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Gbpusdshort

GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
'Meet-Cute' Tokyo High for Supply4th Short Fired -2R for the day at time of print. Aiming for +2R before logging off for the day. Remaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data. Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report: 1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors. 2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall 3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates. 4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates. 5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Short
by PointBreak42
Cable Short (GBP/USD) Poor Employment and Payroll DataRemaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data. Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report: 1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors. 2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall 3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates. 4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates. 5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Short
by PointBreak42
GBPUSD Sellers Defend Supply Zone, Eyes Shift Toward Key SupportGBPUSD, Cable has once again struggled to push beyond the heavy resistance block around 1.3580–1.3680, with price stalling inside a supply zone and showing signs of exhaustion. The technical rejection matches up with a broader fundamental backdrop that favors USD strength while the pound faces ongoing domestic headwinds. Let’s dig deeper into the setup. Current Bias Bearish – price action is capped by a strong supply zone, and fundamentals lean toward further downside. Key Fundamental Drivers Bank of England: Recent rate cut reinforced downside pressure, and policymakers remain cautious as inflation stabilizes but growth weakens. Federal Reserve: Sticky US inflation and cautious Fed easing expectations provide underlying support for the dollar. Economic divergence: UK growth outlook remains soft compared to the US, with services PMI and retail sales lagging. Macro Context Interest rates: BoE has shifted toward a looser stance, while the Fed maintains cautious cuts. This relative policy divergence favors USD over GBP. Economic growth: UK data (manufacturing contraction, fragile GDP estimates) paints a weak backdrop. US growth, while slowing, remains stronger. Commodity flows: Oil weakness indirectly pressures GBP through reduced global demand sentiment. Geopolitical: Brexit-related trade frictions persist, adding medium-term uncertainty. Primary Risk to the Trend A dovish Fed surprise (softer CPI, faster cuts) could undercut USD strength, boosting GBP/USD. Conversely, stronger UK wage or inflation prints could temporarily support the pound. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK CPI & Retail Sales – will set tone for BoE policy outlook. US CPI and Fed commentary – crucial for USD trajectory. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBP/USD acts as a leader within pound crosses (GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP, GBP/CHF), often setting direction. It behaves as a lagger to broader USD moves, especially after US data releases. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3483, 1.3342 Resistance Levels: 1.3580, 1.3685 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3685 (above supply zone) Take Profit (TP): 1.3342 (major downside target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPUSD remains under pressure after repeated rejections from the 1.3580–1.3685 supply zone. With BoE leaning dovish and UK data fragile, the bias stays bearish, favoring a move toward 1.3483 and possibly 1.3342. A stop loss above 1.3685 protects against upside squeezes, while US and UK CPI will be the deciding catalysts. For now, the setup favors sellers, with clear downside targets and the dollar holding the upper hand.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
GBP/USD Reversal in Play – Bearish Targets at 1.3335The pair is trading around 1.3510 after showing a clear rejection at the 1.3550–1.3590 resistance zone, which has been tested multiple times but failed to break. Sellers have stepped in strongly from this zone, forming a potential lower-high structure. • Resistance Zone (Sell Area): 1.3550 – 1.3590 remains the key ceiling. • Market Structure: The chart shows a gradual weakening after reaching 1.3590, suggesting the market is transitioning from distribution to markdown. • Momentum: Candlesticks show longer upper wicks and stronger bearish closes, signaling active seller pressure. • Supports Below: o 1.3450 (interim support, minor target) o 1.3370 (mid-term bearish target) o 1.3335 (final key demand zone and bearish completion level) This setup favors downside continuation as long as price stays below 1.3550–1.3590. ________________________________________ 📉 Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) • Entry: 1.3510 (current zone) or wait for a pullback to 1.3530–1.3540 • Stop-Loss: 1.3590 (above resistance zone) • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.3450 🥇 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.3370 🥈 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 1.3335 🎯 • Risk Management: Book partial profits at TP1, trail stop-loss after TP1 to breakeven, let remaining position ride toward TP2–TP3.
Short
by SupertradeOfficial
GBP/USD - Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3475 2nd Support – 1.3441 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25 📊 🔹 Weekly Bias: Remains bullish, with last week’s candle closing strong above the Daily 50 EMA. Rejection wick adds further confluence to upside continuation. 🔹 Daily Bias: Current daily structure holds bullish after another close above the Daily 50 EMA. 🟢 Long Scenarios High-probability longs from defined zones, with opportunities to buy from the lows. Weekly 50 EMA retest: a potential long area later this week — even if the weekly candle looks bearish, the bias stays bullish due to last week’s strong close above the 50 EMA. Points of Interest: previous weekly wick lows (wicks often get filled; once filled, expect continuation to the upside). ⚡ Immediate Long Setup (London open) Early longs are tricky, but the confluence is strong: Daily imbalance fill + Daily 50 EMA support Gap above price (market tendency to rebalance) Daily order block refined with LTF order blocks If Asia opens at lows with Asia highs unfilled → strong confluence for a London session break of structure → long entry toward Asia highs and gap fill. Targeting a quick 1:3 RRR with aggressive trade management. 🔴 Short Scenarios Shorts are possible but require caution. Daily candles remain above the 50 EMA (bullish bias). Best short zones: around previously daily highs with high confluence areas. 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD –> Bearish Channel in Play, Watching for Short EntriesHello guys! The pair remains under pressure, trading inside a descending channel that has been guiding price action for several weeks. Each rally attempt has been capped by the channel’s upper boundary, confirming the overall bearish sentiment. Observations: Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the channel near 1.3520 – 1.3560 continues to reject bullish attempts. QML Zone: Around 1.3340 – 1.3360, this level has provided support, but repeated tests are weakening it. Bearish Structure: Lower highs and lower lows inside the channel confirm sellers are still in control. 📉 Bearish Scenarios: Aggressive Entry: Short positions could be considered on rejection from the mid-level resistance inside the channel (1.3480). Conservative Entry: Alternatively, waiting for a deeper retest of the channel’s upper boundary (1.3520–1.3560) offers a safer confirmation before entering short. 🎯 Targets: Initial target: 1.3380 (QML zone) Extended target: 1.3313 (channel support and marked key level) As long as the price trades within this descending channel, the outlook stays bearish. A confirmed break below 1.3313 could open the door for further downside in the coming sessions. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by melikatrader94
18
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis - Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis 📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25 Good day, Traders 👋 While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉. I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades. Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈 — FRGNT 🔐 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🕯️ The previous daily candle closed bullish, and importantly, above the 50EMA. This signals a shift in short-term daily bias to the upside, indicating that bullish momentum may be building. 📌 A previous bullish daily candle has left behind a 4H Order Block and an imbalance, both sitting within a broader daily POI. Within this POI, we can identify refined 1H and 15-minute order blocks and voids — key zones to monitor for reaction and structure alignment. These levels become our points of interest for potential long setups. 🧠 Execution Plan: No blind entries at the POI. I’ll be closely watching lower timeframes (M15/M5) for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) or a liquidity sweep followed by bullish confirmation. If those conditions are met, I’ll look for a long entry, keeping risk tightly managed. If price fails to hold the POI or shifts bearish, I’ll stay out and wait for clarity. 🎯 Summary: Bias: Bullish (with confirmation) Focus: Refined entries from lower timeframe structure shifts Risk: Capped and only deployed with valid confirmations Mindset: Patient, mechanical, and reactive to price — not predictions. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD – Intraday Analysis Short Update Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Intraday Short Analysis Update Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Primary Bias: Long However, if price reaches the short-term POI first, I’ll be open to a counter-trend short into the area of long interest. This keeps me flexible, but still aligned with the higher time frame bias. 🔍 Technical Insight: Price has now broken structure on the 15-minute, creating a new low, which signals short-term weakness. This move has left behind both a 1H and 15-minute Order Block, located around the previous daily highs. That level also coincides with a daily wick that remains unfilled — an ideal target for a potential short trigger before looking for longs lower. 📌 Plan of Action: If price returns to the short POI (1H/15m OB at previous daily highs), I’ll monitor for: Lower timeframe confirmation (M5/M1 BOS or liquidity sweep) Signs of short-term rejection If confirmed, I’ll consider shorting into the long POI, where I’ll then be looking for bullish confirmation to align with the higher time frame bias. No confirmation = no trade. Risk stays capped at 1% or less. 🎯 Be flexible in analysis, but mechanical in execution. Let price lead. You follow with discipline. – FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT