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ADM: Fundamental Analysis +41%With 2024 revenue of $ 85.53 billions, Archer-Daniels-Midland is an american agricultural and animal nutrition provider. EverStock identifies a fundamental revaluation potential of +41 %. Valuation at 16.8 x net earnings : Currently valued at $ 30.23 billions in market capitalization, Archer-Daniels-Midland posted a profit of $ 1.80 billions in its latest fiscal year (2024). Balance sheet and debt : In the company annual report, tangible net asset value stood at $ 15.40 billions, giving a market capitalization / tangible net asset value ratio of 1.96. The gearing ratio is good, at 0.66. (Total financial debt / net tangible assets valuation). Current share price : 62.92 $ Target price : 88.70 $ Upside potential : + 41 % (including dividende income) Dividend : 2.04 $ (0.51 $ per quarter) Yield : 3.24 %
NYSE:ADMLong
by skollkuul
Stock Market is in Risk OnSubscribe and don't miss next ideas The US market, as well as some assets, is in a risk-on mode. Most assets have their own seasonality. The chart above shows one of them: In recent years, in the period July-September, a correction began on the US market. A number of macro indicators also speak in favor of a correction and that it is overdue. Risk appetite according to Morgan Stanley research has reached a historical maximum Although seasonality does not guarantee a correction right here and now, but at least it gives reason to think about reducing long positions
AMEX:SPYShort
by A3MInvestments
Setting up for a Long Swing TradeHi Traders! I've been keeping an eye on CHEWY for a few weeks now. Chewy dipped into the 78% fib, and set up for a reversal. I'd like to see a possible retest at a Daily Breaker Order Block at around $39.50. If that can verify that the Daily CHOCH is valid, I'm planning to swing this Options trade for a few weeks. My first target would be around $42. In addition, the monthly IMO is bullish and could give us another long term swing. Alerts are set for now. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NYSE:CHWYLong
by thattradergirl
2
Minor dip to 3330~3320, then skyrocketing to the Moon!Hello Traders, The first wave of the uptrend is complete. The second wave will dip to 3330~3320, followed by the third wave uptrend. Check the reference signal for take-profit levels. Upcoming Macro Events : - U.S. CPI (August 12): The main catalyst for volatility, likely to impact USD and real yields. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen gold, while a soft print might pressure the bull case. - RBA Rate Decision (August 12): A dovish outcome could weaken the USD, indirectly supporting gold. - Global Data (GDP, PPI): China’s economic data and UK GDP could influence risk sentiment and USD strength. Gold is in a critical phase with bullish technical setup and positive sentiment, but volatility is expected due to key macro events. Traders should focus on support levels, monitor the CPI data, and remain cautious of bearish reversals if the consolidation fails.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 13, 2025 EURUSDThe euro/dollar pair is holding near recent levels but remains under pressure from U.S. expectations: market participants are pricing in the risk of a more hawkish Federal Reserve tone if inflation and consumer activity do not show a sustained slowdown. Against this backdrop, capital inflows into dollar-denominated assets continue, and demand for protection via USD remains moderate. In the Eurozone, the picture is more restrained: corporate and consumer confidence has only partially recovered, fiscal space is limited, and the ECB maintains a cautious tone after its recent decisions. Growth forecasts for the year ahead remain low, which dampens appetite for the euro during periods of increased global uncertainty. Yield differentials and central bank balance sheet policies are creating a fundamental bias in favor of the dollar in the short term. Without strong positive surprises from the Eurozone, the pair retains potential for a moderate decline toward 1.16500. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16850, SL 1.17000, TP 1.16500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold 1H - test of 0.618 and possible reversalOn the hourly gold chart, price continues to correct after breaking out of the broadening channel. Current consolidation is forming below the 0.5 Fibo (3338), and the structure suggests a high probability of a drop toward the key 0.618 Fibo support zone at 3322–3310. This level also aligns with a previous major reversal point, adding to its significance. If the market reaches this zone and prints a reversal pattern, technical conditions will be set for a potential bullish move back toward 3370 and higher. From a fundamental standpoint, gold trades in an environment of uncertainty, with the market assessing the Fed’s monetary policy outlook and reacting to shifts in inflation expectations. The absence of strong USD pressure leaves room for a recovery if large-scale buying appears near 3322. Tactical plan: watch for price action in the 3322–3310 zone - a confirmed bullish signal could trigger longs targeting 3370 and 3400. A break below 3310 invalidates the bullish setup. As often happens with gold, the most interesting moves start right where most traders run out of patience.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen has refreshed monthly lows as the Bank of Japan last week reaffirmed its commitment to ultra-loose policy and kept the 10-year JGB yield target around 1.49%. Inflation is easing, with July core CPI falling to 1.7%, below the target range — an argument for maintaining yield-curve control. Against this backdrop, the U.S. 10-year yield climbed toward 4.25% on expectations of a firm CPI print, widening the spread with Japanese bonds to 425 bps. Accelerated Japanese capital outflows into dollar assets support USDJPY. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has only issued verbal warnings about possible interventions, with no actual dollar selling observed — market participants view 150 as the next target. Dollar demand is also supported by steady oil prices above $85/bbl, which increase Japan’s import bills. Higher commodity prices worsen the country’s trade balance and spur additional dollar purchases by Japanese corporates for settlements. Trade recommendation: BUY 148.300, SL 148.100, TP 149.500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Shines Bright - Strong Buy Zone XAUUSD Buy Setup – Gold is maintaining strong bullish momentum after holding the 3375 support level. Market sentiment remains positive, with buyers stepping in and pushing price higher. As long as price sustains above 3375, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. The next bullish targets are set at 3425 and 3450, where we expect potential profit-taking. A break and close above 3425 could accelerate momentum toward 3450. Traders should monitor intraday pullbacks for fresh buying opportunities, keeping stop-losses below the support zone to protect capital.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
43
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 7, 2025 USDJPYEvent to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims USDJPY: The yen is benefitting from falling Treasury yields and mounting expectations that the Bank of Japan could move to a token rate hike as early as this autumn. Minutes of the 30-31 July meeting revealed that two board members want tightening on the table should inflation stay above 2 %. In parallel, the Finance Ministry has expanded its FX-intervention envelope to ¥20 trn, signalling a readiness to cap USDJPY below 150. The U-S dollar stays under pressure: weak labour data increases the odds of a September Fed cut, while a scandal over the dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics head fuels doubts about data integrity. The 10-year U-S yield has slid to 3.95 %, narrowing the spread with JGBs and dulling the dollar’s carry appeal. A restraining factor is caution within Japan’s ruling coalition, which warns against rapid tightening given the threat of new U-S tariffs. Even so, the overall risk balance still favours yen strength thanks to potential intervention and the likelihood of a BoJ policy pivot, keeping the pair biased lower. Trade recommendation: SELL 147.550, SL 147.850, TP 146.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Ather Energy Breaks Out! What's Fueling the 13% Surge..?Since its stock market debut, Ather Energy had been gliding within a smooth upward channel until something major shifted this week. On the back of stellar Q1 FY26 results, the stock did something bold: ✅ Broke the channel ✅ Shot up 13% in a single day ✅ Hit a fresh 52-week high near ₹394 So, what’s driving this electric rally? And more importantly, what’s the next smart move for investors ? 🔍 Q1 Results: Narrower Loss, Explosive Growth On August 4, 2025, Ather Energy dropped its first earnings report post-listing, and the numbers turned heads: * 📉 Net loss trimmed to ₹178.2 crore (vs. ₹182.9 crore YoY) * 🚀 Revenue surged 79% YoY to ₹645 crore * 🔋 Vehicle sales jumped 97% YoY to 46,078 units * 🛵 Family scooter “Rizta” became a hit, now 60% of total sales! Management also highlighted better cost control, improved operating efficiency, and a margin boost of nearly 1,700 basis points YoY — a sign the business is scaling fast without burning as much cash. 📈 Chart Talk: Breakout Confirmed, Entry at ₹357 ? Technically speaking, Ather had been moving in a classic ascending channel since its listing. But the Q1 numbers triggered a powerful breakout: * ✅ Channel resistance broken * ✅ Huge bullish volume * ✅ Momentum carried the stock to ₹394 intraday Now, for those waiting on the sidelines, the ideal entry opportunity could come around ₹357, where: * The previous resistance could act as new support * It aligns with 38–50% Fibonacci retracement * A healthy pullback may offer a low-risk, high-reward setup 📊 Analyst View & Expansion Strategy * 🏬 **95 new experience centers opened in Q1 * 🌍 Market share expanded to 14% pan-India, 22% in South India * 🏦 HSBC initiated coverage with a ‘Buy’ rating and ₹450 target Even amidst tough EV competition (Ola Electric, TVS, Bajaj), Ather is building a tech-driven moat with strong brand equity, energy-efficient performance, and now promising financials. ⚠️ What to Watch Out For * 🔧 A temporary rare-earth supply disruption due to China’s export policy — management says risk is under control. * 🧾 Still **not profitable, so long-term earnings trajectory needs close tracking. * 🔋 EV sector competition remains fierce; execution will be key. 📌 Final Word: Wait for the Dip ? Ather’s breakout is backed by both strong fundamentals and a bullish technical setup. If the stock pulls back to the ₹357 zone, it could present an excellent opportunity for those who missed the initial run. 📍Plan: * ✅ Add to watchlist * 🔁 Wait for pullback * 🛑 Stop-loss below ₹340 (if entering at ₹357) * 🎯 Short-term targets: ₹394 (previous high), ₹420+, ₹450 (HSBC target) Ather is charging ahead. Are you ready to plug in ?⚡
