GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas completed, as analysed.
This is our 4h chart update that started with the open Bullish target and then all the way to the top into our final target with a few pips short and then followed with a perfect rejection on our final Goldturn.
The price dropped into each lower Goldturns for support and gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces like we always state. The final drop went and completed the open bearish target at 3282, completing this chart idea top to bottom.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503 - DONE (FELL SHORT BY A FEW PIPS)
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldprediction
GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!
The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged!
At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
Gold-----Buy near 3311, target 3340-3360Gold market analysis:
Gold has been volatile these two days. We said that we can buy and sell in the operational analysis, but in fact, it is more difficult. Think about it from another perspective. Intercepting it is a counter-trend transaction. Although the position you intercept is support, or even the low point of the shock, the possibility of it breaking is also increasing. In the past two days, the gold daily line has been a combination of one Yin and one Yang, and buying and selling have begun to fluctuate in structure. Today's idea is that we must first rely on yesterday's shock low point to go bullish on the big trend. Short-term operations need to chase, the amplitude is large, and the profit is also large. Today is Friday, plus the daily adjustment of the daily line, the weekly line also needs to close. Buying is expected to rise in the evening and the European and American sessions, but the Asian session will still fluctuate. The Asian session will intercept up and down. Pay attention to the closing of the weekly line today. If the weekly line cannot be closed today, selling will begin next week.
Gold market analysis:
Gold has been volatile these two days. We said that we can buy and sell in the operational analysis, but in fact, it is more difficult. Think about it from another perspective. Intercepting it is a counter-trend transaction. Although the position you intercept is support, or even the low point of the shock, the possibility of it breaking is also increasing. In the past two days, the gold daily line has been matched with one Yin and one Yang, and the buying and selling have begun to fluctuate in structure. Today's idea is that we must first rely on yesterday's shock low point to go bullish on the big trend. Short-term operations need to chase, the amplitude is large, and the profit is also large. Today is Friday, plus the daily adjustment of the daily line, the weekly line also needs to close. Buying is expected to rise in the evening and the European and American sessions, but the Asian session will still fluctuate. The Asian session will intercept up and down. Pay attention to the closing of the weekly line today. If the weekly line cannot be closed today, selling will begin next week.
In the Asian session, we focus on the large range of 3311-3360. The low point is 3305. The Asian session 3305-3311 is a super support and suppression position. The high point of yesterday's rebound was 3344. This position is a small suppression position in the Asian session. The rebound high point of the Asian session 3370 is estimated to be a big suppression in the Asian session. The hourly pattern suppression position is 3353-3360. The Asian session range is out, and we can operate well. If the Asian session does not break 3305, we will see a structural rebound at night. If it breaks, we will sell.
Support 3311-3305, suppression position 3344, strong pressure 3353-3360, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3330.
Fundamental analysis:
It's Friday again. The US dollar has fallen continuously and gold has risen continuously. The fundamentals and data released have long supported gold to suppress the US dollar.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----Buy near 3311, target 3340-3360
Oscillating downward! The bearish trend is beginning to emerge!【Gold Analysis】
Interpretation of news: The current market presents a "three-legged" pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark. The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. In terms of the trade war, the situation is not as good as Trump's remarks. The Asian giant issued a solemn statement on Thursday, emphasizing that if the US is sincere about solving the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be immediately cancelled. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
The current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. On the one hand, Finance Minister Bensont's statement that the trade confrontation may continue has triggered a rise in risk aversion; on the other hand, the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates has provided fundamental support for gold. This complex psychology is the main reason why the price of gold fluctuates in the range of 3260-3500 US dollars. There is one last trading day this week. Let's see how this week ends.
From the daily chart of gold, after the exaggerated reversal in the middle of the week, the current price of gold has not only lost the important support of 3350, but also formed an obvious bearish evening star in terms of shape, which means that there may be further correction space in the future. In addition, at this stage, the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 have been broken one after another, so it is not ruled out that they will continue to move closer to MA20, but their position is still below 3200.
