EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP💡 EURUSD 2H Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
After a strong bounce from demand, price is now retesting the supply zone around 1.1820 – 1.1840. Structure shows a possible distribution phase forming here, with sellers waiting to step back in.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If rejection confirms, price could drop toward the demand zone at 1.1720 – 1.1740.
A clean break below 1.1720 would open deeper downside continuation.
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Buyers would need a strong breakout above 1.1840 supply to invalidate this bearish outlook and push toward higher levels.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1820 | 1.1840
Support: 1.1760 | 1.1720
📊 Current structure favors short setups from supply, with confirmation entries being the safest.
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Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD(20250923)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Chairman Bostic: There is currently little reason to cut interest rates further, and only one rate cut is expected this year. Musallem: There is limited room for further rate cuts. If inflation risks increase, further rate cuts will not be supported. Hammak: We should be very cautious when lifting policy restrictions. My estimate of the neutral interest rate is on the higher side. Milan: I believe the appropriate interest rate is in the mid-2% range. I do not support adjusting the 2% inflation target at this time.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3493
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3564
1.3538
1.3520
1.3466
1.3449
1.3422
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3520, consider entering a buy/sell position, with the first target at 1.3538.
If the price breaks below 1.3493, consider entering a sell position, with the first target at 1.3466
Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| -GBPUSD Daily Forecast📅 Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD(20250922)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan: Expects continued rate cuts in the coming months and will work to convince other policymakers to cut more quickly; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: Two more rate cuts this year would be appropriate.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3498
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3593
1.3557
1.3534
1.3461
1.3438
1.3402
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3498, consider buying, with the first target at 1.3534.
If the price breaks below 1.3461, consider selling, with the first target at 1.3438
GBPUSD Technical Outlook
The current structure shows a rebound setup, with price already touching the support zone — a relatively favorable area to consider long positions.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for long opportunities near current support
Watch resistance around 1.352 — if the rebound fails there, a second pullback may follow
If support holds on the pullback, buying opportunities remain valid
GBPUSD – Sellers Regain Control After Failing at ResistanceCable has slipped back under pressure after another rejection from a strong supply zone. Despite recent rallies, the broader picture shows that GBPUSD is struggling to hold ground as fundamental and technical forces align against the pound. The rejection above 1.36 sets the stage for renewed downside momentum, with sellers eyeing deeper support levels.
Current Bias
Bearish – GBPUSD faces downside pressure after failing to sustain above resistance.
Key Fundamental Drivers
BoE Policy: The Bank of England recently cut rates to 4%, highlighting a cautious stance amid weakening growth. Inflation risks remain, but softer data supports easing bias.
UK Economy: Labor market slack is increasing, retail sales remain weak, and wage growth has softened, limiting GBP upside.
US Dollar: While the Fed is preparing to cut rates eventually, safe-haven flows and tariff-driven inflation risks are helping the dollar hold firm.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: UK yields are under pressure after the BoE’s dovish shift, while US yields remain supported by safe-haven demand despite slowing growth.
Economic Growth: The UK economy shows stagnation with downside risks, while US growth, though slowing, still looks relatively resilient.
Commodity Flows: Lower oil prices are mildly supportive for the UK as an importer, but not enough to offset domestic economic weakness.
Geopolitics: Brexit-related trade frictions remain in the background, while global tariff escalation and Middle East tensions drive USD demand.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A surprise hawkish pivot from the BoE or sharply weaker U.S. inflation could flip sentiment back toward GBP upside.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
UK GDP and retail sales updates
U.S. Core PCE inflation data
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBPUSD tends to lag behind EURUSD when reacting to broad USD trends, often following the euro’s lead. However, it can act as a leader within GBP crosses (e.g., GBPAUD, GBPJPY).
Key Levels
Support Levels: 1.3371, 1.3242
Resistance Levels: 1.3599, 1.3716
Stop Loss (SL): 1.3599 (above key resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 1.3371 (first target), extension to 1.3242
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBPUSD carries a bearish bias after failing to hold above 1.36, with sellers now targeting 1.3371 and potentially 1.3242. A stop loss above 1.3599 helps protect against another test of resistance, while profit targets favor a continuation lower in line with soft UK fundamentals and sticky USD demand. Watch for UK GDP and retail data, along with U.S. Core PCE, as key catalysts. GBPUSD remains a lagger to EURUSD in broader USD direction but will be a leader for GBP crosses.
GBPUSD Analysis week 39🌐Fundamental Analysis
Fed: Cut interest rates by 25 basis points Signals that there could be two more cuts this year due to concerns about a weak labor market. Emphasizes that inflation risks are still tilted to the upside, the rate cut is risk management. The Fed will be cautious, waiting for each meeting to continue to assess.
USD market: Initially down but reversed to increase sharply after the FOMC meeting. However, the increase is difficult to maintain, supporting GBP/USD to recover.
GBP & BoE: GBP is supported as expectations of an immediate BoE rate cut gradually decrease. BoE is expected to keep interest rates unchanged due to high inflation
🕯Technical Analysis
GBPUSD fell sharply at the end of the week, aiming for technical support at 1.342 and 1.335 next week. Pay attention to the price reaction at this support zone to have a BUY strategy towards the resistance levels of 1.353 and 1.358. If strong selling pressure appears from the resistance zone, it can create a long downtrend for this currency pair.
📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.33500-1.33300 Stoploss 1.33000
SELL GBPUSD 1.35800-1.36000 Stoploss 1.36300
GBPUSD and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD rejected from long term resistance line!GBPUSD with FOMC rejection from the high price currently below the weekly support may continue to drop as the last day of trading week, it is possible for the market to break back to weekly and monthly support level as price has got rejection from monthly high, we could see test of monthly low which is now high liquidity zone.
Potential buy zone at around 1.3534 level.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📅 Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD1H Short Call
GBPUSD
Support Break (which earlier was stong resistance now was acting as support on confirmation
Short trade Is valid)
Manage your risk and rewards
📊 Key Data Just Released: US UN-Employement Claims
FUNDAMENTALS:
Unemployment Claims: 231K (better than forecast 241K, and much better than 264K prior) → labor market stronger.
Philly Fed Manufacturing: 23.2 (blowout vs 1.7 forecast, -0.3 prior) → economic activity hotter.
👉 This means:
Labor market is not weak, economy looks stronger than expected.
So the 25 bps cut last night will be seen as normal easing, not aggressive.
Aggressive cut scenario is off the table for now, unless Fed signals future cuts.
GBP/USD - Channel Breakout @ H1 (BoE Interest Rate Today)CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD - Channel Breakout with strong volume and today BoE Interest Rate, it gives high movement.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for share markets"
The Fed reduced rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, as expected, and indicated it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year, initially sending the dollar plunging.
Support by Likes and Comments.
Thank you.
GBP/USD Gave Fake Breakout , Short Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 2H Chart on GBP/USD , We Have A Fake Breakout and then the price Back below my old res and we have a very good bearish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price playing very good around my res and i`m waiting the price to retest the broken area and giving a good bearish price action on smaller time frames to can get a confirmation to enter , So i see it`s a good chance to sell this pair if it go up a little to retest the broken area and then we can sell it and targeting 100 to 150 pips . and if we have a daily closure again above my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Breakout .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4 - Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
5- The Price Respect The Res Again .
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
Pound plummets below 1.34 amid UK gilt turmoil! What's next?The Pound is under heavy pressure, trading around 1.3382 after falling below the critical 1.3400 mark. The trend is bearish, with price action contained in a downward channel and repeated failures to break key resistance levels.
Fundamental Drivers
UK Gilt Yields : 30-year yields have surged to their highest since 1998, raising concerns about the sustainability of UK public finances.
Political Uncertainty : A recent cabinet reshuffle by the Prime Minister has heightened fiscal fears, with risks of tax hikes or spending cuts.
Inflation & BoE Policy : Persistent inflation and the Bank of England’s reluctance to cut rates undermine confidence in the Pound.
US Dollar Strength : The Dollar is strong, especially ahead of the US Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report, adding further pressure on GBP.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Outlook)
Outlook : Continuation of the downtrend within the downward channel.
Entry Conditions :
Rejection at 1.3390–1.3400 resistance zone
Risk Management : Move stop to breakeven after Target 1
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend Opportunity)
Outlook : Short-term corrective bounce possible if key resistance is broken.
Entry Conditions:
Strong break above 1.3400 with volume
Retest of 1.3390 as support
RSI shows bullish divergence or breaks above 50
Risk Management : Take partial profits at each target, trail stops higher
Important Notes
Expect volatility around the NFP release and from ongoing UK political developments.
Fibonacci levels around 1.3330–1.3300 provide strong support confluence.
The failed inverse head & shoulders pattern favours the bearish case.
The 1.3389–1.3390 zone is critical for both bullish and bearish setups.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast -
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
'Meet-Cute' Tokyo High for Supply4th Short Fired -2R for the day at time of print. Aiming for +2R before logging off for the day.
Remaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data.
Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report:
1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors.
2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall
3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps
The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates.
5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps
The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Cable Short (GBP/USD) Poor Employment and Payroll DataRemaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data.
Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report:
1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors.
2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall
3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps
The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates.
5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps
The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
GBPUSD Potentially bearish$SGBPUSD Looking at the chart, we can see a clear triple top with price breaking out on the lower side and potentially creating a lower high. With this in play, If the recent high is confirmed as a new high and with a bearish candle as confirmation, this will be a good sell. Until then, fingers crossed.
#GBPUSD






