NSE:ATHERENERGLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
GBPUSD – Short Setup at Fibonacci Golden Pocket ZonePair: GBPUSD Timeframe: 4H Bias: Bearish retracement sell 🔍 Technical Outlook: GBPUSD has retraced sharply from its recent low (1.3137) and is now testing a major resistance zone within the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65 retracement) from the recent swing high to low: This zone aligns with prior supply, creating a high-probability short setup. 🧠 Fundamentals + Sentiment 🇬🇧 GBP – Bearish Tilt BOE's hawkish rate cut (25bps) failed to boost confidence due to internal voting splits and soft macro data. Weak retail sales and flattening Services PMI signal slowing momentum. CFTC data: Longs decreasing, net positioning weakening. 🇺🇸 USD – Defensive Strength Fed holds at restrictive 4.25–4.50%, remains data-dependent. US macro data like ISM Services and labor market stable. USD gains from risk-off flows (VIX at 20.42), especially as GBP weakens. 🌐 Confluence Points: ❄️ Risk-off mood: favors USD safe-haven appeal 📉 GBP weakening across fundamentals 💡 Golden pocket = optimal area for trend continuation sell 📊 RSI suggests momentum exhaustion ✅ Conclusion: GBPUSD is at a key sell zone, sitting within the Fibonacci golden pocket and prior supply. Unless bulls reclaim 1.3335, the path of least resistance is down. This is a textbook retracement short in line with macro and technical confluence.
Short
by wajahatarif
Today's GOLD Analysis : MMC Structural Analysis + Reversal ZoneThis analysis is rooted in MMC – Mirror Market Concepts, a framework designed to track institutional behavior through liquidity patterns, QFL (Quick Flip Levels), trendline shifts, and volume bursts. The current 4H Gold chart demonstrates a smart money footprint that provides actionable insight for intraday and swing traders. 🔍 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🟦 1. Previous Supply Completed | Demand Zone Reversal At the lower end of the chart, price entered a key blue zone around $3,250–$3,280, previously a supply zone now flipped into demand. This zone represents where institutional buyers absorbed liquidity, forming the base for a bullish impulse. The strong reaction from this zone, marked by long-wick candles and immediate reversal, indicates exhaustion of selling pressure. This reversal is confirmed by a QFL structure, meaning price created a fast liquidity sweep before flipping direction. MMC recognizes this as a high-probability area of reversal, a point where smart money typically enters. 📈 2. Trendline Breakout & Structure Shift A descending trendline, representing bearish market control, was decisively broken to the upside. This shift marks: End of the corrective phase Beginning of a bullish structural change Buyers now control the short-term narrative The breakout was not only clean but also supported by a volume burst, which is a classic MMC indicator that institutional traders are entering the market. 🔶 3. Volume Burst Confirmation Volume behavior plays a critical role in MMC. We see a clear volume spike post-breakout. This suggests that: The breakout is not false Buyers were aggressively positioned A sustainable move is in development This supports the validity of the trendline breakout and confirms the idea that price is ready to test higher liquidity zones. 🟢 4. Current Price Structure: Bullish Channel After the breakout, the market formed a bullish channel, where price is steadily climbing while respecting parallel boundaries. The channel support line acts as a dynamic entry point for retracement buys MMC strategy uses this structure to identify scaling entries at channel lows or after successful pullbacks into key reversal zones 🟩 5. Mini Reversal Area (Short-Term Resistance Zone) Price is currently testing a minor supply zone or what MMC defines as a "Mini Reversal Area". This is a reaction zone before continuing toward the major target above. There are two possible reactions: Short-term rejection, leading to a pullback into the lower channel support zone Minor consolidation, forming a base for a breakthrough toward major resistance 🟦 6. Major & Minor Supply Zones Above Marked in light blue and green, these zones represent areas where previous selling volume and distribution occurred. The major supply zone (approx. $3,440–$3,470) is the next institutional target The minor zone sits between $3,400–$3,420 and may cause initial resistance or a base for another impulse These levels are prime for partial profit-taking or scouting short-term reversal trades. 📊 Trade Management Insights: 🛒 Buy Opportunities (Long Bias): On pullback into channel support near $3,340–$3,350 On bullish confirmation from mini reversal area On break and retest above minor resistance at $3,420 🛑 Stop-Loss Suggestion: Below the channel support or below the blue demand zone (approx. $3,245) 🎯 Profit Targets: TP1: $3,400 (first resistance) TP2: $3,420 (minor supply) TP3: $3,450–$3,470 (major institutional level) 🧠 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Highlights: QFL Structures = Institutional Reversal Points Volume Burst = Confirmation of Breakout Validity Trendline Breakout = Momentum Shift Channel Structure = Controlled Climb Pattern Mini Reversal Zone = Key Decision Point Before Continuation 🧭 TradingView Summary for Minds Community: This GOLD chart beautifully aligns with the MMC method — spotting smart money involvement early and aligning with their flow. After confirming structural reversal via trendline and QFL, the setup now looks poised for continuation toward the $3,440–$3,470 zone, making it a perfect chart to watch for buy-the-dip setups.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 4, 2025 USDJPYAfter Friday’s weak U.S. jobs report, USD/JPY fell sharply, breaking below 150. At the start of the new week the pair stabilized around 147–148, yet the fundamental backdrop remains tilted against the dollar: expectations for Fed cuts in the coming months are weighing on U.S. yields and narrowing the U.S.–Japan yield spread—the primary long-run driver of USD/JPY. Exclusive for our readers – a 202% bonus on deposits of $202 or more! Give the promo code PROFIT202 to customer support and start trading with TRIPLED capital. Full promo details are available via the link. The Bank of Japan continues an ultra-loose stance, with forecasts showing inflation around target but little appetite for aggressive tightening in the near term. That leaves the main channel of yen support tied to U.S. yield dynamics and global demand for safe-haven assets. With softer U.S. yields and elevated U.S. political uncertainty, demand for defensive currencies may stay resilient. Additional risk factors include commentary from Japan’s Ministry of Finance regarding the yen and potential bouts of volatility around Fed communications and incoming U.S. data. Today’s base case favors selling USD/JPY on corrective upticks toward 146, as pressure from lower U.S. yields persists. Trade idea: SELL 147.550, SL 148.550, TP 146.050
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USOIL Technical Analysis – Black Mind Curve Breakout & Reversal🔍 Overall Market Context: The current USOIL structure is a great example of market shift from compression to expansion, characterized by a breakout of the Black Mind Curve followed by a measured impulse move. This chart is not just reacting technically, but it reflects how institutional smart money manipulates curves, breaks minor structures, and then retests zones to refill orders before continuing directionally. Let’s break the market psychology and price action phase by phase: 🔄 Phase 1: Black Mind Curve Breakout ✅ The Black Mind Curve represents long-standing supply pressure that had been capping price. Its breakout marks a shift in market intention, often signaling the end of a distribution phase and beginning of a possible accumulation or re-accumulation. Price broke above this curve cleanly with strong bullish candles, which also broke minor structure levels, confirming short-term bullish sentiment. The breakout was also backed by momentum and volume as the market pushed 130+ pips upward—an aggressive impulse that trapped late sellers below. 📉 Phase 2: Retracement to Interchange Zones Now, we’re in the retracement phase, where price is pulling back toward: 🔹 SR Interchange Zone ($66.80 - $67.30) This zone was previous resistance, now flipping to support. In MMC terms, this area is expected to serve as a refill zone where smart money will look to accumulate again after the breakout. We are watching for confirmation candles or MMC-style reversal patterns here (e.g., inside bar breakouts, demand imbalances). 🔹 Main Zone ($65.80 - $66.50) If the first zone fails, this is the next key demand base. It holds historical value from previous accumulation phases (see July 10–25) and aligns with the origin of the last impulse. Expect a sharper wick or deeper liquidity grab if price moves into this area. 📉 Phase 3: Final Defensive Zone – Major Support ($63.70 - $65.20) This zone marks the last line of bullish defense. A move here would mean the bullish structure is being reevaluated or absorbed by sellers. However, if price hits this level, it could also attract significant institutional demand, setting up for a more powerful long-term leg up. Reactions here are typically large and volatile, with a risk of fakeouts and fast reversals. 📈 Possible Scenarios (MMC Based Forecasting): ✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Path) Price finds support inside SR Interchange Zone. Forms a base (MMC reversal structure) and pushes back to recent highs near $71. Breakout above $71 opens room for next supply zones between $72.50 - $74.00. ⚠️ Scenario 2 – Deeper Liquidity Grab Price breaks below SR Interchange and tests Main Zone for a deeper accumulation. A wick or shakeout may happen before bullish continuation. This trap zone could give the best R:R entry. ❌ Scenario 3 – Breakdown to Major Support If both zones fail and bearish pressure sustains, price may revisit Major Support. That would reset the bullish structure and require fresh MMC assessment. 🧠 MMC Logic at Work: The curve break symbolizes the shift from supply dominance to a possible demand-led phase. Minor structure breaks add fuel to trend shift and indicate participation from larger players. Retracements are not weaknesses—they are refills for those who missed the move. Smart money uses these zones and flips (SR interchanges) to hide in plain sight. 🎯 Key Takeaway for Traders: This is a textbook MMC setup that combines: Curve Breakout + Impulse Zone Retest + Interchange Logic Liquidity Engineering before Continuation Traders should remain patient and observe reactions at each zone. Don’t chase—wait for the market to reveal its hand via MMC entry signals (break-of-structure, bullish engulfings, imbalance fills, etc.)
TVC:USOILLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XRPUSDT Analysis (MMC) : Decision Point + Next Move Loading In this 4-hour chart of XRP/USDT, we're observing a critical structure forming under the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) framework. Price action is compressing near an important descending trendline, suggesting that a breakout or breakdown is imminent. Let’s break it down zone by zone: 🔍 Key Zones & Price Structure: Important Zone (SR Interchange Zone – $2.95 - $3.05) This is a major supply-to-demand flip zone. It has served as both resistance and support in the past and is now acting as a potential interchange level. The price is hovering just below this area, retesting it after a significant bearish structure. BR Supply Zone (Breakdown Retest Supply – $2.93 - $2.98) After price broke down from this zone, it created a base for a retest. This level has since acted as a cap to further upside movement. It also coincides with the descending trendline, adding confluence to its strength as resistance. Next Reversal Zone ($2.75 - $2.85) In case the price fails to reclaim the Important Zone, we could see a bearish continuation move into the next zone of interest. This is a likely reversal or reaction area based on previous demand imprints and price imbalance. SR Flip Watch If price breaks above the trendline and sustains above the SR Interchange Zone, this could trigger a potential bullish breakout toward the $3.20+ region (labeled as target “1”). This move would be backed by trapped sellers and liquidity above the descending structure. 📈 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and close above the descending trendline. Successful retest of the Important Zone as demand. Push toward $3.20 - $3.30 where the next supply awaits (target 1). ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at the Important Zone and trendline resistance. Breakdown below $2.90 confirms bearish pressure. Possible liquidity sweep and reaction from the Next Reversal Zone ($2.75-$2.85). If this zone fails to hold, continuation toward lower zones becomes likely. 🧠 MMC Perspective: From a Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) standpoint, the market is currently at a reflection point where a decision between bulls and bears is about to play out. The clean diagonal structure plus clear horizontal liquidity pockets makes this setup ideal for anticipating manipulation traps and smart money moves.
by GoldMasterTrades
DOGEUSDT Analysis : Trendline Decision & Dual Directional Point📌 Market Context & Current Setup: DOGEUSDT has been trading within a well-defined descending channel, respecting a strong trendline resistance, which has acted as a bearish ceiling for several sessions. The price action has been heavily influenced by supply zones formed after sharp impulsive drops, creating multiple QFL (Quick Flip Levels) — key to spotting structural bottoms and high-probability reversal zones. Currently, the price is hovering near a critical decision point, where two key scenarios may play out: A breakout and bullish reversal toward major resistance A dip into a deep demand zone for final accumulation before reversal Your plan reflects MMC (Market-Mind-Confirmation) methodology, preparing for either scenario with clear levels, logic, and psychology in place. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔻 1. Trendline Confirmation (Bearish Control): The price has respected the downtrend line multiple times, confirming strong bearish momentum. No candle body has closed decisively above it, showing sellers still have control. However, price is now consolidating near this line, indicating a potential weakening of selling pressure — a classic sign of upcoming trend exhaustion. 🟩 2. Support Zones – Structural Layers: 📍 Minor Zone (S/R Flip – ~$0.215–0.220): This zone is a previous support turned resistance. It’s the first checkpoint the price needs to reclaim to confirm a breakout. A successful flip from resistance back to support would add strong bullish confidence. 🟩 Reversal Zone (~$0.185–0.190): Marked on your chart as a "Reversal Area" — likely derived from QFL methodology. Price has historically bounced from this area, indicating buyers are willing to step in aggressively. This zone aligns with smart money demand accumulation and could serve as a final liquidity sweep zone before a major reversal. 📍 Major Resistance Zone (~$0.250–0.260): The next major objective once a trendline break is confirmed. Also aligns with previous highs and volume nodes — a solid target for bullish trades. 🔄 Scenario-Based Strategy: 📈 Scenario 1 – Breakout Toward Major Resistance: Price breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the minor S/R zone. This would confirm a bullish structure shift, validating that sellers are losing strength. After reclaiming ~$0.215, the path toward $0.240–0.260 opens up. Retests or flag breakouts within this range can be re-entry points for trend traders. 📉 Scenario 2 – Deeper Retest and Accumulation: If the price fails to break out and dips further, the reversal demand area (~$0.185) becomes critical. This is where buying pressure is expected to return, and as labeled in your chart: 👉 “If it goes down, we will double the supply” This suggests an averaging-down or pyramiding strategy based on strong structural confidence. This technique is valid only when the area is backed by solid confluence (trend exhaustion, demand, and past bounces). 🧠 MMC Strategy (Market – Mind – Confirmation): Market: Bearish short-term trend, but price is approaching oversold territory near structural demand. Mind: You’re prepared for both outcomes – breakout or dip. Emotion is out of the plan. Confirmation: You wait for signs — break and retest of trendline, bullish engulfing candles, or wick rejections from demand. This mental clarity helps maintain trading discipline and keeps emotional bias out of decision-making. ⚙️ Execution Plan: Component Scenario 1 (Breakout) Scenario 2 (Deep Buy Zone) Entry Signal Break & close above trendline + minor SR reclaim Bullish reversal candle within demand zone Stop Loss Below trendline + S/R flip (~0.210) Below demand zone (~0.182) Target 1 $0.235 $0.235 Target 2 $0.255–$0.260 $0.255–$0.260 Risk Level Medium Higher R:R potential Strategy Notes Aggressive on confirmation only Add to position on wick traps 🧠 Trader Psychology Tips: Be patient — confirmation beats prediction. Set alerts at key levels to avoid emotional entries. Scaling into trades based on zone reactions builds flexibility and control. "Double the supply" approach must be paired with strict invalidation levels. ✅ Summary: DOGE is trading within a descending wedge. Key decision zones are marked clearly (trendline, S/R flip, reversal demand). Breakout could lead to a quick 15–25% upside. Reversal zone offers great R:R with accumulation opportunity. Strategy is well-aligned with disciplined execution and trader psychology.
by GoldMasterTrades
TONUSDT Bullish Structure Continuation – Minor Pullback Leg Up🧾 1. Overview of the Chart Setup: The current TONUSDT (Toncoin/USDT) 2-hour chart exhibits a strong bullish market structure, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This confirms bullish momentum and suggests that the market is in a well-established uptrend. The key highlight here is the "Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Pattern", which signals sustained bullish pressure following a clean breakout. This breakout was preceded by a consolidation phase, indicating accumulation by smart money before the expansion move. 🔍 2. Technical Structure and Pattern Breakdown: 🔵 Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Pattern: This diagonal support trendline captured the initial breakout after the market bottomed near July 29–30. Price respected this ascending line multiple times before accelerating, confirming bullish control. Once the price broke above the previous swing high, it completed the pattern and triggered a momentum-driven rally. 🔲 Structural Zones – Major and Minor: Minor Support Zone (~3.50 USDT): Currently acting as short-term demand. Price is showing early signs of rejection here, suggesting bulls may reload for a second impulsive move. If this zone holds, we expect a new higher high to form, potentially targeting 3.80–4.00+ USDT. Major Support Zone (~3.20–3.25 USDT): Acts as long-term bullish defense. In case of deeper retracement or shakeout, this is the key level to watch for possible trend continuation and re-entry. 📈 3. Structural Analysis and Price Projection: The projected path on the chart shows a classic price action structure: Impulse Correction (toward minor support) Next Impulse (break of recent high) Higher low (continuation within trend channel) Potential final push toward the 3.90–4.00 range This type of Elliott Wave-inspired behavior suggests we're in wave 3 or 5 of a bullish sequence, with minor dips offering low-risk long setups. 📊 4. Candlestick & Market Behavior: Recent candles show long lower wicks, suggesting buyers are stepping in during dips. Bearish candles are relatively smaller and followed by immediate bullish response. This indicates buy-the-dip sentiment, common in a trending market. 🔄 5. Trading Plan & Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation (Base Case): Wait for a clear bullish engulfing or price bounce at the minor support zone (~3.50 USDT). Enter with confirmation: bullish candle close, volume spike, or trendline reaction. Targets: TP1: 3.80 USDT TP2: 4.00–4.10 USDT Stop Loss: Below 3.45 (or structure-based trailing stop) ⚠️ Bearish Case / Deeper Pullback: If 3.50 fails, look for signs of accumulation around the major support (~3.20–3.25). This zone can serve as the ultimate defense for trend continuation and provide a second long opportunity with better R:R. 🧠 6. Mindset for Traders: Don’t chase: Let price come to your level, and focus on confirmation. Trade with the trend: Structure supports bullish movement — trade in the direction of strength. Use proper risk management: Define SL and TP before entering. Partial profits at key resistance zones are a smart strategy. Avoid overtrading : Wait for structural retests or confirmation candles to stay on the right side of the market.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD Analysis – Bullish Recovery Setup After Trendline Breakout ⚙️ Technical Structure Overview This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic reversal setup developing after a significant correction. Price previously faced strong selling pressure from the 3,470+ zone and declined sharply. However, the recent price action suggests a shift in control from sellers to buyers, signaling a likely medium-term trend reversal or a bullish wave formation. The key to this setup lies in three confluences: Completion of a previous supply zone, which no longer holds influence. Aggressive buyer activity from a major support zone. A clean break above the descending trendline, which is a common signal that bearish momentum is losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels & Concepts Explained 🟢 1. Major Support Zone (3,260–3,280) This zone has been tested multiple times and each time, buyers stepped in and prevented further downside. The most recent rejection from this area shows long wicks and bullish engulfing candles, indicating accumulation by institutional players. This is the foundational support that has held the entire corrective structure. 📉 2. Trendline Breakout The descending trendline connecting swing highs has now been broken to the upside. This is a critical technical signal, especially on the 4H timeframe, as it suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a deep retracement in the opposite direction. Trendline breakouts typically result in a retest of the trendline or a nearby support-turned-resistance zone (as is the case here with the Mini SR level). It also implies that supply is weakening, and buyers are ready to push. 🧱 3. Mini Support/Resistance Interchange (~3,300–3,320) This zone now plays the role of an interchange level—a previous minor resistance that could act as a support after the breakout. This level is crucial for intraday and swing traders because it can offer a low-risk long entry if price retests and confirms it with bullish momentum. The chart projection suggests a bounce off this mini S/R, followed by successive higher highs and higher lows, forming a new bullish structure. 📈 Forecast Path & Trade Scenario ✅ Bullish Path (Preferred MMC Scenario) Stage 1: Price retests the 3,300–3,320 zone (Mini S/R). Stage 2: Buyers step in, leading to a bullish continuation. Stage 3: Price targets the Minor Resistance (~3,440). Stage 4: If momentum is sustained, it aims for Major Resistance (~3,470–3,480), completing a clean reversal formation. This path reflects perfect bullish market structure—a breakout, followed by a retest and rally. ❌ Bearish Invalidation If the price closes strongly below 3,260, the structure would be invalidated. This would suggest that the support zone failed, possibly triggering deeper downside toward 3,220–3,200. 🧠 MMC Trader Mindset & Risk Considerations Don’t Chase: Wait for a confirmed retest of the Mini S/R zone. Let the market come to your entry. Entry Confirmation: Use candlestick signals like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or inside bars near the Mini S/R. Volume Consideration: Volume should ideally rise on breakout legs and decline on pullbacks—this confirms healthy bullish structure. Risk-Reward: With a stop below 3,260 and targets toward 3,470, the RR ratio favors long entries, especially after confirmation. 🔁 Summary Plan for Execution Entry Zone: 3,300–3,320 (after bullish confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (structure break) Take Profit 1: 3,440 Take Profit 2: 3,470–3,480 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ if planned carefully
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BTCUSD – Bullish Recovery Setup Forming Near Trendline Support🧠 Market Structure & Technical Breakdown The BTCUSD 4H chart showcases a well-formed descending triangle or falling wedge structure with clearly respected major and minor descending trendlines. Currently, price action is testing a dynamic support zone, highlighted in green, which has been a strong reaction area in the past. This area aligns with a bullish accumulation zone, from which buyers have previously stepped in to initiate impulsive moves. Given the confluence of diagonal support and horizontal price reactions, we may be on the verge of a bullish breakout opportunity. 📍 Key Zones & Trendlines ✅ Green Support Channel (Demand Zone): Acting as a key pivot for multiple recent rejections, this area (~114,000–113,000) is now being revisited again, offering potential buy interest. 📉 Minor Trendline: A short-term descending resistance around 120,000—likely the first barrier in case of a bounce. 📉 Major Trendline: A more extended dynamic resistance line connecting swing highs, currently intersecting near the 124,000 region. 🔄 Potential Price Scenarios Primary Bullish Setup (MMC Plan): Price bounces off the green demand zone. Breaks above the minor trendline (~120K). Pullback retest to confirm breakout. Continuation toward the major breakout level (~124K and beyond). Invalidation / Bearish Case: A clean breakdown below 113,000 with strong bearish momentum would negate this setup, likely targeting the psychological support near 110,000. 🧠 MMC Mindset: Trade with Patience & Confluence This is a classic accumulation-to-breakout scenario. Smart traders wait for confirmation—especially as BTC often exhibits false breakdowns before a major move. Monitor candle behavior, volume, and reaction to the minor trendline. Let the market show signs of strength (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or a breakout-retest) before committing to the upside. Avoid FOMO; the key is discipline and precision entry at structural break points. ✅ Trade Plan Summary: Watch zone: 113,000–114,500 for bullish price action Breakout level: Minor trendline (~120,000) Target zone: 123,500–124,000 (Major resistance) Stop-loss idea: Below 112,800 (Invalidation of structure)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Wedge Pattern: A Key to Trend Reversals and Continuations📈 Wedge Pattern: A Key to Trend Reversals and Continuations A wedge pattern is a technical chart formation that signals a potential reversal or continuation in the market. It’s formed when price moves between two converging trendlines — either sloping upward or downward — creating a narrowing range over time. There are two main types of wedge patterns: 🔻 Falling Wedge (Bullish) Formed during a downtrend or as a correction in an uptrend. Characterized by lower highs and lower lows, with the slope of the support line steeper than the resistance line. Typically signals a bullish reversal as momentum builds for a breakout to the upside. ✅ Confirmation: Break above the resistance line with volume surge. 🔺 Rising Wedge (Bearish) Appears during an uptrend or as a correction in a downtrend. Shows higher highs and higher lows, but the support line is steeper than the resistance line. Often leads to a bearish reversal, especially when volume declines into the pattern. ⚠️ Confirmation: Break below the support line with increasing volume. 🧠 Key Characteristics Volume tends to decrease as the pattern forms, indicating a pause in momentum. The breakout direction (up or down) determines whether it’s a continuation or reversal signal. Wedges can appear on any time frame and are useful for both day traders and long-term investors. 📊 Trading Tip Always wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering a trade. False breakouts can be common, especially in low-volume environments
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ProfessorSingapore
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias. 🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles 🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation. A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level). This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply. 🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed) Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged. This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect. ⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum) The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed. The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing. 📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply. Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now. Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment. 📦 Key Levels to Watch Zone/Level Type Role 38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin 37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance 36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift 🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00). MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on: Volume cycle completion Downward exhaustion Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50. 📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell If the green zone fails to hold: A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible. However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst. 💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens) We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion. The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone. Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering. 📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice) Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70 Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00 Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90 🧾 Conclusion & Final Note Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle. ✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure. 🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EURJPY Bullish Setup : EURJPY Forecast + Demand Zone🧠 Introduction: What's Happening on the Chart? Today’s analysis on EURJPY is built on the MMC trading framework, which emphasizes the identification of institutional supply and demand zones, reaction points, QFL patterns, and volume bursts to map out high-probability trading paths. We are currently observing a market in a corrective phase following a significant bearish drop. However, the presence of a major demand zone, along with a positive bullish pattern, suggests potential upside reversal or at least a short-term retracement. 🔍 Technical Breakdown – Zone by Zone 🔻 1. The Drop from 2x Supply Zone EURJPY experienced a significant decline from the 173.60–174.00 area, which acted as a 2x confirmed supply zone. Sellers took control with strong bearish candles that broke through previous minor support levels. This drop was impulsive, showing momentum-driven selling, often linked with institutional activity. 🟩 2. Demand Reaction at Major Zone Price entered a key demand zone marked in green (170.80–171.00), where historically buyers have stepped in. A "Volume Burst" is visible here—large volume candles with long wicks to the downside, which typically indicate accumulation. A positive pattern (possibly engulfing or a pin bar structure) has formed, signaling a potential bullish reversal or relief rally. 🧱 3. QFL Structure (Quantum Flat Line) The chart highlights a QFL base, where the price consolidates after an initial drop, then continues lower before a sharp bounce. QFL is often used to identify trap zones where retail traders are shaken out, and smart money enters. The recent bounce from the QFL base suggests smart money might be accumulating for a reversal move. 📐 Key Levels and Zones Type Zone/Level Role 🔵 Volume Burst Area ~170.80–171.00 Aggressive buyer entry; accumulation zone 🟢 Major Demand 170.80–171.20 Key structural low supporting bullish bias 🟠 SR Flip Zone 171.80–172.00 Crucial breakout/retest level 🔴 Minor Resistance 172.60–173.00 Short-term pullback zone 🟥 2x Supply 173.60–174.00 Strong reversal point; ideal target 🔁 Scenarios to Watch 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout and Rally (Blue Box 1) If price breaks above 172.00, we expect: A potential retest (bullish confirmation). Continuation toward minor resistance at 173.00, and possibly the 2x supply zone at 174.00. This aligns with the positive pattern formed at the base and the idea of a market rotation from bearish to bullish structure. 📉 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retest of Lows (Blue Box 2) If the price fails to sustain above 172.00, sellers may step in: Price could revisit the major demand zone again or even break down to 170.50. This would invalidate the bullish setup in the short term and imply a larger continuation of the bearish trend. 🧠 Strategic Insights (MMC-Based Thinking) The MMC approach teaches us to mirror the market’s emotion and behavior. In this case, we see signs of: Panic selling → smart money accumulation. Institutional traps (QFL drop) → bullish absorption. Traders applying MMC would anticipate reactive setups at the SR Flip Zone to determine next directional bias. 💡 Trade Ideas (For Educational Purposes Only) Strategy Entry SL TP1 TP2 Aggressive Long 171.30–171.50 170.70 172.50 173.50 Breakout Retest Long 172.10 (after breakout) 171.50 173.00 174.00 Sell on Rejection 172.00 (bearish confirmation) 172.60 171.00 170.40 📌 Conclusion & Final Thoughts EURJPY is showing a potential bullish reversal setup from a well-defined demand zone, supported by volume bursts and positive price action patterns. However, the SR Zone at 172.00 remains the key pivot—how the price reacts here will determine whether we see a deeper pullback or a continuation to test upper resistance levels. Stay flexible and responsive. Let the market give confirmation before execution. As always, follow proper risk management and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades