How to accurately capture golden trading opportunities?Bullish trend is still the main trend of gold at present. After rising to 3368 at the opening today, it fell under pressure and fluctuated. Technically, it has tested the pressure level and needs to be adjusted. The overall high-level carrying capacity has also declined, so it is not advisable to chase the rise too much. In terms of operation, it is recommended to wait for the price to stabilize before buying more. Judging from the current gold trend, the upper short-term resistance is in the 3380-3385 area, and the key pressure is at the 3395-3400 line; the lower short-term support is in the 3365-3355 area, and the key support is in the 3350-3345 range. The overall suggestion is to arrange long orders on dips around the support area, and try to maintain a stable wait-and-see attitude in the middle position. I will prompt the specific operation strategy at the bottom, please pay attention in time.
Gold Trading Strategy: Buy in batches as gold retreats to the 3365-3350 area, targeting the 3380-3385 area. If this resistance zone is broken, hold and look for upward movement.
Goldsell
Distribution Phase at the Top, Key Support in FocusFollowing a sharp breakout from the demand zone around $3,310, gold has entered a sideways consolidation range between $3,355 – $3,367. The price has repeatedly tested the support at $3,352 – $3,354 but failed to form higher highs beyond $3,367. This signals buyer exhaustion and a potential distribution pattern at the top.
The inability to push higher suggests increased risk of a bearish breakdown.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: $3,367.77
Short-Term Support: $3,352 – $3,354 (blue box zone)
Major Support Below: $3,310 – $3,315 (previous breakout base, near 0.5 Fibonacci retracement)
Suggested Trading Strategies
Primary Scenario: Sell on Breakdown
Trigger Condition: Price breaks below $3,352 with increasing volume
Entry: $3,350
Stop Loss: $3,360
Target: $3,320 – $3,310
This is a momentum-following setup, ideal if the current support fails.
Alternative Scenario: Buy from Major Support
Entry Zone: $3,310 – $3,315
Stop Loss: Below $3,300
Target: $3,345 – $3,355
Suitable for counter-trend traders looking to catch a rebound off strong demand.
Additional Technical Signals
EMA 20 (15m): Flattening out, indicating loss of bullish momentum
RSI: Hovering around 50, showing a balance between buyers and sellers
Volume: Gradually decreasing, suggesting a potential breakout setup is building
Gold is currently in a distribution phase after a sharp upward move. If the $3,352 support zone breaks, a retracement toward $3,310 – $3,315 is likely. However, bulls may step back in around that zone for a potential rebound.
Follow for more real-time gold strategies. Save this post if you find it useful for today’s session!
XAUUSD shows short-term bearish divergence.XAUUSD shows short-term bearish divergence.
On August 1 gold increased dramatically after the NFP report data came out. No wonder, recession risks generally drive XAUUSD higher due to increased safe-haven demand, a weaker dollar, and expectations of lower interest rates. Gold’s negative correlation with equities and its role as an inflation hedge make it a preferred asset during economic uncertainty.
However, on short-term timeframe, the bullion shows bearish divergence, the asset is to overbought and needs some downward correction in order to cool down a bit. Additionally, the price is retesting former trendline from below. The decline towards 3,300.00 is expected.
Weak non-farm payroll data injects newconfidence into gold bullsGold rebounded strongly late last week, shaking off early-week losses and surging toward key resistance at $3,400 per ounce as weak US jobs data rekindled hopes for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold closed at $3,363.16 on Friday (August 1st), up 2.23% on the day, or $73.24, after hitting a high of $3,363.37.
Lukman Otunuga, senior market strategist at FXTM, said Friday's rally in gold prices was impressive, driven by a plunging US dollar.
"From the chart, bulls were on a rampage that day, with $3,400 within 2% of the price at that point," he said. "With prices breaking through $3,330 resistance, the weekly chart is significantly bullish. A weekly close above this level could signal a move toward $3,400."
Last week, gold faced significant selling pressure after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and Chairman Powell raised uncertainty about a possible September rate cut.
"We haven't made a decision about September yet," Powell said at a press conference following the Fed's decision.
After disappointing U.S. job market data, lingering doubts about a September rate cut dissipated. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. economy created only 73,000 jobs last month. Furthermore, total job growth in May and June was revised downward by 258,000. According to the revised data, only 14,000 jobs were created in June and 19,000 in May.
"This weaker-than-expected jobs report has dented confidence in the U.S. economy and put pressure on the dollar as markets anticipate a more dovish Fed, potentially leaning toward rate cuts to stimulate growth," said Aaron Hill, senior market analyst at FP Markets. "For gold, the disappointing jobs data reinforces its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty, supporting prices as investors seek stability."
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market currently sees a 92% probability of the Fed easing monetary policy in September. Last Thursday, the market saw only a 38% chance of a rate cut.
Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said the Federal Reserve may ultimately regret its decision to hold interest rates steady earlier this week.
"A rate cut in September is a definite possibility, perhaps even a 50 basis point cut, to make up for lost time," he said.
Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, said he sees the potential for gold prices to steadily rise to $3,400 an ounce given the sharp shift in interest rate expectations.
"If the Fed signals a dovish stance, speculative inflows could push gold prices above the psychological $3,400 level, especially as investors seek safe havens during economic uncertainty," he said. "Technical indicators, such as a bullish trend in gold ETFs and rising open interest, support this potential breakout. We believe traders are already positioning for a dip bounce, with some analysts pointing to seasonal patterns in gold that typically gain traction after August. While volatility may still limit near-term gains, the overall trend looks positive, and the typical summer lull may be over."
This week will be light on economic data, with investors continuing to digest Friday's jobs report. Meanwhile, some analysts expect the economic uncertainty stemming from President Trump's ongoing trade war and global tariffs to further boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Trade tensions are providing another layer of support for gold. President Trump set an August 1st deadline for countries to finalize a trade deal. While the United States reached agreements with Japan and the European Union, resulting in a 15% increase in import tariffs, many major trading partners still face the risk of tariff increases.
As a result, exports from many countries now face significant cost increases. Specifically, Canada, the United States' second-largest trading partner, faces a 35% tariff increase. Meanwhile, India faces a 25% increase, Taiwanese exports will be subject to a 20% tariff, South African products face a 30% tariff, and Swiss goods face a 39% tariff.
Pepperstone market strategist Michael Brown said he remains bullish on gold, citing global trade uncertainty as a key factor driving its value as a monetary asset.
He said: "The diversification of reserves away from the US dollar and into gold, particularly in emerging markets, will continue for the foreseeable future. Of course, potential safe-haven demand stemming from concerns about the state of the US economy will further support the bullish view. The upside levels to watch remain the $3,400 mark, followed by a high of around $3,445, and then a potential run towards the all-time high of $3,500. I certainly wouldn't rule out the possibility of new highs in gold prices before the end of the year."
Chris Vecchio, Head of Futures Strategy and FX at Tastylive, said he sees gold as a very beneficial global currency.
"Tariffs mean that countries will trade less in US dollars, so I expect gold to continue to perform well as the world searches for an alternative monetary asset."
XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing both a potential retracement and a bullish continuation.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Current Market Structure:
Price recently made a strong bullish push from the key support level (~3,329–3,335), breaking structure to the upside.
It is now approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and resistance zone between 3,380.47 and 3,396.19.
2. Key Zones Identified:
FVG / Resistance Zone: 3,380.47–3,396.19 — where price might initially reject (red arrow) due to unfilled imbalance and previous supply.
Key Support Zone: 3,329.27–3,335.31 — potential area of re-entry or demand if price pulls back.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at 3,335.58, aligning with key support.
3. Price Path Scenarios:
Primary Expectation: Price may tap into the FVG, face rejection, then pull back into the key support level for a higher low.
From there, it is projected to bounce back strongly toward the ultimate target at 3,438.73, marking a 3.19% upside move.
4. RSI (14):
RSI at 64.77, indicating strong bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. Favorable for continuation, but a short-term correction is possible.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (after a short-term rejection)
Entry Zones:
Watch for rejection at 3,380–3,396
Look to enter on a retest of 3,335–3,329 support
Target Zone: 3,438.73
Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 3,329 or bearish engulfing with high volume
EMA & RSI Support: EMA 200 backs bullish bias; RSI confirms momentum
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Is Gold 3400 Still Far Away?
💡Message Strategy
The spot gold market experienced a V-shaped reversal trend.Driven by unexpectedly weak U.S. non-farm payrolls data and risk aversion triggered by Trump's new tariff policy, gold prices rose nearly 2% on Friday to a one-week high of $3,347.66 per ounce, up 0.4% for the week. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but weak employment data rekindled expectations of a September rate cut, increasing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset.
At the same time, Trump's decision to impose tariffs of 10%-41% on many countries has exacerbated market concerns about global trade tensions and boosted the safe-haven demand for gold.
