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HONG KONG joins the bull marketThe HANG SENG INDEX is the main indicator of the overall market performance in Hong Kong. The index has underperformed the rest of the world since March 2020 and was among the worst performing indices globally from 2020-2022. In October 2022 however the Index seems to have moved up in a 5 wave structure after having seen quite a freefall from Feb. 2021. This 5 wave advance completed in Jan 2023, and since then, till the very recent low of Oct.2023 the Index corrected 61.8% of the entire Wave 1 rise. Now however, the Index is ready give a massive 40-45% up move as the Wave 3 unfolds itself going forward into 2024-2025. Note*- This post is for educational purpose only
HSI:HSILong
by neeraj_2_sharma
6
A very long-term (Macro) Approach To US/Global MarketsAfter completing my weekend research/videos, I wanted to create something that provided an anchor for traders/investors. This video is not focused on the short-term market trends - although it does discuss what I expect to see play out over the next 12 to 24 months. This video is more about preparing traders/investors for the global events related to Central Banks, market trends/opportunities, and how I believe the markets will react over the next 5+ years. After watching this video, your job will be to watch for key events to unfold. These events, described in the video, will be key to understanding where opportunities and risks are in market trends. This is NOT the same market we've been used to from 2010 through 2021. This is an entirely different beast of a global market. Credit/debt issues will persist, and conflicts/war may drive major repricing events. Pay attention and follow my research. I'm delivering this long-term research to help you better prepare for market trends and protect your capital from downside risks.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
Global debt hits record $307 trillion, debt ratios climb -IIFGlobal debt reached a record high of $307 trillion in the second quarter, despite higher interest rates limiting bank lending. The United States and Japan were the main drivers of this increase, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF). The IIF's report revealed that global debt in dollar terms rose by $10 trillion in the first half of 2023 and by $100 trillion over the past decade. This surge in debt has pushed the global debt-to-GDP ratio to 336% for the second consecutive quarter. The report attributes this rise to a slowdown in economic growth and price increases, resulting in nominal GDP expanding at a slower pace than debt levels. Emre Tiftik, Director of Sustainability Research at the IIF, noted that the debt-to-GDP ratio is once again increasing after declining for seven consecutive quarters, mostly due to easing inflationary pressures. The IIF expects the debt-to-output ratio to surpass 337% by the end of the year, as wage and price pressures continue to moderate. Experts and policymakers have been warning about the growing levels of debt, which can lead countries, corporations, and households to tighten their belts and reduce spending and investments, ultimately impacting economic growth and living standards. More than 80% of the recent increase in debt came from developed countries, with the United States, Japan, Britain, and France experiencing the largest increases. Among emerging markets, China, India, and Brazil saw the highest rises in debt. This is a notable shift, as emerging markets are exhibiting a better trend compared to developed markets for the first time in a while, according to Todd Martinez, co-head of the Americas sovereign team at Fitch Ratings. The report also highlighted that household debt-to-GDP in emerging markets is still higher than pre-COVID-19 levels, primarily driven by China, Korea, and Thailand. However, mature markets have seen the lowest household debt-to-GDP ratio in two decades during the first half of this year. Tiftik mentioned that consumer debt burdens appear manageable, and if inflationary pressures persist, the health of household balance sheets, particularly in the United States, will provide some protection against further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. While markets currently do not anticipate a near-term rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the target rate is expected to remain between 5.25% and 5.5% until at least May of next year. This sustained high rate in the U.S. could put pressure on emerging markets as investors prioritize the less risky developed world for investment.
by HiumanPre
2
USD vs Foreign Currency Sets Up Black Swan/Credit Event 2028-29USD vs Foreign Currency Sets Up Black Swan/Credit Event – Pay Attention This video will show why the US stock market continues to rally and the US Dollar continues to strengthen. It is all related to what is happening in China/Asia and much of the world. The cheap US interest rates over the past 4+ years have allowed foreign borrowers to take advantage of localized demand for capital and the “Dollar Carry Trade.” When you can borrow USD for 2.5%, convert the USD capital into localized currencies, and use that capital to earn 20% or more – it’s easy to borrow as much as you can to make the extra 18% - right? As long as there is no disruption in currency valuation levels and/or economic activities, it seems like a simple process for profits. But when localized currencies collapse against the US Dollar, this sets up a very dangerous waterfall event. Now, the profitable USD carry trade is upside down from the start. It takes 25~35% more localized currency to repay the USD debt. Additionally, consider that the performance of these borrowed funds may also be upside down related to profits. If the localized economy collapses and consumers are not buying, now you have additional downside pressure related to economic performance. This is why the rush into USD-based assets and equities continues. The rally we see in the US indexes/stocks is almost “in the face” of the US Fed raising interest rates while trying to weaken inflation. It is almost as if the US Fed has acted in a predatory manner by raising interest rates – yet failed to understand the dynamics of the global markets. The result will be a Black Swan type of credit event. Buckle up and prepare for it. Follow my research and prepare for the biggest opportunity of your lifetime.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
Global Liquidity vs BTCUSDIn this idea we'll have a look global liquidity vs BTCUSD on a quarterly timeframe. The main pane contains the bars of a new global liquidity formula discovered by Twitter TechDev_52. On top of the bars is a solid orange line which is BTCUSD both on quarterly timeframe. Also on the main pane is a value grid for global liquidity which is based on time and global liquidity closing values. The secondary panes show the DB ZPS RSI values of global liquidity and BTCUSD. The entire point of this idea is three factors; 1) showcase the beautiful cyclical nature of global liquidity and 2) to show the beautiful cyclical nature of BTCUSD and financially 3) the near 1-to-1 high timeframe cycle pattern matches. It's common theory that as global liquidity increases money flows into highly valuable assets and then trickles into secondary assets in a lagging manner. If this idea is correct, this would showcase the best periods to enter and exit assets from a very high level from an investment point of mind. To the investor these cyclical patterns are a gift that shows periods of wealth growing opportunities in traded assets. Enjoy!
TVC:CN10YLong
by thefluffyones
Deciphering Divergent Signals The Complex Economic LandscapeThe global economy continues to face profound uncertainties in the wake of COVID-19's massive disruptions. For policymakers and business leaders, making sense of divergent signals on jobs, inflation, and growth remains imperative yet challenging. In the United States, inflation pressures appear to be moderately easing after surging to 40-year highs in 2022. The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined to 3% in June from the prior peak of 9.1%. Plunging gasoline and used car prices provided some consumer relief, while housing and food costs remained worryingly elevated. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, dipped to 4.8% but persists well above the Fed’s 2% target. Supply chain improvements, waning pandemic demand spikes, and the strong dollar making imports cheaper all helped cool inflation. However, risks abound that high prices become entrenched with tight labor markets still buoying wages. Major central banks responded with substantial interest rate hikes to reduce demand, but the full economic drag likely remains unseen. Further supply shocks from geopolitics or weather could also reignite commodity inflation. While the direction seems promising, the Fed vows ongoing vigilance and further tightening until inflation durably falls to acceptable levels. The path back to price stability will be bumpy. Yet even amidst surging inflation, the US labor market showed resilience through 2022. Employers added over 4 million jobs, driving unemployment down to 3.5%, matching pre-pandemic lows. This simultaneous inflation and job growth confounds historical norms where Fed tightening swiftly slows hiring. Pandemic-era stimulus and savings initially cushioned households from rate hikes, sustaining consumer demand. Early retirements, long COVID disabilities, caregiving needs, and possibly a cultural rethinking of work also constricted labor supply. With fewer jobseekers available, businesses retained and attracted talent by lifting pay, leading to nominal wage growth even outpacing inflation for some months. However, the labor market's anomalous buoyancy shows growing fragility. Job openings plunged over 20% since March, tech and housing layoffs multiplied, and wage growth decelerated – all signals of softening demand as higher rates bite. Most economists expect outright job losses in coming months as the Fed induces a deliberate recession to conquer inflation. Outside the US, other economies show similar labor market resilience assisted by generous pandemic supports. But with emergency stimulus now depleted, Europe especially looks vulnerable. Energy and food inflation strain household budgets as rising rates threaten economies already flirting with recession. Surveys show consumer confidence nosediving across European markets. With less policy space, job losses may mount faster overseas if slowdowns worsen. Meanwhile, Mexico’s economy and currency proved surprisingly robust. Peso strength reflects Mexico’s expanding manufacturing exports, especially autos, amid US attempts to nearshore production and diversify from China reliance. Remittances from Mexican immigrants also reached new highs, supporting domestic demand. However, complex immigration issues continue challenging US-Mexico ties. The pandemic undoubtedly accelerated pre-existing workforce transformations. Millions older employees permanently retired. Younger cohorts increasingly spurn traditional career ladders, cobbling together gig work and passion projects. Remote technology facilitated this cultural shift toward customized careers and lifestyle priorities. Many posit these preferences will now permanently reshape labor markets. Employers clinging to old norms of in-office inflexibility may struggle to hire and retain talent, especially younger workers. Tighter immigration restrictions also constrain domestic labor supply. At the same time, automation and artificial intelligence will transform productivity and skills demands. In this context, labor shortages could linger regardless of economic cycles. If realized, productivity enhancements from technology could support growth with fewer workers. But displacement risks require better policies around skills retraining, portable benefits, and income supports. Individuals must continually gain new capabilities to stay relevant. The days of lifelong stable employer relationships appear gone. For policymakers, balancing inflation control and labor health presents acute challenges. Achieving a soft landing that curtails price spikes without triggering mass unemployment hardly looks guaranteed. The Fed’s rapid tightening applies tremendous pressure to an economy still experiencing profound demographic, technological, and cultural realignments. With less room for stimulus, other central banks face even more daunting dilemmas. Premature efforts to rein in inflation could induce deep recessions and lasting scars. But failure to act also risks runaway prices that erode living standards and stability. There are no easy solutions with both scenarios carrying grave consequences. For business leaders, adjusting to emerging realities in workforce priorities and automation capabilities remains imperative. Companies that embrace flexible work options, prioritize pay equity, and intelligently integrate technologies will gain a competitive edge in accessing skills and talent. But transitions will inevitably be turbulent. On the whole, the global economy's trajectory looks cloudy. While the inflation fever appears to be modestly breaking, risks of resurgence remain as long as labor markets show tightness. But just as rising prices moderate, the delayed impacts from massive rate hikes threaten to extinguish job growth and demand. For workers, maintaining adaptability and skills development is mandatory to navigate gathering storms. Any Coming downturn may well play out differently than past recessions due to demographic shifts, cultural evolution, and automation. But with debt levels still stretched thin across sectors, the turbulence could yet prove intense. The path forward promises to be volatile and uneven amidst the lingering pandemic aftershocks. Navigating uncertainty remains imperative but challenging.
TVC:US10YEducation
by BitcoinMacro
5
LOW WCA - Ascending TriangleCompany: Lowe's Companies, Inc. Ticker: LOW Exchange: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Sector: Consumer Discretionary Introduction: In today's technical analysis, we're focusing on Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW), a prominent player in the Consumer Discretionary sector listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Lowe's weekly chart is currently showcasing an Ascending Triangle pattern, indicative of a potential bullish reversal. Ascending Triangle Pattern: An Ascending Triangle pattern typically emerges during periods of consolidation and is often considered a bullish indicator. The pattern is characterized by a flat upper trendline (resistance) and an ascending lower trendline (support), both of which converge as the pattern matures. Analysis: Previously, Lowe's was in a noticeable downtrend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, over the last 420 days, Lowe's stock price has consolidated, forming an Ascending Triangle pattern. This pattern is considered to act as a bullish reversal indicator. The Ascending Triangle's upper horizontal boundary lies at $221, boasting three touchpoints, while the upward sloping lower boundary also shows three touchpoints. The symmetry of these touchpoints lends credibility to the Ascending Triangle pattern. Should we observe a breakout above the Ascending Triangle, we can anticipate a potential price target of $270. This implies a potential opportunity for a 22% price increase from the breakout level. Conclusion: This analysis suggests that Lowe's Companies, Inc. may be primed for a bullish reversal, representing potential investment opportunities. As always, it's essential to validate this technical analysis with other indicators, market trends, and relevant news for comprehensive investment decisions. Not financial advice. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NYSE:LOW
by KarimSubhieh
Bio-Techne Corp WCA - Rectangle Company: Bio-Techne Corp Ticker: TECH Exchange: NASDAQ Sector: Healthcare Introduction: Today, we are looking at Bio-Techne Corp (TECH) on the weekly chart. Bio-Techne is a prominent name in the Healthcare sector and is traded on the NASDAQ exchange. Currently, the stock exhibits a Rectangle pattern that could signal a potential shift in the stock's direction. Rectangle Pattern: A Rectangle pattern typically manifests during a consolidation phase and is recognized by price movements that tend to bounce between horizontal support and resistance lines, forming a rectangular shape. Analysis: In the past, Bio-Techne Corp's stock price trended downward. However, this trend appears to have been interrupted by a consolidation zone characterized by a Rectangle pattern. The upper boundary of the pattern is positioned at $87.50, having been tested four times. The lower boundary stands at $70, having been touched twice. Interestingly, the price is again using the 200 EMA as a support, indicating the potential for a bullish shift. It seems that the stock might be gearing up for another attempt to test the upper boundary. If a breakout occurs above this resistance level, we could anticipate a price target of $105, representing a potential increase of around 20%. Conclusion: The technical setup on Bio-Techne Corp's weekly chart showcases a Rectangle pattern, suggesting a potential consolidation period before the next significant price move. Traders should keep this stock on their watchlist, especially in anticipation of a breakout above the upper boundary. Remember, this analysis is intended to be used as part of your wider market research and risk management strategy and should not be considered as direct trading advice. As always, happy trading, and stay tuned for more analysis! Best Regards, Karim Subhieh
NASDAQ:TECH
by KarimSubhieh
Samsung SECU DCA - RectangleCompany: Samsung SECU Ticker: 018260 Exchange: Korea Exchange (KRX) Sector: Technology Introduction: Welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our focus to Samsung SECU, analyzing its daily scale chart on the Korea Exchange (KRX). The price action suggests a well-defined rectangle pattern formation, which, coupled with the bullish market sentiment reflected in the KOSPI Composite Index, presents an interesting setup. Rectangle Pattern: A rectangle pattern is a trend continuation pattern formed when the price oscillates between parallel support and resistance levels. The breakout direction indicates the trend direction. Analysis: Samsung SECU's price has been moving within a clearly defined range, forming a Rectangle pattern. The upper boundary of this Rectangle is at 36000 KRW, while the lower boundary is at 30150 KRW. With four touch points at both boundaries, the fourth at the upper boundary has already signaled a breakout. Additionally, the price is above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish market environment. As a result, a long position becomes a favorable consideration. Our projected price target post-breakout is set at 41850 KRW, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 16.27%. Conclusion: Samsung SECU's daily chart presents a compelling scenario, with a clear Rectangle pattern and a recent breakout. Given the bullish sentiment in the overall market, as indicated by the rising KOSPI Composite Index, long positions currently seem favorable. As always, remember that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider risk management strategies before making any investment decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more insights. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
KRX:016360
by KarimSubhieh
1
CMCSA DCA - Cup and HandleCompany: Comcast Corporation Ticker: CMCSA Exchange: NASDAQ Sector: Communication Services Introduction: Greetings, and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're focusing on the daily chart of Comcast Corporation (CMCSA), highlighting a bullish reversal pattern known as a cup and handle that has formed over 294 days. Cup and Handle Pattern: The cup and handle pattern is often a bullish continuation or a bullish reversal signal and is characterized by a 'U' shape (the cup) followed by a smaller, downward drift (the handle). The formation is complete when the asset's price breaks above the resistance line marking the top of the handle. Analysis: Comcast Corporation's price was previously in a downtrend, denoted by the blue diagonal resistance line. This downward movement appears to have been interrupted by the cup and handle pattern. The horizontal resistance line of this pattern is located at $40.94, with the price currently having a second breakthrough. Notably, the 200 EMA is above the price, suggesting a bullish market environment. Upon a successful breakout, the projected price target is $53.50, offering a potential rise of 30.70%. Therefore, a long position might be considered. Conclusion: The daily chart of Comcast Corporation presents an interesting scenario, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern suggesting a potential bullish reversal. With the successful breakout above the pattern's resistance this presents an opportunity for a long position. As always, please bear in mind this analysis does not constitute financial advice. It's vital to conduct your own research and consider risk management strategies when investing. If you found this analysis insightful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by KarimSubhieh
Fujitsu Limited WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Fujitsu Limited Ticker: 6702.T Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange Sector: Technology Introduction: Hello and welcome to our technical analysis session! Today we are focusing on Fujitsu Limited as observed on the weekly chart on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. An intriguing symmetrical triangle formation has caught our attention, which may act as a bullish continuation. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: A symmetrical triangle is a price pattern characterized by converging trend lines and oscillating price within the pattern. It can serve as a continuation or a reversal signal. The breakout direction tends to predict the subsequent trend direction. Analysis: Preceding this consolidation phase, Fujitsu's price exhibited a clear uptrend. The ongoing consolidation phase, shaped as a symmetrical triangle, has been forming for 616 days. There are three points of contact with the triangle's upper boundary and two with its lower boundary. Notably, this consolidation phase takes place above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. If we see a weekly candlestick close above 18400, it could serve as an opportune moment for a long position entry. Assuming a valid breakout, our projected price target is at 26025, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 41.33%. Conclusion: The weekly chart of Fujitsu Limited presents a potential bullish continuation pattern in the form of a symmetrical triangle. A confirmed breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could offer a promising long position entry. As always, please perform your own due diligence and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Not financial advice! Thank you for joining this analysis. If you found it useful, please like, share, and follow for more insightful market updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:6702
by KarimSubhieh
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries WCA - Rectangle PatternCompany: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ticker: 7011 Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange Sector: Industrial Introduction: Hello and welcome to this week's technical analysis. We're focusing on Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, as represented on the weekly chart of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The company's stock has formed an interesting rectangle pattern over the past 378 days, acting as a potential bullish continuation. Rectangle Pattern: A Rectangle pattern can act as a continuation or reversal signal, formed when price oscillates between two parallel lines—support and resistance. The eventual breakout direction might determine the continuation or reversal of the current trend. Analysis: Previously, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' price has been on an upward trend, and this Rectangle pattern might signal a bullish continuation. The price has been moving within two clearly defined boundaries—upper at 5650 and lower at 4476. Both these boundaries have experienced two touch points each. Significantly, this consolidation is occurring above the 200 EMA. Presently, we have seen a fresh breakout above the upper boundary, and we're patiently awaiting the weekly candle's close to plan a potential long entry. Assuming the breakout is valid, our projected price target is at 6826, indicating a potential price rise of about 20.74%. Conclusion: The weekly chart of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries presents a possible bullish continuation pattern in the form of a Rectangle. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary could offer a promising long entry opportunity. As always, conduct your own research and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Thank you for joining this analysis session. If you found it valuable, please like, share, and follow for more market insights. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:7011
by KarimSubhieh
MSCI World Index Fund WCA - Possible INV H&SIndex: MSCI World Index Fund Introduction: Hello everyone! Today, we are looking at the MSCI World Index Fund to gain a broader perspective on the global equity market environment. Based on our current analysis, we can see the formation of a classic technical pattern, signaling a potential reversal from the preceding downtrend. Analysis: Over the past 371 days, the index has seemingly been forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a well-known reversal pattern suggesting a change from a downtrend to an uptrend. The horizontal neckline of this pattern lies at 120$. While the symmetry between the shoulders isn't perfect, it's worth noting that when the right shoulder is slightly higher than the left one, this is often seen as a bullish sign. Furthermore, the right shoulder has formed distinctly above the 200 EMA, adding weight to the potential bullish reversal. Currently, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline, paving the way for a calculation of a possible price target upon the successful closing of the weekly candle. However, it's crucial to remember that the weekly candle must close above the neckline; otherwise, we could be dealing with a premature breakout. Assuming a valid breakout, our calculated price target would be 142, equating to a potential price increase of approximately 18.5%. This provides a favorable opportunity to explore long setups in general. Conclusion: The MSCI World Index Fund's technical analysis points to a potentially bullish reversal. Should the current breakout confirm, the ensuing uptrend could present opportunities for investors looking for long positions. As always, remember to conduct your own due diligence and implement appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Thank you for tuning into this analysis. Please like, share, and follow for more insights into the market. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
AMEX:URTH
by KarimSubhieh
Micron Technology (MU) DCA - Rectangle Pattern Company: Micron Technology Ticker: MU Exchange: NASDAQ Sector: Technology Introduction: Hello, and thank you for joining me for this technical analysis. Today, we will take a close look at Micron Technology (MU), specifically focusing on a Rectangle pattern that has formed on the daily chart. Rectangle Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a period of consolidation, often following a significant price move, where the price bounces between horizontal support and resistance levels. This pattern can act as either a continuation or a reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. Analysis: Over the past 355 days, MU's price has been oscillating between an upper boundary at $64.37 and a lower boundary at $48.61, forming a clear Rectangle pattern. We can identify six touch points at the upper boundary and two at the lower boundary, indicating that the price is consolidating within this range. Currently, the price appears to be attempting a breakout above the upper boundary, which could present a long entry opportunity if successful. Furthermore, the price is positioned above the 200 EMA, suggesting a bullish market environment. If the breakout is confirmed, the price target would be $80, representing a potential gain of approximately 24%. Conclusion: In conclusion, Micron Technology's daily chart shows a well-defined Rectangle pattern, signaling a period of consolidation. A breakout above the upper boundary could present a lucrative trading opportunity. As always, it's crucial to manage risk effectively and ensure your trading decisions align with your overall investment strategy. Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NASDAQ:MU
by KarimSubhieh
6
LRCX WCA - Inverted head and shoulders Company: Lam Research Corporation Ticker: LRCX Exchange: NASDAQ Sector: Technology Introduction: Greetings, and welcome to today's technical analysis of Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) on the NASDAQ. We're focusing on a 13-month-old inverted head and shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential bullish breakout. Inverted Head and Shoulders: The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal signal. It's formed by a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder, with the head being the lowest point. The neckline connects the high points of the pattern, acting as a resistance level. A breakout above the neckline signals a potential bullish reversal. Analysis: On the weekly chart of LRCX, we can observe a well-formed inverted head and shoulders pattern. The neckline, which also acts as our resistance, sits at 536. Both shoulders of the pattern are extended, with the right shoulder characterized by a mini-consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. This ascending triangle is consolidating very close to the neckline, indicating increasing bullish pressure. The price is trending above the 200 EMA, further supporting the bullish bias. A breakout above the neckline would open up the potential for significant upside. Conclusion: If this neckline is breached, we have a potential price target of 762, representing a 43% rise from the neckline. As always, it's crucial to use risk management and proper position sizing in your trading strategy. Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before trading or investing. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NASDAQ:LRCX
by KarimSubhieh
9202 - Bullish ReversalCompany: ANA Holdings Inc. Ticker: 9202 Exchange: TSE Sector: Air Transport Introduction: Hello and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our attention to the weekly chart of ANA Holdings Inc. (9202) on the TSE, which is demonstrating an exciting Rectangle pattern breakout that could signal a bullish reversal. Rectangle Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a common chart pattern that can act as a continuation or a reversal signal, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout's direction. In this case, the Rectangle pattern is acting as a bullish reversal signal. Analysis: Over the past 1155 days, ANA Holdings' price movements have formed a distinct Rectangle pattern. The clear touch points and boundaries define the pattern, with the lower boundary at 2117.5 and the upper boundary at 2989. The price has successfully moved above the 200 EMA, and for the first time in 1155 days, we've seen a clear breakout above the upper boundary of the Rectangle. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Conclusion: The price target following this breakout is set at 3853, representing a potential rise of 29%. As always, it's crucial to employ risk management strategies and appropriate position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please remember that this analysis should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading or investing. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:9202Long
by KarimSubhieh
💥 WORLD ECONOMY: ...big drop is coming? 😡Amazon rarely delays deliveries, but I ordered the crystal ball over 30 years ago and it still hasn't arrived! 😢😂 ...So, I don't know what will really happen in the coming months, but what we can do right now is try to make some considerations. The chart above represents the DJ Transportation Index , an excellent "thermometer" of US economy. If we look at a monthly time frame, we see that a deep pullback appeared after a structure with "Wave 1 Extension", so we cannot exclude that it could happen again. At the same time however, we see that the Price Action has reached an important static support around 14,000, and only its failure could confirm a bearish leg with a first target around 11,000, obviously we are talking about a monthly chart, so to confirm this hypothesis, we have to wait until the end of the month. In this historical context, many things could change in global economy, and the geopolitical situation is one of the main actors of this period. Inflation, the war in Ukraine, wide social gap, the dollar crisis, are all key factors that could still lead to uncertainty in the medium term. INFLATION and THE PRICE WAR We are well aware that a large part of the developed economy is struggling with rising prices, and even if inflation in the U.S. and in Europe it is driven by different reasons, Central Banks are using the same tools (are they wrong??) of monetary policy, , but something could change in the coming months. The most important Central Bank (Federal Reserve) could face a diabolical "pincer", because the danger of hyperinflation is the same as a potential stagflation. Thanks for your attention. A.B. ❤
DJ:DJT
by TheAnonymousBanker