Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line.
The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range.
Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
Goldsell
Gold price "V-shaped rebound", short-term bullish
💡Message Strategy
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices briefly encountered resistance and pulled back. However, buoyed by expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices remained stable above $3,600, fluctuating at a high level. The overall bullish trend remains strong.
Market news remained largely unchanged. Earlier, Fed Chairman Powell delivered a dovish speech, indicating downside risks in the job market and the possibility of a Fed rate cut. The subsequent release of dismal US non-farm payroll data, with new initial jobless claims reaching a four-year high, signaled a continued cooling in the labor market and further validated Powell's comments.
Furthermore, US President Trump has repeatedly pressured the Fed to slash interest rates as soon as possible. These factors have fueled high market expectations for a Fed rate cut, driving gold's recent rally. Although the rally encountered resistance last week, the rate cut and the international situation have limited any decline in gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
Initial jobless claims in the United States hit a nearly four-year high, further solidifying expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. This led to a short-term plunge in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, pushing gold prices back from their lows. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain high, providing significant support for gold prices.
Therefore, we recommend a volatile upward trend. Focus on support at $3,640, followed by $3,620, and upward pressure at $3,670.
From a technical perspective, the daily RSI remains in overbought territory, indicating limited short-term upward momentum and the possibility of continued range-bound consolidation. A break above the $3,658 resistance level could push the price back towards the all-time high of $3,675 and further challenge the psychological barrier of $3,700.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3640,SL:3620,Target:3680-3700
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – September 15, 20251. Main Trend
Gold is consolidating within a falling wedge pattern on the H1 chart, often considered a bullish continuation setup. After last week’s strong rally, price is now ranging around 3,641 – 3,645 USD/oz, holding well above key support levels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 3,641 USD (a break below could lead to 3,625 USD).
Near Resistance: 3,655 – 3,660 USD (upper wedge boundary).
Major Resistance: 3,686 – 3,690 USD (Fibonacci extension zone, breakout target).
3. Technical Indicators
EMA 50 & 200 (H1): Price is consolidating above EMA 50, showing that bullish momentum remains intact if 3,640 holds.
RSI (14): Hovering near the 50 mark, leaving room for upside if the wedge breaks.
Fibonacci: Current retracement aligns with the 0.382 level, a common support zone for trend continuation.
4. Trading Strategies:
Bullish Scenario (primary):
Wait for a confirmed breakout and H1 close above 3,655 – 3,660 USD.
Short-term targets: 3,675 – 3,686 USD.
Extended target: 3,700 – 3,710 USD if momentum accelerates.
Pullback Scenario:
If price breaks below 3,640 – 3,641 USD, expect a retest of 3,625 USD.
This zone may still provide a buying opportunity unless structure breaks further.
5. Risk Management
Stop-loss below 3,620 USD to protect against false breakouts.
Maintain at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio for optimal trade setups.
Conclusion: Gold is building momentum for a potential breakout above 3,660 USD, with upside targets toward 3,686 – 3,700 USD. Traders should stay patient and wait for a clear confirmation before entering.
Follow for more daily gold trading strategies and remember to save this analysis if you find it useful.
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
3655-3625 oscillation structure, sell high and buy low#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Over the weekend, I reminded everyone to pay attention to a hidden piece of news.💻
China and the United States are currently holding their fourth round of talks in Spain on economic and trade issues, which involves tariffs. The outcome of the game between the two major powers will also affect the trend of gold. 📊The two sides are still negotiating, so please continue to pay attention.👀
Gold continued to fluctuate in the box at the opening today, fell slightly during the day and rebounded after testing the support below again. 🌈The short-term upward pressure still remains at 3655-3665. 📉I have repeatedly emphasized that only by breaking through and stabilizing above can gold continue to open up upward space. If it is difficult to break through during the day, gold will continue to fluctuate and pull back.
The price of gold is still in an upward channel. The correction range of gold at high levels is limited. The short-term support below is 3635-3625.🥅 Before it effectively falls below the support, it is difficult for gold to change the volatile pattern. However, if the price breaks below support and breaks the box structure, it is very likely to test the 3600 mark, or even the important support level of 3580.🐻
If the 3655-3625 box is not broken during the day, the buy low-sell high strategy will be maintained. 📊If it falls back to 3635-3625, you can continue to go long on gold, with the target at 3655-3665. If the upper resistance is touched, you can short gold with a light position.
With the interest rate cut coming, will gold fall or soar?The market is ever-changing. It's important to follow the trend; the trend is king. Plan your trades, trade your plans. How far one can go depends on who they walk with. How much a person can achieve in the market depends on who guides him. Let's witness what kind of turmoil gold will face next week with the Federal Reserve interest rate.
Gold has grasped the overall rhythm very well this week, the trading plan was executed smoothly, and the profit performance was satisfactory. After a slight pullback on Friday, gold rose again, and was suppressed near 3655-3660 above, and the oscillation stopped. This position also plays a role of connecting the above and the following. If this position continues to fail to break through, gold may pull back again next week to test the support position below. Although it is still in a high sideways trend at the close, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. I think whether the bulls can regroup next week is particularly important, which directly affects the later trend. Next week's interest rate decision has become the focus. Both market news and technical aspects are bullish for gold. Let us wait and see next week. If you feel your recent trading results are unsatisfactory and would like to avoid detours through clearer trading strategies and risk control, please feel free to discuss this with me.
Gold is currently in a high-level volatile pattern. After rising sharply and falling on Tuesday, it fell into a yin-yang alternating sweeping market. Before the Fed's interest rate decision, it is expected that the deadlock will be difficult to break. The market is waiting for guidance on policy direction. The key support is at the top and bottom conversion point and starting point of the 3610-3600 area. The bullish trend is maintained above it. If it breaks down, it may peak in stages. The trend suppression below Tuesday's highest point of 3674 is obvious. Next week, focus on the short-term support of the 3635-3630 area. If the Asian session tends to test the decline, the focus of the support below is near Thursday's low of 3610. If it breaks down, look at the 3600 and 3580 areas. If it breaks through the 3655 resistance above, it will turn strong in the short term and look at 3660 and the previous high. After breaking the high, focus on the 3680-3690 area. Maintain the overall range operation idea and follow the break.
XAU/USD technical analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical of Gold (XAU/USD) using the 4H timeframe. Let’s break down the idea behind it:
---
Key Technical Insights:
1. H4 FVG (Fair Value Gap) Zone:
The yellow box (~3602 zone) is marked as an imbalance area (FVG) where price is likely to retrace.
Market structure suggests that price may dip into this zone to fill the imbalance before continuing upward.
2. Price Pattern (Consolidation / Pennant):
Current price action shows a triangle/pennant-like consolidation after a strong bullish move.
This usually indicates continuation, but first, liquidity grabs may occur.
3. Liquidity Grab (Liquidity $$$):
The chart notes a liquidity sweep above resistance (~3659).
This suggests that price could fake out higher first, then drop to fill the FVG zone before resuming the bullish move.
4. Target Points:
Short-term downside target: 3602.487 (H4 FVG support).
Upside target 1: 3659.154 (liquidity area).
Upside target 2: 3699.778 (main bullish target).
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently around 57–60, showing moderate bullish momentum but not overbought.
Supports the idea of a retracement before continuation.
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (after retracement)
Scenario:
1. Price may first grab liquidity (fake-out up) or directly retrace down.
2. Dip into the 3602 FVG zone.
3. Strong bounce expected → rally toward 3659 and 3699 targets.
Entry Idea: Look for long entries near 3602–3610 zone (confirmation with bullish candle patterns preferred).
Targets:
TP1: 3659
TP2: 3699
Stop-Loss: Below the FVG zone (~3580).
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion:
This is a bullish continuation setup where Gold could correct down into the H4 FVG zone before resuming its larger uptrend. The plan focuses on buying dips rather than chasing highs.
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
A brief discussion on analysis and next week's trendGood weekend, is everyone having a good day today? Did you get together with family and friends? Regardless, I hope everyone enjoyed themselves.
Let me briefly tell you about our situation this week and my views on the gold trend next week. Gold maintained high-level fluctuations overall this week. Although it is still in an upward channel, it can be clearly seen from the daily chart that the upward momentum has slowed down compared with the continuous rise in the previous two weeks. Another intuitive feeling is that the current space below is much larger than the space above.
On Thursday and Friday, I repeatedly emphasized that only if gold breaks above 3660 can it continue to rise and reach the short-term high of 3675, or even a new high of 3690-3700. Considering that some friends find it difficult to distinguish between a genuine breakout and a false breakout, I suggested that the short-term resistance level of 3655-3665 be observed. Here I share a small piece of knowledge for your reference. In the face of a possible spike in the market, 80% of fluctuations are within the range of approximately $5-10. If you are unsure whether a resistance level has been effectively broken or a support level has been broken in the short term, you might as well leave yourself some room for maneuver and use a combination of small and large cycles to make judgments to avoid being distracted by false fluctuations.
Therefore, next week we can still consider focusing on the upper resistance range of 3655-3665. If the candlestick chart entity stands firmly above the resistance area, then the market will be as we expected, and the upper space is expected to be further opened in the short term.
From the news perspective, the first is an invisible piece of news that China and the United States will hold their fourth meeting, which will involve issues such as tariffs. If the two sides reach an agreement or move in a good direction this time, it may cool down the risk aversion sentiment and gold may fall. Secondly, Trump and Fed Governor Tim Cook are currently in legal proceedings. If Trump wins the case, will it reignite concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and thus interfere with gold prices?
Finally, the most important thing is the Fed's clear interest rate cut basis point. The current market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut. Whether the "buy expectations and sell facts" strategy we have always emphasized can be fulfilled and trigger a drop in gold prices depends on Powell's speech attitude. If his stance this time leans towards the hawks, then the market trend will most likely be in line with our expectations.
Overall, we need to be more cautious when going long on gold next week and not be too greedy for profits. There is limited upward space in the short term. Focus on the breakthrough of the 3655-3665 resistance and beware of the impact of news. At present, everything is just analysis. Specific operations can wait for Monday’s trading strategy. Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend!
Gold - This pattern just repeats!🚑Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) shifts bearish soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
With the previous 10 year bullish cycle, Gold perfectly followed market structure. With this 10 year cycle, Gold is still perfectly respecting market structure. Overall, it becomes more and more likely that Gold creates a top formation with a bearish correction following soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$3,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold SeLL NOW XAUUSD SELL @ 3650.5–3655.5
XAUUSD – Bearish Setup at 3650.5–3655.5 | Reversal Zone Play
Gold has entered a high-probability reversal zone between 3650.5–3655.5, aligning with the recent all-time high rejection zone and momentum exhaustion. Price action shows signs of a liquidity grab, followed by bearish divergence and fading volume—ideal conditions for a tactical short.
📌 Trade Parameters
- Entry Zone: 3650.5–3655.5
- Stop Loss: 3657.5 (above liquidity wick)
- Take Profit: 3646 (first support zone)
- Risk/Reward: ~3:1
📊 Technical Confluence
- Rejection from ATH PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
- Bearish divergence on RSI
- MACD histogram fading after parabolic move
- Volume drop on bullish candles
- Intraday structure shifting to lower highs
💬 Trade Narrative
Gold surged into the 3650+ zone but failed to hold, suggesting a false breakout and liquidity sweep. This setup targets a retracement toward 3646, with tight risk above 3657.5. If price breaks below 3649, expect acceleration toward deeper support zones.
Fundamentals remain volatile with CPI data and Fed rate expectations in play. This trade favors short-term tactical execution with disciplined risk control.
📣 Trader’s Note:
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes (15M/1H). If price breaks below 3649 with volume, consider scaling in or trailing stop. Setup invalidated if bulls reclaim 3658+ with strength.
3655 accurately shorted gold to seize the opportunity of declineGold fluctuated higher today, rising from 3630 all the way to 3657. However, after encountering resistance at this level during the European session, it ultimately retreated. The overall trend remains consistent with our previous analysis and strategy. Today's strategy is to short on rebounds around 3655, watching for pullbacks. The current low has been around 3637, resulting in a small short-term gain of approximately 150 pips. Congratulations to those who followed this strategy for a solid win! For those who are short-term traders, it's recommended to lock in profits or lower your stop-loss to avoid profit taking. For those holding medium-term positions, manage your positions appropriately and patiently await the next wave of opportunities. Following the trend and executing your plan are the keys to stable profits in the market.
European session sees retracement, US session hits new highGood morning, everyone. Although gold has rebounded at present, it has not effectively broken through and stabilized above the short-term resistance of 3655-3660. In the short term, this resistance range still exerts a certain pressure on the gold price, but this does not mean that we give up the judgment that gold may reach a new high.
First of all, looking at the daily gold chart, we can find that yesterday's daily line closed with a negative line, but gold did not fall but rebounded and rose. This is not only the impact of data, but also shows that the buying funds in the current market are very strong. As I told you before, big changes in the market will only occur after the Fed's interest rate cut basis point is clear next week.
But at the same time, brothers need to be clear that we should be alert to the false break of gold. Therefore, we can give a floating space of about $5, relying on 3655-3665 to see the short-term suppression. It may fall back when encountering resistance here in the European session. You can try to short with a light position. The short-term support should focus on 3645-3635 below. If it falls back and the support is not broken, gold will continue to rise. In particular, be alert that gold in the US market may rebound to a new high based on the support level. If the European session directly returns to the lower support, we can go long on gold first.
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 11.10.2025 ???Well, today's gold price has broken the current H1 uptrend line, the price is currently around 3620, and is still holding on to the H4 uptrend line. We will need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: around 3670, SL 3677, TP 3600 - 3575
>> BUY SCALP: around 3580, SL 3570, TP 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice day guys ;)
The first sign of bearsthey are coming 🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻
Gold has been on a remarkable bullish run over the past few weeks, setting multiple new highs. However, we are now seeing the first clear signs of seller presence entering the market.
This looks like a potential turning point. While I cannot predict the exact magnitude or speed of the decline, the probability of a reversal from this point appears to be high. I am anticipating a significant pullback.
Keep a close eye on key support levels. This could be the start of a new phase for gold.
Pay attention to 3655,there will be callback if it doesn't break#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold tested the support level of 3630-3620 and stabilized before rebounding again, which is consistent with my previous judgment that gold must experience a correction if it wants to rise again.📉
In the short term, the market focus is still on the basis points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut to be announced next week. 💻Therefore, before clear data is released, the market is unlikely to experience significant fluctuations.📊
Although gold is currently fluctuating sideways around 3645,⚖️ in the short term, we should pay attention to the hourly moving average, which tends to stick together and move upward. 🌈Therefore, if gold falls back again in the short term to test the support level of 3630-3620 below, we can still consider going long. 🚀
On the upside, the first thing to watch is whether gold can effectively break through 3655. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to continue to test the short-term resistance range of 3665-3680. 📈Conversely, a failure to break above 3655 could lead to consolidation within a range.🐻
Detailed Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD)Gold recently tested record highs around $3675, but prices are showing corrections as traders must have started booking profits from the extreme high level.
On the 4H chart, the price action remains within an ascending channel, suggesting that the broader trend still carries mild bullish momentum.
After touching the lower trendline of the channel, gold is showing signs of stabilization, but upside momentum is weakening.
The immediate support lies between $3636 (Fib 0.236 level) and $3620 (middle Bollinger Band) — a breakdown below this zone could trigger further correction toward $3612–$3593 (Fib 0.382–0.5 levels).
On the upside, if gold holds above the channel support, recovery toward $3675 highs cannot be ruled out, though momentum indicators suggest caution.
Overall: Gold is still in a short-term bullish structure but vulnerable to deeper pullbacks if the key $3636–3620 zone breaks.
3500? No, it’s 3700!
💡Message Strategy
On Tuesday (September 9), international gold prices hit a new high, firmly above the $3,600 mark broken the previous day. Rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have led to a weakening dollar and lower bond yields, boosting investor demand for precious metals.
Gold prices have risen nearly 39% so far this year, continuing their strength after a 27% jump in 2024. This is primarily supported by a weaker dollar, aggressive central bank purchases, dovish monetary policies, and heightened global uncertainty.
The dollar index fell to a near seven-week low, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained near a five-month low.
📊Technical aspects
In the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator continues to form a golden cross, which is a bullish signal. The MACD double lines are glued together and the high level is blunt. In terms of form, the market continues to rise. The 4-hour signal shows that the high point of the market has not yet appeared! It is still mainly low-long; the current support level of the sideways market is around 3630.
In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator continues to retest the golden cross upward, signaling a three-day winning streak. Today's daily K-line is essentially a bullish candle, but the issue lies in the magnitude. Calculated from the 3500-3120 range, the upward movement here is 380 points.
Gold's current trend has been consistent with our expectations, and the signal targets are being met.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3625-3635,SL:3600,Target:3680,3700
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.






















