Gold May Correct Amid U.S. Inflation Concerns📊 Market Overview
• Spot gold edged up slightly as the U.S. dollar weakened, but is still heading for a ~1.5% weekly drop as strong U.S. inflation data reduced expectations for significant Fed rate cuts.
• Earlier this week, softer-than-expected U.S. CPI data (up 0.2% in July) briefly lifted gold prices to $3,351.46/oz.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: ~$3,350–3,360/oz
• Nearest Support: ~$3,330–3,340/oz
• EMA 09:
If price is above EMA09 → short-term trend is bullish.
If price is below EMA09 → trend is bearish
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
Price action is consolidating in a narrow range, showing a cautious market tone.
No significant breakout signals from volume yet.
📌 Outlook
Gold may rise slightly in the short term if the U.S. dollar continues to weaken and inflation data remains soft. However, if incoming data reinforces the view of fewer rate cuts (e.g., higher PPI, lower jobless claims), gold could correct lower.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy
SELL XAU/USD: $3,350–3,355
🎯 TP: ~$3,330–3,340
❌ SL: ~$3,360
BUY XAU/USD: $3,330–3,335
🎯 TP: ~$3,350–3,360
❌ SL: ~$3,320
Goldbuy
Gold Consolidates Near Key Support – Breakout Ahead?Gold is currently trading near $3,351, consolidating within a tight range after breaking below the ascending trendline from recent higher lows. The market is hovering in a demand zone between $3,342 – $3,360, suggesting indecision before the next move. Gold remains in a short-term consolidation phase, with the broader trend still inside an ascending channel. If buyers hold the $3,342 zone, a rebound toward $3,375–$3,400 is likely. However, sustained pressure below $3,342 could shift momentum in favor of sellers, targeting $3,317 and potentially deeper into the channel support.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $3,367 → $3,383
- Support: $3,342 → $3,317 → $3,302
- Breakout Zones: Below $3,338: Opens room to $3,310 and below. Above $3,390: May lead to fresh highs toward $3,410+
Note
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Gold Breaks Rising Wedge – Bearish Targets AheadGold recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern near the $3,385–$3,390 area, signaling potential bearish momentum. Price is currently trading around $3,360, staying below the broken wedge support and also below the main trendline. This breakdown aligns with a shift from short-term bullish to corrective/bearish movement. The trend has shifted bearish unless it reclaims $3,375–$3,388. Short-term bias favors more downside toward $3,350 and $3,342
Key Levels to Watch
- Immediate Resistance: $3,370 – $3,375 (wedge breakdown retest zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,388 – $3,395 (trendline and previous supply zone)
- Immediate Support: $3,350 – $3,352 (short-term Fib and horizontal support)
- Major Support: $3,335 – $3,340 (next demand area)
- Extended Downside Target: $3,322 (Fib 0.22 level)
Note
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Gold Bull Trap and Technical Analysis Outlook (Daily) Bull Trap Analysis
Definition: A bull trap occurs when price breaks above resistance (luring bulls) but reverses sharply downward.
Current Evidence:
Price Action: Gold rallied to $3397.02 but shows exhaustion signs (e.g., long upper wicks on 4H/daily candles).
Volume & VWAP: Declining volume on the breakout + price now below VWAP on 4H charts suggests weak follow-through.
Divergence: Daily RSI (14) at 68 but curling downward while price made a higher high – bearish divergence.
Conclusion: High risk of a bull trap if price closes below $3385 (key support).
1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis
Intraday (5M-4H)
4H: Bearish Engulfing at $3397.02 signals rejection of highs.
1H: Dark Cloud Cover below $3400 confirms bull trap.
30M/15M: Shooting Stars at $3395 indicate exhaustion.
5M: Three Black Crows pattern suggests strong bearish momentum.
Outlook: Bull trap confirmed if $3390 breaks.
Swing (4H-Monthly)
Daily: Gravestone Doji at $3397.02 warns of trend exhaustion.
Weekly: Bearish Harami after 3-week rally signals distribution.
Monthly: Long-legged Doji at all-time highs ($3400) indicates indecision.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Intraday
4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly completing at $3397.02 (D-point).
PRZ: $3390–$3400 (127.2% XA + 161.8% BC).
30M: Bullish Crab forming at $3370 (secondary setup).
Swing
Daily: Bearish Gartley near $3400 (78.6% XA retracement).
Weekly: Potential Bullish Bat at $3350 if correction extends.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Intraday
4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at $3397.02.
Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from $3300 → $3397.02.
Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting $3350 (Wave A).
1H: Sub-wave (v) ending with RSI divergence.
Swing
Daily: Wave 3 of primary bull cycle nearing completion at $3400.
Weekly: Wave (iii) of larger impulse, expecting Wave (iv) correction to $3300.
Monthly: Wave V of multi-year bull run, nearing major resistance at $3400.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Intraday
Phase: Distribution (after markup from $3300 → $3397.02).
Signs: High volume at $3397.02 (supply), failed upthrust above $3400.
Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating.
Swing
Daily: Late Markup → Distribution at $3400.
Weekly: Accumulation completed at $3200; now in Markup but showing signs of exhaustion.
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Time Theory
Intraday: Key reversal windows:
UTC+4: 08:00–10:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal).
Swing:
Daily: 12th Aug (4 days from close) for time squaring.
Weekly: 16th Aug (1 week) for cycle turn.
Square of 9
$3397.02 → Resistance Angles:
0° ($3400), 90° ($3420), 180° ($3450).
Support: 45° ($3350), 315° ($3300).
Angle Theory
4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from $3300 low at $3350. Price overextended.
Daily Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at $3397.02 acting as resistance.
Squaring of Price & Time
Price Range: $3300 → $3397.02 (97.02 points).
Time Squaring: 97 hours from $3300 low → $3400 resistance.
Ranges in Harmony
Primary Range: $3300–$3450 (150 points).
50% Retracement: $3375 (critical support).
61.8% Retracement: $3350.
Secondary Range: $3350–$3400 (50 points).
Price & Time Forecasting
Intraday Targets:
Short-Term: $3350 (61.8% Fib).
Extension: $3300 (Gann 45° angle).
Swing Targets:
Weekly: $3300 (Wave (iv) target).
Monthly: $3200 (38.2% retracement of entire bull run).
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Intraday (4H)
Cloud (Kumo): Price below Kumo (bearish).
Tenkan-sen: $3390 (flat, resistance).
Kijun-sen: $3375 (support).
Chikou Span: Below price (confirms bearish momentum).
Swing (Daily)
Cloud: Thick cloud resistance at $3400–$3420.
Tenkan/Kijun: Bearish crossover at $3390.
7. Indicators
Intraday
RSI (14): 68 (4H) → Overbought; divergence at highs.
Bollinger Bands: Price tagging upper band ($3400); contraction signals volatility.
VWAP: $3380 (acting as dynamic resistance).
Moving Averages:
50 SMA: $3350 (support).
200 EMA: $3300 (major support).
Swing
Daily RSI: 72 (overbought, divergence).
Weekly BB: Upper band at $3420 (resistance).
Monthly VWAP: $3200 (major support).
200 WMA: $3100 (long-term bull support).
Synthesized Forecast
Intraday (Next 24H)
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Trigger: Break below $3390 (1H close).
Targets: $3350 (T1), $3300 (T2).
Timeline: 8–12 hours (UTC+4 10:00–14:00).
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Trigger: Sustained close above $3400.
Target: $3420 (Gann 90° angle).
Swing (1–4 Weeks)
Bearish Scenario:
Targets: $3300 (Wave (iv)), $3200 (38.2% retracement).
Timeline: 5–10 trading days.
Bullish Scenario:
Trigger: Close above $3420.
Target: $3450 (Gann 180° angle).
Intraday
Entry: Short at $3390–$3400 (stop-loss above $3410).
Targets: $3350 (T1), $3300 (T2).
Risk-Reward: 1:3 (20-point risk, 60-point reward).
Confirmation: 1H close below $3390 + RSI <50.
Swing
Entry: Short at $3400 (stop-loss above $3420).
Targets: $3300 (T1), $3200 (T2).
Risk-Reward: 1:4 (20-point risk, 80-point reward).
Confirmation: Daily close below $3390 + Ichimoku bearish crossover.
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Gold Technical Analysis - Testing Key ResistanceGold has been showing a short-term bullish momentum after bouncing from the 3285 support zone, forming an ascending channel visible on the chart. The price is currently trading near 3361, close to the upper boundary of the channel and a key horizontal resistance level at 3365–3370. If the bullish momentum continues and price breaks above 3365–3370, we could see further upside toward 3396 and potentially 3400+. However, a failure to hold above this level could trigger a short-term retracement toward 3335–3325 support.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish: If price sustains above $3,365, we could see an upside push toward $3,396 and possibly higher to $3,410 resistance.
- Bearish: A rejection near the channel top or $3,365 may lead to a pullback toward $3,325 (Fib 0.5) and then $3,285 support.
🔑 Key levels to watch:
- Upside: $3,365 → $3,396 → $3,410
- Downside: $3,335 → $3,325 → $3,285
- Trend Bias: Short-term bullish as long as price stays above 3325
Note
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Gold Technical Analysis - Bullish Momentum or Pullback Ahead?Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,371, showing a bullish bias within an ascending channel. Price is consolidating below key resistance at $3,384, and a breakout above this level could lead to a rally toward $3,400–$3,429. On the downside, support lies at $3,340 and $3,312; a break below these could trigger a deeper pullback toward $3,268. The trend remains bullish above $3,340, with buy interest expected on dips, while a confirmed breakdown below $3,268 would shift momentum in favor of bears.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $3,384 → $3,396 → $3,429
- Support: $3,360 → $3,340 → $3,320
📈 Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish: If gold holds above $3,340 and breaks above $3,384, it may rally toward $3,400–$3,429, with potential to reach $3,450+. This keeps the uptrend intact.
- Bearish: If rejected from $3,384, gold could dip to $3,340–$3,312 for a healthy correction before possibly bouncing again. Trend remains bullish unless lower supports break.
📊 Trend Outlook:
- Short-Term Trend: Bullish while inside or above the rising channel
- Medium-Term Trend: Neutral to Bullish; watch for breakout confirmation above $3,384
- Momentum: Consolidating, with potential for a breakout after current sideways structure
Note
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Gold Price Update – Testing Key ResistanceGold is currently trading around 3367, showing strong bullish momentum as it continues to form higher lows, which indicates an ongoing uptrend. The market structure is developing inside a rising wedge pattern, with the price consistently respecting both the ascending support and resistance lines.
Gold is now testing a key resistance zone between 3376 and 3450, an area that previously acted as a major supply zone and caused sharp rejections. A successful breakout and close above 3450 will likely confirm a bullish continuation and may open the door for a rally toward 3500 and possibly 3580. However, if gold fails to break this level, it could retrace back to the 3300 or 3250 support zones, especially if a rejection candle forms in the daily timeframe.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
- Price has approached the upper resistance boundary of the wedge.
- Daily candle is bullish, indicating strong buying momentum.
- However, unless price closes above 3,376–3,450, there’s still a risk of rejection from the top channel and a pullback toward 3,300–3,250.
🔑 Key levels to watch:
- Gold is currently trading around $3,367, just below a crucial horizontal resistance at $3,376
- A strong breakout above $3,376, and especially above $3,450, could open the door for further bullish movement toward the $3,500–$3,600 range, following the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
- On the downside, if price fails to hold the higher low at $3,252, a drop toward $3,200 or even $3,100 is possible aligning with the downward red trendline.
- The structure remains bullish overall, as price is still making higher lows and staying within the rising channel
📊 Weekly Gold Chart Analysis
Gold is currently trading around $3,368, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout in either direction. The price is getting squeezed between lower highs and higher lows, which is a sign of decreasing volatility and approaching breakout.
🔑 Key Technical Insights:
- ✅ Current Structure: Price has been consolidating within a triangle since April 2025 after a strong upward move. It is now near the apex of the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent—most likely in the next 1–2 weeks.
🔼 Bullish Breakout:
- If gold breaks above the triangle resistance (~$3,385–$3,393), it could trigger a sharp rally.
- Upside targets post-breakout: $3,450, $3,500, $3,600+ (if momentum continues)
🔽 Bearish Breakdown:
- A break below the triangle support (~$3,335–$3,325) may lead to a deeper correction.
- Downside targets post-breakdown: $3,285, $3,200
- Possibly $3,100–$3,050 if bearish sentiment intensifies
📉 Volume Drop:
As typical with triangles, volume has likely decreased, signaling indecision. Once volume returns, it will likely confirm the breakout direction.
Note
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Gold Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Currently, price is in a correction phase within this rising channel after hitting the upper resistance near $3,438. The pullback is moving toward the mid and lower channel zones, which is healthy for a bullish continuation. Gold is in a healthy pullback phase inside a bigger bullish trend. If support at $3,358 – $3,373 holds, expect an upward push back to $3,438 → $3,487 → $3,517 in the coming sessions. Only a clean break below $3,309 would signal a deeper bearish move.
Gold is likely to consolidate or retest the lower channel support ($3,358 – $3,373). If buyers defend this zone, the price is expected to bounce back toward $3,400 – $3,420 and eventually retest $3,438.
Key Price Zones
- Main Resistance: $3,438 (if broken, potential rally toward $3,487 → $3,517)**
- Immediate Support: $3,373 (first reaction level)
- Major Support: $3,358 (key level to protect bullish structure)
- Potential Higher Low Zone: Around $3,342.44
Expected Price Behavior
- If gold holds above $3,373 – $3,358, it is likely to form a new higher low near $3,342 – $3,358 before attempting to push higher.
- A successful breakout above $3,438 would indicate continuation of the bullish momentum targeting $3,487 and $3,517 ).
- Failure to hold above $3,358 may open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,309, but the overall trend remains bullish unless that level is broken.
Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Consolidation / corrective pullback within a bullish channel
- Medium-Term Trend: Bullish (higher lows and breakout structure intact)
- Long-Term Trend: Bullish as long as the channel holds above $3,309
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after a strong bullish breakout. The market is likely forming a higher low and may resume upward momentum once the $3,373 – $3,358 zone is confirmed as support. A breakout above $3,438 would validate a bullish continuation toward $3,487 - $3,517.
Note
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GOLD imminent possible buys up to 3,370 This week’s price action on GOLD is shaping up to be very interesting. After weeks of sustained bearish pressure, price has now entered a discounted 2hr demand zone sitting at a swing low, which makes it a high-probability area for a bullish reaction, especially as markets open.
If we do get the expected bullish reaction from this level, I’ll be watching the 3,370 region, where there’s a clean 5hr supply zone. If price reaches that level, I’ll be looking out for distribution and a potential short setup from there.
Confluences for GOLD Longs:
Price has been very bearish recently, so a retracement is expected
Currently sitting in a discounted 2hr demand zone
The overall long-term trend is still bullish
Early signs of accumulation and bullish reaction from this zone
P.S. If price fails to hold this current demand zone and breaks lower, then bearish momentum may continue. In that case, I’ll look for new long opportunities around 3,290 where a deeper demand zone exists.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout Ahead?Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern around $3,389. If it breaks above $3,402, we can expect a bullish continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. Key support lies at $3,367; a breakdown below this level would turn the trend bearish. The overall trend is still bullish, but a breakout is needed for confirmation.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
- Break above $3,392–$3,402 zone.
- Targets: $3,420 > $3,450 > $3,480
- Supported by strong upward BOS (Break of Structure) and higher lows.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
- Breakdown below $3,373–$3,367 zone.
- Targets: $3,355 > $3,345
- Would invalidate current bullish structure and form a lower low.
🔮 Trend Bias:
Bullish Bias remains intact as long as price stays above $3,367 and maintains higher lows. However, consolidation suggests waiting for breakout confirmation from the triangle before entering new trades.
🧭 Trend Outlook:
Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically precedes a breakout — either upward or downward. The price is holding above the key Fibonacci support levels and the overall market structure is bullish, suggesting an upward continuation is more likely if buyers maintain momentum.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 〉LONGAs illustrated, I try to visualize what the next bullish impulse could look like if price holds 3300 as a key psychological and algorithmic price level.
Illustrated are the potential buy areas (a current one and an extended one in case a pullback occurs to manipulate lower levels in the next 24-48 hours).
This projection, if valid, could hold from now until next week, so it can be considered a swing trade to hold at least the next week and into the following one).
--
After this post, I will upload another analysis on the Daily timeframe projecting the longer term move, so make sure to go in my profile to check it out.
GOOD LUCK
Gold Holds Key Support Zone📊 Market Summary
– Gold is currently trading at $3,338/oz, hovering near a key technical support level.
– US Treasury yields remain elevated and the USD is strong, both pressuring gold; however, ongoing concerns over US–EU/Mexico trade tensions continue to support safe-haven demand.
– The market is awaiting the upcoming US PPI data to determine the next directional move.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,372 – $3,375 (23.6% Fibonacci zone – short-term ceiling)
• Nearest Support: $3,338 – $3,330 (tested and bounced at 3,338 per Oanda); deeper support at $3,325 – $3,320 if broken
• EMA 9: Price is below the MA20/50/100 but above MA200 (H1); EMA9 is flat, suggesting a sideways/consolidation trend
• Momentum / Indicators:
• RSI around 44–52 – neutral to slightly bullish
• MACD slightly positive; Stochastic above 50, hinting at short-term overbought conditions
📌 Outlook
– Gold is holding above the 3,338–3,330 support zone. If this level holds and rate-cut expectations strengthen, the price may rebound toward 3,372–3,375.
– However, if the USD continues to strengthen and PPI/CPI data surprises to the upside, gold could break support and head lower toward 3,325–3,320.
💡 Trade Strategy Proposal
🟣 SELL XAU/USD at 3,372 – 3,375
🎯 TP: ~ 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 3,378
🟢 BUY XAU/USD at 3,330 – 3,333
🎯 TP: ~ 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 3,327
XAU/USD analysis & outlookWeekly Outlook: GOLD (XAUUSD)
This week, I’ll be monitoring different scenarios, as price is currently far from any of my key Points of Interest (POIs).
My nearest potential buy is around the 3-hour demand zone. While it's not the most ideal entry—since it isn’t located in a discounted area—I’ll still keep an eye on it.
That said, I would prefer to see a deeper retracement into the 6-hour demand zone, which is in a far more discounted region. This zone offers a stronger setup, and I could see price launching from there again if tapped.
We’ve already seen a strong bullish reaction from last week’s demand zone, and based on current momentum, I could see price continuing upward until it reaches my next sell opportunity—the 3-hour supply zone, which sits at a premium level.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
✅ Bullish structure — price has broken to the upside and remains overall bullish.
✅ Fresh 3H and 6H demand zones formed, which price could return to.
✅ Liquidity above — including trendline liquidity and previous Asia highs.
✅ Fundamentals — potential tariff cuts could fuel long-term bullish momentum for gold.
✅ Bearish Dollar Index (DXY) aligns with the bullish gold outlook.
📌 If price doesn’t retrace and instead continues to push higher, I’ll wait for another break of structure to the upside on the way toward the supply zone before reassessing entries.
Let’s stay focused and let the market come to us. Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead! 👊📈
Gold Rejected at 3329.5, Profit-Taking Pressure Rises📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to 3329.5, approaching key resistance, but quickly dropped to 3319.8 due to strong selling pressure, signaling short-term profit-taking. It’s now slightly recovering and trading around 3321.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3329 – 3335
• Nearest Support: 3308 – 3285
• EMA 09: Price remains above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows long upper wick at resistance. High volume at the top suggests profit-taking activity.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue a short-term correction if it fails to break above 3330 decisively. Bulls need to hold 3308 to maintain the upward structure.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3330 – 3333
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3336
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3302 – 3305
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3399
Gold Might Break Higher As It Hits $3,330 Resistance📊 Market Drivers
Gold has just climbed to $3,330/oz, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Investor expectations of a rate cut in September are keeping bullish momentum alive.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Resistance:
→ $3,330–3,335 (50-day SMA & Fibonacci level)
A breakout above $3,335 could open the door to $3,350+.
• Support:
→ $3,300–3,310 (psychological level & EMA9)
→ Next support lies at $3,275–3,280 if the first zone breaks.
• EMA09:
Price is currently above the 9-EMA, confirming a short-term bullish trend.
• Momentum Indicators:
o MACD is bullish; Stochastics is high — all signaling upside, though a short-term pullback may occur if the resistance holds.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing in the short term if it breaks above the $3,330–$3,335 resistance zone, fueled by bullish sentiment and dovish Fed expectations.
If it fails to break higher, a minor correction toward $3,300–$3,310 could follow.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy
BUY XAU/USD : $3,320–3,325
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,310
SELL XAU/USD : $3,340–3,345
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,350
Gold Weekly Friday Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Thursday, gold maintained a sideways trend, currently trading near $3,370. It hit a low of $3,347 and then rebounded immediately, while yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision had little impact on market volatility. Since Monday, when bearish forces were stronger than bullish ones, the gold market has been seeing equalized bullish and bearish forces, consolidating as it waits for the next stimulus direction.
Once it stabilizes above $3,400 again, there is likely to be an inflection point, and it will gradually rise to test the upper track at $3,460–3,470. At the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure at the middle track of $3,405, with support at $3,345.
Gold may break out of the current range on Friday. Intraday trading can focus on range operations between the support of $3,345 and the resistance of $3,400: when the gold price stabilizes above $3,360, you can lightly go long, with targets sequentially at $3,375 and $3,395; if it is resisted below $3,395, you can try to lightly go short.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3380-3390-3400
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Gold Pulls Back After Testing Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold fell to a low of $3,374 earlier today after testing the $3,434 resistance late last week. The drop was primarily due to profit-taking near recent highs, alongside a mild recovery in the US dollar. Despite this pullback, the medium-term uptrend remains supported by expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,434 – $3,450
• Nearest Support: $3,374 – $3.360
• EMA: Price remains above both EMA 09 and EMA 20, suggesting a continuation of the short-term bullish trend.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
o RSI is holding around 61–63, no longer in overbought territory.
o MACD remains positive, though upward momentum has slowed.
o Bearish candles during the Asian session suggest lingering sell pressure near $3,430. A technical rebound from $3,374 is currently underway.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may consolidate between $3,370–$3,390 in the near term. If the $3,360 support holds, a rebound toward $3,420–$3,440 is likely. However, a stronger USD could increase downside pressure.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,410 – $3,420
🎯 TP: $3,385
❌ SL: $3,430
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,374 – $3,378
🎯 TP: $3,400 – $3,420
❌ SL: $3,360
Gold Outlook: Bulls Defend Support Amid Rising Geopolitical RiskGold (XAU/USD) remains within a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, trading inside an ascending channel. Recently, price attempted to break above the key resistance near $3,450 but failed, leading to a minor pullback toward the mid-channel area around $3,428–$3,430, where buyers are currently defending support. The key support remains at $3,394–$3,400, which also coincides with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
As long as price holds above this level, the bullish trend remains intact, and there is potential for a breakout above the $3,450 resistance zone. If a breakout occurs and price closes above $3,450 on the 4-hour chart, the next bullish targets would be around $3,475 and then $3,500–$3,510. On the downside, if price fails to hold $3,394, it may trigger a short-term bearish correction toward the next support zone around $3,380–$3,370.
Overall, gold is currently in a consolidation phase inside the $3,394–$3,450 range, with a bullish bias above $3,394. A breakout above $3,450 may trigger strong upward momentum, while a break below $3,394 could open the door for a deeper correction.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ~$3,394–$3,400 (channel floor) and intermediate support at $3,430–$3,440 .
Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is $3,445–$3,450, with broader upside potential toward $3,500+ if that break occurs.
Note
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Gold Extends Gains, Eyes 3400📊 Market Overview
• Following softer-than-expected US CPI data, gold surged strongly.
• This morning, gold touched a high of 3377 before pulling back slightly to around 3372.
• A weaker USD and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts remain key bullish drivers.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,400
• Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,310
• EMA09: Price remains above EMA09, signaling a short-term uptrend.
• Candlestick & Momentum: Gold has broken out of a consolidation zone with strong momentum, though short-term overbought signals are emerging.
📌 Outlook
Gold may enter a mild pullback within the 3370–3380 zone before finding fresh momentum from upcoming Fed signals or macro data. Caution is advised when trading near major resistance.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3375–3377
🎯 TP: 3355
❌ SL: 3385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3325–3330
🎯 TP: 3350
❌ SL: 3315