GBP/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup (Bullish Bias)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:GBPJPY GBP/JPY has staged a strong impulsive rally from the 208.00–208.20 support zone, followed by a shallow pullback and consolidation above former resistance turned support. Price action shows higher highs and higher lows, confirming short-term bullish control.
The market is currently holding above the 208.35–208.26 support zone, which aligns with the previous breakout level. This structure suggests bullish continuation, not exhaustion. As long as price holds above this support base, buyers remain in control, with upside targeting the 208.70–208.80 resistance zone.
This is a classic pullback-after-breakout structure within an active bullish leg.
🎯 Trade Setup
Primary Scenario: Buy on Pullback (Bullish Continuation)
Entry Zone: 208.35 – 208.26
Stop Loss: 208.23
Take Profit 1: 208.70
Take Profit 2: 208.77
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1 : 3.07
This long setup remains valid as long as price holds above 208.26 on a closing basis.
🌐 Macro Background (Simplified)
The macro backdrop supports GBP/JPY upside. While the Bank of England is expected to cut rates, the move is largely priced in, and GBP weakness has been limited. At the same time, the Japanese Yen remains structurally weak due to policy divergence, as the Bank of Japan continues to lag global tightening efforts.
Risk sentiment has stabilized, reducing safe-haven demand for JPY, while yield differentials continue to favor GBP over JPY. As a result, dips in GBP/JPY are attracting buyers rather than triggering sustained selling.
Overall, macro conditions do not contradict the bullish technical setup.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 208.35 – 208.26
Bullish Invalidation Level: 208.23
Key Resistance: 208.70 – 208.80
Upside Extension Zone: 208.95 – 209.20
📌 Trade Summary
GBP/JPY remains in a bullish continuation structure following a clean breakout. Price is consolidating above key support, indicating healthy demand rather than distribution. As long as 208.26 holds, upside continuation toward 208.70 and above remains the higher-probability scenario. A confirmed break above resistance could trigger further bullish acceleration.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; please manage position size and risk appropriately.
Gbpjpyprediction
GBP/JPY Breakout Structure Holds — Bulls Press Higher!🔥 GBP/JPY — “THE BEAST”
📈 Forex Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade)
🧭 MARKET BIAS
🟢 Bullish Plan Active
Momentum favors buyers as GBP strength continues against JPY weakness, supported by risk-on sentiment and yield differentials.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY
✅ Flexible Entry Allowed
You may enter at any price level, aligning with your own confirmation tools, execution model, or scaling approach.
This setup is designed to adapt across intraday and swing horizons.
🛑 STOP LOSS (RISK CONTROL)
🔴 Reference Stop Loss: 206.800
⚠️ Important Note:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is not mandatory.
Adjust your stop loss based on:
Your risk management rules
Position size
Timeframe
Volatility conditions
Capital protection always comes first 💼
🎯 TARGET ZONE (PROFIT MANAGEMENT)
⚡ High Voltage Electric Wall Zone ⚡
📍 Target: 209.000
This zone aligns with:
Strong historical resistance
Overbought market conditions
Liquidity trap potential near highs
💡 Guidance:
Scale out, trail profits, or fully exit near resistance — protect gains and avoid emotional holding.
⚠️ Reminder:
This TP is not a recommendation. You control your exits and your profits.
👀 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (CORRELATION WATCHLIST)
💴 JPY Strength / Weakness Confirmation
USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY )
↳ Acts as a leading sentiment gauge for JPY. Continued USDJPY strength supports GBPJPY upside.
EUR/JPY ( OANDA:EURJPY )
↳ Confirms broader JPY weakness. Bullish structure here strengthens confidence in GBPJPY longs.
💷 GBP Momentum Check
GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD )
↳ GBP strength vs USD reinforces bullish pressure on GBP crosses.
GBP/CHF ( OANDA:GBPCHF )
↳ Risk-on proxy. Rising GBPCHF often aligns with aggressive GBPJPY rallies.
🔄 Risk Sentiment Proxy
AUD/JPY ( OANDA:AUDJPY )
↳ Global risk appetite indicator. Strength here confirms carry-trade demand and supports GBPJPY continuation.
