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Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis Guide (November 4th)!!!Gold is showing a converging pattern on the 1-hour chart, with moving averages clearly intertwined and failing to establish a strong directional trend. Gold is currently facing resistance around the 4000 level and hasn't shown a strong upward breakout. If gold breaks through and holds above 4000, then the 4020-4030 resistance zone should be monitored during the US session. Overall, gold is expected to remain in a range-bound market.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
4
Gold prices dipped and rebounded; watch for 3980.Gold prices traded within a range today, with bullish and bearish forces relatively evenly balanced. In Asian trading, gold opened lower and quickly dipped, hitting a daily low of $3962 before rebounding. As of pre-market trading, gold is currently trading around $4000. Looking at the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and gold is trading below the middle band, exhibiting typical range-bound trading characteristics. During the US session, watch for resistance at $4030. A break above this level could present a buying opportunity on a pullback, with a target of the $4050 area. If prices fall again, watch for support around $3980. In short, the market remains range-bound; avoid chasing highs or lows.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
Beware of Black Friday as gold prices fall againOn Friday, the Asian session reaffirmed the upper resistance level of the channel at 4142-4144, further declining to 4081. Can this trend continue, with the market holding highs and breaking lower, and breaking through the lower double-line on the hourly chart, the next support area to watch is the lower channel at 3990-3980. The 3980 area is what we call the target point, representing a gap of exactly $400 compared to the historical high of 4380. The hourly chart is sweeping the double-line range, with a breakout further opening up the market. The upper channel is slightly further away at 4180, while the lower channel is getting closer. In the 4035 range Support and resistance levels are shifting. If the market breaks below the lower double-line at 4035, the next target is the 4014-4004 low. The next target is the lower channel line, and breaking through it will continue the trend. Holding highs is key, and breaking lows is crucial. Although the market fluctuates greatly, each initial move follows its own pattern. Starting an uptrend, holding lows and breaking highs, holding lows throughout the process, and continuing the bullish climb. Starting a downtrend, holding highs and breaking lows, holding highs throughout the process, and continuing the bearish decline. To summarize, two points: 1. Maintain a cycle Regarding the rhythm of the decline, the area around 4100 should be considered as the dividing line. Looking down, we should look to the 4080 area. A break below this level could lead to further trading volume (don't expect a large rebound to confirm resistance). 2. A wide-ranging sweep, with the high of 4144 as a defensive measure, requires considering the 4133-4135 area, and then looking for leverage to complete a break below the lower low (this rebound will be more powerful, requiring additional attention to the highs). Thus, regarding the future gold price, we should refer to the above-mentioned approach. First, the 4144 high should be used as a defensive measure. Here, we should consider the 4133-4135 area, and then look for leverage to complete a break below the lower low (this rebound will be more powerful, requiring additional attention to the highs). Pressure around 00: A slow decline is needed to break the lows. Time is used to buy space to find the lower band of the channel. First, pressure at 4135 represents a correction. A break above 4080 will be leveraged to move lower, followed by a large-scale decline. Focus on gains and losses at 4080. If it breaks below, the next target is the lower double line at 4035. Breaking through this level will lead to lower points at 4014-4004. Finally, focus on the lower band of the channel at 3990-3980. Note: A break above this high will indicate a change in the nature of the market. Clearly define your defenses, establish your strategy, implement risk control measures, and strictly enforce them.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
10, 23 gold is still expected to fall!!!This week, gold hit $4380 for the second time before retreating, forming a double top. The upward rebound was interrupted by a break below 4293. A break below the previous low of 4186 marked the first time a secondary decline has occurred, breaking the previous correction pattern. Previous declines have not resulted in a secondary break below the previous low, let alone a downward extension. Therefore, this time represents a shift in rhythm, a pause in the bull market, and a period of rest and consolidation. The bull market needs rest! Short-term, yesterday's Asian session rebounded, reaching 4161 before retreating around 2:00 PM. Today, we will focus on the overnight rebound high of 4118 and the 2:00 PM timeframe. Specifically, relying on the resistance at 4118, we can short in the European session and continue to watch for a decline. Specifically, keep an eye on the resistance at 4118 and consider shorting when the time is right.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