📊Technical aspects
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward, and the 1-hour moving average of gold has a double bottom structure. However, gold should not have such a large pullback for the time being. After the non-farm payrolls on Friday, gold fell back to the 3335 line and then began to fluctuate upward at a high level. The 3335-3345 area was also an important platform support in the early stage. Therefore, gold will mainly be bought on dips above 3335 next week.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3345-3355,SL:3325,Target: 3380-3400
How to seize the key turning points in the gold market?The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best strategy. When the trend emerges, jump in; don't buy against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is a haven for all kinds of resistance, so don't hold onto positions. I'm sure many people have experienced this: the more you hold onto positions, the more panic you become, leading to ever-increasing losses, poor sleep, and missed opportunities. If you share these concerns, why not try following Tian Haoyang's lead and see if it can open your eyes? I'm always here for you if you need help, but how can I help you if you don't even offer a hand?
Gold did not fall below 3280 during the day on Friday and started to fluctuate in the range of 3280-3300. The non-farm payroll data was bullish, and it directly broke through the pressure of 3315, and then broke through the important pressure of 3335 again. As of now, it has reached a high near 3355. The non-farm payroll data market has almost been exhausted. Next, we will focus on the technical form adjustment. At present, you can consider light shorting in the area near 3355-3370. After all, chasing long is risky, and the technical side needs to be adjusted. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me.
Based on the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance is near 3355-3365, with a focus on the key resistance level of 3370-3375. Short-term buy orders should be taken if a rebound continues. I'll provide detailed trading strategies at the bottom of the page, so stay tuned.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold in batches when gold rebounds to 3355-3370, with the target being the area around 3340-3335. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached.
~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
NF news, can gold selling pressure drop to 3240?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower, around $3,285 in early Asian hours on Friday, as a firmer U.S. dollar weighs on the non-yielding metal following new tariff measures announced by President Donald Trump.
The White House said late Thursday that Trump will set a 10% baseline tariff, stepping back from earlier speculation about hikes to 15% or higher, according to Bloomberg. He also signed an executive order raising the tariff on Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1, 2025, while extending Mexico’s current tariff rates for another 90 days to allow more time for negotiations.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
large frame, gold price is still moving in the downtrend line. will wait for NF result to have strong selling force again 3240
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3374- 3376 SL 3381
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3333
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3242-$3240 SL $3235
TP1: $3255
TP2: $3268
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
How to maintain stable operations before NFP dataYesterday, gold closed the month with a long upper shadow doji candlestick, indicating strong upward pressure, with monthly resistance at 3439-3451. Today marks the beginning of the month, and with the release of numerous data indicators such as NFP, unemployment benefits, and PMI, there is considerable uncertainty, so intraday trading should proceed with caution.
Judging from the daily chart, the current MACD indicator is dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator is running oversold, indicating a low-level fluctuation trend during the day. At present, we need to pay attention to the SMA60 moving average and the daily middle track corresponding to 3327-3337 on the upper side, and pay attention to the intraday low around 3280 on the lower side. The lows of the previous two days at 3275-3268 cannot be ignored. There is a possibility that the low-level oscillation will touch the previous low again.
From the 4H chart, technical indicators are currently flat, with no significant short-term fluctuations expected. Low-level volatility is expected to persist within the day. Then just focus on the support near 3275 below and the middle track pressure near 3307 above. Looking at the hourly chart, gold is currently oscillating below the mid-range band, with resistance at 3295-3307 to watch in the short term.
Overall, the market is expected to remain volatile before the release of today's data. Based on Wednesday's ADP data, this round of data is also expected to be around $100,000. The contrast between ADP and NFP last time deserves our caution. The current market is basically optimistic about the short-selling situation, which is exactly what I am most worried about. If the gold price can stabilize above 3,300 before the NY data, the possibility of NFP data being bullish cannot be ruled out.
Intraday European trading suggestion: if the current gold price falls back to 3285-3280 and stabilizes, you can consider short-term long positions, with the target at 3295-3305. If the gold price tests the low of 3275-3268 again and does not break through, you can consider a second chance to go long. After making a profit of $10-20, you can consider exiting the market with profits. The market is volatile and unstable, so be sure to bring SL with you and pay close attention to the impact of the NFP data. Conservative investors can enter the market after the data is released.
The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD
After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊
Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉
📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯
If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡
🚀 SELL 3305-3320
🚀 TP 3290-3270
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The idea of shorting on rallies below 3315 remains unchanged.Gold remains generally weak, with multiple rebounds showing signs of fatigue. The upward moving average continues to suppress prices, indicating that the bearish trend remains intact, and the short-term market outlook remains bearish. Trading strategies remain bearish today, with a key focus on the 3300-3315 area, a key short-term resistance zone. If the market rebounds before the US market opens and approaches this area, or if a clear topping signal appears near this range, consider entering a short position. Today will see the release of the non-farm payroll data, which may influence the market's trajectory. We recommend prioritizing short-term trading before the release, and reconsidering the market's direction based on market feedback after the release. Structurally, gold continues to exhibit a volatile downward trend, with lower highs and lower lows. Today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Short-term short positions are focused on 3285-3280, with a break below this level potentially allowing for further declines. Please carefully time your entry, strictly implement risk management, and avoid emotional trading.
Gold non-farm payroll layout strategy
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remained under pressure in Asian trading on Friday, trading below $3,300, not far from the January low reached earlier this week. Gold failed to extend its modest overnight rebound, primarily due to the strong US dollar.
The Federal Reserve's latest hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the timeline for interest rate cuts, boosting demand for the US dollar and weighing on the non-interest-bearing asset of gold.
The US dollar index rose for the seventh consecutive day, reaching a new high since late May, further weakening gold's appeal. Key to driving the dollar was the latest inflation data: the US PCE price index rose to 2.6% year-on-year in June, while the core index remained stable at 2.8%, exceeding market expectations and reinforcing the view that inflation is persistent.
The U.S. July non-farm payroll report, due on Friday, is seen as a key indicator for assessing economic resilience and the outlook for interest rates. It is expected that employment will increase by 110,000 and the unemployment rate will rise slightly to 4.2%.
📊Technical aspects
From the current technical perspective:
1: The technical pattern suggests a weak rebound and weak continuation.
2: The weak sideways trend is expected to trigger a third phase of bottoming out, stimulated by data.
To summarize: Technically, based on the data, the pattern suggests a downward trend, driven by negative data, leading to a bottoming-out and rebound. Therefore, caution must be exercised against this type of bottoming-out and rebound after the data has been released.
💰Strategy Package
Strategy: Fall first, then rise
Short Position:3310-3315,SL:3325,Target: 3245-3250
Long Position:3240-3250,SL:3220,Target: 3300-3320
Gold Showing Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key ResistanceHello Guys.
Gold has reached a major resistance zone around 3439–3425, which has already acted as a strong ceiling in the past. The price tapped into this area again, forming a clear divergence, and failed to break higher.
Here’s what stands out:
Divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum at the top.
The price rejected the resistance and is now breaking structure to the downside.
A minor pullback may occur before continuation, as shown in the projected moves.
First target: 3259.792
Second target (if support breaks): 3136.869, a deeper zone for potential bounce or further drop.
This setup hints at a bearish trend building up. Stay cautious on longs unless the price structure changes again.
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunities?Yesterday, gold prices saw a technical rally amidst volatile trading, followed by a downward trend under pressure. Bulls strongly supported a rebound at 3280 in the Asian session. The European session saw an accelerated upward move, breaking through 3314 before retreating under pressure. We also precisely positioned short positions below 3315, achieving a perfect target of 3290-3295. During the US session, the market again faced pressure at 3311, weakening in a volatile trend before breaking through 3300. The daily chart ultimately closed with a medium-sized bullish candlestick pattern, followed by a pullback and then a decline.
Overall, after yesterday's rebound, gold prices remain under pressure at the key resistance level of 3314. The short-term bearish weakness line has moved down to this level. If pressure continues in this area in the short term, gold will maintain a weak and volatile structure, with intraday trading remaining focused on rebounds and upward moves. If you are currently experiencing confusion or unsatisfactory trading strategies, please feel free to discuss your options and help avoid investment pitfalls.
From a 4-hour analysis perspective, focus on resistance at 3305-3315 on the upside. A rebound to this level is a good opportunity to short against resistance. Focus on support at 3280-3270 on the downside. Unless the price stabilizes strongly, consider not entering long positions below this level. The overall strategy remains to short on rebounds, with the same rhythm. I will provide timely notifications of specific levels from the bottom, so keep an eye on them.
Gold Trading Strategy: Short on rebounds near 3305-3315, with targets at 3290-3280-3270.
Waiting for non-farm payroll dataGold prices (XAU/USD) remained under pressure in Asian trading on Friday, trading below $3,300, not far from the January low reached earlier this week. Gold failed to extend its modest overnight rebound, primarily due to the strong US dollar.
The Federal Reserve's latest hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the timeline for interest rate cuts, boosting demand for the US dollar and weighing on the non-interest-bearing asset, gold.
The US dollar index rose for the seventh consecutive day, reaching a new high since late May, further weakening gold's appeal. Key to the dollar's momentum lies in the latest inflation data: the US PCE price index rose to 2.6% year-on-year in June, while the core index remained stable at 2.8%, exceeding market expectations and reinforcing the view of persistent inflation.
"Both inflation data and GDP data suggest the US economy remains resilient, giving the Fed little reason to rush into easing," said a Fed observer. "This limits gold's near-term potential as a hedge."
Meanwhile, US President Trump signed an executive order on Thursday imposing import tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on several trading partners, including Asian countries. Countries with trade deficits will face tariffs of at least 15%. This move has heightened global trade concerns, boosted market demand for safe-haven assets, and provided some support for gold.
Despite this, gold prices remain mired in a downward trend. Investors are generally maintaining a wait-and-see approach, awaiting Friday's release of the US July non-farm payroll report. This data is seen as a key indicator of economic resilience and the interest rate outlook. Expectations suggest an increase of 110,000 jobs and a slight rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2%.
The daily gold chart shows that prices are in a weak consolidation phase, capped by key resistance near $3,320. If gold prices fail to break through this area, there is a risk of further decline in the short term. Stronger resistance lies above $3,350. A breakout on strong volume could trigger a rebound towards the $3,380 area, potentially pushing the price above $3,400.
As for downside support, the 100-day moving average provides initial support near $3,270. A break below this could trigger further downward pressure, targeting the $3,240 area, the June low. A further break below this level would target the psychologically important $3,200 level.
In terms of indicators, the MACD death cross continues, with a shortening red bar, indicating weakening bearish momentum but no reversal. The RSI remains in neutral to weak territory, not clearly oversold.
The current gold trend is characterized by a "structurally bearish, sentimentally supportive" pattern. Despite the trade war and heightened global risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's caution about inflation and the strong dollar are exerting significant pressure.
If the July non-farm payroll data is strong, gold could test further technical support. Conversely, weak data or a pullback in the dollar could trigger a technical rebound. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD
Gold Price Consolidates in Symmetrical Triangle, Breakout Ahead?Gold shows a clear bearish trend within a well-defined downward channel. Price action continues to form lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the ongoing downtrend. The recent rejection from $3,312 suggests that bulls are struggling to regain control, and the market remains pressured by selling momentum. The price is currently hovering near $3,287 just above horizontal support zone.
📉 Potential Scenarios
- Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)
- If price continues to stay below $3,300 and breaks below $3,281, it may aim for $3,261 and $3,249.
- A close below $3,281 would confirm further bearish pressure and signal downside continuation toward the $3,240s range.
- Short-Term Bullish Retracement
- If price holds above $3,281 and breaks above $3,300–$3,312, a relief rally may occur at first resistance: $3,306 and second resistance: $3,312.
- However, unless gold breaks above $3,332 (previous swing high), this would still be considered a bear market rally.
- Range-bound Movement
- A third scenario is sideways price action between $3,281 and $3,312, where neither bulls nor bears take control immediately. This would represent market indecision or awaiting external catalysts (e.g., economic data, Fed policy).
🔍 Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Bearish
- Medium-Term Trend: Bearish, unless price breaks and sustains above $3,312
- Long-Term Trend: Neutral-to-bullish, as long as price holds above the macro support zone near $3,240
1D Chart Long Term Possible Scenario
The price is currently trading around $3,285, sitting just above the triangle’s ascending trendline support and within a key horizontal demand zone around $3,250–$3,300, which has held multiple times in the past.
If bulls manage to push the price above $3,360–$3,400, it could confirm a breakout and open the door toward the next major resistance at $3,450. However, if price fails to hold above the current ascending trendline, a breakdown could retest the base support near $3,248 or even lower toward $3,150
Gold is currently in a neutral consolidation phase within a symmetrical triangle, with both bullish and bearish breakout scenarios possible. The breakout direction from this pattern—expected in the coming weeks, will likely set the tone for gold's medium-term trend.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE AFTER U.S. INFLATION DATA📊 Market Overview:
Gold is trading around $3294, down from $3311 earlier after U.S. Core PCE and Employment Cost Index came in as expected — reinforcing the Fed's hawkish stance. A stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to weigh on gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3302 – $3305
• Nearest support: $3285 – $3275
• EMA09 (H1): Price is below the 9-period EMA → short-term trend remains bearish
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: After the sharp drop, price is consolidating between $3293–$3298 with low volume. Failure to break above $3302 may trigger further downside. RSI near 45 suggests room for more selling.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim $3302 and the dollar remains strong through the Asian and European sessions.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3296 – $3298
🎯 TP: $3280 / $3275
❌ SL: $3305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3275 – $3278 (if reversal candle appears)
🎯 TP: $3295
❌ SL: $3270
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Technical Overview
Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape.
EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength.
Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg.
Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout.
- Key Levels to Watch
Zone Type
Price Level (USD)
Remarks
Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100
Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation
Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone
Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken
- Intraday Strategy Suggestion
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323
SL: Below 3,299
TP1: 3,337
TP2: 3,355
- Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback
Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302
SL: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,323
TP2: 3,337
- Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction.
- Final Note
The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
Gold consolidates near key support – What's next for?1. Market Overview
On the 15-minute chart, XAUUSD is trading around 3,290–3,292 USD, hovering just above a critical intraday support zone at 3,287–3,289 USD (highlighted in blue). This area has repeatedly provided a bounce in recent sessions, indicating persistent buying interest.
The current price action reflects sideways movement within a narrow range (3,287–3,296 USD), and notably, declining volatility, as shown by reduced candle range and trading volume.
2. Technical Breakdown
EMA: Price is moving around the EMA20 and EMA50, reflecting indecision and lack of directional momentum.
RSI (inferred): Likely hovering near the neutral 50–55 zone, confirming a balanced market.
Trendline: A descending series of lower highs from the 3,312 peak suggests bearish pressure, though buyers still defend key support.
Fibonacci: The 3,287 USD zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its strength as a bounce area.
3. Key Levels to Watch
3,287–3,289: Support - Repeated reactions here – key demand zone
3,296: Immediate resistance - Needs breakout to confirm bullish move
3,302: Next resistance - Breakout target – short-term top
3,275: Deeper support - Retest level if support breaks
4. Trading Strategy Scenarios
🔹 Scenario 1 – Long setup at support
Entry: 3,287–3,289 (wait for bullish reaction like pin bar or engulfing)
Stop Loss: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,296 | TP2: 3,302
🔹 Scenario 2 – Short setup on breakdown
Entry: Below 3,284 (after clear bearish candle close)
Stop Loss: 3,288
TP1: 3,275 | TP2: 3,268
5. Conclusion
Gold is in a tug-of-war at a sensitive support zone. Whether bulls defend or bears break below will set the tone for the rest of the session. Focus on price reaction around 3,287 to determine direction – avoid blind predictions.
Make sure to follow for more live strategies as the New York session unfolds – and save this post if you find it helpful!
What’s your view on this support zone? Let’s discuss below!
Gold price analysis July 31XAUUSD – Bearish pressure still prevails, watch for SELL in the direction of the trend
Yesterday's session witnessed a strong decline when the D1 candle closed with selling pressure up to 60 prices, forming a key candle that shapes the trend. When the market forms a main candle, the 25% and 50% candle body areas are often important price areas to continue trading in the direction of the main trend.
In the current context, the priority strategy will be to sell in the direction of the downtrend when the price rebounds to the resistance areas and there is a rejection signal.
🔹 Important resistance areas:
3301 – 3312 – 3333
🔸 Target support areas:
3285 – 3270 – 3250
🎯 Trading strategy:
Prioritize SELLing at the resistance area of 3301–3312 when there is a price reaction (rejection).
Target: 3250
BUY only considered when 3313 area is broken decisively.
Staying disciplined and sticking to the reaction price zone will be key in the context of the market moving in a clear trend.
XAUUSD: BUYThere are some good trading opportunities in the market. That's when to buy. Gold prices haven't fallen further since falling back to 3390. There's no further negative news. Therefore, there won't be a significant short-term decline. Our focus will be on tomorrow's non-farm payroll data update. This is a crucial factor that can cause gold prices to rise or fall significantly in the short term.
I'll update you with real-time buy and sell opportunities. This is based on research from the Swing Trading Center. It's highly authoritative. Don't miss out! Remember to stay tuned.
XAUUSD: BUY 3292-3282 TP 3320. SL 3265






