🧠 KEY TAKEAWAYS
✔ Bullish continuation favored
✔ Any-price entry model allowed
✔ Major resistance ahead — don’t get greedy
✔ Use correlated pairs for confirmation
✔ Discipline > Emotion
⭐ If this analysis adds value, support with a LIKE 👍, share your view in the comments, and follow for more structured market insights.
Trade smart. Protect capital. Let price do the talking. 📊🔥
GBPJPY_SHORT SELL_15 MIN STRATERGYThe pair has broken out out of Pennant Chart Pattern and has also retested its resistance.
We are expecting a price to go down and an entire Pennant Chart Pattern.
A risk ratio reward is 20 which is a good contract.
Based on analysis
Entry: 208.430 / 208.110
SL: 208.600
TP1: 207.630
TP2: 206.780
TP3: 206.230
TP4: 205.215
A proper risk management should be applied
GBPJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY is moving on support zone
The price has recently reached a strong resistance zone, noting previous sell-offs in that area. It appears that we may see more sideways movement
GBPJPY is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
GBP/JPY) Beraish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY Short Setup
Pair:GBP/JPY
Timeframe:Likely 1H/4H (based on annotations)
Analysis:
Price is testing a key resistance (purple line) and failing to break higher.
- If breakdown occurs below support (lower blue line), expect move toward target point
Plan:
Mr SMC Trading point
- Entry:Short below support zone (specific price TBA based on current levels).
- Stop Loss:Above resistance (purple line) to limit risk.
Target: Marked "target point" on chart (add exact price if available).
Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick patterns (like engulfing/ pinbar) at resistance.
RSI divergence or bearish MACD cross for added confluence.
Please support boost. This analysis
GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY 1H – SMC + Technical breakdown based exactly on the chart you shared:
---
Market Structure
Market has shifted bullish after:
A strong impulsive move up
Followed by a corrective pullback
Recent candles show break of the descending correction trendline, confirming:
> Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bullish continuation
---
EMA Confirmation
EMA 50 ≈ 206.66
EMA 200 ≈ 206.17
Price:
Rejected strongly from EMA 200
Now trading above EMA 50
This confirms:
> Trend realignment to the upside
---
Fibonacci Confluence
Your fib is drawn perfectly:
0.62 – 0.79 retracement zone aligns with:
EMA 200
Structural demand
Trendline support
→ This forms a high-probability institutional buy zone.
---
SMC Logic
Sequence visible:
1. Bullish impulse
2. Deep pullback into discount (0.62–0.79)
3. Liquidity sweep below the low
4. Strong bullish displacement
5. Break of corrective structure
This is a classic SMC bullish continuation model.
---
Key Levels
Strong Demand: 206.00 – 206.30
Mid Support: 206.60
Breakout Level: 207.00
Major Target / Liquidity: 208.19 (your marked target)
---
Trade Idea (From Your Chart)
Buy Setup
Entry Zone: 206.60 – 206.90
Stop Loss: Below demand → 205.85
Target 1: 207.40
Final Target: 208.20
Risk : Reward: 1:3+
---
Projected Price Path
Minor pullback → Higher low → Strong impulsive rally
Final expansion into:
Previous high
Liquidity pool at 208.19
Premium zone
---
Invalidation Criteria
This bullish setup is invalid if:
H1 candle closes below 205.85
Or price re-enters and holds below EMA 200
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Final Verdict
Trend: Bullish continuation
Structure: Break of bearish correction
Entry: Fib discount + EMA 200 + Demand
Target: 208.19 liquidity
Bias: BUY on pullbacks
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Is GBP/JPY Setting Up for Another Bullish Leg Higher?🐉 GBP/JPY “THE DRAGON” — Swing Trade Opportunity Guide! 💹🔥
💬 Overview:
The Dragon is waking up 🐲 — GBP/JPY showing strong bullish momentum confirmed by Kijun-sen moving average pullback support 🟢. Price action indicates potential upside continuation as long as Kijun holds.
🎯 Plan:
Thief going full layer mode 🕵️♂️💰 — stacking multiple buy limits (layering entries) around 201 / 202 / 203 levels. You can increase or reduce the number of layers based on your personal trade management style and risk tolerance.
🛑 Stop Loss:
This is Thief’s SL @ 200.00 ⚔️
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — manage your stop loss according to your own risk strategy. This is not a fixed level recommendation. Protect your capital like a pro 💼.
🎯 Target:
Expecting a bullish climb toward 208.00 zone, where moving averages align as resistance + potential overbought zone + liquidity trap. 🎯 Take profits smartly, don’t get greedy — escape with profits like a true Thief OG! 😎💸
🧠 Note:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this setup is not financial advice — it’s a strategic view based on Thief’s layering style. Always plan your entries, SL, and TP according to your own risk tolerance and capital plan.
📊 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch:
💷 GBP/USD — Often moves in sync with GBP/JPY during strong GBP sentiment.
💴 USD/JPY — Key driver of Yen weakness/strength. If USD/JPY stays bullish, GBP/JPY gets more fuel.
💶 EUR/JPY — Similar momentum flow. A bullish EUR/JPY often confirms risk-on tone for GBP/JPY.
💵 DXY (US Dollar Index) — Watch for inverse reaction. Strong DXY may slow GBP pairs temporarily.
🔑 Key Highlights:
✨ Kijun-sen confirms bullish structure
✨ Layered entry strategy = controlled risk + better average
✨ MA resistance near 208 — perfect take-profit exit
✨ Watch correlated Yen pairs for early confirmation signals
🚀 Thief’s Final Words:
Trade smart, layer deep, and take profits like a pro. The Dragon flies only for the disciplined 🐉💹.
GBP/JPY “The Beast” Upside Roadmap — Layered Buy Strategy📌 Asset: GBP/JPY – “THE BEAST”
📈 Market Type: Swing Trade Opportunity
🎯 Plan: Bullish Bias (Upside Structure Intact)
🔹 Entry Plan (Layering Strategy – Thief Style)
This setup uses a multi-layered buy-limit method, allowing entries at different discounted levels while price retraces.
💠 Buy-Limit Layers:
202.000
203.000
204.000
(You may increase or reduce layers based on your own strategy & capital.)
📌 Flexible Entry:
You can enter at any price level by aligning with your risk plan and allowing the market to fill layered orders naturally.
🔺 Stop Loss (Risk Guidance)
SL @ 201.000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is only my template.
📝 Adjust SL based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market volatility.
🎯 Target Levels
Price faces a strong resistance zone ahead where liquidity hunts and overbought conditions may appear — often acting like a “police barricade.”
👉 Primary TP: 208.000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), take profit based on your own risk appetite.
This is a guidance level, not a mandatory exit.
📚 Market Notes & Behaviour
“The Beast” (GBP/JPY) tends to produce aggressive impulsive legs.
Layering helps manage volatility + gets better blended entries.
Swing structure remains bullish as long as price stays above the 201.000 zone.
🌐 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
1️⃣ GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD )
Positive correlation with GBP strength.
If GBPUSD is rising, it often supports GBP/JPY bullish momentum.
Watch for GBP news impact.
2️⃣ USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY )
Highly correlated due to the JPY component.
A strong USDJPY usually indicates JPY weakness, helping GBPJPY push higher.
Track BOJ sentiment + yield changes.
3️⃣ EUR/JPY ( OANDA:EURJPY )
Moves similarly with risk-on market conditions.
When EURJPY is bullish, cross-yen strength can support GBPJPY upside.
4️⃣ GBP/CHF ( OANDA:GBPCHF )
Helps confirm overall GBP strength.
If GBPCHF trends up, GBPJPY tends to maintain upside structure.
5️⃣ AUD/JPY ( OANDA:AUDJPY )
Risk sentiment pair.
When risk appetite increases, yen weakens, boosting GBPJPY.
🧩 Key Takeaways for Traders
Trend remains bullish; dips = opportunities.
Layer entries help reduce emotional entries and improve average positioning.
Watch correlated pairs for confirmation + risk sentiment cues.
Maintain your own SL/TP based on risk tolerance.
GBP/JPY Traders, Don’t Miss This 200 SMA Bullish Setup!🎯 GBP/JPY "Guppy" Bullish Momentum Play | SMA-200 Pullback Setup 🚀
📊 Market Overview
Asset: GBP/JPY (Cable vs Yen Cross)
Nickname: "The Guppy" 🐟
Trade Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Bias: BULLISH 📈
🧠 Technical Analysis
The Setup 🎯
We're eyeing a textbook pullback to the 200 SMA — the institutional magnet that's been holding the bullish structure intact. Price is showing respect at this dynamic support level, and we're positioning for the next leg up.
Key Technical Confirmations:
✅ 200 Simple Moving Average acting as dynamic support
✅ Bullish market structure intact on higher timeframes
✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation
✅ Risk-to-reward setup looking juicy
💰 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Method 🎭
Entry Philosophy: Multiple limit orders (layering style) to scale into position like a pro. Think of it as "catching the falling knife" but with style and risk management!
🎯 Entry Zones (Pick Your Poison):
Layer 1: 201.000
Layer 2: 201.500
Layer 3: 202.000
Layer 4: 202.500
You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. The goal? Average in as price tests support!
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Thief's SL: 200.500
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is MY stop level based on my strategy. You're the captain of your ship — set your own stops based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't blindly follow; adapt to your own trading plan!
🎯 Take Profit Target:
TP Zone: 206.500
Why this level?
Strong resistance confluence ⛔
Potential overbought conditions 📊
Bull trap zone identified
💡 Smart Exit Strategy: Lock in profits progressively! Consider taking partials along the way. Remember, "you can make money, then TAKE money" — don't get greedy!
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these for confirmation:
Direct Correlations:
OANDA:EURJPY 💶💴 — Sister pair, similar yen exposure
OANDA:AUDJPY 🦘💴 — Risk-on sentiment gauge
FX:GBPUSD 💷💵 — Cable strength indicator
Inverse Correlations:
FX:USDJPY 💵💴 — Yen strength/weakness
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) 💵 — Overall dollar sentiment
Pro Tip: If EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY are also bouncing from support, it confirms broad yen weakness = stronger Guppy setup! 🐟📈
🎓 Key Points to Remember
SMA-200 Respect: This ain't just any moving average — institutions watch this level religiously
Layering = Risk Management: Don't YOLO your entire position at one price
Yen Pairs Move Together: Watch the JPY crosses for confirmation
Patience Pays: Let price come to YOUR levels, don't chase
Profit Taking is a Skill: Nobody went broke taking profits! 💰
⚖️ Risk Management Reminder
Position size according to your account (1-2% risk max recommended)
Each layer should be smaller portions of your total planned position
Adjust stops to breakeven after Layer 1 fills and price moves in your favor
Trail your stop as price approaches target
🎬 Final Thoughts
The Guppy is setting up nicely for a bounce play off the SMA-200. This is a patience game — let the market come to you, execute the plan, and manage risk like a professional thief (the good kind 😉).
Remember: This is swing/day trade hybrid, so don't expect instant gratification. Give the setup room to breathe!
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
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#GBPJPY: Upto 1000+ Pips Buying Setup! Two Areas Dear Traders,
We have two areas from which the price could significantly reverse. The first entry is at the current price with proper risk management, while the second entry can be made when the price undergoes a major correction. Please ensure accurate risk management while trading.
Thank you for your support throughout!
Team Setupsfx_
GBPJPY: Bullish Reversal Almost Confirmed! GBPJPY has perfectly filled up the liquidity voided area and now it has reversed nicely from that point. This entry is only valid if price breakthrough the inducement line and reconfirm the entry. Once it has completed this step, we can then set the target at 211 level.
There can be three target set in this pattern 205,208 and 212. These three levels are key points and you must follow these if you are planning to place swing trade.
As always do your own analysis and use this as a secondary bias only.
Team Setupsfx_
GBPJPY Ready for a Pullback from 208 Zone!📊 GBPJPY 4H Technical Analysis (Wedge Pattern Forming)
Pair: GBPJPY
Timeframe: 4H
Price: 207.70 (approx.)
📈 Structure Overview
Price is trading inside a rising wedge pattern. Both higher highs & higher lows are visible, but momentum is slowing down near the wedge resistance.
➡️ Resistance Zone: Around 207.90 – 208.20
➡️ Support Trendline: Rising support connecting higher lows
➡️ Possible Breakdown: Expected toward lower wedge support
🔍 Indicators
SMA 9 & SMA 20 are both below current price showing trend remains bullish,
but distance is shrinking → indicating weakening momentum.
📉 Bias: Bearish Correction Expected
Price is repeatedly rejected from the upper wedge, showing exhaustion.
A short-term pullback toward lower support is likely.
📌 Bearish Targets
happens):
TP1: 206.80
TP2: 205.90
TP3: 204.80 (if momentum increases)
📌 Invalidation
Bullish continuation only if 208.20+ breakout & close above wedge.
Is GBP/JPY Setting Up a High-Probability Bullish Move?🔥 GBP/JPY “The Beast” – Layered Bullish Playbook for Smart Swing/Day Traders 🔥
📌 Asset: GBP/JPY — “The Beast”
📌 Trade Opportunity Guide: Swing / Day Trading Blueprint
📌 Bias: Bullish Momentum Outlook 🚀
📈 Trade Plan (Thief Layering Strategy)
The pair continues to display strong bullish structure with aggressive momentum flows. This setup uses the Thief Layer Method, stacking multiple Buy Limits to secure better blended entries as liquidity sweeps occur.
🟢 Buy Limit Layers (Thief’s Signature Stacking Entries)
206.000
206.500
207.000
(You may extend layers further depending on liquidity pockets & your own strategy.)
This layered approach captures pullbacks, traps, and micro-corrections while maintaining directional conviction.
🛡️ Stop-Loss Placement (Flexible & Risk-Adaptive)
⛔ Thief’s Default SL: 205.000
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — adjust SL based on your risk appetite, volatility tolerance, and account size.
This is not a fixed recommendation, only a structural guide.
🎯 Target Zone (Bullish Exhaustion Area)
The market is heading into a heavy resistance cluster, with overbought + trap-formation signals expected.
🎯 Take-Profit Zone: 209.000
Again, Thief OG’s — this TP is not mandatory. Lock in profit at your preferred levels depending on your strategy & risk rules.
💡 Market Outlook Summary
Strong bullish structure
Clean higher-high continuation
JPY weakness supports upside
Momentum + liquidity build toward 209.000
Ideal for layer-based accumulation entries
🌐 Correlated Pairs to Watch (Dollar + Yen + GBP Network Insight)
Monitoring these pairs helps confirm flows, risk sentiment, and cross-currency strength.
1️⃣ FX:USDJPY (UJ)
Strong correlation with GBP/JPY because both share JPY as quote currency.
When UJ pumps, JPY weakens → supports GBP/JPY bullish continuation.
Watch for USD strength + global risk-on behavior.
2️⃣ FX:GBPUSD (Cable)
Measures GBP strength directly against USD.
If GU is bullish, it confirms broader GBP strength → boosts GBP/JPY upside momentum.
Also shows whether GBP inflows are fundamental or risk-driven.
3️⃣ OANDA:EURJPY (EJ)
Tracks Yen strength/weakness across Eurozone risk sentiment.
Strong EJ = weak JPY, supporting bullish GBP/JPY moves.
Great for measuring JPY-wide liquidity flow.
4️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Helps understand global risk sentiment.
Strong DXY → often risk-off → can increase JPY strength.
Weak DXY → risk-on → boosts JPY pairs upward (bullish GJ).
5️⃣ OANDA:GBPCHF
Stability gauge for GBP risk appetite.
Rising GBP/CHF supports GBP strength narrative across the board.
#GBPJPY #TheBeast #ForexTrading #SwingTradeSetup #DayTradingPlan #JPYPairs #SmartMoneyConcepts #LayeringStrategy #BuyLimits #FXMarket #ThiefStrategy #BullishSetup #TradingViewAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexCommunity
GBPJPY is in the Down Trend From Resistance LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/JPY - H1 - Japan Signals Rate Hike? (01.12.2025)📝 Technical Description FX:GBPJPY
GBP/JPY has been respecting the ascending trendline for several sessions, with multiple successful retests. However, price is now struggling inside the Resistance Zone, showing signs of exhaustion. A clean break below the trendline will confirm a short-term reversal toward lower support levels.
This setup requires patience → Wait for a breakout confirmation before execution
📊 Trading Plan (My View)🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup)
Wait for a clear trendline breakout and retest around 206.63–206.80 zone.
Once confirmed, expect a drop toward the next support areas.
🎯 Targets
1st Support: 205.439
2nd Support: 204.802
⚠️ Today’s Fundamental Update – 01 Dec 2025
1️⃣ Bank of Japan Policy Signal - BoJ Governor Ueda hinted at the possibility of interest rate increases, as government spending rises to support economic growth.
➡ This typically strengthens the JPY, adding downward pressure on GBP/JPY.
#gbpjpy #forex #forexanalysis #technicalanalysis #priceaction
#trendlinebreak #jpystrength #bojnews #fxsignals #tradingview
#chartpatterns #fundamentalanalysis #bearishsetup
⚠️ Disclaimer
This chart is for education only, not financial advice.
Always manage risk and use proper stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work
If this analysis helps you, 👉 Please LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💬 & FOLLOW 🔔
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GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis breakdown of the GBP/JPY 1H analysis idea shown in your chart:
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Bullish Setup Explanation
The chart displays a bullish reversal setup forming inside a falling wedge pattern.
Key Technical Factors
Price has been trading inside a descending channel / falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal structure when appearing after a downward move.
A strong demand zone (blue box) is marked between 206.20 – 206.45, where price has bounced previously.
EMA 50 and EMA 200 are both underneath or nearby acting as dynamic support, supporting upward momentum.
Recent price action shows a break above minor structure, hinting at buyer strength.
---
Entry Strategy
Buy idea after retest of supply breakout / demand zone support
Entry zone: 206.20 – 206.45
Wait for a retest and bullish confirmation (wick rejection or strong bullish candle)
---
Targets
Target Level
Final Target (shown) 207.933
Intermediate target levels may be:
207.30
207.60
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Stop Loss
Below the wedge support: SL: 205.80 – 206.00 (invalidation if wedge breakout fails)
---
Market Structure
Higher timeframe bias remains bullish
Current structure shows accumulation → breakout → retest → continuation
The falling wedge breakout aligns with bullish liquidity grab behavior
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Trade Plan Summary
Expect a pullback into demand zone
Look for bullish entry confirmation
Target a breakout continuation toward 207.93
---
Bias
Bullish momentum expected As long as price respects 206.00, the upside is favored.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Correlation Insight
GBPJPY bullish idea aligns with:
Potential stronger GBP
Expected JPY weakness (same logic working inverse of USDJPY bearish idea)
Combined picture matches your overall market correlation model.
-
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
GBP/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:GBPJPY GBP/JPY remains supported after rebounding strongly from the 205.19–205.65 support zone, with buyers defending this level and keeping the bullish structure intact. Price continues to trade above the short-term trendline, with momentum favouring further upside as long as the support area holds.
The chart shows a bullish continuation pattern:
Support zone: 205.19 – 205.65
Resistance zone / target area: 207.75 – 208.20
As long as the cross stays above 205.19, dips into support are likely to attract buyers, with upside potential extending toward the 207.75–208.20 resistance band. A decisive 4H close below 205.19 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose the 204.82 region.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy dips into support, targeting a move toward the 208.00 resistance zone.
Entry: 205.65 – 205.20
Stop Loss: 204.82
Take Profit 1: 207.75
Take Profit 2: 208.20
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.54
Bias remains constructively bullish while price holds above 205.19–205.65 on a closing basis.
A 4H close below 205.19 would signal weakening bullish momentum.
🌐 Macro Background
According to FXStreet, GBP/JPY is trading below the year-to-date peak as demand for the Japanese Yen picks up on renewed expectations of BoJ tightening and intervention risk. Japanese officials continue signalling readiness to counter excessive JPY weakness, adding some intraday pressure to the cross.
Japan / BoJ:
BoJ board member Noguchi reiterated that policy could tighten gradually if activity and prices develop as expected.
Japan’s Services Producer Price Index continues to signal that inflation is close to the 2% target, reinforcing expectations of a December rate hike.
Intervention speculation remains elevated as authorities monitor rapid JPY fluctuations.
United Kingdom / GBP:
The UK budget delivered a larger-than-expected fiscal buffer, supporting the British Pound.
However, rising bets for a Bank of England rate cut next month create a policy divergence with the BoJ’s hawkish stance, limiting aggressive upside potential.
Overall, the mix of BoJ tightening expectations and GBP fiscal support creates two-way volatility, but GBP/JPY remains biased higher while the support zone holds.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance zone: 207.75 – 208.20
Support zone: 205.19 – 205.65
📌 Trade Summary
GBP/JPY maintains a bullish continuation structure above the 205.19–205.65 support band. As long as this foundation remains intact, the setup favours buying dips with upside targets at 207.75–208.20, where previous supply may reappear. Traders should monitor BoJ commentary, intervention risk, and upcoming Tokyo CPI data, as these factors could increase volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
GBPJPY BuysOverall Weekly Outlook for GBPJPY (Nov 24-28, 2025)GBPJPY has been in a broader uptrend since dipping to around 184 earlier this year, with recent price action showing resilience after a corrective pullback to 199-200 levels in late October/early November. As of today (Monday, Nov 24), the pair is trading around 205.57, up from last week's close near 205.18, with intraday highs testing 205.91. Technical indicators point to a bullish continuation, supported by the structure of the rally from 184.35—any dips look corrective rather than reversal signals. Key resistance sits at 205.30-206.86 (recent highs), with upside potential toward 208.09 if breached. Support levels are at 204.22 (pivotal for bullish bias) and 203.85 (stronger daily support). Forecasts suggest an average around 205 for November, with potential swings to 210 on strength or 199 on weakness, but the momentum favors bulls amid divergent BoE/BoJ policies—UK yields stabilizing higher while JPY remains sensitive to fiscal stimulus hints. Economic events this week are light for both currencies (Japan's holiday on Monday limits Asian flow; potential BoJ minutes mid-week and UK PMI Tuesday could add volatility), so expect technical-driven moves with risk-on sentiment supporting GBP over JPY. Overall, I see a 60-70% chance of net upside by Friday, targeting 206.50-207.00, unless global risk-off (e.g., US data spillover) flips the carry trade.Now, breaking it down day by day, session by session (times in GMT; Asian: 00:00-08:00, London: 08:00-16:00, NY: 13:00-22:00). These are my reasoned thoughts based on current momentum, levels, and sentiment—pure speculation, trade at your own risk.Monday, Nov 24: Consolidation with Mild Upside BiasAsian Session: Light volume due to Japan's Labor Thanksgiving Day holiday (markets closed). Expect range-bound action between 205.00-205.90, with minimal direction. Any early JPY safe-haven bids could test 205.10 support, but no major catalysts—likely flat open around current levels.
London Session: Volume picks up; look for a bullish probe above 205.57 if GBP sentiment holds (tied to softer USD). Target 206.00 on a clean break of 205.91 high. Risk: If below 205.22, minor pullback to 204.80.
NY Session: Overlap with London could extend gains if US data (e.g., consumer confidence echoes) weakens USD broadly, benefiting crosses like GBPJPY. Close around 205.80-206.20. Sentiment from X traders leans buy here, with FVG tests on lower TFs suggesting liquidity grabs upward.
Tuesday, Nov 25: Bullish Momentum Builds, Watch UK PMIAsian Session: Post-holiday normalization; JPY might see initial selling if Tokyo reopens flat. Bias up from Monday's close, testing 205.80 early. Support at 205.10 holds unless BoJ hints leak (minutes possibly previewed).
London Session: Key event—UK Flash Manufacturing/Construction/Services PMI (~09:30 GMT, expected ~50/50/52). Stronger-than-expected (above 51 combined) could fuel GBP rally to 206.50, confirming uptrend resumption. Weaker print risks dip to 204.50. Overall, expect positive flow.
NY Session: Follow-through on PMI; if bullish, pair pushes 206.86 high. X outlooks highlight buy setups above 204.65, targeting hourly resistances. End day near 206.00 if no USD reversal.
Wednesday, Nov 26: Sideways to Bullish, Potential JPY VolatilityAsian Session: Steady grind higher if Tuesday's momentum carries; watch for 206.00 break. Low-impact JPY data (e.g., Coincident Index) unlikely to disrupt, but any BoJ fiscal package whispers could cap upside.
London Session: Neutral start, but structure favors continuation above 205.50. Resistance at 206.20; break signals 207.00 path. Bearish risk low unless Eurozone spillover weakens GBP crosses.
NY Session: US durable goods orders (~13:30 GMT) could indirectly pressure via USDJPY—stronger USD might drag GBPJPY to 205.50 test. Still, technicals (e.g., RSI not overbought) support close above 206.10. Weekly forecasts on X emphasize bullish H4 structures here.
Thursday, Nov 27: Upside Acceleration, Thanksgiving Thin LiquidityAsian Session: Momentum from mid-week; target 206.50 if above 206.00. JPY holiday echoes keep it quiet—ideal for trend continuation.
London Session: Pre-US holiday thinning; expect amplified moves. Bullish if holding 205.80, eyeing 207.00. UK data light (perhaps mortgage approvals ~09:30), so technicals dominate.
NY Session: US markets close early for Thanksgiving—low volume, high volatility risk. Positive bias to 206.80 close, but watch for reversals below 205.50 on thin books. Aligns with broader weekly targets around 205-206 avg.
Friday, Nov 28: Profit-Taking, Range Close to WeekAsian Session: Post-holiday fatigue; likely consolidation 205.50-206.50. Any JPY rebound (e.g., from weekly Tankan previews if released) tests support.
London Session: Final push? If week builds bullishly, one last stab at 207.00. But profit-taking probable near resistance.
NY Session: Thin Friday flows; expect choppy close around 206.20-206.50. Weak close below 205.80 signals overextension, but uptrend intact per structure. X sentiment mixed but leans buy-to-high.
In summary, I anticipate a steady climb with pullbacks as buying opportunities—classic carry trade resumption unless JPY surprises hawkish. Monitor 204.22 closely; breach flips bearish. Always pair with your risk management!
GBP/JPY). Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis yGBP/JPY – Bullish Continuation from FVG & EMA Support (4H Analysis)
1. Key Support Zone: FVG + Market Structure
Price has retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, highlighted in blue.
This zone also acted as previous structure support, confirming it as a high-probability demand area.
Each time price tapped this zone previously (green arrows), it generated strong bullish moves.
2. EMAs Providing Bullish Confluence
Price is bouncing around the EMA 50 (204.28) which is acting as dynamic support.
The EMA 200 (202.68) sits below, reinforcing bullish market structure.
Price staying above both EMAs = trend remains bullish.
3. Bullish Reaction Expected
After the corrective pullback, price is showing signs of stabilization inside the FVG.
The projected move suggests:
A bounce from the FVG
A break of recent structure
Continuation toward the next major target
4. Target Level
Main upside target on the chart: 208.672
This aligns with the next significant liquidity zone / swing high.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This setup supports a bullish continuation scenario, with the FVG + EMA 50 acting as a strong reaction point. If buyers hold this zone, GBP/JPY is likely to continue upward toward 208.67.
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GBPJPY - BULLISH BIASSymbol - GBPJPY
GBPJPY has broken the structure of its recent local downtrend amid continued weakness in the Japanese yen. This shift opens the door for a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
The yen continues to lose value, while the British pound remains on an upward path. A breakout above local trend resistance is taking shape, strengthening the overall bullish market structure. The key support zone is 203.50 – 203.26 Holding steady above this zone would confirm sustained buyer momentum and could set the stage for further upside. If bulls manage to defend 203.50, the likelihood of an extended rally increases.
Resistance levels: 204.06, 205.32
Support levels: 203.52, 203.26
A strong battle between buyers and sellers is developing around the 203.50 level. Continued consolidation above 203.00 underscores the importance of this zone. The current bias favors the bulls - maintaining price action above 203.50 would support additional gains, while a break below this area could trigger a pullback toward support.






















