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Goldprediction

XAUUSD: Fluctuation of $30/ounce. Do you want to know?Yesterday, I frantically notified followers to buy around 3366-3375, and the market finally rose to 3430. This is a huge profit. I will continue to update it in the Band Trading Center Research Institute later. If you don’t want to miss it, follow me. If you see it but are still not sure how to trade. Then you can leave me a message at the Swing Trading Center Research Institute. I will reply to you one by one when I see it. This week, some followers have achieved weekly profits of 50%-268%. If your profit is not ideal. Or don’t know how to trade. Remember to like and follow. I will lead everyone to victory. Buy around 3400-3410. When will it close? I will post the results on the Swing Trading Center. Stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WIN_Ludvig
Gold is strong. Can it continue?On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed an upward trend. The highest price rose to 3433.32 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3383.21, closing at 3431.46. On Tuesday, gold prices fluctuated during the early trading session and then corrected downward. During the European session, the price fluctuated mainly and fell weakly. It rose before the US session and hit the high point of the week again in the US session, and finally ended with a big positive line. From the four-hour level, the technical adjustment needs, but the speculation of risk aversion suppressed this demand. There is a contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects, and it is necessary to wait for the market sentiment to stabilize before clarifying the direction. In the early Asian session, it hit a high of 3438 and then fell back. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of reaching the top. The support position is 3400-3405. If it falls to 3400, it may continue to adjust to around 3385. The probability of closing the negative line today is relatively high. If the price stabilizes above 3400, it is likely to maintain high fluctuations. Today's market is complicated. Although the bullish trend has not changed, it is not advisable to be overly bullish. The operation is mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The upper pressure position focuses on 3440-3450. Operation strategy: Short near 3440-3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3420-3410. Long near 3390, stop loss 3380, profit range 3420-3430.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Chart analysis Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Chart analysis **Chart Overview** * **Current Price:** \~\$3,423.68 * **Recent Trend:** Bullish (Strong upward movement before recent consolidation) * **Timeframe:** 1-hour chart * **Indicators Used:** * EMA 7 (Blue) * EMA 21 (Purple) * Bollinger Bands (Red/Green lines) * Volume bars at bottom **Bullish Momentum Signals** 1. **Strong Uptrend**: * Price surged rapidly above \$3,400, breaking multiple resistance levels. * Higher highs and higher lows confirm bullish structure. 2. **EMA Crossover**: * The shorter-term EMA (7) is above the longer-term EMA (21), signaling a bullish bias. * Price is currently near the EMAs, suggesting a possible retest of dynamic support. 3. **Bollinger Bands**: * The price touched the **upper band**, indicating strong momentum. * Bands are widening — a sign of increased volatility and continuation potential. **Support and Resistance Zones** * **Resistance Zone**: \~\$3,430–\$3,435 * Price was rejected here multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure. * A breakout above this could send price toward the next level at \~\$3,450. * **Support Zone**: * Minor: \~\$3,417–\$3,418 (aligned with EMAs and lower Bollinger Band) * Major: \~\$3,400 zone (previous breakout area and volume support) **Bullish Setup** * The **green arrow** suggests a bullish breakout is anticipated above \$3,430. * If price holds above \$3,417 (EMA + BB support), the bulls could push it to **\$3,445–\$3,450** short-term. **Risk** * A break below \$3,417 and especially below \$3,400 could invalidate the bullish scenario and invite a correction. * Watch for volume confirmation on any breakout to confirm strength. **Conclusion** Gold is in a **consolidation phase** after a strong rally. If support around \$3,417–\$3,418 holds, a breakout above \$3,430 could trigger a move to **\$3,445–\$3,450**. However, a break below EMAs would shift momentum back to neutral or bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
After reaching FULL TP. Relax and wait for strong support zone✏️Continuing yesterday's bullish wave structure, Gold has reached the Target level of 3400. In the European session, there is a possibility of a correction to some important support zones. And the US session will continue to aim for a level higher than 3400. Today's strategy is still quite similar to yesterday's strategy when waiting for the areas where buyers confirm to enter the market to FOMO according to the main trend. 📉 Key Levels Support: 3375 - 3363 Resistance: 3400-3427 Buy Trigger: Rejects the support zone 3375 and reacts to the upside Buy Trigger: Rebound from 3363 BUY DCA: Break and trading above 3400 Target 3427 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VHT_Trader
12
Price channel break. Will the downtrend take place?✏️USDCAD broke the price channel and started forming a bearish wave. The resistance zone of 1.370 played an important role in starting the bearish wave. 1.365 is the immediate support zone that the pair faces. If it wants to extend the decline, it needs to close the h1 candle below this price zone. The convergence between the trendline and the resistance of the Asian session will be a reliable support point for a downtrend to take place. 📉 Key Levels Support: 1.365-1.356 Resistance: 1.370 SELL Trigger: Rejects bellow 1.370 SELL DCA Trigger: Break support 1.365 Target 1.356 BUY Trigger: Break and trading above resistance 1.370 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
9
Gold stabilizes. Sets a new high?Gold continues to rise, with uncertainty in trade negotiations and the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting being key variables. If no agreement is reached before August 1, the high tariffs imposed by the United States on major trading partners may trigger greater risk aversion demand, pushing gold prices further up; if the negotiations make a breakthrough, the market risk appetite will rebound, and gold prices may face correction pressure. Gold has shown a strong upward trend recently. It closed with a small positive on Friday last week and closed with positive for two consecutive trading days this week, forming a three-day positive trend, with strong short-term momentum. In terms of indicators, the moving average diverges upward, with obvious bullish trend characteristics, and the support below needs to focus on the moving average performance. At present, the gold price has broken through the trend line formed by connecting the previous high points. The primary focus on the upside is near the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The upper focus is on the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The first support below is the 3390-3385 area, which is close to yesterday's low and is also an early trading intensive area. The second support focuses on the vicinity of 3360. In terms of operation, it is still mainly low-long, and short selling is not considered before the upward trend reaches 3450. Operation strategy: Short around 3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3430-3310 Long around 3400, stop loss 3390, profit range 3420-3430
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
XAU/USD outlook: Bullish momentum building after breakoutGold saw a powerful rally yesterday, surging from $3,350 to nearly $3,400 — an impressive $50 move, equivalent to 500 pips. From a macroeconomic perspective, this recent uptrend in gold is driven by a combination of supportive factors. First, the U.S. dollar has shown clear signs of weakness following dovish signals from several Federal Reserve officials, who hinted at potential rate cuts if the U.S. economy begins to slow. In addition, geopolitical risks such as renewed U.S.–China trade tensions, instability in the Middle East, and slowing growth in China are all pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. Another key driver is the ongoing accumulation of gold by central banks worldwide — particularly China and Turkey — highlighting gold’s growing appeal as a strategic reserve asset. Together, these factors have built a strong foundation for gold’s upward momentum, explaining why prices remain above yesterday’s opening level, despite the current short-term pullback. From a technical and short-term outlook, gold (XAU/USD) continues to show a bullish setup supported by both price structure and market sentiment. On the H2 timeframe, gold remains in a clear uptrend, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. After breaking through a strong resistance zone around $3,374 (aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level), price surged to a peak of $3,403 before entering a healthy retracement phase. Currently, the $3,367–$3,374 zone is acting as newly-formed support — a key confluence area that aligns with: A former resistance now flipped into support, The 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement cluster, And a bullishly aligned short-term EMA structure. In the short term, as long as this support zone holds, the bullish outlook remains valid. A successful retest of this area could reignite buying pressure, with the next target set around $3,423 — in line with the projected extension of the previous bullish leg. However, if buyers fail to defend this zone, the bullish setup could be invalidated or lose momentum. This area warrants close monitoring of price action and volume behavior to confirm the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brian_Nguyenn
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Resistance Turned Support, 📈 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Resistance Turned Support, Bullish Continuation Expected Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone around $3,400, which now appears to be acting as a new support level. This structure shift signals a classic break-and-retest scenario, commonly observed in bullish continuations. 🔍 Key Observations: Structure Shift: Previous resistance near $3,400 has been broken with strong bullish candles, suggesting buyer dominance. This level is now expected to serve as support. Bullish Momentum: The move from the $3,320 support zone to above $3,430 was accompanied by clear trend formation and clean market structure, indicating sustained momentum. Retest in Progress: Price is currently pulling back toward the new support zone ($3,400). If this area holds, a bullish reaction is expected. Next Target: If support at $3,400 holds as expected, price could rally back toward the next resistance and projected target of $3,460. 📚 Educational Insight: This setup illustrates the principle of resistance becoming support (RBS)—a foundational concept in technical analysis. After a breakout, a successful retest of former resistance often provides a high-probability entry point for trend continuation trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold at a Crossroad: Long or Short? Key Levels in FocusThere are three chart of Gold . Gold1! is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with resistance positioned between 103500-104000 levels. Gold1! is facing Pivot Point resistance around the 103500 level, indicating potential supply pressure. Gold1! is approaching the parallel channel resistance, and the upside move is nearly complete in percentage terms, with resistance around 103800-104000. if this level sustain then we may see first of all higher prices then again fall in gold1! Thank You !!
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by FiveCircles
Bulls are still the main theme, 3400 is not the high point📰 News information： 1. Fed Chairman Powell delivers a welcome speech at a regulatory conference 2. The tariff deadline is approaching 📈 Technical Analysis： Today's opening high reached around 3402, and did not effectively break through the upper resistance of 3405-3415. As I said yesterday, a decline and return to the moving average is an inevitable result. The tariff issue is still there, with the deadline on August 1, and the daily MACD indicator still shows a golden cross. The general direction of short-term bullishness has not changed, but from a technical point of view, gold still has room to fall to correct the overbought part. Below the day, we first focus on the top and bottom conversion position of 3377-3375. As time goes by, the 4H middle track will probably resonate with the 50% position of the Fibonacci line at 3355, which is also a good long position I expect. Therefore, if the price falls back to 3380-3375 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long. If the price continues to fall, pay attention to the second opportunity to go long at 3355, with the target at 3390-3410. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3380-3375 TP 3390-3410 BUY 3360-3350 TP 3370-3380 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold is under pressure. Can it break through?Since the "W bottom" pattern was formed at the low of 3344 US dollars, the gold price broke through the neckline of 3380 and further stabilized at 3400 today, confirming the continuation of the medium-term upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, with the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages diverging upward in turn, and the support strength is stable. The MACD indicator golden cross continues to expand, the upward momentum is enhanced, and no divergence occurs; the RSI indicator rises to around 76. Although it enters the overbought range, there is no obvious turn, indicating that the bullish momentum is still being released. The current support level has risen to around 3390, and the support level has risen sharply. The resistance position needs to pay attention to 3430-3440. At present, several times have tested above 3430, but they have not stabilized above this position. Operation suggestions: 3390-3400 light position to try more, stop loss 3360, profit range 3435-3445. If it encounters resistance and falls back near 3435, you can consider short-term short orders with stop loss at 3445 and profit range at 3400-3380. Although the upward momentum continues, some risk information still needs to be paid attention to; this week, we need to pay attention to the US June existing home sales data (July 23), the preliminary value of the second quarter GDP (July 25) and the core PCE price index (July 26). If the data is stronger than expected, it may trigger expectations of interest rate cuts.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold Price Analysis July 22Gold continues to maintain its upward momentum as expected, and yesterday's session reached the target of 3400. This is a signal that the bullish wave structure is still holding. In today's European trading session, the price is likely to make a technical correction to important support zones before continuing the main trend in the US session. The current trading strategy still prioritizes following the uptrend, focusing on observing price reactions at support zones to find safe entry points. Waiting for buyers to confirm participation is a key factor to avoid FOMO at the wrong time. 🔑 Key Levels Support: 3375 – 3363 Resistance: 3400 – 3427 ✅ Trading Strategy Buy Trigger #1: Price reacts positively and rejects the support zone at 3375 Buy Trigger #2: Price rebounds strongly from the deeper support zone at 3363 Buy DCA (Moving Average): When price breaks and holds above 3400 🎯 Next Target: 3427 📌 Note: It is necessary to closely monitor price reaction at support zones to determine whether buying power is strong enough. If there is no clear confirmation signal, it is better to stay on the sidelines and observe instead of FOMOing to place orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold breaks and turns upward! Will it break through 3403? Or wil Gold fluctuated sideways for another day in this transaction, and only showed signs of further upward attack near the US market. The current gold price is around $3,400/ounce. The gold price is falling from the more than one-month high of $3,403/ounce hit in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and fell to the lowest level of 3,383 before turning around again. So how will the trend be today? Let me explain it to you below! Why did gold rise across the board this week? 1 On Monday, the uncertainty surrounding the trade agreement between the United States, Japan and the European Union increased, raising concerns about the prospects for US economic growth and suppressing the US dollar. The fate of gold is still closely tied to the trend of the US dollar, which is currently under pressure from US President Trump's tariff negotiations. 2 In addition, Trump has repeatedly called on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to resign, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, causing US bond yields to continue to decline, and also putting pressure on the US dollar. The record rise in Wall Street stock indexes has weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar and the attractiveness of yields, thereby helping gold prices to continue their gains since Friday. What do you think of the future trend of gold! From the current market situation, the trend is still in a very strong market, and the current high point of 3403 is in danger. It can only be said that if it breaks through again today, the upper pressure needs to see the 3420 line. This week's trend has not given any chance to step back. It is either a slow rise or a sudden strength in the sideways market. There is basically no chance to enter the market at a suitable position! From the current 4-hour trend, there is basically no escape from today's strength, and the current problem is actually whether there is a suitable entry opportunity. Prepare for both hands. One is to look at the previous high of 3403. If it breaks through strongly, go long directly, and look at the 3412-20 line. If it retreats first, then look at the vicinity of 3385 and see the second rise in the US market! Gold: Long near 3385-87, let go of 75, and the target is 3412-20! If it rises directly and breaks through 3403, you can try to break through long with a light position, and still look at the 3412-20 line above!
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
The bull market of xauusd continues, buy and wait for the rise.As predicted in the band trading center in advance over the weekend. The daily level trend is still very stable, and the breakthrough trend has been perfectly carried out. The current quotation is 3388. It is only a matter of time before it rises wildly to the position of 3430. The short-term will definitely break through. The current bull market is clear and has huge potential. The limit of the triangle consolidation phase is about to be broken. Then the bulls will continue to rise. Therefore, buying is the key operation plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WIN_Ludvig
XAUUSD:Retracement is a buying opportunityAfter the Asian market hit the highest position of 3403, there was some decline. The current gold price is 3386. From the short-term trend of the hourly level. It is still fluctuating at a high level. Combined with the trend of the daily level, there are signs of retracement and counterattack. There is no news dominance. It is purely a technical repair after hitting the high. This retracement can pay attention to the support near 3382-3378. The London and New York markets are still based on buying and profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WIN_Ludvig
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly like we analysed. As a follow up from yesterday, after completing 3356, we noted that EMA5 cross and lock opening 3404, which was hit perfectly today as analysed. With strong momentum, we also cleared the 3424 Bullish Target. We will now look for an EMA5 lock above 3424 to open the next bullish level at 3439. Alternatively, a rejection here may see lower Goldtruns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends. The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the difference between the two. BULLISH TARGET 3356 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3381 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3404 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3458 BEARISH TARGETS 3331 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3311 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 3266 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
34
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders! President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost. We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential. Technical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend. The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum. Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Don't chase the bullish trend,wait for the short position layout#XAUUSD The tariff policy recently announced by the US government is undoubtedly the focus of the current gold market. Trump also tied the tariffs to the trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, adding to policy uncertainty. ⚖️ The implementation of the tariff policy may push up commodity prices, thereby exacerbating inflationary pressure, which is both an opportunity and a challenge for gold📊. On the one hand, rising inflation expectations may enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields may offset this positive. 💡 At present, the lower support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area, where a top-bottom conversion position will be formed. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches this for the first time, you can try to see a double top fall. 🚀SELL 3385-3390 🚀TP 3365-3355
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
Gold 3400, gold price returns strongly 💡Message Strategy The Fed's monetary policy divergence has intensified. Fed Board member Waller advocates a 25 basis point rate cut in July, believing that tariff inflation is temporary; Board member Kugler insists on maintaining high interest rates to fight inflation; Chicago Fed member Goolsbee believes that the latest consumer price index data shows that tariffs have pushed up commodity inflation, and is "slightly concerned" about this, but then expounds on a different view, that is, interest rates are expected to fall sharply in the coming year. It implies that there may be a "substantial rate cut" in the next 12 months. At present, the Fed has gradually begun to prepare for a rate cut. Whether this is the result of pressure from Trump or the Fed has gradually shown optimism about inflation and concerns about recession, a rate cut is imminent. At present, the market expects the probability of a rate cut in July to rise to 30%, and the probability of a rate cut in September to 54%. In terms of tariffs, the countdown to August 1 tariffs: the United States plans to impose a 30% tariff on the EU/Mexico, and the EU has drawn up a retaliation list of $84.1 billion. The US Secretary of Commerce expressed confidence that an agreement can be reached with the EU, and small countries need to pay a 10% base tariff. Tariffs will be levied on August 1. At present, Trump has a tough stance, requiring the minimum tariff of the European and American agreement to be set at 15%-20%, and the scope of exemptions is narrowed (only aviation, medical equipment, etc.). The deadline is approaching, and the market has also begun to start a risk-averse expectation mode. 📊Technical aspects From the 1H cycle trend structure, gold is currently rebounding upward and breaking through the 4H level downward trend line. From the indicator point of view, the 1-hour level Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator breaking through the baseline on the turning line, the delay line stands firmly above the K line, the future cloud is an upward cloud, and the bullish signal is significant. Gold is currently in the center of the rising channel cloud. Today, we can focus on the support brought by the lower boundary of the channel and try to go long. Gold rose as expected, and the bulls began to remain strong. Once gold breaks through the upper pressure, it will continue to gain momentum, and gold bulls are expected to reach a higher level. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3370-3380，SL：3350，Target: 3420,3400
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
3400 is no longer the target for gold. The answer is: higher After gold touched 3,400, most people expected gold to fall back. This kind of rigid thinking is often out of touch with reality. During the rise, do you think it is better to short at highs or to go long on pullbacks? 💡Message Strategy This round of gold's upward movement is not accidental. Behind it are significant changes in macro fundamentals. First, the overall weakening of the US dollar. The recent decline of the US dollar index to below the 98 mark reflects the market's concerns about the outlook for the Fed's policy. At the same time, the 10-year US Treasury yield also fell below 2%, and the actual yield fell, strengthening the relative attractiveness of gold. More worthy of vigilance are the political rumors surrounding the re-election of Fed Chairman Powell. According to the Wall Street Journal, US Treasury Secretary Bessent once advised the president to avoid removing Powell from office to maintain the reputation of the Fed. However, speculation about Powell's possible dismissal remains, although Trump himself publicly denied the relevant plan. In addition, Europe's actions have also disturbed the market. According to Bloomberg, citing EU diplomatic sources, if no agreement is reached before August 1, the EU will impose retaliatory tariffs on US products worth US$72 billion, covering areas such as automobiles, aircraft, alcohol and digital services. These messages have formed a risk resonance environment of "political uncertainty + economic friction", providing a natural long hotbed for gold. Although the US economic data is slightly mixed - consumer confidence has rebounded, but inflationary pressure continues, with CPI approaching 3% in June - this has made the market full of doubts about the Fed's monetary policy path. Especially in the case of sparse economic data this week (only new housing data, initial claims and durable goods orders), the market focus is on the impact of political and policy conflicts on market confidence. 📊Technical aspects From the daily candlestick chart, gold has recently shown signs of breaking upward after five weeks of sideways fluctuations. In terms of MACD indicators, the MACD histogram has turned from green to red, and the fast and slow lines have formed a "golden cross", strengthening the expectation of a short-term technical rebound. For gold's lower support, pay attention to last week's high of $3,380, which is also the current 4-hour MA10 moving average position. Secondly, pay attention to the multiple declines in gold prices in the European session on Monday to test the stabilization position of $3,370. For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the intraday high of $3,402, which is also the high point of gold's rise on Monday. After the decline in June, gold prices rebounded several times to test resistance here and further strengthened. The upper space can pay attention to the high point of the past three months at $3,440. The previous five weeks of consolidation showed that the market was waiting for directional signals, and this breakthrough of the 3,400 mark was achieved against the dual backdrop of a falling US dollar and rising political uncertainty in the United States, with the typical characteristics of "news trigger + technical confirmation". If gold successfully stabilizes above 3400, the market will turn its attention to the two key resistance areas of 3451 and 3499, the year's high. Breaking through the former will open up space to test new historical highs upwards; combined with the current MACD golden cross pattern, if the capital side and fundamentals continue to cooperate, short-term accelerated rise cannot be ruled out. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3370-3380，SL：3350，Target: 3420,3440
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
2
Gold prices soared! Gold hit a five-week high!Market news: On Tuesday (July 22) in the early Asian session, spot gold rose and fell, and is currently trading around $3,390/ounce. Driven by the weakening of the US dollar, the decline in US bond yields and the increasing uncertainty in trade policies, the gold market broke out again, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark, hitting a five-week high. As the deadline for the United States to impose new tariffs on global trading partners on August 1 approaches, market uncertainty provides strong support for international gold.In addition to the trade situation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends have also added momentum to the rise in gold prices. The market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has risen to 59%. The Federal Reserve's July meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the market's expectations for an October rate cut have been fully digested. These policy uncertainties have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset.This week, the London gold price ushered in a "critical node" market. Trade policy, US dollar fluctuations, central bank trends and safe-haven fund flows will become the core driving force of the long-short game in the gold market. On this trading day, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting. Pay attention to whether Powell involves remarks related to monetary policy. In addition, continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation and geopolitical situation. Technical Review: The gold daily chart is strong and oscillating upward. The MA10/7-day moving average maintains a golden cross and opens upward. The hourly chart and the four-hour chart Bollinger band open upward, the moving average system maintains an upward opening, and the price fluctuates upward along the MA10-day moving average. Yesterday, the Asian session fell slightly to 3346 and stabilized. The bottoming out and pulling up again broke through and stood on the hourly line middle track, which means short-term stabilization! So yesterday's Asian session rose, the European session continued to break high, and the US session still had a second pull-up; but because it is in a period of oscillation, wait patiently for a wave of stabilization before taking action. The reference point selected should pay attention to the 382 split support, that is, 3370, which happens to be the top and bottom conversion support point, followed by the 3356-3358 split support and the middle track. Today's analysis: Gold rose strongly yesterday, breaking the highest level in the past month. After the price of gold rose yesterday, it did not rise and fall like before. Instead, it broke through multiple resistances and came to the 3400 mark. From the one-hour market, the direction of the market is very clear, but it is still not recommended to buy directly. Waiting for a fall before getting on the train is the safest strategy!The Asian session gold price was blocked near 3400, and the one-hour market showed a small double top structure, which means that the market will still adjust in a short time. Therefore, do not buy in the Asian session, wait for the adjustment to continue to buy, and the support below is the top and bottom conversion position of 3370. After the Asian session gold price adjusted to 3370 and walked out of the bottom structure, continue to buy. The general direction of this round is to look at the 3450 line! Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3375-3378, stop loss at 3366, target at 3400-3420; Sell short-term gold at 3425-3428, stop loss at 3436, target at 3390-3370; Key points: First support level: 3383, second support level: 3370, third support level: 3358 First resistance level: 3403, second resistance level: 3416, third resistance level: 3428
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu