XAU/USD - Channel Breakout (05.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3357
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Gold
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3260 and a gap below at 3217. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BTCUSDT - Potential Long Setup Developing from FVG and Fib levelOverview:
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 1H timeframe is currently exhibiting a controlled retracement following a local top. This structure presents a potential opportunity for a long setup based on confluence between an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and key Fibonacci retracement levels. The chart highlights a likely scenario where price may continue to correct lower into a defined area of interest before resuming bullish momentum.
Market Context:
After a strong impulsive move upward, BTC appears to be in a corrective phase. The recent price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a short-term downtrend within a broader uptrend context. This kind of pullback behavior is often necessary for healthy continuation to the upside and can offer high-probability entries for trend continuation traders.
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A notable fair value gap has been identified in the 94,250–94,700 zone. This zone represents an inefficiency in the market where price rapidly moved without significant opposition, leaving behind a gap between wicks of adjacent candles. Price often returns to such areas to rebalance order flow before making its next decisive move.
Fibonacci Confluence:
The chart includes key Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high.
* The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level lies just above the FVG, providing strong technical confluence.
* The 0.65 level is marked as the ideal entry zone and sits within the FVG, further validating it as a high-probability support region.
* The 0.786 level is also marked, and although deeper, it represents the final line of defense for this bullish scenario.
Anticipated Price Action:
A bullish projection is illustrated on the chart where price is expected to:
1. Continue declining toward the 0.65–0.618 Fibonacci confluence zone.
2. Wick into the FVG and reject from that level.
3. Form a short-term higher low structure and push back to reclaim prior structure highs.
4. Confirm bullish structure continuation with an impulsive breakout from the descending channel.
Market Structure and Liquidity Outlook:
The broader structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. The retracement into the FVG would serve the dual purpose of:
* Grabbing liquidity below recent lows.
* Mitigating unfilled buy-side inefficiency.
Such a development would suggest that institutional participants are filling long orders in the discounted price region, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Key Technical Zones:
* FVG Zone: 94,250 – 94,700
* Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618–0.65 retracement levels
* Liquidity Pool: Below current swing lows leading into the FVG
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is approaching a critical decision zone. A move into the FVG combined with Fibonacci retracement confluence presents an attractive area for potential long entries. Confirmation of bullish reversal structure within this zone could offer a strong trade opportunity in alignment with the broader trend. Patience and precision will be key in waiting for the price to tap into this area and show intent to reverse.
GOLD H1 / 3285 USD & 3155 USD key BUY/SELL Levels🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️correction in progress
▪️3285 USD overhead resistance
▪️Multiple waves of selling in progress
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️3155 USD logical next target short-term
▪️flagging on lower timeframe
▪️waves of profit taking pulling prices down
▪️3285 USD a good level to SHORT
▪️3145/3155 USD will be targeted by BEARS
▪️BULLS wait to BUY/HOLD low later
▪️Once the pullback/correction is over
📊 Gold Market Summary – May 5, 2025
🟡 Current Price: $3,266.20 (+0.82%)
📉 Weekly Close: $3,247.40 (flat for the week after sharp swings)
🇺🇸 US Jobs Data: 177K jobs added in April, earnings growth slowed to 0.2%. Market now watching Fed for rate cut signals.
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
📈 Market Sentiment: Despite volatility, investor outlook stays bullish. Analysts eye mid-term targets above $4,000 if conditions align.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play Hello guys!
Let's analyze Gold!
Gold has recently broken out of a descending wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal, with confirmation coming from a clear bullish divergence near the $3,200 zone. After reaching the target of the descending pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel.
Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone around $3,280–$3,290. If bulls manage to push through this level, we could see a rally toward the next major resistance around $3,320 and beyond.
🔍 Key Points:
✅ Descending wedge breakout confirmed
✅ Bullish divergence near the bottom signals a momentum shift
✅ Price respecting ascending channel structure
📈target of long position: $3,290–$3,320
📉 target of short position and the entry for long: $3,240 zone
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240–$3,250 support area. Watch for a breakout above resistance for further upside continuation.
Gold can correct to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After studying this chart, we can track the progression of Gold's price action from strong bullish momentum to its current consolidation. Initially, the market trended confidently inside an upward channel, with steady growth supported by the lower boundary of the channel and occasional corrections after touching the resistance line. Each pullback respected previous support zones, a strong signal of buyer control at the time. The most impulsive move came after the price exited the buyer zone, followed by a clean breakout above the resistance line of the channel. However, once the price entered the seller zone, we saw the momentum start to fade. A strong rejection occurred near the resistance level at 3370, which eventually triggered a series of lower highs and shifted the market into a more neutral, range-bound phase. Currently, Gold is trading inside a defined range between 3205 and 3370. The bottom of this range aligns perfectly with the buyer zone, which already acted as a strong support during the last decline. We can also observe the market beginning to show signs of reversal after tapping the zone again. Given the reaction from the support area and the structure of the range, I expect the price can bounce back and make another attempt to reach the 3370 resistance level, which is my TP1 for this scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop.
At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week.
Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314.
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action.
Overview of Market Structure:
BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency.
At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market.
Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence:
As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases.
Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption.
The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down.
Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets:
The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows.
Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower.
Internal Structure Observation:
The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone.
Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs.
Conclusion:
This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside.
This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3282 and a gap below at 3224. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly!
The daily chart is unfolding as projected, with price action respecting the structure of the Goldturn ascending channel. A breakout above the channel was confirmed by the EMA5 crossing and closing above the upper boundary. This move extended to test the 3433 Goldturn axis level, where price met resistance. Notably, EMA5 failed to sustain a close above 3433 Goldturn level, confirming a lack of bullish momentum and validating a rejection. Price has since reversed, re-entering the channel.
Below, broader support is identified around 3104, which aligns with the channel’s half line. While this level may not be reached immediately, the current price range between 3297 and 3104 is significant. We may observe continued consolidation within this zone, with the half line gradually ascending. This dynamic could result in price interacting with the half line earlier than a direct move to 3104, providing potential bounce opportunities best monitored through lower timeframes for refined entries and validations.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed:
1. Support Level & Double Bottom
A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
2. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument.
3. Bullish Divergence on RSI
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator.
4. Price Projection
If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets:
Target Point: ~3,501.67
Next Target Point: ~3,729.23
These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections).
5. Entry Setup
The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3260 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3308. This was hit perfectly also completing this target.
We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Quick update on our weekly chart idea, it's been playing out beautifully, helping us track the move down and catch the move back up.
The weekly chart structure is unfolding in line with prior analysis. Price action reached the upper boundary of the ascending Goldturn channel and temporarily broke above it; however, the EMA5 remained confined within the channel, validating the upper trendline as dynamic resistance.
A sustained EMA5 breakout above the channel would have confirmed a potential continuation of the breakout. Currently, price is consolidating within the Goldturn channel, with the 3189 level acting as immediate support. The channel half line of the channel may serve as a stronger swing support area, though price may not retest this level immediately. As the channel continues its upward trajectory, the midline will also rise, potentially aligning with price in future upward movements.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025📊 How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025
A practical action plan for serious gold traders
🔍 1. Know Why Gold Requires Custom Algo Tactics
Gold is volatile, news-sensitive, and driven by macro events like Fed policy, geopolitics, and inflation. Generic stock or crypto bots fail here — gold needs precise, event-aware automation.
🧠 2. Use AI-Powered Bots Trained for Gold Volatility
Deploy bots that adapt to real-time data like CPI releases, bond yields, and geopolitical headlines. Use machine learning models that detect gold breakouts, consolidations, and safe-haven flows.
Top AI algos for gold traders: Multiple systems based on MT4/MT5
Fully-automated, AI-based gold bot with breakout detection, precision entries, and built-in risk control.
⚙️ 3. Build or Choose the Right Algo Strategy for Gold
Trend-Following: Use 21/50 EMA crosses on H1 and H4
Mean Reversion: Bollinger Band fades in range-bound sessions
Breakout Algos: Trigger trades on CPI or FOMC event volatility
Volume-Based AI: Analyze volume spikes vs. historical patterns
🧪 4. Backtest Gold-Specific Models
Always test your bot using historical gold data, especially during NFP weeks, Fed meetings, and geopolitical escalations. Use data from 2018 to 2024 for high-volatility periods.
Tools: TradingView for Pine Script testing, MetaTrader 5 for EA deployment
🛡️ 5. Control Risk with Gold-Specific Parameters
Max drawdown: Keep under 15 percent
Stop-loss: Always use hard stops (not just trailing)
Position sizing: 0.5 to 1 percent of capital per trade
Use volatility filters: Avoid entries during thin liquidity hours
🔄 6. Automate Monitoring and Adaptation
Run multiple bots for breakout, momentum, and reversal setups
Use dashboards to track gold-specific metrics like VIX, USDX, DXY, and 10Y Treasury yields Integrate AI that adjusts parameters after major data releases
🚀 7. Prepare for 2025 Market Structure
Gold is increasingly driven by
Central bank digital currency rollouts
USD de-dollarization risks
Global stagflation or recession themes
DeFi and tokenized gold products
Your algo must factor in these macro narratives using real-time data feeds
📌 Gold Algo Trading Success Plan 2025
Use AI bots built for gold volatility
Trade high-probability breakouts post-news
Backtest with gold-specific macro filters
Maintain strict risk limits with max 15 percent drawdown
Monitor global news and macro data with bot triggers
Continuously optimize and adapt
Gold is not just a commodity — it’s a signal of global risk. Automate smartly, manage risk tightly, and use AI to stay one move ahead.
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3263.7
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3249.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3271.6
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-5-25 : GAP Reversal PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will open with a GAP range from yesterday's candle Body and attempt to reverse the trend we saw last week.
I believe this move will resolve to the downside, as I've been warning of the May 2-5 Major Bottom for many weeks.
I believe the extended uptrend over the last few weeks was pure speculation related to Q1 US earnings. It is hard to argue that traders playing into the Q1 earnings boost didn't play the right side of the trend after watching the markets rally over the past 2+ weeks. But, I still believe the markets will consolidate and attempt to move downward over the next 10- 20+ days.
The one thing that we have to understand is Q1 was almost on auto-pilot from Biden's economy/spending until Trump threw a curveball at the global markets with tariffs.
I don't believe the US & global markets have truly priced in a global -25% to -45% economic contraction because of the ongoing tariff negotiations. It has been reported that shipping rates are down 60% in China. I believe we still need another 30-60+ days to work out the tariff issues and to allow the markets to settle into proper expectations for future economic output/growth.
Because of this, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious.
Sitting on CASH right now (only trading 20% of your total capital) is probably the smartest thing you can do at the moment.
I still expect the July and October 2025 lows to be the base/bottom of the markets, leading to a stronger upward price trend.
Right now, I've very cautious we've just seen a "dead-cat bounce" off recent lows because of Q1 earnings expectations.
Now that we've passed most of the Q1 data - we are staring at Q2 & Q3. What comes next.
I believe Gold/Silver will continue to price in extreme risk factors - resulting in a strong rally through May and into June.
I believe Bitcoin will stall and move back down to the lower consolidation range.
Let's see how things play out this week.
Get some.
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Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,148.98
1st Support: 3,051.82
1st Resistance: 3,430.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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Gold Completes Wave 4 - Pullback – Time for the Next PushGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,223 as I expected in the previous idea (Full Target) .
Gold has managed to break the Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) and is trying to break the Resistance lines and complete the pullback .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing microwave 4 , which could act as a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) . After the completion of microwave 4 , we should expect Gold to attack the Resistance lines to complete microwave 5 .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,232 , and if the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) breaks, we can expect further gains .
Note: If Gold touches $2,272 (the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely
Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily
EMAs:
🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend)
🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend)
🧱 Key Zones
🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area)
📍 ~3,320–3,400
🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here.
⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone
📍 ~3,200–3,250
🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔
🟦 Main Support Zone
📍 ~2,980–3,030
🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound.
📉 EMA Analysis
🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅
🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️
⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️
🔮 Scenarios
🐂 Bullish Path
✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA:
🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone
📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA
🐻 Bearish Path
🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA:
🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone
📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest
✅ Conclusion
📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200
⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA
🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