Get started

Goldpreis

Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term. From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
[XAUUSD – Intraday Price Action Outlook | 30 July 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,329 USD and is consolidating within a narrow rising channel after completing a significant downtrend. The market is showing signs of a potential breakout, either to continue a short-term bullish correction or resume the dominant bearish momentum. Key Technical Zones: Resistance zone: 3,339.2 – 3,348 This is a critical zone where bullish breakout confirmation is likely to attract momentum buyers. The zone aligns with upper trendline resistance and previous consolidation highs. Support zone: 3,325.6 – 3,292.7 This range acts as a short-term support base, marked by multiple rejections and aligned with the lower boundary of the current rising wedge formation. A breakdown here could trigger strong bearish continuation. Indicators & Confluences: EMA200 (blue): Acting as dynamic resistance, slightly above current price. EMA50 & EMA100: Compressing toward current price action, indicating price equilibrium and coiling volatility. RSI (not shown): Likely hovering near 50 – signaling market indecision. Fibonacci 0.874 has been tagged – often a zone where false breakouts or liquidity grabs occur, demanding caution. Trading Strategy Suggestions: Bullish Scenario (Breakout Strategy) Entry: Buy only if price closes above 3,339.2 (confirmed breakout of wedge). Stop-loss: Below 3,328.1 (previous supply turned demand). Target: 3,370 – 3,392 zone (aligned with EMA200 breakout & prior structure). Note: This setup relies on confirmation and should not be anticipated early. Wait for candle close above 3,339.2 to invalidate current wedge structure. Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown Strategy) Entry: Sell if price rejects 3,330–3,332 area and returns below 3,327.80 (as marked). Stop-loss: Above 3,332.04 (above trendline and EMA cross). Target: 3,292.74 (volume node + base of channel). Risk/Reward: >7.0 (based on current tool parameters shown in chart). This is a favorable setup if price respects current wedge resistance and fails to breakout convincingly. Conclusion: Gold is at a decisive point. The formation of a rising wedge in a prior downtrend signals potential bearish continuation, but a breakout above 3,339.2 could trigger a reversal short-term. Both bulls and bears need confirmation before entering. Monitor volume closely — rising volume on breakout/breakdown will validate either scenario.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, using a combination of trend lines, EMA, RSI, and price structure. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure: Gold is forming a rising channel (black trend lines) within a short-term uptrend, but this is happening below the 200 EMA, which generally indicates bearish momentum. A resistance zone is highlighted near the top of the channel, suggesting sellers might defend this level. 2. Key Level: Resistance Level: Around 3,330–3,335 zone. Target Point: Price is expected to break down from the channel and reach support levels near 3,284.35 and 3,282.51. 3. Moving Average (EMA 200): Current price is below the 200 EMA (3,348.42), reinforcing a bearish bias. 4. RSI (14): RSI is near 52.58, indicating neutral-to-slightly-overbought territory. No strong divergence is visible, but RSI is not confirming a bullish trend either. 5. Projection (Hand-drawn Path): The drawn path shows a potential breakdown from the channel with a bearish impulse targeting lower support zones. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Confirmation Needed: Break below channel support Entry Zone: Near the resistance of the rising channel (~3,330–3,335) Target Zone: 3,284.35 – 3,282.51 Invalidation: Sustained break above 3,348 (above EMA 200) plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
XUA/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, targeting a move toward the $3,310–$3,315 support zone. Here's the full breakdown: --- Technical Analysis – Gold (1H) 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Supply Zones Two FVG supply zones are marked where price previously dropped sharply: Upper FVG zone near $3,385.49 (with red arrow: expected rejection point) Lower FVG zone near $3,352.47 Price is expected to reject from either zone, resuming the bearish move. 2. Market Structure: Lower Highs, Lower Lows The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The current price action suggests a potential pullback into FVG, followed by another leg down. 3. Key Support Zone (Target Area) The yellow box between $3,315.22–$3,310.99 represents a strong demand/support zone and is marked as the target point. This level has acted as a prior accumulation zone and is likely to attract buying interest again. 4. EMA 200 Resistance Price is trading below the 200 EMA (currently at $3,365.87) — indicating a bearish bias. EMA also aligns near the lower FVG zone, reinforcing the area as a potential reversal point. 5. RSI Indicator RSI at 35.38 is nearing oversold territory but still shows downward pressure. No divergence or reversal signal yet — supports the continuation view. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bearish Current Price: $3,337.02 Supply Zones (FVG): $3,385.49 (stronger supply) $3,352.47 (minor supply) Support Target: $3,315.22–$3,310.99 Structure: Bearish (LL-LH formation) EMA: 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance RSI: 35.38 – still bearish momentum --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301Gold Market Analysis： Gold has been in a correction over the past two days, with repeated ups and downs, generally trending towards a low and then a rebound. Yesterday, we insisted on selling at 3320, 3326, and 3328, but the profits weren't significant. The daily chart doesn't clearly indicate stabilization or a reversal of trend. Looking at the longer-term trend, I still insist on buying if 3345 breaks. If it doesn't break, we can hold on to the bearish trend. We previously mentioned that 3300 is support on the daily and weekly charts. A technical rebound and correction after selling below this level is inevitable and a normal technical correction. Furthermore, starting Wednesday, big data will be released one by one, and the market is waiting for the data to guide its direction. The weekly chart is also confused and directionless. We're just small investors; we need to follow, not speculate. The 5-day moving average on the daily chart has dipped below 3335, a level that has been retested multiple times in the Asian session. The current correction range is 3300-3335, with resistance around 3345-3343. The daily chart closed positive again, suggesting that the support below may be difficult to break in the short-term Asian session, and a significant decline is unlikely. We anticipate continued correction pending the ADP results. Support is 3311 and 3301, resistance is 3345, with minor resistance at 3335. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3335. Fundamental Analysis: Today, focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data. The US interest rate results are the highlight, along with the speech. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold big data is here! Gold prices are igniting the market!Market News: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Wednesday (July 30), currently trading around $3,325 per ounce. London gold prices recovered some of their losses on Tuesday after falling for the fourth consecutive day, as the US dollar gave up some of its earlier gains, boosting international demand for gold. Declining US Treasury yields and a weak US labor market report also prompted investors to buy gold. The gold market is currently at a critical turning point. Fundamental buying and selling factors are in fierce competition: on the one hand, easing global trade tensions are suppressing safe-haven demand; on the other hand, falling US Treasury yields and expectations of a possible Federal Reserve shift are providing support. Meanwhile, progress in US-China trade negotiations, Trump's tough stance on Russia and the Middle East, and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to add further uncertainty to the future of the gold market. Furthermore, attention will be paid to the Bank of Japan and Bank of Canada's interest rate decisions, the US second-quarter GDP data and the July ADP employment data. Second-quarter GDP data from Germany and the Eurozone also warrant attention. Technical Review: Gold bottomed out and rebounded, stopping at the 3310 level before rising sharply above the 30 mark. The daily chart closed with a small positive candlestick pattern. The 10/7-day moving averages remain converging, suppressing the 57 level above. The RSI stopped below the 50-day moving average and adjusted downward, with the price trading below the middle Bollinger Band at 40. A four-hour chart golden cross formed and pointed upward. The hourly MACD momentum bar is above zero, while the RSI is flattening, indicating a neutral trend. Gold technically remains in a wide range of fluctuations. The trading strategy is to sell high and buy low. Plan to buy low at 3318/06 and sell high at 3346/58. The release of important data today will affect the original technical trend of gold and silver, increasing volatility. Be aware of market risks. Today's Analysis: Although gold rebounded yesterday, the momentum wasn't particularly strong, with the upward trend remaining erratic. Bullish volume remains insufficient. Today's key events will be the non-farm payroll report and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Pre-market activity is unlikely to see a significant upturn, so we'll have to wait for the data to provide direction. Expect volatility before the release! The slope of gold's 1-hour rebound doesn't necessarily indicate a deep V-shaped pattern. Gold hasn't yet reversed, and a second bottom is possible. Only if gold doesn't break a new low during this second bottoming out could a double bottom form. Gold is still expected to decline in the Asian session. If gold rebounds and comes under pressure, continue selling. A deep V-shaped reversal is only possible if gold breaks through and stabilizes at the 3345 level. Until then, continue selling at high prices. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3310-3313, stop loss at 3300, target at 3340-3360; Short-term gold: Sell at 3343-3346, stop loss at 3355, target at 3310-3300; Key points: First support level: 3310, Second support level: 3292, Third support level: 3284 First resistance level: 3338, Second resistance level: 3346, Third resistance level: 3358
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD(20250730) Today's AnalMarket News: According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 3322 Support and Resistance Levels: 3348 3338 3332 3312 3306 3296 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 3332, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 3338. If the market breaks below 3322, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 3312.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicolaZhu
BTC's latest trading strategy and analysis layout#BTCUSD BTC's current technical signals show a bull-bear tug-of-war situation.If a golden cross is formed near the zero axis, it may indicate a new wave of rise; if it falls below the zero axis, we need to be wary of a deep correction. There are certain opportunities for both bulls and bears in the current market, but global regulatory policies have not yet been unified. Policies such as the US "GENIUS Act" may affect BTC and require continued attention. BTC is currently facing significant buying support around 117,500, but the hourly chart shows that there is still potential for a continued pullback. The current trend has not yet finished. Pay attention to the support level of 116,000 below. If it falls below, it may fall into the consolidation range of 116,000-114,000. For aggressive traders, consider going long at 117,500-116,500, with a target of 118,500-119,500. A break above this level could lead to 120,000. 🚀 117500-116500 🚀 118500-119500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold price bottoming out?Market news: In early Asian trading on Tuesday (July 29), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,320 per ounce. The international gold price fell to a three-week low on Monday, mainly because the United States and the European Union reached a trade agreement over the weekend, boosting the dollar and risk sentiment. In addition, Trump said that he would impose a "global tariff" of 15% to 20% on most countries, which was different from his statement last week. The dollar index rose to a one-week high, making gold relatively expensive for investors holding other currencies.The volatile downward trend of London gold prices was not only directly affected by the trade agreement reached between the United States and Europe, but also closely related to the strong rebound of the US dollar index, the recovery of global risk appetite and the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. At the same time, the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations, Trump's tough stance on Russia and the Middle East, and the continued tension in geopolitics still add more uncertainty to the future trend of the gold market.Gold is facing multiple tests: the three unfavorable factors of a strong dollar, a rebound in risk appetite, and a rise in real interest rates have formed a combined force. In addition, the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for July and the US JOLTs job vacancy data for June will also be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to them. Technical Review: The further strengthening of the US dollar index has caused gold to continue to adjust close to the 3300 mark under pressure. As the price crosses below the short-term moving average, the current short-term moving average and other periodic indicators have begun to turn downward, and the Bollinger Bands as a whole are also intended to shrink. In addition, the macd indicator has a dead cross pattern again and has no upward intention, and it has a strong downward extension and obvious volume. Therefore, the daily line should continue to tend to sell. However, while selling, we should also pay attention to the strength of the rebound.The daily chart closed with a continuous negative structure, and the price was running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands and below the MA10 daily moving average of 3360. The short-term four-hour chart hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the moving average opened downward. In addition, the macd indicator maintained a dead cross pattern, and the downward volume showed sufficient potential, so the 4-hour gold price can continue to participate in selling at a high level after a short-term rebound, assisting low-price buying! Today's analysis: Gold bears are galloping all the way, and gold buying has basically no rebound strength. Gold is still in a selling trend. Go with the trend, the trend is king, and continue to sell with the trend. As long as gold does not show an obvious buy reversal signal, then the rebound is to continue to sell gold to the end.The gold 1-hour moving average continues to form a dead cross selling arrangement. The selling strength of gold is still very strong, and gold selling will continue to exert its strength. Gold rebounded to 3318 yesterday, which is still a weak rebound. The watershed for buying and selling gold is now at 3330. Gold rebounds above 3330 in the Asian session, which is an opportunity to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3300-3302, stop loss at 3292, target at 3330-3350; Sell short-term gold at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3342, target at 3300-3290; Key points: First support level: 3308, second support level: 3293, third support level: 3284 First resistance level: 3330, second resistance level: 3346, third resistance level: 3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD(20250729) Today's AnalysisMarket news: After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3320 Support and resistance levels: 3363 3347 3337 3303 3293 3277 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3320, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3337 If the price breaks through 3303, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3293
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold Price Rally: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bet Glimmer of Gold: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bullish Bet in Months In the complex and often turbulent theater of global finance, the movements of so-called "smart money" are watched with an eagle's eye. When these sophisticated players, particularly hedge funds, move in concert, it often signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment. Recently, a powerful signal has emerged from the depths of the commodities market: hedge funds have dramatically increased their bullish bets on gold, pushing their net long positions to a 16-week high. This aggressive positioning is not a random fluctuation; it is a calculated response to a potent cocktail of persistent geopolitical instability, simmering trade tensions, and a growing conviction that the global economic landscape is tilting in favor of the ultimate safe-haven asset. The surge in bullish sentiment represents a significant vote of confidence in the yellow metal. It suggests that some of the world's most well-resourced and analytically driven investors are looking past the daily noise of equity markets and are instead positioning themselves for a future where security, stability, and tangible value take precedence. They are not merely dipping their toes in the water; they are making a decisive, leveraged bet that the forces buffeting the global economy will continue to drive capital towards gold's enduring allure. This move has sent ripples across the financial world, prompting investors of all stripes to ask a critical question: What does the smart money see that we should be paying attention to? Decoding the Data: A Sharp Turn Towards Bullishness To understand the magnitude of this shift, one must look to the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report published by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report provides a detailed breakdown of positions in the futures markets, separating traders into different categories, including "Managed Money." This category, which primarily consists of hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, is a key barometer for speculative sentiment. The latest data reveals a sharp and decisive increase in bullish conviction. Hedge funds significantly ramped up their gross long positions—outright bets that the price of gold will rise. Simultaneously, they have been closing out their short positions—bets that the price will fall. The combination of these two actions has a powerful magnifying effect on the "net long" position, which is the difference between the number of long and short contracts. Reaching a 16-week high is particularly noteworthy. It indicates a reversal of previous caution or bearishness and the establishment of a new, more aggressive bullish trend. For months, hedge funds may have been hesitant, weighing the prospects of higher-for-longer interest rates against emerging geopolitical risks. The current data shows that the scales have tipped decisively. This isn't a gradual accumulation; it's a forceful pivot, suggesting a high degree of conviction in the upside potential for gold. This influx of speculative capital acts as a powerful tailwind for the gold price, creating upward pressure as more funds chase the emerging momentum. The Three Pillars of the Golden Thesis The coordinated move by hedge funds is not based on a single factor but on a confluence of three powerful, interlocking macro-economic and geopolitical narratives. Each pillar reinforces the others, creating a compelling case for holding gold. 1. The Unsettled World: Geopolitical Risk as a Prime Catalyst Gold has, for millennia, served as the ultimate barometer of fear. In times of peace and prosperity, its appeal can wane in favor of assets that offer growth and yield. But in an environment of escalating geopolitical tension, its value proposition becomes unparalleled. The current global landscape is rife with such tensions. Persistent conflicts in key regions continue to create uncertainty, threatening to disrupt energy supplies, shipping lanes, and international relations. The risk of these conflicts widening or drawing in other powers keeps a floor under the demand for haven assets. Beyond active conflicts, the world is witnessing a broader realignment of global power. The rise of multi-polarity and the challenging of the post-Cold War order create a backdrop of systemic instability. Furthermore, political uncertainty within major economies adds another layer of risk. Election cycles in dominant nations can lead to unpredictable policy shifts on everything from trade and taxation to international alliances. This policy uncertainty makes investors nervous, prompting them to allocate capital to assets that are insulated from the whims of any single government or political outcome. Gold, being a stateless monetary asset with no counterparty risk, is the natural recipient of these capital flows. Hedge funds are betting that these geopolitical undercurrents will not only persist but potentially intensify, making gold an essential portfolio hedge. 2. The Friction of Trade: A Drag on Global Growth The era of seamless globalization has given way to a period of strategic competition and trade friction. The ongoing trade disputes between the world's largest economic blocs, most notably the United States and China, have moved beyond mere rhetoric and are now an entrenched feature of the global economy. Tariffs, export controls, and national security-driven industrial policies are disrupting long-established supply chains and creating a more fragmented and less efficient global marketplace. This environment is a significant headwind for global economic growth. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy makes it difficult for businesses to make long-term investment decisions, dampening corporate spending and hiring. Slower global trade directly translates to slower economic growth, which in turn puts pressure on corporate earnings and equity valuations. In this context, gold shines. As an asset that does not rely on economic growth to generate returns, it acts as a valuable diversifier in a portfolio dominated by stocks and bonds. When growth falters, gold's role as a store of value becomes more pronounced. Hedge funds are positioning for a scenario where persistent trade tensions continue to weigh on the global economy, making riskier assets less attractive and defensive assets like gold more appealing. 3. The Central Bank Pivot: Anticipating Looser Money Perhaps the most powerful financial driver for gold is the outlook for monetary policy, particularly from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The price of gold has an inverse relationship with real interest rates (interest rates minus inflation). When real rates are high, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold is also high, as investors can earn a handsome, risk-free return in government bonds. Conversely, when real rates are low or falling, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, making it a more attractive investment. For the past couple of years, central banks have been in a fierce battle against inflation, raising interest rates at an aggressive pace. However, the market is now increasingly looking ahead to the next phase of the cycle: rate cuts. While the timing is still a matter of debate, the consensus is that the next major policy move from the Fed and other major central banks will be to lower rates to support a slowing economy. Hedge funds are front-running this anticipated pivot. They are accumulating gold now in expectation that falling interest rates in the future will provide a significant tailwind for its price. Even before the cuts materialize, the mere expectation of looser monetary policy is enough to fuel a rally. Furthermore, there is a persistent fear that central banks might make a policy error—either by keeping rates too high for too long and triggering a deep recession, or by cutting rates too soon and allowing inflation to become re-anchored. Either scenario is bullish for gold, which performs well during both economic downturns and periods of high inflation. This speculative demand from hedge funds is layered on top of a powerful, long-term structural trend: voracious buying from the world's central banks. For several years, central banks, particularly those in emerging markets like China, India, and Turkey, have been steadily diversifying their foreign reserves away from the U.S. dollar and into physical gold. This "de-dollarization" trend is a strategic move to reduce dependence on the U.S. financial system and to hold a neutral reserve asset in an increasingly fractured world. This consistent, price-insensitive buying from official institutions creates a strong and stable floor of demand for gold, providing hedge funds with the confidence to build their own large, speculative positions on top of it. Conclusion: A Resounding Vote for a Golden Future The sharp increase in bullish gold bets by hedge funds is more than just a statistic; it is a story about risk, fear, and the search for security in an uncertain world. It reflects a growing consensus among sophisticated investors that the confluence of geopolitical turmoil, economic friction, and an impending shift in monetary policy has created a uniquely favorable environment for the precious metal. These funds are acting as canaries in the coal mine, signaling a potential increase in market volatility and a flight to safety. Their aggressive positioning, backed by billions of dollars in capital, can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, driving prices higher and drawing in more waves of investors. As the world continues to grapple with deep-seated structural changes, the decision by the "smart money" to make its largest bullish wager on gold in months is a clear and resounding signal: in the quest for a safe harbor, all that glitters is, once again, gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉. So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔. If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking. The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday. 1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support. 2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high. The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Still a chance for gold bulls? 💡Message Strategy The gold market was volatile this week, and gold prices ultimately closed lower for the week. Gold prices have failed to stabilize above $3,400 an ounce after a bullish breakout. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. Looking ahead to next week, the Fed's policy statement and US-China trade talks could trigger the next big move for gold. These important factors may trigger the market next week 1. The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision after its policy meeting on July 29-30. Before the Fed meeting, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first estimate of annualized growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter. 2. Next Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report. If the non-farm payrolls (NFP) increase by more than 100,000, it may indicate that the labor market is in good enough condition for the Fed to prioritize controlling inflation and support the dollar when making policies. If the new non-farm payrolls data reaches or falls below 70,000, the dollar may find it difficult to find demand before the end of next week and help gold gain bullish momentum. 3. Market participants will be closely watching the headlines of the US-China negotiations. If the two sides make further progress in trade and economic relations, risk flows may dominate the actions of financial markets, making it difficult for gold to find demand. 📊Technical aspects The short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation among gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the relative strength index (RSI) remains just below 50, and gold is struggling to move away from both the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA after breaking above both levels earlier this week. If the price of gold falls to the key support level of $3,310 and fails to break down (trend line support/Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level), it will force a large number of shorts to exit the market and may further test the $3,340 range (psychological level/Fibonacci 76.4% retracement level). Combined with the current trend, the downward momentum of gold has weakened, and it is seeking support to restart the long position 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3310-3320，SL：3290，Target: 3340
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD(20250728) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different statements on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: The 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve. US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increases on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3345 Support and resistance levels: 3393 3375 3363 3326 3315 3297 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3345, consider buying in, the first target price is 3363 If the price breaks through 3326, consider selling in, the first target price is 3315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicolaZhu
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, international gold recorded its biggest weekly decline in a month. Spot gold turned sharply lower after a sharp rise and finally closed lower. Signs of progress in US-EU trade negotiations hit the safe-haven demand for London gold prices. Geopolitical situation is also a factor in the downward trend of gold prices. On the 25th local time, Tahir Noonu, a senior Hamas official, said that Hamas was absolutely positive about the efforts of the relevant mediators, but was surprised by the US statement. Before the United States and the European Union made progress in trade negotiations, fund managers raised their bullish bets on gold to the highest level since April this year. The trade war has pushed gold prices up 27% this year. Although the easing of trade tensions will weaken safe-haven demand, gold has also been supported by strong buying from central banks.Next week, international gold prices will focus on US-EU and US-China trade negotiations. If the negotiations are optimistic, gold prices may continue to test the $3,300/ounce mark; in addition, focus on the Federal Reserve's resolution. After Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters, whether the Federal Reserve will maintain its independence will be highlighted in this resolution. Non-agricultural data will also be released on Friday, which needs attention. Technical Review: From the weekly gold level, gold is still in a wide range of 3500-3120. It has been fluctuating for ten weeks. The Bollinger Bands are gradually shrinking. MA5 and MA10 are running horizontally, indicating that gold fluctuations will continue. This time, gold stabilized and rose from 3247 to 3438 and then fell back. The current short-term range is 3247-3438! Next week, pay attention to the range of fluctuations and choose a new direction after the narrowing. The daily level is currently in the 4th wave adjustment. There is a high probability that there will be a 5th wave rise after the adjustment, and then a large-scale ABC adjustment will be started. At present, there are two changes in the structure of the 4th wave, one is the triangle contraction and the other is the ABC structure. No matter how it runs, the market outlook is to wait for low-level long positions to see the 5th wave rise. In the short term, gold is still oscillating and selling. Next week's analysis: Gold is still adjusting, but it has basically adjusted in place. The current daily price has also adjusted to the key support level of 3300. Similarly, the four-hour chart just stepped back to the upward trend line support, which is the short-term long order entry. Buy above the 3300 mark next week! Next week, gold is expected to further test the 3310-3280 support level. Gold at the 4-hour level peaked at 3438 and then fell back. It has now formed a unilateral trend. The K-line is under pressure from the 5-day moving average and continues to set new lows, and breaks the short-term upward trend line. The Bollinger band opens downward and diverges, and the MACD water cross diverges downward to underwater, indicating that the current gold trend is in an absolute weak position! Next, gold will continue to test the support near the previous low of 3300. If 3300 is not broken, gold buying will continue to have momentum. If 3300 is broken, the short-term rise will end, and the subsequent rebound will basically be just a correction. However, the current 4-hour green column shows signs of shrinking volume, so it is not easy to sell at a low level. Try to sell after the rebound correction, or buy at a low level! Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3305-3308 buy, stop loss 3297, target 3350-3370; Short-term gold 3350-3353 sell, stop loss 3362, target 3320-3300; Key points: First support level: 3320, second support level: 3309, third support level: 3300 First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3375
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel. --- Analysis Summary Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Timeframe: 4H Current Price: 3,338.715 Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel --- Key Technical Elements 1. Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels. 2. Key Support Zone: The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel. Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce. 3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support): The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level. 4. RSI (14): RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near. --- Target Points First Target: 3,402.099 Second Target: 3,446.661 --- Trade Idea Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
Has the price of gold peaked in the short term?Market news: On Friday (July 25), London gold prices fell for two consecutive days under the dual pressure of global trade optimism and strong economic data. During the session, it once approached the psychological mark of US$3,350/ounce. The spot gold price fell sharply again, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions and the demand for safe-haven assets. The US dollar and US Treasury yields rose, which also hit the gold trend. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility suppressed the upward momentum of international gold. The unexpected improvement in US labor market data further pushed up the US dollar and US Treasury yields, and the international market brought significant downward pressure on gold prices. At the same time, President Trump’s rare visit to the Federal Reserve and the market’s close attention to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy have added more uncertainty to the gold market. Looking ahead, the market’s attention is turning to the upcoming US durable goods orders data. As an important indicator of manufacturing activity and economic health, durable goods orders data may provide new clues to the trend of gold prices. Investors need to pay close attention to two key time points: one is the subtle changes in the Fed’s inflation statement at the July 30 interest rate meeting; the other is the final details of the US-EU agreement before the August 1 tariff deadline. Technical review: From the daily chart of gold, after three consecutive positive days, the price of gold fell under pressure. The daily K-line closed negatively. From the technical indicators, the MA5-MA10 moving averages and MACD formed a golden cross, but the red kinetic energy column gradually shortened, which means that the bulls lacked stamina. KDJ crossed downward in the middle position, indicating that the upward momentum was exhausted, which was a weak signal in the short term! Technical aspects：the daily chart of gold adjusted and repaired, and the MA10 daily moving average was 3365. In the early morning, it formed a bottoming out and rebounded, stopping at the 3351/50 mark, and then pulled up above 3377. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open upward, and the RSI stopped above the middle axis. In the short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart, the gold price is in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average is glued. On Friday, the idea of shocks is to sell high and buy low for short-term participation. Pay attention to the 3352/3392 range during the day! Today's analysis: Gold continued to fall yesterday. Our friend circle of the US market 3377 prompted direct shorting and fell as expected. Although there was a rebound, the rebound of gold was just to repair the market. The selling of gold has not ended yet. The rebound is an opportunity to continue selling. Sell directly above 3370 during the day!The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a dead cross is formed, the downward space of gold will be further opened. Gold will still have room to fall. Gold rebounded in the US market yesterday and still faced the resistance of 3377. It continued to go short at highs after rebounding below 3377 in the Asian market. If it cannot even reach 3377 today, it will be a weak rebound, and gold selling will be more like a fish in water. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3345-3348, stop loss at 3337, target at 3370-3390; Sell short-term gold at 3374-3377, stop loss at 3386, target at 3350-3330; Key points: First support level: 3350, second support level: 3342, third support level: 3323 First resistance level: 3375, second resistance level: 3390, third resistance level: 3406
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD(20250725) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3370 Support and resistance levels 3412 3397 3386 3355 3344 3329 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3370, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3386 If the price breaks through 3355, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3344
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold failed to break through three times, short-term bearish? 💡Message Strategy Gold's decline today means the second consecutive day of decline as investors turn their attention to more positive trade developments since yesterday. However, gold still received buying support earlier this week and briefly broke through $3,400. This round of gains tested key resistance levels on the gold daily chart, but ultimately the bears held their ground. This is the third time in nearly three months that gold has tried to break through the $3,430 to $3,435 resistance area, but all failed. 📊Technical aspects Gold’s latest decline this week has brought the price back into a range-bound trading state between key hourly moving averages. This means that the short-term trend has become more neutral. This shows that the upward momentum has clearly weakened and buyers need to regain short-term dominance before they can hope to challenge the key resistance area mentioned earlier again. Currently, the 200 hourly moving average near $3,365 provides support to the downside. If the price can hold this level, it will indicate that buyers are still holding on and waiting for the next upside opportunity. Combined with the current 1H chart trend analysis, there is still a great chance of a bullish pullback in gold in the short term. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3360-3365，SL：3340，Target: 3380-3400
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold fell as expected, can it reverse?📰 News information： 1. Initial unemployment claims data 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold has made a profit retracement correction as expected. The two-day rising market has led to an overly bullish sentiment in the market. Under this pattern, it is very easy to trigger an unexpected reversal trend, which is often a key opportunity to break the psychological defense line of retail investors in the market. From the bottom of gold at 3244 to the high of 3439 this week, it can be found that the current 38.2% support position is near 3364. Moreover, the current daily SMA10 moving average position is also near 3364, SMA30 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band are near 3343, and SMA60 is near 3330. From the daily line, if the daily line can stand above 3364, then there is still a possibility of refreshing the high of 3438 in the future. On the other hand, if the daily line falls below 3364, then 3438 may become the high point in July. If there is a rebound in the morning, then 3384 in the white session will be the bottom support, and short positions must be participated in the European and American sessions. If the downward trend continues in the morning, there will be an opportunity to participate in long orders around 3370. At the same time, the possibility of further decline and reaching the middle line of 3343 cannot be ruled out. At the same time, if the 4H chart can form a head and shoulders top pattern, then the intraday long rebound point will not exceed 3410. Therefore, on the whole, if it falls directly, it can be considered to go long when it first touches 3375-3365, and the target is 3390-3400; if the intraday decline is strong, the second trading opportunity is below 3355-3345, and the target is $10-20 before exiting. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3375-3365 TP 3390-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold------sell near 3392, target 3370-3350Gold market analysis: Yesterday, gold in the European and American markets plunged directly. It is cold at high places. Gold has already experienced four big plunges above 3435. From the perspective of form, there is a super pressure there. We also reminded in the analysis yesterday that the rhythm of gold daily lines in the past two days has changed very quickly, and it is all shocks and then quickly pulls up and ends directly. It is basically difficult to follow its rhythm without direct pursuit. The big negative line of the daily line has destroyed the strong support near 3402-3404. This position has been converted into a new strong pressure. Today's idea is to adjust the bearish trend and continue to sell on the rebound. The adjustment of the daily line is not sure whether it is an adjustment of the wave structure, but it can be determined to sell in the short term. We are just a trend follower. Today, gold will not rebound above 3402 and is basically weak. Gold plunged directly in the Asian session, and the selling force is still relatively strong. At present, the new low strong support of the daily line has not appeared. The next moving average support of the daily line is around 3366. I estimate that there will be a rebound at this position. If the hourly Asian session does not fall and rebounds first, consider continuing to sell it at 3395 and 3402. Gold likes to convert quickly recently. If it stands on 3404, it will be reconsidered. Support 3374, 3366 and 3350, suppress 3395 and 3402, and the weak watershed before the market is 3395. Fundamental analysis: Tariffs have not affected the market recently, and there is no major news released. The market is relatively calm. Operation suggestion: Gold------sell near 3392, target 3370-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold prices plunge in the short term!Market news: In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 24), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,388 per ounce. International gold suffered a fierce sell-off after a sharp rise in the previous two trading days. Media reports said that the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff agreement, and the news hit safe-haven demand. The decline in London gold prices was mainly due to the dual pressure of easing macro-geopolitical tensions and the recovery of risk appetite.Although the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the controversy surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve is heating up. According to a recent Reuters survey, most economists believe that the Federal Reserve is currently facing unprecedented political pressure, which provides potential medium- and long-term support for gold. However, in the short term, as the resilience of US economic data emerges and market risk sentiment improves, investors are cautious about the Federal Reserve's expectations of a sharp interest rate cut this year, and gold has lost the momentum to further attack.The current market focuses on the progress of trade negotiations between major economies in the world and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate meeting. Against the backdrop of the implementation of the US-EU and US-Japan agreements, the short-term safe-haven properties of gold may continue to weaken. In addition, this trading day will usher in the July PMI data of European and American countries, the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the annualized total number of new home sales in the United States in June, and the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank! Technical Review: Affected by Trump's speech, the United States reached an agreement with more trading partners, and the market risk aversion cooled down. Gold plunged sharply to a new low of 3381 in the late trading. The technical daily structure closed with a single negative line, ending the strong form of the continuous positive structure. However, the daily MA10/7-day moving average still maintained a golden cross opening upward, moving up to 3378/67. The price is currently adjusted at the 5-day moving average of 3390, and the RSI indicator is running above the middle axis. The price is in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band. The short-term four-hour chart retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger band at 3380 and stopped falling, and the RSI indicator adjusted its middle axis. The moving average high at 3410 opened downward in a dead cross, and the short-term gold price fell into a wide range of shocks. Today's trading strategy is to sell at high prices and buy at low prices. The strategy layout is based on fluctuations. Let's look at the 3366/3416 range first. Today's analysis: Yesterday, gold fell straight in the European and American trading hours, with a drop of more than 50 US dollars. The main reason is the impact of European and American tariffs. Last night, the European and American trade negotiations determined a 15% tariff. The market's risk aversion sentiment subsided, causing the gold price to fall. The gold daily line finally closed with a big negative line, and the gold daily line was covered with dark clouds! The rebound during the day is mainly sold at high prices!The high level of the gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn around. The buying power of gold has obviously suffered a heavy blow under the influence of the news. The short-term high level of gold 1 has also formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold rebound does not break through 3400, the right shoulder of gold will be completed. Then gold will complete the short-term top structure of the head and shoulders top in the short term, and gold selling will begin to work. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3366-3369 buy, stop loss 3358, target 3390-3410; Short-term gold 3400-3403 sell, stop loss 3412, target 3380-3360; Key points: First support level: 3380, second support level: 3367, third support level: 3353 First resistance level: 3403, second resistance level: 3410, third resistance level: 3420
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu