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Gbpusdidea

Can GBPUSD go long? On Friday, March 3rd, the GBPUSD rose 0.7% to $1.2032. The final reading of the February Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from the IHS Markit/CIPS rose to 53.5, higher than January's 48.7 and the initial February reading of 53.3, marking the strongest growth since June last year. The data has increased investor expectations that UK interest rates will continue to rise after March. The Bank of England's main interest rate is expected to peak at 4.75% in August, higher than the current 4.0%, and higher than the expected peak of around 4.0% a month ago. With support from this rate hike expectation, investors believe that the interest rate differential between the pound and the euro and the US dollar will not widen too much, and the pound may not be excessively impacted and fall into an extremely weak position. From a technical perspective, the daily chart is oscillating around the lower bound of the range of 1.1914-1.2180 in February, lacking direction. The 4-hour chart is volatile, with support at 1.1920 and resistance at 1.2140. On the hourly chart, the downtrend stabilizes above the previous low of 1.1920, forming an effective support for the "W" double bottom, with a further rebound tendency. Previously, we entered long positions near 1.1920, and we have made short-term profits. There will be opportunities for re-entry during the subsequent adjustment. Personal operational recommendations: Enter long positions at 1.1920-1.1950, with the first profit-taking target at 1.2150 and the second profit-taking target at 1.2270. I will continue to update strategies for friends' reference in the future. Thank you for your support and attention.
Long
by FlashTrades_
GBPUSDThe best strategy is between 1.2426 and 1.1922. that we see the completion of the 0-5 harmonic pattern. The defined target of the pattern is after the completion of the 50% corrective Fibo range, which has formed an important resistance at the intersection with the 1.2027 pivot point range. With the possibility of forming a positive divergence in the area of 1.1922 and breaking the trend line with a higher slope, more flexibility can be considered for the upward target, and in case of breaking the resistance of 1.2072, we can expect the completion of the reciprocal pattern in the range of 1.2111, and in case of breaking The target was 1.2175 D in the static range of A pattern.
by maryammh
2
GBP/USD forecast ahead of key inflation data It is prudent to examine the strength of the US dollar against the pound in the lead up to two very important inflation data reports. First is the US inflation data due on Wednesday morning at 2.30 am (NZDT). And second is the UK’s inflation data on Wednesday night at 8.00 pm (NZDT). The annual US inflation rate to January 2023 is expected to fall to about 6.2% from 6.5% in December of 2022, and in doing so will continue the decline of consumer prices for a seventh straight month. However, a smaller than expected decline in the US inflation data might shake a little more bulls off the GBP/USD frontline, after it dropped from 1.2400 to below 1.2030 last week, its weakest level since January 6, and breaking through its upward trendline. The decline in UK inflation is expected to fall from 10.55 to 10.2%, but it has been beating expectations and falling more than forecast in its previous 2 releases, so another beat might be on the cards and putting the GBP back on the front foot. GBP/USD attempted to bounce back last Thursday after establishing support at 1.2015 but failed to close above the 200-EMA. This failed move meant the GBP/USD ended the week with a big red candle, engulfing the previous bullish candle that tried to move past the 200-EMA. The rejection at the 200-EMA means there is resistance at around 1.2121, which could be considered a lower high in the downtrend. Stronger-than-expected US inflation or weaker-than-expected UK inflation could see GBP/USD breaking below 1.2018, with 1.1900 a potential target for the downward move. On the opposite side of the trade, GBP/USD may rise to 1.2189 or even 1.2318 from a swing perspective. Look for a closing above the 200-EMA and the 1.2121 resistance area for this to happen.
by BlackBull_Markets