XAU/USD 09 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Golddollar
XAU/USD 08 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
analysis and bias remains remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 07 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price did not print according to previous analysis by failing to target weak internal low.
Price has now printed a bullish iBOS. This is potentially due to the fact that H4 TF was in a bearish pullback phase and reacted at discount of 50% internal EQ which could mean that H4 TF bearish pullback phase is now over and targeting the weak internal high, which is mentioned in H4 analysis.
Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH.
Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red.
Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 01 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 30 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 29 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 28 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 25 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 24 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 23 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 April 2025.
In addition we should be mindful that All HTF's require a pullback and H$ TF has indicated the start of bearish pullback phase as a bearish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
You will note that currently price has mitigated an M15 demand zone and strong low is currently holding.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 22 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 April 2025 I that will wait for price to print a bearish CHoCH but will also continue to monitor price.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, however, the pullback was very minimal with price continuing to print higher-highs. As a result I will again apply discretion and mark the CHoCH in red in order not to distort internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold hits new record — Next stop: $4000!Gold has soared above $3,300 per ounce, setting a new all-time high. Since the beginning of the year, XAUUSD has gained over 20% , and analysts are warning: this may just be the beginning of a rally toward $4,000. As geopolitical tensions flare, supply chains for critical minerals falter, and traditional risk assets crumble, the spotlight is back on gold as the ultimate safe haven.
FreshForex analysts have been forecasting this surge since November 2023. We believe gold will remain a strong investment, supported by a range of powerful factors:
Trade war escalation: Donald Trump has signed executive orders targeting the reduction of U.S. reliance on imported strategic minerals like uranium, cobalt, and rare earths — the market reacted instantly. Conflicts, wars, sanctions, and international tension typically drive investors to seek refuge in gold.
Fed at a crossroads: The probability of a rate cut in May is 92.3% (CME data). Lower interest rates reduce returns on traditional fixed-income instruments like bonds, making gold a more appealing option for investors.
Central banks are stockpiling gold: In Q1 2025, global gold purchases surged 41% compared to 2024. Gold ETFs are holding a record $345.5 billion. Many countries are ramping up gold reserves to diversify away from the U.S. dollar, fueling further demand for physical gold.
Inflation and structural debt crisis in the U.S.: The University of Michigan forecasts consumer inflation at 6.7% — the highest since 1981. Rising yields, budget deficits, and political instability are accelerating capital flight from the dollar.
Goldman Sachs analysts (#GoldmanSac) have once again raised their gold forecast. The investment bank expects gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of this year and $4,000 by mid-2026. Meanwhile, FreshForex believes the $4,000 mark could be tested as early as this year!
XAU/USD 17 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 April 2025. You will note that CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 14 April 2025, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price.
Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed according to yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal high and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3, 357.775.
Alternative Scenario:
As we await for price to print a bearish CHoCH on H4 TF is would be necessary for price to print a bearish iBOS on M15 TF (this is the fractal nature of markets) therefore, it should not come as a surprise is price printed a brearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price.
Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 15 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH as mentioned on various occasions in previous analysis. This is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,235.845.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price printed as per my alternative scenario in yesterday's analysis where I mentioned that due to the narrowing of the internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation and has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal low priced at 3,193.630. However, price could also potentially trade up to mitigate M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 14 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 11 April 2025 by printing higher highs which has repositioned CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, much closer to current price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Due to the extreme bullishness of the market I will be mapping internal structure as it appears.
The reasoning behind this due to the fact of the increasing range of the internal structure. By mapping internal structure as it appears we are more likely to be in a good position to have an early warning of all HTF bearish pullback phase initiations.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis and we are now trading within an establish internal range where you will note that price has printed a double top and has been unable to close above weak internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,244.340.
Alternative scenario:
Due to the narrowing of internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs.
Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Jumps 3% on U.S.-China Tariff BattleGold jumped over 3% to above $3,095 per ounce on Wednesday as U.S.-China trade tensions escalated. President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a reduced 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the lower rate would apply during talks, excluding China and some sectors. In response, China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved levies on €21 billion worth of American exports. Fed minutes showed policymakers expect higher inflation from tariffs but remain uncertain about its scale and duration.
Supporting gold’s rally further, the World Gold Council reported that gold-backed ETFs attracted 226.5 metric tons in inflows during Q1, totaling $21.1 billion in value.
Key resistance is at $3,135, followed by $3,165 and $3,200. Support stands at $3030, then $3010 and $2956.
Gold Experiences Surge with Economic FearsGold soared to around $3,000 per ounce as investors sought refuge from intensifying trade war concerns and recession risks. The U.S. confirmed a new round of tariffs with no exemptions, China faces a record 104% hike. Trump also warned of a forthcoming pharmaceutical import tariff. The market is now focused on the Fed's March meeting minutes, set for release later today, for potential rate cut clues. Ongoing central bank purchases and strong ETF demand, China’s ETF added 233,000 ounces, also supported the rally.
Key resistance is at $3,035, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,956, then $2,930 and $2830.
XAU/USD 09 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 08 April 2025.
However, it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ.
Price has printed as per yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH (I mentioned in yesterday's analysis bullish iBOS in error) indicating bullish phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range and appears to be stuck in between close supply and demand zones where we could see extended rangebound conditions.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,956.565
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: