Get started

Fxtrading

USDJPY Wait For The Beak!The Bank of Japan just hiked interest rates by 25 bps to 0.75%, the highest level in ~30 years. FED lowering while BOJ raising rates is bad juju for the carry trade. Why carry risk is rising BOJ hikes = funding cost up. Yen is no longer “free money.” Fed cuts = yield advantage shrinking. The whole carry equation weakens. Compression kills carry. You don’t need parity — you just need the gap to narrow. What actually breaks carry trades Not the BOJ hike Not the Fed cut The moment markets believe the trend is durable Carry trades die on expectations, not announcements. Keep an eye out for the breakout. If carry breaks, bad juju for Crypto & AI trade,
Long
by RealMacro
6
Gold Is Pressing the Old ATH — The Final Break Looks ImminentMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Gold is in a strong bullish continuation structure, forming higher lows along an ascending support while compressing directly beneath the old ATH at 4,380. – This is bullish stair-step price action, not exhaustion buyers are accepting higher prices on every pullback. Key Levels: – Old ATH / Decision Zone: 4,360 – 4,380 – Structure Support: ~4,260 – 4,270 – Trend Support (Ascending): intact – Upside Objective: 4,450 → 4,500 (New ATH) Price Action: – Repeated rejections below ATH are getting shallower, signaling supply absorption. – Each pullback is met with faster buying, confirming strong demand control. – Compression against resistance = breakout pressure, not distribution. MACRO CONFIRMATION – WHY THIS BREAK HAS BACKING 1. Fed Policy Caps the Downside – The Fed remains on hold, with markets pricing future easing rather than further tightening. – Real yields struggle to move higher → historically bullish for gold. 2. USD Lacks Follow-Through – The Dollar fails to trend despite elevated rates a late-cycle signal. – This reduces headwinds for gold near key resistance. 3. Persistent Safe-Haven & Central Bank Demand – Geopolitical risk and fiscal uncertainty remain unresolved. – Central banks continue to accumulate gold, reinforcing structural demand beneath price. 4. Liquidity Inflection Favors Hard Assets – As global liquidity stabilizes, gold tends to lead upside expansions before other assets react. Next Move: – Holding above 4,260 keeps the bullish structure intact. – Acceptance above 4,380 opens clean price discovery toward 4,450–4,500. – Any dip into ascending support is a continuation setup, not a reversal signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Altcoin Market Cap Building Energy Before Next ExpansionThe total crypto market cap excluding the top 10 continues to follow a familiar cycle of accumulation, breakout, expansion, and consolidation. After strong moves, the market typically ranges for a period before the next leg. Currently, it is consolidating within a wide range, similar to past phases before major expansions. This suggests the market is building energy, not distributing. A breakout above the range could trigger the next expansion phase for altcoins, while patience is needed until that happens. NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by unichartz
Ready for Big Move | Liquidity Sweep Setup Explained📌 Market Structure Update: Gold is currently trading inside a tightening triangle pattern, showing clear liquidity grabs on both sides. After yesterday’s strong drop, price tapped a key demand zone and reacted aggressively. Now the market is moving between well-defined supply & demand zones, giving both bullish and bearish setups. 🔶 Key Observations 🟫 Major Supply Zone (Top Zone) Price previously rejected strongly from this area, showing sellers are active here. If price retests this zone again, expect another possible sell reaction. 🟨 Intraday Supply Zone A smaller supply just below the major zone. Price may spike into this area before giving downside continuation or bull trap. 🔷 Triangle Structure Price is squeezing between diagonal support & resistance. A breakout is coming soon. 📉 Bearish Scenario Failure to break the triangle top or rejection from the yellow zone may push price back into demand, and a break of the blue support could target the 4,180 liquidity zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adrian_Trades_
3
EURCHF 1D EURCHF shows a clean technical structure that rarely deceives a focused trader. After a strong impulse price reacted precisely at the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 0.93884 confirming strong demand near the upper boundary of the range. The current setup suggests a pullback toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 0.93123 which forms the optimal continuation zone. As long as price maintains this area the trend remains bullish and limits the risk of a deeper correction. Once the market stabilises above the Fibonacci cluster the first target stands at 0.94419. The second target at 0.96107 reflects the natural extension of the current impulse. Volume supports buyers and creates favourable conditions for a sustained move higher. The logic here is simple the market pauses only to regain strength for the next leg.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
BTC at Risk: Structure Break + RSI Warning$BTC/USDT is showing some concern on the monthly chart as price has broken below the rising wedge and is now retesting a major demand zone. Losing this zone could trigger a deeper correction. At the same time, RSI is showing a clear multi-year bearish divergence, highlighting weakening momentum. Until BTC reclaims the wedge support or closes back above the resistance band, downside risk remains elevated. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Short
by unichartz
6
CHFPLN preparing a move or just testing everyone patienceCHFPLN continues to trade inside a developing upward structure after breaking out of a wide descending channel. The current pullback has brought the pair into the demand zone between 4.48 and 4.44 which aligns with the Fibonacci correction range at 0.5 and 0.618. Weekly oscillator divergence signals active buyers defending the lower boundary of the structure. The horizontal level at 4.50 also acts as support increasing the probability of a local reversal. As long as price holds above 4.44 the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. The main target is located near 4.86 which corresponds to the key resistance of the previous pivot. A breakdown of 4.44 may trigger a deeper correction however current price behavior and buyer reaction still favor a recovery. The market may pretend nothing is happening yet demand zones rarely forget what they are designed to do.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
USDJPY Breakout Below Key Support – Bearish Momentum BuildingUSDJPY – Key Levels Breakdown & Breakout Outlook Price has been consolidating within a tight range, and today we finally saw a clean breakout below the red support zone, signaling potential bearish momentum. The market rejected the strong support area above (highlighted in green), confirming sellers are in control for now. 🔍 Key Zones to Watch Breakout Zone (Red): Recently broken. Price is now trading just below it, showing early signs of continuation. Strong Support (Green): Previous demand zone where price repeatedly bounced. Now acting as a potential retest level if price pulls back. Strong Resistance (Yellow): A deeper downside target if bearish momentum continues. Breakout Target Area (Upper Green): If buyers regain control, this is the zone price may revisit. 📌 Trading Outlook Bearish bias as long as price stays below the breakout zone. A retest rejection at the red zone could offer a clean continuation setup. If buyers push price back above the breakout level, we may see a move toward the strong support or even the breakout target area above.
Long
by Adrian_Trades_
USD/CHF – Watching for liquidity sweep into origin demandPrice is trading inside a clean descending channel. Below current price sits untouched inducement — a liquidity pool that lines up perfectly with the origin demand zone where the previous impulsive rally started. If price sweeps that inducement and taps the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation (MSS + FVG/OB) for a potential move back toward the channel midline or upper boundary. Bias: Bullish upon sweep + tap Invalidation: Clean break below demand Confluence: Channel low + origin demand + resting liquidity Not financial advice.
Long
by SmellyTaz