2
10.20 Gold short-term resistance looks at 4280Gold prices twice confirmed their all-time high of 4380 before falling, the first time by $100 and the second time by nearly $200. Last Friday, gold prices were insane, plummeting from 4380 to 4279, leaving $100 of room for further gains, before rising another $100 to find 4380. After confirming resistance at 4380 for the second time, the price continued to rise, signaling a downward trend. Pressure was placed on the short side at 4380, 4355, 4350, 4321, and 4364. The price continued to move around the established downward trend, gradually shifting between levels, and finally accelerating to 4186 before ending the decline. The price rebounded in late trading, returning to the 4250 mark to end the week! Judging from Monday's market action, the market has entered a broad range-bound sweep. Specifically, the bullish rally may have temporarily paused, gathering momentum for a subsequent rebound. We must clearly understand the positioning of our defensive lines. When these lines are breached, adjustments and changes must be made: 1. Coordination between the two lines on the hourly and 30-minute charts It has fallen back into the 30-minute chart's two-line range, between 4280 and 4110. It remains above the upper limit of the two lines on the hourly chart, at 4221. Although it broke briefly last Friday, the closing price quickly recovered. Support is also being sought at 4221 in the European session this afternoon. The upper limit of the two lines, 4280-4220, is where the support is being sought. If the price breaks through this range, the nature of the market will begin to change. 2. Top and bottom reversal positions and Within the small channel, pressure is building up in the 4280-4385 area. The lower band is extending and expanding, focusing on the 4180-4200 range. In the Asian session, prices fluctuated around the 4219-4271 range. In the afternoon, we confirmed that the 4268 area was beginning to bearishly bearish. Based on this strategy, we chose to enter a bearish position from above, targeting the 4220 area. Once the price started to move, we would aggressively chase the price, pursuing the bearish trend until it accelerated to the 4221 area. Short-term strategies for the European and US sessions 1. Short-term trading in the 4278-4282 area, with the upper pressure at 4286, a stop-loss at 4298, and a target of 4250. The next target is 4225-4215. 2. After completing the $100 sweep, focus on the 4320 area for short selling. The specific target is a bit further out, so stay tuned for real-time alerts. 3. Currently, the price has returned to around 4260, so we will wait for the plan in the first point.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
10.16 Gold Short-Term Operation Guide!!!Three key points to watch today: 1. Position. Today's target is the 4200 area (previously, it started at 4000, then 4090, and yesterday was 4140). The 4200 mark is today's early trading low. Using this as a dividing line, we're looking to sweep the $40 range above and below. A breakout will open up further opportunities. 2. Channel. The lower band of the channel overlaps with yesterday's low at 4140, while the upper band currently overlaps at 4220-4225. Today's Asian session saw continued gains, breaking through the small channel range and extending gains by approximately $20 to 4242. However, after the breakout, the price fell back to 4203, retesting the previous high. If the market falls back into the channel, the support and resistance levels will shift again to the 4220-4225 area. If it successfully holds above the support level, look for the 4200 area. If it breaks below, look for the 4180 and 4165 areas, with the 4145-4140 area exceeding the range. Similarly, if it breaks above 4240, and the profit margin is halved according to the principle of equal distance, the next resistance level will be the 4270-4290 area. 3. Although the current result is an upward trend, the process has been characterized by significant ups and downs, with each initial move ranging from approximately $60 to $80. So, regardless of whether you are long or short, regardless of the direction, at this moment, timing is more important than direction. Once confirmed, To determine a trigger, the first consideration is at least $60-80. Within this range, stick to one direction. If it's right, reap the rewards; if it's wrong, exit. Regardless of whether you're long or short, don't dwell on it. The current market trend is extremely chaotic. In this chaotic situation, perseverance is more important than choice. In summary, for gold today, Thursday, focus on the 4200 mark as a spatial boundary. From this boundary, we can see a range of $40 above and below. Two key resistance levels: the upper limit of the 4220-4225 channel and the equally spaced upper limit of the profit margin at 4240-4242. Using these two levels as resistance, we can see downward pressure on the price, looking for the 4200 area. If it falls below 4200, Two key support levels are moving downward: First, 4180, a support point that was repeatedly consolidated in the US market last night. Second, 4165-4160, the bottom of yesterday's sharp drop in the European market. Of course, if the price does fall to the second support level, it will be easy to find the lower limit of the small channel at 4140, which is also yesterday's low. Based on this idea, the European market price met expectations. Under pressure from 4242, a decline to 4203 helped to profit from the short position. The rebound continued, but the price slightly exceeded the range. If the price exceeds the range, then the second confirmed high of 4242-4245 area is still a short position, with a stop loss at 4253 and a target of 4220-4200. If it falls below, look for 4180 and 4165.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
10.16 Gold maintains the upward trend in the Asian session!!!From a multi-period analysis perspective, first observe the monthly chart's rhythm. From a long-term perspective, 3130 represents a watershed in the long-term trend. Above this level, consider a long-term bullish approach. From a weekly perspective, the current bull-bear watershed is 3585. Above this level, consider a medium-term bullish approach. From a daily perspective, focus on the 3997 support area for now. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. From a four-hour perspective, which we've consistently emphasized, support currently lies at 4175. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. On an hourly basis, prices are also currently bullish, but short-term divergence is occurring. Therefore, be mindful of short-term bullish risks in the event of further upward movement. Meanwhile, today's early trading session saw another surge in gains, with the early morning low serving as a watershed for the day. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. Focus on the 4235-4266 area as an upward move. Gold's Asian session low of 4199.73 marks the intraday watershed. Above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue. (Also, a divergence is occurring in the hourly chart, so be aware of the risks associated with a short-term rally.)
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
10.14 Tariffs and interest rate cut expectations resonate!Judging from the current 4-hour chart: 4100 is essentially the current hurdle for gold. It's also the most important support level today. Gold opened today in the 4100-4110 range. Although it recently retreated to around 4090, the real-world price still closed above 4110. If we analyze the trend from last week's low of 3950 to the current 4180 level, we can see that the 618 support level is precisely around 4090. 4090 also happens to be the low point of the recent retracement. According to wave theory, if the retracement does not exceed 618, new highs are inevitable. If it breaks through 4180 again, the next target may be around 4230.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Monday's US gold market focus on short-term adjustmentsOn Friday, we emphasized the importance of the daily close. Gold's late-day rally on Friday disrupted the previous downward trend following the engulfing high. Instead, it continues to fluctuate along its short-term moving average, maintaining a relatively strong trend on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous resistance band, and the K-line continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. In the short term, watch for a second upward pull after a pullback. On the hourly chart, after a series of small upward movements, the price is currently fluctuating in a narrow range at a high level. The current divergence in the short-term chart suggests that there may be room for adjustment in the short term. Keep an eye on this short-term correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
Gold will continue to rise at the end of the week!!!Gold is currently consolidating at a high level on the daily chart, nearly forming an engulfing pattern at a high level, making today's daily close crucial. On the 4-hour chart, prices are currently fluctuating at a low level, finding support around 3950. On the hourly chart, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. The short-term moving average is gradually diverging upward, and the K-line chart is slowly crossing the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is gradually strengthening, suggesting further upside potential. Keep an eye on the resistance zone around 4010. Trade Recommendation: Buy around 3975-6, with a stop-loss at 3966.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
2
Gold rebound is still a good opportunity to short!Judging from the current trend, gold was affected by the easing of geopolitical situation, and the risk aversion sentiment temporarily receded. After falling below the 4000 mark, it quickly extended to around 3944. The daily line closed with a medium-sized negative line, almost completely engulfing the previous day's gains. The short-term indicators formed a death cross at a high level, and the momentum weakened significantly. The focus of the day is on the gains and losses of the 4000 mark, which is also the key position for the recent top and bottom conversion. In the 4-hour cycle, the price rose and fell again and closed lower. The big negative line broke through the middle track support. The previous strong unilateral bullish pattern was broken and the market entered a pullback correction stage. Therefore, it is expected that there will be room for repeated adjustments today. The upper pressure focuses on the 3980-3995 area, and the lower short-term support focuses on the 3945-3940 area. If it stabilizes and does not break, you can consider trying to go long on gold with a light position. If it breaks further, pay attention to the bullish defense zone in the 3930-3920 area, and then consider going long on gold. In terms of overall operations, maintain the idea of main short and auxiliary long, wait for the key point confirmation signal, enter the market steadily, strictly control the risk, and execution is still the key to profitability.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
