Gbp-nzd
GBPNZD Sell every Channel Down top.The GBPNZD pair has enter a Channel Down pattern with the 1D MA50 as its pivot. A similar pattern emerged in May 2022, after the pair made an identical top and bottom (see the blue Rectangle). This time we have an additional support in the form of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but as long as the price trades within the Channel Down, sell every Lower High and target the 1D MA200.
If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we have to start considering a long-term shift to a bearish trend and sell after the first rebound to the 1D MA50, while a closing above th 0.618 Fibonacci level will be bullish, targeting the 2.1500 High.
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GBPNZD: Curve Analysis (8D) — CTT⚠️ A countertrend CTT) trade is a trade that is made against the prevailing trend. This means that the trader is betting that the trend will reverse and that the price will move in the opposite direction of the BIG PICTURE Curve Analysis. Countertrend trading can be a very profitable strategy, but it is also more risky than trend following.
-SL @ 2.1800 🚫
SLO2 @ 2.1550 ⏳
SLO1 @ 2.1050 ⏳
TP1 @ 2.0100 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 1.9300 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 1.8715 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 1.7800 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
BLO @ 1.7585 ⏳
Let's try this AGAIN, now that momentum is indicating price action is in overbought territory. That's great news for shorting this pair.
GBPNZD: Counter trend buy. Only short term.GBPNZD closed a strong 1D green candle yesterday, the first of this magnitude after almost one month. The 1D timeframe remains bearish technically (RSI = 39.063, MACD = -0.018, ADX = 72.262) so the trend is still bearish but as the 1D MACD is close to a Bullish Cross, and the 1D MA200 is holding, we can take a counter trend buy and target the R1 level (TP = 2.092225), and the 1D MA50, even though if it follows the stardard format of previous rises, it can go as high as 2.13000.
Prior idea:
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GBPNZD: Retest of the ascending channel?As we can see GBPNZD has rejected support having broken through the long term ascending channel.
According to my chart we've not retested the channel yet (obvs this isn't always the case, but I would have expected it as it was a long term bullish trend), so I'm thinking it will.
As this is a retracement trade i'll be looking to TP before my resistance block just in case, but I'm thinking this will move higher before a drop down to at least current levels.
This also hedges against my planned GBPAUD trade in an earlier idea.
Gbpnzd,pretty dead...still bias to downsideStill on the downside for shorts...watching on the h1.
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GBPNZD The massive sell-off can extend below 2.000The GBPNZD pair is on a massive 6-week sell-off that has broken below June's and July's Low. The 1W RSI turned bearish below 45.00 and the next line of Support is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In the past 5 years, every sharp sell-off on GBPNZD has been at least -9%. A potential new such decline gives us a target estimate just below Support 1 (1.97550). That is the target that we will pursue but if the 1W RSI hits the 34.00 Support earlier, we will close it on the market price regardless. The next bounce should hit at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level but that can be calculated after the bottom is formed.
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BUY GbpNzd from trend line bottomThe price is approaching the rising channel line, and at the same time, the Fibonacci 23.6% level intersects with the channel line. On the H1 and H4 charts, the 21-period RSI is in the overbought zone.
There is a high probability of the price encountering resistance to the upside from the intersection of the channel bottom and the Fibonacci 23.6%. This is supported by the upward movement in the RSI.
Additionally, the 100-day simple moving average supports the uptrend and acts as a resistance level for the price.
The New Zealand current account balance data, which was released a few hours ago, came in better than expected, leading to some strength in the NZD. However, the data is not likely to have a lasting or medium-term impact.
Pending buy order: 2.0780
Stop Loss: 2.0710
Take Profit: 2.0950
GBPNZD 10/9/23GN super simple and easy make up here, we are looking for the SWL to be taken out from our open moves, i think we will see this low taken within our Monday session now if we don't take this out it wouldn't be a surprised to run our highs above, now i say this because of the size of the range and the lower level of momentum, but still we have a clear lower range move. sell is our bias and until we have a breach of the range we will stick to this sell bias.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPNZD 3/9/23Another move giving us a bias due to news, now of course we are already looking at this with a sell side in mind now we have a range we are looking to get a tap in to follow said direction.
We have a refined 3 min POI for this swing so as we said about USDJPY we are going to follow but with a more refined and less exposed entry method.
high levels of liquid have been built on both sides of the market including above structure which will give price a nice reason to push back to our entry zone.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPNZD Starting to turn into a buy again.The GBPNZD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the start of the year and 10 days ago started its technical correction after the new Higher High. The price hit the middle of the pattern and as the 1D RSI touched its Higher Lows trend-line, the conditions for the new buy emerge again. We are placing the first buy of this sequence now and if the price drops more we will enter a second (and final) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) potentially at 2.1000. For both positions, the target is 2.18000.
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GBPNZD - Looking For Sell Setups ↘️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
GBPNZD has been overall bullish trading inside the rising channel in orange, however it is currently approaching around the upper trendline.
Moreover, the zone 2.16 is a strong resistance.
🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As GBPNZD approaches the orange circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBP/NZD possible dropHello Traders
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