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Gbpusdlong

GBPUSD: Eyeing a Bullish Structure Shift - A Wyckoffian ApproachGBPUSD 🚦 Technical Analysis & Trade Plan 📊 Current Market Structure The GBPUSD 4-hour chart is currently consolidating just below a set of equal highs, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Price action has shown a series of higher lows, suggesting underlying bullish pressure. The market is in a range, with buyers and sellers in equilibrium, but the clustering of highs signals a likely stop-hunt or breakout scenario. 🧠 Wyckoff Perspective From a Wyckoff standpoint, the market appears to be in the late stages of accumulation. The equal highs represent a classic “creek” or resistance, where smart money may engineer a breakout to trigger stops and induce breakout traders. A successful breakout, followed by a retrace to retest the broken highs (now support), and a subsequent bullish structure break, would confirm the presence of strong demand and the start of a mark-up phase. 🌍 Fundamental Backdrop Fundamentally, GBP has been supported by resilient UK economic data and a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of England, while the USD faces headwinds from softer inflation prints and dovish Fed rhetoric. However, geopolitical risks and global risk sentiment remain key drivers, so any sudden shifts could impact the pair. 📰 Current Sentiment Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic for GBPUSD. CFTC positioning shows a reduction in net GBP shorts, and recent price action reflects a willingness to buy dips. However, the presence of equal highs suggests that many traders are watching for a breakout, increasing the likelihood of a stop-run before a genuine move higher. 🏦 Trade Idea Entry: Buy on a confirmed break above the current equal highs (around 1.3340), wait for a retrace to retest the broken highs, and enter long on a bullish structure break (e.g., a higher low and bullish engulfing candle). Stop Loss: Place stops below the retracement low (e.g., below 1.3300). Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance zone (e.g., 1.3400–1.3450), scaling out as price approaches these levels. Risk Management: Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis and trade idea provided are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
GU Liquidity Game—Institutional Absorption vs. Breakout MomentumGBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion. Market Structure & Key Zones Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500. Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher. Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning. Momentum & Trend Confirmation RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory. Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum. Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance. Trade Management Strategy Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength. Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250. Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains. Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level. Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout. Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long. Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long. Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control. Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance. Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong. Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation. Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity. Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely. Final Execution Adjustments Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance. Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250. Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
Long
by Sel_Ali
Analysis of GBPUSD 4 - hour ChartAnalysis of GBPUSD 4H Chart Trend Analysis From the 4 - hour chart, GBPUSD is generally in an uptrend. The price fluctuations have formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the bulls are in control 🐂. Key Levels Support Area: The range of 1.3200 - 1.3240 is clearly marked as an important support area in the chart. Previously, the price has rebounded near this area multiple times, suggesting that there is strong buying pressure in this area. If the price retraces to this area again, it may present a potential opportunity to go long 💰. Target Area: 1.3420 is marked as the target area. If the price breaks through the current consolidation range and continues its upward trend, it is expected to move towards this target price level 🎯. Trading Strategy Long - position Strategy: When the price retraces to the 1.3200 - 1.3240 support area and a bullish candlestick pattern appears, one may consider entering a long position. Set the stop - loss just below the support area, and target the 1.3420 target area 📈. ⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400 🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Long
by Sovereign-
1
As the dollar's weak trend signals an endTrump's remarks and attitudes in trade negotiations have had a significant impact on the market 📈💥 His change in attitude towards the Federal Reserve Chairman first triggered investors' concerns about the Fed's policy, leading them to seek refuge in gold and causing the price of gold to rise 🏆🚀. Later, his remarks alleviated those concerns, prompting funds to flow back into dollar-denominated assets and causing the price of gold to decline from its peak levels 📉💔 In terms of trade negotiations, potential easing measures may reduce the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset ⏳ Taken together, these factors may imply that market confidence in the dollar has been somewhat restored 🌟. When signs of the end of the dollar's weak trend emerge 📊, more funds flow into dollar assets 💸. Against the backdrop of this change in the direction of capital flows, the GBPUSD has declined 😔 ⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Sell@1.32800 - 1.32600 🚀 TP 1.32200 - 1.32000 The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
Short
by Sovereign-
1
GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone) TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure) TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone) TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target) Bearish Confluences: Price rejected from major resistance Bearish candle formation Previous similar reaction from the same level Momentum indicators favor downside 📰 Fundamental Analysis: 🔻 UK Data Weakens Further: According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23): Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020. 🔺 Inflation Still High: Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs. 📌 Conclusion: The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Short
by ultreosforex
5
GBP/USD Ready for Takeoff!Hi Traders ! Price action remains strong within the uptrend channel, supported by the 20 EMA, while the 200 EMA stays well below—confirming bullish momentum. Target zone: 1.34234 RSI shows strength with more room to rise. Stay sharp, traders! If the price continues to respect the channel, we might see a strong bullish push soon. 📌 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own analysis and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
Long
by FXOnTop
GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts. If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside. Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts: - Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances. - Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target. - Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point. - Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher. P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level. Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD(20250418)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3246 Support and resistance levels: 1.3316 1.3290 1.3273 1.3219 1.3202 1.3176 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3273, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3290 If the price breaks through 1.3246, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3219
Long
by Toml1314
GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3320 2nd Resistance – 1.3369 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
GBPUSD, still going long. Analysis 4/16 10:06pm I entered long at 1.32274, and as of April 16, 2025, at 10:00 PM, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32150, meaning I’m currently down 12.4 pips. Trade Analysis GBP/USD broke below 1.3225, which was acting as a support level earlier. Bearish momentum has increased, but the next key support at 1.3205 might offer buyers a chance to defend the price. The pair failed to push above 1.3245 resistance, meaning sellers are still in control at this stage. Technical Indicators RSI is near 31.90, suggesting the pair is close to oversold conditions and might attempt a bounce. Stochastic RSI at 15.29 confirms that downward pressure is slowing, but no clear reversal is seen yet. MACD remains negative, reinforcing weak momentum unless buyers step in soon. Upcoming Market Events Tomorrow’s U.S. Jobless Claims & Housing Data at 8:30 AM could impact GBP/USD significantly. If jobless claims rise and housing numbers disappoint, USD may weaken, helping my trade recover. If jobless claims remain low and housing holds up, USD could strengthen, pushing GBP/USD lower. Trade Decision: Hold or Close? Reasons to Hold: GBP/USD is near key support at 1.3205, which could trigger a bounce. Indicators show oversold conditions, meaning buyers might step in soon. A recovery above 1.3225 could bring price back toward 1.3245–1.3265. Reasons to Close: Breaking below 1.3205 could lead to further downside, possibly toward 1.3173. Momentum still favors USD, which could keep GBP/USD pressured. Failure to reclaim 1.3225 soon may signal continued weakness. Final Thoughts I’m closely watching 1.3205—if GBP/USD finds support there, I may hold the trade. If price keeps dropping, I’ll consider exiting to minimize losses. The next 10 hours will be critical with major U.S. economic data coming up, so I’ll adjust my strategy accordingly.
Long
by Sel_Ali
Riding the GBP/USD Bull: Can This Rally Hold? 4/16 1:16pmI entered long at 1.32274, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32280, meaning I’m slightly in profit. Based on price action, the pair is consolidating, but the overall trend bias still suggests a bullish continuation. Technical Outlook Support Levels: 1.3225 – This level is very close to my entry and is acting as immediate support. If price holds above this zone, my trade remains valid. 1.3205 – This is a stronger support level where previous buying interest emerged. If GBP/USD dips here, I’ll watch for a potential bounce. Resistance Levels: 1.3265 – This level has been tested today, and price has struggled to break above it, making it a key short-term barrier. If GBP/USD clears it, bullish momentum could accelerate. 1.3295 – A more significant resistance level where selling pressure has emerged previously. If price reaches this zone, I’ll consider adjusting my position accordingly. Technical Indicators Confirming Price Action Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe is hovering around 62, indicating bullish momentum but not extreme overbought conditions. Moving Averages (like the 20-day EMA) continue to trend upward, supporting the bullish bias. Stochastic RSI on the 1-hour chart has cooled off slightly, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before another push higher. Fundamental Considerations UK Inflation came in weaker than expected (2.6%), which could limit GBP upside. US Retail Sales beat expectations across the board, signaling strong consumer demand and reinforcing USD strength. Powell’s speech in a few minutes is a major event—if he is hawkish, USD could gain strength and put downward pressure on GBP/USD. Trade Strategy Holding the long position: As long as GBP/USD holds above 1.3225, I’m comfortable keeping the trade open. A breakout above 1.3265 could signal the next bullish wave toward 1.3295. Final Thoughts Right now, my trade is still in a reasonable position, but the next few hours will be critical, especially with Powell’s speech approaching. If GBP/USD holds 1.3225 and clears 1.3265, my long position could continue to perform well.
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Analysis 10:40am 4/16Here’s my updated resistance zone analysis for GBP/USD, combining all the technical and fundamental data: Resistance Levels & Why They Matter 1.3265 – Immediate Resistance GBP/USD tested this level today, and it acted as a short-term barrier. This level aligns with recent swing highs and pivot point calculations, making it a key area where sellers may step in. 1.3305 – Next Resistance Zone If price breaks above 1.3265, the next resistance is around 1.3305, based on historical price action and pivot analysis. This level has previously acted as a turning point, meaning traders may look to take profit or enter short positions here. 1.3430 – Stronger Resistance This level was identified in recent market analysis as a former multi-month high. If GBP/USD continues its bullish momentum, this could be a major resistance zone where price struggles to push higher. 1.3640 – Long-Term Resistance Target If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next major resistance sits at 1.3640, which has historically been a strong reversal point. This level represents a significant psychological barrier, where traders may reassess the trend direction. How I Derived These Levels Price Action Review: I analyzed recent swing highs and lows to identify key turning points. Pivot Point Calculations: Using the formula (High + Low + Close)/3, I confirmed resistance zones that align with historical price behavior. Market Analysis: External sources also highlighted 1.3430 and 1.3640 as critical resistance levels2. Moving Averages & Trendlines: These levels coincide with key moving averages, reinforcing their importance. Final Thoughts With GBP/USD currently at 1.32464, I’m watching 1.3265 as the immediate resistance. If price breaks above that, 1.3305 is the next target, followed by 1.3430 and 1.3640 for longer-term moves. These levels are based on a combination of technical indicators, price action, and external market analysis. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT THINGS CAN CHANGE..! PLEASE FOLLOW MY ANALYSIS TO OBTAIN ANY UPDATED INFO REGARDING GBPUSD.
Long
by Sel_Ali
2