From the 4-hour chart of gold, although it once fell nearly 200 US dollars from the high, the price of gold gradually stood firm yesterday and began to fluctuate and rebound. It has now returned to above 3270. However, given that the moving average group is in a sticky state and the MACD indicator is adjusted to near the 0 axis, the short-term long and short competition may become more intense. Therefore, it is recommended to keep selling high and buying low as the main strategy, which is more stable. Pay attention to the resistance of 3370-3375 on the top and the support of 3285-3280 on the bottom;
Investment strategy: short gold at 3310-3320, target 3265.
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations! Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: This week, gold prices fluctuated, opening at 3332. So far, the high is 3500 US dollars and the low is 3260 US dollars. On Monday, it soared by 100 US dollars. On Tuesday, it continued to rise to 3500 highs in the Asian session and then fell back. On Tuesday and Wednesday, it plummeted by nearly 240 US dollars. The volatility slowed down on Thursday. The overall intraday fluctuations remained within 3367-3288. Today, the weekly line closed. The weekly line will compete for the closing of the Yin-Yang cross K line. The short-term is more intense. From the consolidation on Thursday, there is no further decline, which also leaves room and suspense for today's weekly closing. If the weekly line closes lower, it is expected to adjust further next week. Pay attention to the closing strength and weakness of the weekly K line this week.
Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The Asian session started the upward mode, rising all the way to around 3370 US dollars. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low hit in yesterday's European and American sessions, falling to a low of US$3,287 before rebounding.
In view of the important trend of gold price breaking the key point, the market will most likely continue the short-selling idea in the future. From the current market structure, the position of $3260 has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the short-selling trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment.
From the hourly level, yesterday's low was at $3306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3315, and the upper level is $3328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3315 to arrange a short order and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3285-3260 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebound near 3310-3320, target near 3290-3285, break to see 3260 line.
Gold pullback near 3270-3260 long, target near 3290-3310, break to see 3330 line.
Gold’s Wednesday highs and lows will determine next moveGold continues to consolidate after retreating from the resistance zone.
It has consistently followed the downtrend line and repeatedly bounced lower from this resistance level. The market recently formed a triangle pattern and broke out of it, but notably, it did not trigger a massive sell-off. Currently, price action is testing the previous day’s low. However, I think the price could retest Wednesday’s low as the price is currently trading within Wednesday’s range. This has formed a “K” pattern on the daily chart, indicating that the next decisive move will occur after a breakout of Wednesday’s low or high. Overall, I expect the sideways movement to continue into next week and keep an eye on these key levels for potential signals.
My target is the resistance zone near 3355.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (April 25), spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The London gold price hit a high of $3,370/ounce and then fell back to around the 3,350 mark for consolidation. The international gold price soared by more than $60, shaking off the shadow of the previous day's nearly 3% collapse. The weaker dollar and bargain-hunting provided support, and investors still kept a close eye on the latest news of tariff negotiations. It is worth noting that on Tuesday, the price of gold once soared to a record high of $3,500, mainly due to the market panic caused by Trump's threat to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. However, as Trump suddenly "softened" on Wednesday, not only withdrawing the threat of removal but also sending a signal to ease the trade dispute, the gold price quickly fell back. Subsequently, the Asian power fought back strongly, explicitly demanding that the United States cancel all tariffs and clarifying that trade negotiations had not yet begun. This statement once again ignited market risk aversion. Trade uncertainty and a weak dollar, gold prices ended their previous two-day decline on Thursday and climbed above $3,300/ounce. The sharp drop in U.S. Treasury yields also supports the rise in international gold prices. This trading day, we will continue to pay attention to the IMF-World Bank Spring Meeting attended by global financial leaders. In addition, we will pay attention to news related to the international trade situation and geopolitical situation. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the demand for gold has dropped sharply, and the price has lost support and started to fall. For participants in the gold market, the impact of this price plunge is self-evident. The stock prices of gold mining companies have fallen accordingly, and the production capacity that was expanded in the early stage due to the rise in gold prices may face the risk of shrinking profits; jewelry retailers are in a dilemma. The value of gold inventory purchased at high prices has dropped significantly. If the selling price is adjusted, they are worried about affecting sales performance. For ordinary investors, especially retail investors who have recently chased high prices to buy gold, they are under tremendous psychological pressure and asset losses.
Technical Review:
Gold 1-hour moving average is still in the form of dead cross selling arrangement, and gold fell back after rising, so gold is now beginning to fluctuate. Although gold broke through yesterday's high of 3367, gold did not rise directly after breaking through, but rose and fell, so gold buying may just be a false break of yesterday's high of 3367. For the time being, gold is still fluctuating in a large range!The hourly moving average is glued together, the RSI indicator is adjusted in the middle axis, and the price hourly chart is running strong in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger band. The gold price in the four-hour chart is still running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band, the middle track is suppressed at 3375, and the RSI indicator is also adjusted in the middle axis. In the short term, gold is likely to continue to fluctuate in a wide range, and the band still maintains the main layout of selling at high prices and buying at low prices.
Today's analysis:
The wave peaked at 3500 and hit a low of 3260 in the US market on Wednesday. It fell by 240 US dollars in two trading days this week. The force was very strong and the trend was very panic. However, the big cycle of gold this year is still a buying trend. Don't be affected by the adjustment of the small cycle. In the bullish rhythm, the adjustment is an opportunity to buy. Therefore, once the adjustment is over, you can start buying bullish.From a technical point of view, the daily line stands firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current strong unilateral trend of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed. Don't guess the top when it rises. Look at 3400 first, then look at the gains and losses of 3500. Don't guess the high when it breaks. The performance of the H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger track and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger just closes. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out. Now the Bollinger is closing. From 3260, it will take at least 3500 to the upper Bollinger, so this range is very large! If gold breaks through the 3370 level again, then gold will truly become strong. Even if it is a fluctuating rise, we must patiently wait for the opportunity to continue to fall. The market is changing rapidly, and the recent gold market is like this, with ups and downs, so it is not surprising. Therefore, don’t think that gold has reversed after a wave of increases.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3322-3325, stop loss at 3313, target at 3360-3380;
Sell short-term gold at 3383-3386, stop loss at 3395, target at 3320-3330;
Key points:
First support level: 3332, second support level: 3320, third support level: 3300
First resistance level: 3370, second resistance level: 3386, third resistance level: 3408
XAU/USD(20250425) Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3334
Support and resistance levels:
3413
3384
3364
3304
3285
3255
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3364, consider buying, the first target price is 3384
If the price breaks through 3334, consider selling, the first target price is 3304
Russia-Ukraine Peace Agreement what could it mean to forex!A peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine could send ripples through the Forex and Commodities markets. Here's how major assets might react:
📊 Key Market Shifts to Watch:
✅ Risk-On Sentiment Returns
Traders may rotate out of safe havens like USD, JPY, CHF, and Gold.
Risk currencies like AUD, NZD, and emerging market currencies could strengthen.
✅ Euro Strength Likely (EUR ↑)
Europe gains the most relief → energy prices fall, inflation cools, confidence grows.
✅ Oil & Energy Prices May Drop
Peace reduces supply fears → crude oil and gas prices could fall → impacting CAD, NOK, RUB.
🔀 Likely Forex Movements:
🔼 Pairs Likely to Rise 💡 Reason
EUR/USD Euro up on peace; USD weakens as fear fades.
AUD/JPY Aussie rises on risk appetite; Yen weakens.
EUR/JPY Similar to AUD/JPY—EUR gains, JPY loses.
NZD/JPY Risk-on favors NZD; JPY drops.
EUR/CHF Swiss Franc weakens; Euro benefits.
USD/ZAR (falls) Rand strengthens on global optimism.
🔽 Pairs Likely to Fall 💡 Reason
USD/JPY USD and JPY both weaken, but USD may drop more.
USD/CHF Same story—less demand for safe havens.
USD/RUB Ruble recovery if sanctions ease.
CAD/JPY Oil-sensitive CAD may dip slightly
🟡 What About Commodities Like Gold? (XAU/USD)
⬇️ Gold Likely to Fall
As a traditional safe-haven, Gold (XAU/USD) tends to rise during geopolitical turmoil.
Peace = lower fear = investors rotate out of Gold into riskier, yield-bearing assets.
Lower inflation expectations could also reduce demand for Gold as an inflation hedge.
🧠 Key Level Watch:
If peace is confirmed, XAU/USD could drop below key support zones, especially if USD strengthens slightly on rate differentials.
🔍 Final Thoughts:
The magnitude of these moves depends on the terms and credibility of the peace deal.
If it includes sanctions relief and long-term commitments, expect larger market reactions.
Stay alert for central bank policy shifts, especially if inflation drops.
💬 What pairs or commodities are you watching if peace becomes a reality? Drop your insights below!
📌 Follow me for more macro-FX breakdowns, commodities analysis, and trading insights.
4.25 gold short-term operation technical analysis!Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session on Friday (April 25). At the end of the session, the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce, a plunge of more than $40 during the day.
Gold prices turned lower on Friday as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve has basically ruled out the possibility of a rate cut in May. But she also released key information that if there is clear evidence of the direction of the economy, there is room for policy action in June.
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold prices from this month's low (around $2,950/ounce) The latest round of gains is located.
If gold price falls below the $3300/oz mark, the next support for gold price is the weekly low near the $3260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold price may accelerate its decline and fall to the 50% retracement level (i.e. the area near $3225/oz) and finally fall to the $3200/oz mark. Some follow-up selling will indicate that gold has peaked and turn the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
Gold price resistance is around the $3368-3370/oz area, which should be a key level now. If it breaks through the above area, gold price may return to the $3400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold price further to the $3425-3427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to conquer the psychological $3500/oz mark.
Falling into range oscillation, just get the rhythm pointAnalysis of gold market trend
On Thursday, the gold price remained in the 4H channel, and the middle and lower tracks were in the range of 3370-3260, with overall resistance to decline and correction; this trend is also normal;
1: In the early stage, the market fluctuated rapidly with a hundred points rise and fall, and the kinetic energy consumption was large, so the short-term trend returned to the consolidation trend later;
2: The fundamentals stopped, the technical demand was corrected, and the two resonated, and the gold price could only fluctuate and consolidate in the range; the analysis framework given yesterday was treated according to two intervals; they were 3370-3260 and 3370-3480; the strong and weak dividing point was 3370 above and below;
We can also see that at the position of 3370, the gold price has been under pressure for 2 consecutive times and fell for 2 consecutive times; it can be seen that the strong and weak dividing point of the position above and below 3370!
At present, the market:
1: Trend: There is no trend for the time being, and the range is high, the large range is 3480-3260; the bull trend is stagnant, and the bear trend stops falling. The trend cannot be judged for the time being;
2: Fundamentals, the future fundamentals will focus on the US debt crisis, trade war tariffs, and subsequent war issues, two core things; and uncertain fundamentals
Today's market:
1: 4 hours, the stochastic indicator golden cross, the main long signal; in terms of form, slow bull rise; the current pressure position of the central axis is near 3370, and the probability of breaking upward is relatively high; therefore, the 4-hour can be treated as a shock rise; but the overall situation remains in the large range of 3480-3260!
2: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator diverges periodically, and the death cross is downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the high-level sell-off forms a sideways resistance to the decline, and the sideways support is in the range of 3280-3260; the MACD double-line golden cross is glued, and there is no death cross; the indicators in the daily K-line are contradictory, so the long and short trends are difficult to continue, and more range oscillations and high-level consolidation signals are given;
To sum up: Today's short message is still processed according to the 4-hour range; 3370-3260 range and 3370-3480 range; if it stabilizes at 3370, the range processing will be changed; you can take a pullback to do more, and bet on the 4-hour range oscillation upward, and gradually break through the position of 3370;
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold was suddenly sold off violently. Gold price plummeted?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce at the end of the session, a plunge of more than $40 on the day.
Gold prices turned lower during the day as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data this week supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
However, geopolitical uncertainty and bets on the Fed's rate cuts should help gold's decline.
Quaid analysis:
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold's latest round of gains from this month's lows.
On the downside: Once gold falls below the $3,300/oz mark, the next support for gold is the weekly low near the $3,260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold prices may accelerate their decline and fall to the 50% retracement level and eventually fall to the $3,200/oz mark. Some subsequent selling will indicate that gold has peaked and shift the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
On the upside: Gold resistance is near the $3,368-3,370/oz area, which should now be a key level. If it breaks through the above area, gold prices may return to the $3,400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold prices further up to the $3,425-3,427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to overcome the psychological $3,500/oz mark.
How will gold go? Analysis of the technical outlook for gold priSpot gold is basically stable after a sharp rise in the early Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,325/oz.
Quaid believes that gold prices may show a consolidation trend in the next few days, but we are in a bull market and any significant decline will be taken over by buyers.
From a technical perspective, gold prices rose in the morning, but they are still in a range. Technical indicators changed direction and moved higher within positive levels, gaining new momentum and supporting further gains in gold prices. At the same time, gold prices continue to develop above all of its moving averages, and the bullish 20-day simple moving average is currently around $3,182/oz, well above the bullish 100-day and 200-day moving averages.
The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are consolidating easily. Gold prices continue to trade below the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, which provides dynamic resistance near $3,370/oz, but the longer-term moving averages maintain a bullish slope at a level far below the current gold price. Finally, technical indicators remain directionless within negative levels. If gold prices break through the above 20-period SMA resistance, it should open the door for a more sustainable rebound in gold prices.
Quaid comprehensively analyzes important support and resistance levels:
Support: $3314/oz; $3301/oz; $3288/oz
Resistance: $3358/oz; $3370/oz
How to break through the gold shock patternOperation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level near 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the position of 3380. Once it breaks through, it will open up the space leading to the 3400 mark.
From the daily chart of gold, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body Yin line K-line pattern. The peak pattern of the previous price high is more obvious, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further correction in the short term. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet. You can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving average. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has been fluctuating and falling since it came under pressure at the 3500 level. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 level, with a short-term decline of 240 US dollars. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator has issued a dead cross signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
Gold fell after rising in the Asian session, and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trends. In the big trend, the gold rally did not exceed 3380, so there is still a downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367. Now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper side is the support-to-resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for the area near 3345 to go short and see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3280 support.
Gold fluctuates and is under pressure, the trend is bearish!Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold fell by $240 in two trading days, but the rebound was also very strong, from yesterday's low of 3260 to 3367 in the early trading. The current volatility is still large, and the high and low points of $100 often appear. It is normal to fluctuate by dozens of dollars at random. So pay attention to the market. There is no shortage of opportunities. Just grab what you can grasp.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's closing was negative, slightly piercing the MA10 moving average, and losing the trend support line mentioned yesterday. Originally, today's technical theory should continue to be under pressure from the MA5-day, and the rebound confirmed that trend line, which can continue to be bearish, that is, 3338-40; but today's Asian session saw a strong wave of upward rush, reaching 3367 directly, which was quite unexpected. It was basically stimulated by short-term risk aversion news, and then it began to rise and fall, and then returned to below 3340; as long as the closing cannot break through and stand above the MA5-day resistance, it is still in a downward adjustment; today, it is still bearish, and the gold layout long orders were successfully harvested at 3316. Gold rebounded to 3343 and continued to be short. Gold fell again and harvested, and won two consecutive victories again. At present, the gold rebound is limited, and the US market rebound is still short.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, so the moving average has not turned upward, so there is still downward momentum, and the rebound can continue to be shorted. After the Asian session hit a high and fell, gold rebounded several times and fell back under pressure near 3345. The US session rebounded below 3345 and continued to be shorted. It can still be shorted near the rebound of 3340. At present, gold is just a rebound. If there is no special risk-averse news, it is still difficult to go up directly. At least it must fluctuate first, and it is still bearish and volatile now. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Confrontation between India and Pakistan pushes for risk aversioYesterday, the gold market opened at 3291.1 in the morning and then the market rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 3367.7 and then fell under pressure. The daily line finally closed at around 3345, and the daily line closed with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the short positions at 3496, 3468 and 3442 this week were reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 3400.
SELL: 3340 Stop loss: 58
TP1: 3330
TP2: 3320
TP3: 3305
BUY: 3300 Stop loss: 3295-92
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3335
TP3: 3360
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Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds.
The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked
The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying.
Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains.
Quaid's analysis:
Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm.
The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark.
Market operation strategies:
Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380
Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330