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Non-farm payrolls are a surprise, and gold hits a record high!Last week, the US dollar index recorded a slight increase at the beginning of the week. The long-term bond yields of countries such as the UK, France, Germany and Japan rose to multi-year highs, putting pressure on non-US currencies and giving the US dollar a respite. Subsequently, a series of weak US employment data dragged down the performance of the US dollar index. Friday's non-farm payroll data was a big surprise. The US dollar fell sharply in the short term and almost wiped out all the gains of the week. It finally closed at 97.72, with an overall slight decline of 0.12% during the week. Gold rose sharply last week and set new highs. As of Wednesday, it had risen for seven consecutive trading days, mainly due to expectations of a Fed rate cut and the market's risk aversion due to tariffs and the US economic outlook. Friday's weak non-farm payroll data helped push gold to a new high, briefly breaking through $3,600, marking the third consecutive week of gains. Spot silver also rose for three consecutive weeks, closing at $40.96, the highest level since 2011. It can be clearly seen that the current lower support on the hourly chart is around 3580. Before the non-farm payrolls data last Friday, the high point of gold was around 3580. After the non-farm payrolls, gold once touched the high of 3600, and the low point of the retracement on Friday night was also here at 3580-3573. Therefore, the current short-term support is at 3580-3570. If it is said that it still cannot retrace to below 3580-3570 today, then gold may refresh the high point of 3600 again in the future. On the contrary, if gold falls below 3570 today and refreshes the low point of Friday's retracement, you should be careful. Judging from the hourly chart, if the entity falls below 3570, it may accelerate back to around 3560. Everyone must pay attention to this. There are many people who go long at the opening today, but the possibility of gold accelerating back cannot be ruled out. Therefore, today's operation is basically to maintain a long position. It is nothing more than a point issue. If it can stabilize above 3580-3570, then you can go long based on this range. On the contrary, if it falls below 3570, you need to wait for the support here at 3560 to go long. However, remember one thing, once it falls below 3560, don't go long again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel1
Gold ended this week successfully,and the trend is under controlStimulated by the non-farm payroll data on Friday, gold rose sharply and set a new historical high. Combined with previous forecasts, we successfully predicted that gold would hit the 3600 line. It finally hit a high of 3600 and then rebounded to 3586 to close. Overall, gold still showed no signs of a sharp decline, and the bullish trend remained strong. Continuous high-point breakthroughs have gradually made market sentiment fearful of heights, but each pullback still becomes a new opportunity to accumulate strength. The market rhythm is completely in line with the bullish logic of pullback-repair-and-re-rush. The daily line continues to oscillate upward on the short-term moving average, and it rises again after the 4-hour oscillation repair. Although there is pressure in the short term, the general direction is still dominated by bulls. The idea for next week remains unchanged. The trend will continue to focus on buying on pullbacks. There is short-term pressure near 3600 above, but once it breaks through, the upper space will open up further. Pay attention to the support in the 3573-3563 area below. Further key support is at the 3550 line. In terms of operation, maintain a low-long rhythm, do not blindly chase the rise, try to avoid contrarian short orders, and wait patiently for the bullish opportunity after the pullback. I will remind you of the specific entry position at the bottom, so remember to follow it.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel1
Gold Price Reaches a New All-Time HighGold Price Reaches a New All-Time High As shown on today’s XAU/USD chart, the price of gold has risen above $3,530 per ounce for the first time in history. In 2025, the increase in gold prices has been driven by sustained central bank purchases, asset diversification, steady demand for so-called safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as general dollar weakness. At the beginning of September, bullish sentiment may have been reinforced by: → Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a nearly 92% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed meeting on 17 September. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is typically seen as a beneficiary of low interest rates. → News from China, where, in the presence of leaders from many countries, the establishment of a SCO development bank was announced. Market participants may have interpreted this as a new source of geopolitical risk and as pressure on the dollar’s status. Donald Trump has already claimed that the summit in China represents a conspiracy against the United States. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart Looking at gold’s price on 11 August, we: → Drew descending lines forming a red channel. → Highlighted an important support zone in the form of a bullish Fair Value Gap (marked as FVG1 in purple). New data allows for the following observations: → FVG1 acted as support in the second half of August. → The red channel lines resemble a large-scale bullish flag pattern within a long-term uptrend, underscored by the EMA. By using the July and August extremes, we can trace the outlines of an upward trajectory (shown in blue). The price is currently near the upper boundary, which could trigger a pullback, given overbought signals on the RSI indicator and investors’ potential desire to take profits after more than a 6% rise over the past 10 days. From a bullish perspective, a possible pullback target could be the potential support area formed by: → FVG2. Although it does not strictly conform to construction rules, it reflects an imbalance in favour of buyers that led to a sharp price rally. Bears attempted to resist around the psychological $3,500 level but were defeated. → Level C, representing the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the A→B impulse. It should be noted that the upward impulse has not yet been exhausted, as indicated by the green lines. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: Gold Prices Climbs AgainMarket Analysis: Gold Prices Climbs Again Gold price climbed again and traded above $3,350. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a steady increase from $3,310 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,378 on the hourly chart of gold. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold, the price found support near $3,310. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $3,330. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,350. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 and $3,378 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed as high as $3,395 before there was a pullback. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,321 swing low to the $3,395 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,378 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first major support is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,358. If there is a downside break below $3,358, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,350. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,310. Immediate resistance is near the $3,395 level. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $3,400. An upside break above $3,400 could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $3,450. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold is about to see a breakthrough surgeGold prices remain stable above the 3360 level, maintaining a strong consolidation. Previously, gold prices quickly retreated and stabilized at 3351, sparking a strong bullish rally, breaking through 3370 and reaching around 3386, continuing the bullish trend. We advise opening long positions between 3350 and 3360, and exiting upon reaching the target of 3375. If your current trading is not satisfactory, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to discuss your trading strategy! Today's Trading Strategy: We need to follow the market and open long positions on pullbacks to the entry price. Based on the 4-hour chart, short-term support is currently around 3360-63, with a focus on the 3350-55 support line. Rebounds to this level will continue to favor a bullish trend. The short-term bullish trend line is 3350. Until the daily chart breaks below this level, continue to buy on dips, primarily following the trend. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Violet_Trading_Strategy
Gold Price Declines Amid Easing Geopolitical TensionsGold Price Declines Amid Easing Geopolitical Tensions It has been announced that a meeting between the Presidents of the United States and Russia will take place this week. Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are expected to meet in Alaska. This will mark the first face-to-face talks between the leaders of the two major powers since 2021, when Putin met with Biden in Geneva. The upcoming meeting is widely seen as a potential step towards ending the full-scale military conflict in Ukraine, which began in 2022. Anticipation of the talks is easing geopolitical tensions, which is reflected in today’s downward movement of the gold price, visible on the XAU/USD chart. XAU/USD Technical Analysis Today, gold prices have fallen to the $3,360 area, with several bearish signals apparent on the chart: → The decline occurred on long bearish candles (as shown by the arrow). From a price action perspective, this suggests mounting selling pressure. → The MACD histogram has moved below zero, with the indicator lines pointing downward. → Gold has broken the upward trendline support from above (marked in blue). The breakout level, around $3,380, may now act as resistance, as sellers have asserted their dominance here. → From a broader perspective, the price appears to be reversing from the resistance line drawn through this summer’s highs. Given these factors,we could assume that gold is heading towards the lower black trendline, which runs through the notable July lows and forms a channel with the upper line. However, along the way, sellers will need to overcome a key support zone in the form of a bullish Fair Value Gap (marked in purple). The upper boundary of this zone is reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level plotted from the bullish impulse points A→B. Whether the bears can push the price through the FVG zone will largely depend on gold’s reaction to tomorrow’s US inflation data (CPI release scheduled for 15:30 GMT+3). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
GOLD Price Forecast: Is the Pullback Over? | Weekly OutlookWill XAUUSD resume its bullish trend, or is more downside ahead? In this video, I break down last week’s gold price movement and the current market reaction to rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, now with the U.S. joining the conflict. We also assess the impact of the Fed’s recent rate hold, weak retail sales, and upcoming high-impact U.S. economic events like PMI, GDP, and Core PCE. 💡 Here’s what you’ll learn: ✅What caused gold’s pullback last week ✅Why institutional traders shake out retail buyers ✅Key fundamentals driving gold right now ✅How to position yourself smartly for the upcoming trading week 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #xauusd, #goldforecast, #goldpriceprediction, #forexanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #forextrading, #tradinggold, #goldnews, #federalreserve, #marketpsychology, #tradingstrategy, #geopoliticalrisk, #usdata, #iranisraeltensions, #goldbullish, #goldbearish, #forexmentor, #xauusdforecast, #tradingview
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥 No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter. – by GoldFxMinds 🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2). After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed. We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet. Expect: Fakeouts before confirmation Traps near equilibrium Massive liquidity sweeps NY session 🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT TF Bias Status D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount. H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174. H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone. M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet. ⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS Session Bias Notes Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation. London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump. NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift. Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries. 📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY 🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed) Zone Price Reason 🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests. 🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed. 3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks. 🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas) Zone Price Reason 3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed. 🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup. 🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection. 🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER Type Level Status Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce. Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play. Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term. Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell. Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here. 🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped. If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110. If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active. If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone. 🎯 FINAL NOTES This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game. We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle. So tomorrow: Track these POIs, not bias. Let the market show you its cards. React only to clean CHoCH or BOS. 💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap. We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update. No fear. No hope. Just levels. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣 ✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly: Premium zone + valid OB FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH) Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054 Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫 🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025 📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected 📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations 📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%) 📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number 💬 Market Reaction? Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly 🔁 What Got Mitigated: ✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145 ✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped ✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled ✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance 🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated: 🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance 🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone) 🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched 🧠 Summary: ✅ Plan respected ✅ NFP added fuel ✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip 🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
Weekly chart The daily improvement in the Greenback motivates Gold prices to give away part of the weekly strong advance and slip back to the vicinity of the $2,700 region per troy ounce at the end of the week. The short-term technical outlook for Gold price continues to favor of Gold buyers as the previous week’s symmetrical triangle breakout remains in play and the yellow metal holds well above all the major daily simple moving averages (SMA). Gold price eyes acceptance above the key static resistance at $2,726 to extend the uptrend toward the $2,750 psychological barrier. The next target is aligned at the record high of $2,790. If the correction unfolds, Gold price will find initial demand at the previous day’s low of $2,690, below which the January 15 low of $2,670 will be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JohnHarry66
1
XAUUSD - GOLD Next Target 1717 AlertSince I have shared all about GOLD. It's main trend is down and still moving down, so you have to just follow a simple logic that price will go up and fall back, just see candlestick where it's forming a strong signal towards down just pull your trade. Still there is no such mark of uptrend in news or anywhere. I think it will take inverse in next month or November as per FED action. Here there are 2 possibility, it can move to resistance 1752 then reverse or just hit bottom trend line and come back. Trade wisely! So let's make it possible and take gold to 1700 and still below. Good luck If you like our idea follow our page and other social media.
TVC:GOLDShort
by rudravasaikarrr
GOLD VS USD - The Relationship Between Gold and the US DollarGold vs. the US Dollar Today, while governments maintain hoards of this yellow metal, none uses it to back their paper money. Gold is usually denominated in U.S. dollars. Therefore, there is a relationship between the price of gold and the dollar, in that there can be an effect on gold prices as the value of the dollar rises and falls. While the relationship between the value of the U.S. dollar and gold is important, the dollar is not the only factor that affects the price of the precious metal. Other factors that affect the value of both gold and the dollar are interest rates, inflation, monetary policy, and supply and demand. The prices of gold and the dollar may often appear to oppose each other due to investor sentiments and economic factors, but there is no set or official relationship between the two. Gold is an asset. As such, it has intrinsic value. However, that value can fluctuate over time, sometimes in a volatile fashion. As a rule, when the value of the dollar increases relative to other currencies worldwide, the price of gold tends to fall in U.S. dollar terms. It is because gold becomes more expensive in other currencies. As the price of any commodity moves higher, there tend to be fewer buyers; in other words, demand recedes. Conversely, as the value of the U.S. dollar moves lower, gold tends to appreciate as it becomes cheaper in other currencies. Demand tends to increase at lower prices. Gold does not yield interest in itself; therefore, it must compete with interest-bearing assets for demand. In other words, other assets will command more demand because of their interest rate component. There is also a psychological factor attached to the value of gold. The price of gold is often sensitive to the overall perceived value of fiat or paper currencies in general terms. Here's one way of looking at this relationship: There are approximately 330 million people in the United States, while the total world population is around 7.7 billion.5 Less than 5% of the world lives in a nation where the U.S. dollar is the national currency. Aside from its role as a metal or a commodity, gold is one of the oldest means of exchange known to the human race. In fact, gold has a dual role as both a commodity and a currency. Gold has amazing properties; as a metal, it is soft, dense, lustrous, brilliant, ductile, and malleable. Gold's History and Symbolism Throughout history, civilizations have coveted gold. Even today, gold remains the ultimate prize. Gold is not only a prize and a symbol of wealth, it is also a metaphor. It's an honor to receive a gold medal, to be told you have a heart of gold, or to own a gold credit card. The exchange of gold bands symbolizes love and marriage in many societies. Gold is the ultimate symbol of the pinnacle of human achievement. Today it continues to be a psychological barometer of market sentiment. Gold is a rare metal. In the history of the world, mining has produced only 187,000 tonnes. The fact that governments worldwide hold gold as a foreign exchange reserve highlights the importance of the metal. Throughout history, many governments used gold to back their currencies, creating a gold standard. Gold's Role The role of gold as a currency is ubiquitous around the world. Throughout history, gold has been money. The ancient philosopher Aristotle wrote that money must be durable, divisible, consistent, and convenient and that it must possess value in itself. Gold meets all of these characteristics. During times of fear or geopolitical turmoil, the price of the historic metal tends to rise as faith in governments falls. During times of calm, the price of gold tends to fall. As perhaps the world's oldest and most storied currency, gold is an essential barometer in terms of global economic and political well-being.
TVC:GOLD
by rudravasaikarrr
XAUUSDNOT TRADING THIS MOVE! I think once more leg and drop it like it HOT. Every indicator is exhausted. This is a wave 5 bubble and when it pops, don't get burnt! Where it goes up to is anyone guess now - the yellow lines mark some daily candle resistances - but really this is nothing significant. - It's in the hands of the big banks now to wheel the retail traders in with sensationalised headlines such as "Gold reaches 9 year highs" - time for FOMO for alot of people - don't be that guy! or Girl! Catching the "top" is a mugs game lol Happy to catch the wave down however. Good luck all!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by imk1983-fX
4