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Gbpusdlong

GBP/USD tends to increase when it meets supportThe GBPUSD has been forming an upward structure with higher highs after breaking above a key downtrend line in early November. Although the GBPUSD's uptrend came to a temporary halt at the four-month high level of 1.2826, the completion of the golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs is expected to provide upside momentum. However, during the European session on Tuesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the day as the USD rose sharply and formed a death cross downward structure in the 4H timeframe, potentially creating more uncertainty for the GBPUSD in the near term. Now, we believe that as long as Wave 4 of the "upward impulse waves" structure has not been broken, the end of the "upward impulse waves" is still worth looking forward to. Given that the short-term oscillators are continuing to provide cautiously positive signals, the bulls may try to eliminate the latest weakness and overcome the December resistance at the 1.2794 level. A break above this resistance could open the door to a four-month peak at 1.2826. If it fails to stay here, the GBPUSD could move towards the June high of 1.2847 until it reaches the 1.2900 level. On the other hand, if the GBPUSD reverses lower, several previous support levels at 1.2642 and 1.2612 could now become the initial line of defense. A break below that bottom could see the price fall to recent support at 1.2611, or even lower, with upward Wave 4 1.2500 likely to provide a correction. Overall, risks remain cautiously tilted to the upside in the near term, even though the GBPUSD rally appears to be losing its momentum. To change this situation, the price cannot go below a series of key supports or the uptrend will be reversed. It is recommended to buy the dips.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
1
GBPUSD is trending upSupported by positive market sentiment, GBPUSD rose above 1.2800 on Thursday and settled at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2740 (from July 14 high of 1.3142). to an October 4 low of 1.2037). The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is placed at 1.2670, projecting continued upside support for the British pound. The relative strength index (RSI) has risen above 60. The sustained work on these technologies will trigger strengthening, the target gem completing the "upward impulse waves" at 1.3000. On the downside, activity below minor support at 1.2698 could cause trading sentiment to return to neutral. However, if free support at 1.2499 is maintained to prevent a downturn, further recovery phases remain beneficial. From a broader perspective, the action starting from the midpoint at 1.3141 is seen as a corrective pattern from the upside at 1.0351. Move up from 1.2036 is considered the second in progress (of this pattern). The upside is expected to be limited at 1.3141 to form the third component. At the same time, support functioning beyond 1.2499 would indicate the start of the third part of the uptrend. In terms of trading, buying at low prices is the recommended strategy.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again? How do we trade this? 🤔 I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity! 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 1.21150 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650 ✅ Take Profit: 1.26150 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Long Entry: 1.29000 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.34100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA. 3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone. 4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long. 5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000. In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise. - Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD H4 / NEW PERSPECTIVE FOR SHORT&LONG ENTRY📉📈✅Hello Traders! This is my idea for GBPUSD H4. At the moment, I see a well-constructed bullish channel and I expect a retracement from the channel resistance level where we have an OB, another resistance level, and an FVG. It represents a good opportunity for Short Trade execution on a smaller timeframe and Long Trade execution on a higher timeframe. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
by GoodTradeST
GBP/USD Eyes 1.2800 Amid Dollar Weakness and UK Retail Sales..GBP/USD Eyes 1.2800 Amid Dollar Weakness and UK Retail Sales Surpass Expectations In the European morning on Friday, GBP/USD is on a positive trajectory, setting its sights on the 1.2800 level. The US Dollar (USD) is consolidating its recent losses as the year comes to a close, with divergent Fed-BoE policy outlooks playing a pivotal role. As thin trading conditions are expected to persist, GBP/USD benefits from the broad-based selling pressure surrounding the Greenback in the latter part of Thursday's trading. Divergent Policy Outlooks and Dollar Weakness: The USD's losing streak is propelled by the contrasting policy outlooks of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). As the Fed leans towards a more accommodative stance, the British Pound gains traction against the weakening US Dollar. Thin trading conditions, typical of the year-end, further contribute to the USD's consolidation and GBP/USD's upward momentum. UK Retail Sales Beat Expectations: Adding to the positive sentiment around the British Pound, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a robust 1.3% monthly increase in retail sales for November. This figure surpassed market expectations of a 0.4% rise by a significant margin. However, the ONS tempered the optimism by revising the annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for Q3 lower to 0.3% from the initial estimate of 0.6%. Technical Analysis and Uptrend Continuation: Amid these developments, our technical analysis suggests a continuation of the uptrend for GBP/USD. A pullback to the 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels serves as a potential entry point, with a projected take-profit zone around 1.28500. As GBP/USD advances towards 1.2800, fueled by a weakening US Dollar and robust UK retail sales, traders and investors are cautiously optimistic. The divergence in central bank policies and positive economic data create a favorable environment for the British Pound. As the year concludes, attention remains on potential opportunities in the currency markets, with GBP/USD exhibiting resilience in the face of year-end trading conditions. Our preference Long positions above 1.2600 with targets at 1.2850 & 1.2900 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBP USD 1D AnalysisAs we approach the end of 2023, GBPUSD is currently testing a significant resistance level that has proven to be a formidable barrier in the preceding months. Looking ahead to 2024, my expectation is for the price to breach this resistance and sustain the upward momentum, targeting a level around 1.31328. It's crucial to acknowledge the potential for a rejection at the resistance level, which could potentially lead to a reversal of the trend, especially if there is a break in the trendline and a structural shift occurs. I invite you to share your insights and thoughts on this analysis. Feel free to drop your comments below.
by Popeson
GBP/USD's Bullish Outlook Soars in Anticipation of 2024 Rate CutOn Wednesday, the Federal Reserve, as widely anticipated by investors, held its benchmark interest rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range—the highest level in 22 years. The accompanying Summary of Economic Projections disclosed a notable shift in the central bank's outlook. Now, the Fed foresees 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2024, exceeding the September projection by one additional rate cut. This shift in stance is contributing to the weakening of the US dollar over other currencies such as GBP. Now, let's delve deeper into the technical analysis of GBPUSD The GBPUSD exhibited an assertive recovery as it bounced off the dynamic support line represented by the EMA 200, marked by a robust bullish Marubozu candlestick. Subsequently, the breakout from both the falling wedge pattern and a prominent resistance zone strongly suggests the persistence of the bullish trajectory. Adding to the positive outlook, the momentum indicator recently formed a golden cross, underscoring the potential for an upward surge toward the target region. These collective indicators paint a compelling picture, signaling a noteworthy upside movement to the designated target area—a prospect worth considering for fellow traders navigating current market dynamics. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:GBPUSD ." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
GBPUSD I Are the bears ready to step in? Consider this first.Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
1
GBP/USD Extends Recovery on Upbeat UK Retail SalesGBP/USD Extends Recovery on Upbeat UK Retail Sales, Targets Set for Further Bullish Momentum The GBP/USD pair continues its recovery on Friday, propelled by the positive impact of robust UK Retail Sales data for November. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported surprising resilience in households' retail spending, defying expectations of a sharp decline. The upbeat sales figures were driven by a notable 2.8% surge in non-food retail stores, buoyed by significant discounts during the Black Friday Sale. Technical Analysis and Forecast: As forecasted in our previous analysis, the GBP/USD price remains firmly within a bullish uptrend. This week, the price experienced a rebound precisely within the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels area, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The current outlook suggests the potential for a new swing in bullish momentum, targeting 1.27930 as the initial upside objective. Impact on Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy: The robust Retail Sales data for November is likely to affirm the Bank of England's (BoE) commitment to its restrictive monetary policy stance. The growth rate in wages continues to outpace the necessary threshold to bring down inflation to the 2% target. Strong consumer spending, supported by higher wages, challenges the narrative of a clear downtrend in price pressures. Market Sentiment and Future Considerations: The positive momentum in GBP/USD reflects not only domestic economic resilience but also the impact of attractive discounts during the Black Friday Sale. Traders are advised to monitor further economic releases and central bank communications for potential shifts in market sentiment. The GBP/USD pair's trajectory remains bullish, with attention on achieving and sustaining the forecasted target of 1.27930. As market dynamics evolve, the GBP/USD pair's resilience and positive sentiment offer traders an optimistic outlook for further gains. Stay attuned to economic indicators and central bank developments for potential influences on the pair's future movements. Our preference Long positions above 1.25500 with targets at 1.27930 & 1.28500 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD: Bullish Rebound Confirmed, Eyes Set on 1.28321In the intricate realm of global finance, the decisions and policies of major central banks wield considerable influence over currency markets. One such pivotal institution is the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, whose recent policy trajectory has had a discernible impact on the GBPUSD currency pair. This essay delves into the nuanced dynamics that unfolded in response to the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and its consequential effect on the GBPUSD exchange rate. The Federal Reserve's Dovish Turn: Central to this narrative is the Federal Reserve's decision to temper the pace of interest rate hikes. The Fed opted for a dovish stance, signaling a cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy. Powell's inclination towards dovishness, characterized by a reluctance to aggressively raise benchmark interest rates, marked a departure from more hawkish postures seen in the last year. Impact on GBPUSD: Commencing on December 14th, an observable surge in the GBPUSD exchange rate ensued, catapulting from 1.25002 to 1.27937. This substantial uptick was emblematic of market participants reacting to the Federal Reserve's dovish signals, with investors seeking higher-yielding assets in response to the diminished allure of the U.S. dollar. The relative attractiveness of the British pound against its American counterpart found favor among traders, contributing to the pronounced rise in the exchange rate. Support Levels and Resilience: While the GBPUSD pair experienced a subsequent correction, touching the support level at 1.26124, its resilience was noteworthy. The bounce back from this support level underscored the underlying strength and confidence in the pound, even in the face of corrective movements. This resilience is indicative of a market sentiment that continues to favor the British currency. Future Trajectory: A Glimpse at 1.28321: As the GBPUSD pair rides the waves of market sentiment and central bank policies, forecasts point towards a potential further ascent. The likelihood of the exchange rate climbing to 1.28321 is grounded in the persisting dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, which, if sustained, could continue to dampen the appeal of the U.S. dollar in comparison to other currencies. Rejection at Support: Unleashing Bullish Momentum In the 2-hour timeframe, GBPUSD witnessed a crucial rejection at the 1.26903 support level, signaling a robust defense by bulls. This pivotal event serves as a potent indicator of underlying strength, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment and affirming the narrative of a bullish continuation. Technical Analysis: Bullish Rejection Pattern Beyond numerical significance, the rejection at 1.26903 represents a convergence of market forces. Buying interest surpassed selling pressure, forming a bullish rejection candlestick pattern. Traders interpreting this pattern would likely see it as a confirmation of the market's intent to resume its upward trajectory. Continuation of Uptrend: Fueled by Resilience Confirmation of the rejection aligns with GBPUSD's resilience amid corrective movements. Buoyant market sentiment, driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, acts as a catalyst for renewed upward momentum. Surpassing the previous high of 1.27937 becomes critical, paving the way for an ascent towards the envisioned target of 1.28321. Traders armed with confirmation from the rejection may target this milestone in the ongoing bullish trend. Risk Management: Navigating Uncertainties While the support rejection supports a bullish outlook, prudent risk management remains crucial. Unforeseen geopolitical or economic developments could introduce volatility, necessitating vigilance. Traders must be mindful of stop-loss levels and stay attuned to evolving market conditions. Conclusion: In the dynamic realm of currency markets, the rejection at the support level of 1.26903 serves as a pivotal chapter in the ongoing saga of GBPUSD. It not only validates the resilience of the pound but also provides a technical confirmation for those seeking to ride the anticipated wave of bullish momentum. As the pair gears up for a potential ascent towards 1.28321, traders and analysts alike will closely monitor the evolving landscape, mindful of the delicate balance between opportunity and risk in the ever-shifting currents of the foreign exchange market.
Long
by fardycurry