10.9 Gold US Market Operation Guide!!!Looking at the 4-hour market trend, watch for the important support level of 3990-4000 below, and the bull-bear watershed of 3980-85. The bull market is rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious about following orders. Gold Trading Strategies: 1. Buy gold at 4000-4010, and add to long positions if it retraces to 3985-3993. Set a stop loss at 3977 and target 4045-4050.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.9 Gold Short-term Intraday Operation Guide!!!Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows support at the middle line and near the MA30 moving average, corresponding to 3986 and 3947, respectively. The Bollinger Bands have also begun to narrow, indicating a volatile, compressed, and retest pattern in the 4-hour chart. Focus is currently on the upward pressure of 4032, near the MA5 moving average. The 3-hour chart saw a rapid drop to 4001 this morning before bottoming out near 4008 and rebounding to 4036. The MACD formed a dead cross with high volume, and the STO indicator is trading at a low level, indicating weak 4-hour volatility. The high point of the morning rebound, the middle line of the hourly chart, has become the current resistance point at 4036. Meanwhile, support between 3999 and 4000 is a key focus today. On the daily chart, focus on yesterday's highs and lows, 4059, and 3984. For the daily chart to rise, it must not fall below yesterday's lows but must break above yesterday's highs. However, considering the current volatile decline in the 4-hour chart, it is obvious that it will be difficult to go up in the morning session, so 4032 and 4050-59 become today's shorting points; and for the time being, we will focus on the morning low of 4001 and yesterday's low of 3984.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold is still maintaining a bullish rhythm, the daily structure is stable, and the bullish trend has not been destroyed. Although it is slightly tired after the continuous rise, there is no obvious peaking signal yet. The hourly chart is still an oscillating upward structure. There is buying every time it falls back, indicating that the bullish force in the market is still dominant. From the four-hour cycle, the moving average system maintains a bullish arrangement, and the price runs above the moving average of each cycle. Although the RSI has entered the overbought range and there is a need for a short-term correction, the overall trend is still strong. The upper 4050-4060 area is the key pressure zone. If it can effectively break through and stand firm, the upper space will be further opened. We recommend that you continue to prioritize buying on pullbacks. Short-term support is in the 4020-4010 area, with stronger defense near the 4000 mark. As long as it stabilizes, there is still an opportunity for bulls. However, we should also be aware that after the continuous rise in gold, there is a possibility of a short-term correction. Aggressive investors can continue to consider shorting with a light position near 4060, with the initial target of 4030-4020-4010. Be sure to control risks, and shorting is only a supplementary strategy. Next, focus on US fiscal dynamics and Federal Reserve policy signals. These news factors will directly affect the short-term fluctuation rhythm of gold. Conservative investors should wait for support confirmation before entering the market, while aggressive investors should gamble with a light position and respond flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
The US market fluctuates at a high level, and long orders fall bGold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels in the early stages of the U.S. trading session on Wednesday (October 8), with the potential for further gains. At the same time, the current price increase has already reached a large extent. Pursuing long positions at the current price is not the best opportunity. Waiting for a pullback to trade long positions at support points, with small stop-loss orders and a large expected profit range, spot gold broke through the $4,000 mark during the day, reaching a record high of $4,049.43 before retreating slightly. The current rise in gold prices is driven by strong safe-haven demand, driven by factors including the U.S. government shutdown, falling Treasury yields, and political turmoil in Europe and Japan.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
When the market is crazy, staying calm is the biggest advantage!Since the US government shutdown, the gold market has completely lost its disguise and continues to rise without any decent technical pullback. The current market sentiment is high and the bulls are fully dominant. Even the 4,000 mark has failed to form an effective suppression. In the short term, if we want to see a significant correction, we can only hope that the US government will resume operations. Otherwise, the gold price may still maintain a strong upward rhythm. The current upward momentum even exceeds the market intensity in some war stages. From a technical perspective, in the short term, pay attention to the pressure of 4030 and 4050 levels. If there are signs of resistance to rising, try short-selling with a light position, strictly control risks, and flexibly stop profit; the support below focuses on the 4000-3990 area. Once it stabilizes effectively, it is still expected to continue to rise. Today's market has long broken the inherent thinking of not chasing ups and downs in the past. Gold has entered a new cycle of letting itself go. The new gold era is strong and not afraid of highs. Brothers who are uncertain can communicate with me at any time, and I will give strategic guidance at the bottom as soon as possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
10.8 Gold Daily Short-Term Operation Guide!!!In the 1-hour chart, the Asian session continues to rise with $3985 as support. A quick pullback would be an opportunity to buy in. Unless the Asian session decline continues in the European session and then in the US session, or if the Asian session breaks the bottom in the European session and fails to continue in the US session, don't try to bet on a pullback; instead, follow the trend. Secondly, give up on speculating on the top. Currently, the strong upward trend remains unchanged on both the daily and 4-hour charts. Even after breaking through $4000 in the short term, there's still no sign of an end. While bullish, be wary of pullbacks. In other words, be prepared for a pullback and avoid chasing orders. If the pullback approaches the $4000-3980 range, buy long. If the European session's strength doesn't offer opportunities, and there are further pullbacks before the US market opens, keep an eye on $4030-4050.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.7 The bullish trend of gold remains unchanged! Follow the treCurrent Market: 1: Technical Analysis - The bullish trend remains unchanged, so follow the trend. Trading Methods - Follow sideways trading and pullbacks! Avoid headwinds and avoid heavily shorting! Focus on following the trend! 2: Fundamentals - The probability of an October Fed rate cut continues to increase! The Russo-Ukrainian war remains stalemated! The outlook for the Middle East remains uncertain! Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings! The overall fundamental environment is bullish for gold. To sum up: From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold is primarily bullish! US Trading Timeframe: 1: 1-hour trading, sideways resistance at high levels, with support near 3940; the Stochastic and MACD lines are temporarily blunting! 2: 4-hour trading, the Stochastic has formed a death cross, and the MACD lines are blunting! From a morphological perspective, the short-term top-bottom reversal support level is around 3940. 3: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator blunted and retraced to a golden cross, signaling a bullish trend. The MACD double lines continued to cross upward, indicating a bullish trend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.7 Gold has no ceiling!!!The one-hour pattern of gold, the golden cross of the moving average continues to radiate upward, maintaining strong bullish momentum. Pay attention to the short-term support below 3930-3920, which was the springboard for gold to accelerate yesterday. The upper resistance level should focus on the 3980 line. Every time the gold price reaches a new high, it will fall back to accumulate power. Just remember not to chase highs. For intraday operations, we can continue to maintain low-long participation!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
10.6 Gold European Short-term Technical Analysis!!!Gold has been rising for several consecutive weeks, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, and the RSI has reached the overbought zone, suggesting further upward movement. Friday saw a small bullish close, and today's Asian session saw further gains. The daily RSI has again reached the overbought zone, and the 4-hour chart is above the upward trend line, breaking through the ascending triangle. Trade Recommendation: BUY: 3920 Target: 3940 3950
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
10.6 Gold falls back and continues to go longGold prices are currently moving out of a narrow range of highs on the daily chart. The K-line chart continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. Watch for any pullbacks on the daily chart to confirm a secondary upward trend. Focus on the support zone around 3900 in the short term. On the 4-hour chart, the price broke through the previous resistance zone, and the short-term moving average began to diverge upward, indicating a relatively strong short-term trend. On the hourly chart, the intraday pullbacks were neither strong nor prolonged, and the K-line chart continues to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. Some divergence is showing on the short-term chart, so watch for short-term adjustments. Trading Strategy: BUY: 3910 TP1:3925 TP2:3940 SELL: 3940 TP1:3910 TP2:3900
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1