tag 4,317.623)
• BUY Swing (Demand 2 – deeper): 4,303–4,305 (tag 4,303.099)
• Risk reference: SL reference at 4,289
3) Trading Scenarios (SMC – conditional setups)
Scenario A – BUY pullback at OB 4,317–4,315 (intraday priority)
• If price pulls back into 4,317–4,315 and shows clear bullish reaction (long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or a bullish ChoCH on M15/M30).
• Then prioritize BUY continuation trades.
• Reference targets:
• TP1: 4,337
• TP2: 4,346
• If price reaches 4,337 / 4,346 and shows strong rejection, prioritize partial profit-taking rather than expecting a straight continuation.
Scenario B – Deep sweep into BUY Swing 4,303–4,305 (higher-quality setup)
• If price breaks below the 4,317 OB and continues to sweep liquidity into 4,303–4,305 .
• Only BUY after a clear reversal signal appears (post-sweep + fast reclaim).
• Reference targets: 4,317 → 4,337 → 4,346.
Scenario C – SELL reaction at Supply (counter-trend, scalp only)
• If price rallies into 4,337 or 4,346 and prints distribution signals (strong rejection / bearish ChoCH).
• A short SELL toward 4,317 can be considered.
• Note: SELLs are purely technical reactions; the primary bias remains “buy the dip” at the marked Demand zones.
4) News on 18/12 Impacting Gold (Macro Drivers)
• US CPI (November) released today — typically a major volatility driver for XAUUSD due to its direct impact on rate expectations and the USD.
Bureau of Labor Statistics
• On the same day: Initial Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index — often cause short-term spikes around release times.
S&P Global
• Beyond the US, markets are also monitoring a series of central bank decisions (ECB/BoE/Norges Bank/Riksbank…), which may amplify USD and risk sentiment volatility, indirectly affecting gold.
S&P Global
CPI Trading Guidance
• Avoid entering trades right before CPI; preferably wait 5–15 minutes after the release for structure to become clearer, then execute based on reactions at 4,317 / 4,303 or Supply reactions at 4,337 / 4,346 .
5) Conclusion (Bias & Risk)
• Intraday bias: prioritize BUYs at Demand (4,317–4,315 and deeper 4,303–4,305).
• Focus on “right level – right signal”; avoid FOMO in the middle of the range.
• Maintain strict risk management, as CPI day often brings elevated volatility.
— Trade the levels, not the noise.
GBPUSD Inside a Diamond Patternhello dear trader📌 Why GBPUSD Inside a Diamond Pattern Stops Out Most Traders
📍 Timeframe: 15M
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
Price is currently trading inside a Diamond / Broadening Formation, which is not a trend environment, but a liquidity distribution phase.
1️⃣ What Does a Sharp Move Without Opposite Candles Mean?
The recent move from 1.3360 → 1.3440 was a fast 80–100 pip expansion with:
No meaningful pullbacks
No strong opposite candles
Continuous impulsive candles on M15
❗️This type of move:
Is not a healthy trend
Is usually a liquidity grab / stop-run
2️⃣ Why Do QM Setups Keep Failing Inside a Diamond?
Inside this structure:
HHs and LLs keep getting violated
BOS signals lose reliability
QM after QM gets invalidated
📌 This is not a strategy problem
📌 This is the nature of a non-directional market
Even professional traders typically take 3 to 7 consecutive stop-losses inside a Diamond structure.
3️⃣ If the Diamond Is Bearish, Why Did Price Rally?
Common misconception:
“The pattern is bearish, so price shouldn’t go up.”
Reality:
A Diamond is a distribution structure
It often starts with a fake upside expansion
The real move comes after liquidity is collected
The push into the premium zone around 1.3440 – 1.3470 was a classic buy-side liquidity sweep.
4️⃣ Using Fibonacci to Detect Trend Breakdown
In the recent legs:
Price repeatedly retraced into the 0.70 – 0.78 Fibonacci zone
But failed to continue impulsively
📌 This means:
❌ The trend is no longer healthy
✅ The market has transitioned into distribution / Diamond mode
5️⃣ Why You Should Not Trade Inside a Diamond
If you see:
Fake BOS signals
Repeated QM failures
Sharp moves in both directions
Constant rotation between premium & discount
⛔️ This is a wait-only environment, not an execution zone.
6️⃣ When Does the Real Target Activate?
Diamond height ≈ 140 pips
🎯 This target becomes valid only after:
A clean structural breakout
A confirmed pullback
Not while price is still inside the pattern
good luck
GBP/USD | Further drop incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of GBPUSD, After the news yesterday, GBPUSD managed to sweep the liquidity above the 1.3438 level before dropping down both of the Supply Zones below it and it is now being traded at 1.3327 level. At the moment, GBPUSD is not showing any strong will to go higher, and I expect a drop to the FVG at 1.32850-1.32925, and I'd rather see it go under the SellSide Liquidity that is residing below the 1.32875 level, sweeping it and then going back up.
Let's monitor it closely.
XAU/USD Facing Decision Time – Volatility AheadThe Gold chart shows that the price is trading near a strong resistance zone after completing several impulsive waves inside an upward channel. The structure suggests Gold is likely finishing a Wave (3) or Wave (5) near the top, where selling pressure usually appears. The recent sideways-to-down movement looks like a developing Wave (4) correction, which could lead to a deeper pullback before the next big move. If the price fails to break and hold above the resistance zone, Gold may continue lower toward the lower channel support. However, if buyers push the price higher and break above the resistance cleanly, one more upside leg could form before a larger correction. Overall, the chart signals short-term weakness inside a bigger bullish structure, so caution is needed near the highs.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)






















