BTCUSD Holds Buyer Zone - Push Toward 96,700 LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After a prolonged decline, Bitcoin reversed from the Support Level and broke out of the downward channel, shifting momentum in favor of buyers. The price then moved into a consolidation Range, where accumulation formed before a confirmed Breakout pushed BTC higher. Since then, Bitcoin has been respecting the rising Triangle Support Line, forming higher highs and higher lows. Buyers consistently defend this structure, keeping the bullish trend intact despite local corrections. Currently, BTC is holding above the 90,500–88,800 Buyer Zone, which serves as the key demand area maintaining bullish pressure. As long as the price stays above this zone, the upward scenario remains valid. The market is now heading toward the major 96,700 Resistance Level, located inside the broader Seller Zone. A breakout above this level may open the door for further continuation, while rejection could trigger a pullback toward the Triangle Support Line. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 96,700 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Market insights
BTC Corrections Don’t Kill Bull Market. They Power Them1. Primary Trend Structure
Macro trend: Clearly bullish. Price has respected a rising diagonal trendline since the 2022–2023 cycle low. Market structure shows higher highs and higher lows, confirming an intact uptrend.
This is a classic bull market staircase: impulsive advances (green boxes) followed by corrective consolidations (red boxes).
2. Cycle & Time Symmetry Observation
Advancing phases lasting roughly 120–225 days
Corrective phases averaging 80–120 days
Volume tends to expand during upswings and contract during consolidations
This suggests:
Healthy demand-driven rallies
Corrections are time-based rather than price-destructive
Importantly, the current corrective phase (~118 bars) is statistically aligned with prior pullbacks.
3. Current Price Action (Key Focus)
Price is pulling back toward the rising trendline. This is the first meaningful retest after a strong impulsive leg.
Historically, BTC has often reacted positively at this trendline
This zone acts as:
Dynamic support
A decision point between trend continuation vs. deeper correction
4. RSI & Momentum Context
RSI is around 45
This is neutral-to-bullish, not oversold. Momentum has cooled without breaking down
Interpretation:
No bearish divergence visible
RSI reset is consistent with bull market consolidations, not trend reversals
5. Volume Behavior
Declining volume during the pullback
Higher volume during prior upswings
This supports:
Profit-taking, not aggressive distribution
Sellers lack conviction so far
6. Key Levels to Watch
Support
Rising trendline (critical)
Prior consolidation midpoint (green box support area)
Psychological zone near previous cycle high region
Resistance
Recent local highs
Upper range of the last distribution box
Break-and-hold above prior ATH zone would signal continuation
7. Probable Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Higher Probability)
Trendline holds
Price forms a base
Next impulsive leg begins → new highs
Scenario 2: Deeper Correction (Lower Probability but Possible)
Daily close below trendline
Retest of prior green box support
On-Chain Confirmation
a) Long-Term Holder (LTH) Behavior
LTH supply remains stable to rising. No evidence of aggressive LTH distribution yet
Interpretation:
Smart money is holding, not exiting.
Exchange Balances
BTC on exchanges continues a structural decline
Indicates:
Reduced sell-side pressure
More cold storage / institutional custody
This supports the idea that pullbacks are liquidity-driven, not supply-driven.
Macro Liquidity Context (Primary Driver)
Global Liquidity (M2 & Financial Conditions)
Bitcoin’s major uptrends historically align with expanding global liquidity, not strictly rate cuts.
Even with policy rates elevated, financial conditions have eased via:
Treasury issuance absorption
Stable banking reserves
Risk-on capital rotation
Implication:
BTC can continue trending higher before rate cuts, as long as liquidity is not contracting aggressively.
ETF & Institutional Flow Impact:
Spot BTC ETFs introduced:
Persistent baseline demand
Structural bid during dips
Even during corrections:
Flows slow, but do not reverse violently
This changes historical cycle dynamics (less violent bear legs)
Risk Signals to Monitor (Invalidation Checklist)
This bullish macro/on-chain thesis weakens if:
Global liquidity contracts sharply
LTH supply begins sustained decline
Exchange inflows spike aggressively
Daily & weekly close below the rising trendline + failure to reclaim
Absent these, pullbacks remain buy-the-dip corrections.
BITCOIN Why nobody talks about this??That was the last indicator standing and now it is as clear as it can get. With last month's candle close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has confirmed that it has already started a new Bear Cycle.
The reason is simple and it is one of the most basic trading indicators out there. The 1M MACD was already on a Bearish Cross since October, and November's closing widened the gap to such extent that it is not recoverable anymore.
This has happened every time during a BTC Bear Cycle and in two of the past three cases, it took place while already on the Bear Cycle. History has shown that there is no coming back from this and BTC should start looking for the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1M MA100 (green trend-line) Zone. If all the Bear Cycle indicators we've shown on analyses since September were early signs, the MACD is conclusive and as mentioned, has confirmed it.
But what do you think? Has the MACD Bearish Cross confirmed the new Bear Cycle beyond any doubt? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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#BITCOIN: Latest Update 14/12/2025 Show Massive Drop ComingDear Traders,
Overview On BTCUSDT📈
🔺Hope you are doing great, we have an excellent opportunity on BTC showing strong rejection at $96,000 region; price failed multiple times showing extreme sellers momentum in the market. After the rejection the daily candle started suggesting a strong drop in the price.
🔺This analysis is only for buying and it does suggest to sell at this level, however, if you sell, do it with upmost care and precaution.
What Next?📊
🔺The best way to optimise the profit is to wait for price to fall around our entry zone which is clearly marked.
🔺Set targets at 100K, 120K and The Final Target At 150K
Support And Encouragement:❤️
If you like our work then like and comment which will encourage us to post such more analysis.
Much Love:
Team Setupsfx_
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance and Prepares for Its Next MoveHi everyone, Domic here!
This week, the market has provided enough support for Bitcoin to recover, but not enough of a catalyst for a true breakout. The Fed’s 0.25% rate cut continues to favor risk assets, yet investors remain cautious ahead of the December 16 Nonfarm Payrolls report. If labor data weakens, expectations for further rate cuts will rise — a direct tailwind for BTC. On the other hand, an overly strong report could trigger selling near dynamic resistance zones such as the EMA34.
On the news side, the crypto market is lacking major catalysts: no new ETFs, no sudden inflows, and no events on the scale of a halving. Because of that, BTC’s current recovery is driven more by technical factors than by news.
Technically, BTC has bounced from the 86,000–88,000 zone with a clear set of bullish signals: long lower wicks, improving volume, and solid absorption of selling pressure. Price is now testing the EMA34 around 93,846 — a level where BTC has been rejected multiple times since October. This is a crucial “checkpoint,” and if price closes above it on the daily chart, the trend structure will shift significantly. The next target would be the EMA89 near 101,023 — considered the final line of defense for the long-term downtrend. A breakout above EMA89 would almost confirm a new bullish cycle.
In the main scenario, I expect BTC to face mild rejection at the EMA34 and pull back to the 90,500–91,500 zone to gather liquidity before attempting another push. If buyers defend this area well, BTC could break above 94,000 and move toward 96,500 – 98,000 – 101,000, with 101,000 (EMA89) being the decisive level that would open the door to a true “acceleration phase.”
How Funds Actually Make Money From BitcoinIf you spend more than five minutes on Crypto TikTok (YouTube or X are not much different), you’d think the entire market depends on:
- who “bought the dip,”
- who “sold the top,”
- and which whale “decided” to pump or dump.
The screamers with flashy thumbnails and zero understanding yell:
- “BlackRock is buying—BULLISH!”
- “Whales are selling—CRASH INCOMING!”
- “Institutions are entering the market!!!”
- No nuance.
- No structure.
- No clue.
Because here’s the truth:
What BlackRock buys or sells is almost irrelevant to you.
Funds do not make money the way TikTok believes.
They don’t need Bitcoin to go up.
They don’t need Bitcoin to go down.
They need one thing:
Movement. Volatility. Math.
Let’s destroy the hype and show how funds actually make money.
1. Why “BlackRock is buying BTC” tells you absolutely nothing
Retail sees a headline:
“ETF inflows: +5,000 BTC today!”
And jumps to conclusions:
“They know something!”
“Price HAS to go up!”
“Institutions are bullish!”
No.
A fund can buy BTC and still be:
- 100% hedged
- delta-neutral
- directionally flat
- risk-neutral
- fully protected against price movement
The purchase is not a bet.
It’s a component of a structured position.
Buying BTC is just Step 1.
What matters is Step 2, 3, 4, 5…—all the parts TikTok doesn’t even know exist.
2. Why TikTok “analysts” have no idea what they’re talking about
If someone:
- screams in every video,
- says “bullish” or “bearish” 40 times a minute,
- thinks “institutions pump price,”
- doesn’t know what delta, gamma, basis, hedging, ATM straddles are…
…then they are not explaining institutional flow.
They are farming views and likes, not teaching markets.
Let’s be blunt:
If you can’t explain a delta-neutral hedge, your opinion about what BlackRock “plans to do” or "is doing" is worthless.
So let’s walk through how a real fund uses BTC to print money without caring if price goes up or down.
3. How a real fund makes money from volatility (step-by-step, using $100,000 BTC)
Assume:
- BTC price = $100,000
- A fund wants exposure to volatility, not direction
- They buy a BTC ATM straddle (call + put at 100k)
- Delta ≈ 0
- Gamma > 0 → the part that generates money
- They also own BTC spot for hedging.
- Let’s say the fund holds 1 BTC worth $100,000 as inventory for hedge adjustments.
At the start:
Delta-neutral. No directional risk.
Now let’s see how they profit.
Step 2 – BTC goes up 10% → $110,000
Straddle delta becomes +0.5 BTC.
The fund is unintentionally long 0.5 BTC.
To go back to neutral:
The fund sells 0.5 BTC at $110,000.
Cash received:
0.5 × 110,000 = $55,000
Theoretical cost basis (100k):
0.5 × 100,000 = $50,000
👉 Profit from hedge = $55,000 – $50,000 = $5,000
Plus, the straddle increased in value due to volatility.
Step 3 – BTC drops 10% → $90,000
Now straddle delta flips negative: –0.5 BTC
To get back to neutral:
The fund buys 0.5 BTC at $90,000.
Cash paid:
0.5 × 90,000 = $45,000
If they later sell that BTC at the baseline of 100k:
👉 Profit = $50,000 – $45,000 = $5,000
Again, without needing BTC to go up or down, “as predicted.”
This is called:
Gamma scalping — the quiet, relentless engine behind institutional P&L.
Up move → sell high.
Down move → buy low.
Repeat. Print. Sleep.
4. Where does the REAL profit come from?
A fund earns from:
- hedge adjustments (buy low, sell high, but mathematically—not emotionally)
- straddle appreciation as realized volatility exceeds implied volatility
- basis differences between spot and futures
- neutrality to direction, allowing consistent compounding
They make money even if Bitcoin swings between 95k–105k for weeks.
The only time they lose?
When BTC does NOT move.
Because then the straddle premium decays.
That's it.
Nothing to do with faith, predictions, narratives, influencers, or ETF flows.
5. So why should YOU ignore what BlackRock is doing?
Because:
- You are not BlackRock.
- You do not run a delta-neutral book.
- You do not make money from gamma exposure.
- You do not scalp intraday hedges on $100M positions.
- You do not capture basis spreads across spot and derivatives.
- You do not have a trading desk rebalancing risk every hour.
But the TikTok screamers will still tell you:
“Institutional buying = bullish!”
“Institutional selling = bearish!”
“Whales know something!”
They don’t know anything.
Especially not about institutional structure.
So here’s the punchline:
Watching what funds do—without understanding why they do it—is the fastest path to confusion in the best case and destruction in the worst.
You don’t have their:
- tools,
- capital,
- execution speed,
- risk models,
- mandate,
- or mathematical framework.
So trying to mimic them is not just pointless —it’s dangerous.
Final Lesson: Ignore the noise, ignore the hype, ignore the TikTok parade.
BlackRock doesn’t care about bull markets or bear markets.
BlackRock doesn’t need Bitcoin to moon.
BlackRock doesn’t panic when Bitcoin drops.
Because BlackRock doesn’t trade the story.
They trade the structure.
And unless you operate like a fund — stop pretending their moves matter to your trading.
You’re not them.
You don’t have their machinery.
You don’t have their volatility book.
So:
Stop watching what institutions do.
Start understanding what you should do.
That’s the difference between surviving and blowing up.
P.S: BlackRock and TikTok are used just as an example:)
BTC/USD 4H CHART PATTERNThis BTC/USD chart shows a clean breakout above a long-term downward trendline that has been holding the price lower for several weeks. Each previous touch of this trendline resulted in rejection, but Bitcoin has now broken through with bullish momentum, supported by price action moving above the Ichimoku cloud. This shift indicates improving market sentiment and increasing buyer strength. After the breakout, the chart suggests that Bitcoin may continue climbing toward the next major target at 98,850, marked on the right side. If the price holds above the breakout zone and maintains stability above the cloud, the bullish continuation becomes more likely. Overall, the structure favors upside movement toward the highlighted target zone.
If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
How long will market manipulation continue?If this daily candle confirms the triangle breakout, the bearish trend will be validated and the price could drop to $83,000. A price reversal is unlikely before the New Year.
And if this market cannot free itself from manipulation, it is doomed to collapse.
How i Sell Spot btc & Close my Longs at TopThis isn’t a call on where Bitcoin goes next. It’s simply the chart that helped me exit my long positions right near the top.
I’ve kept this setup unchanged for years. No fancy indicators, no complicated overlays. Just the long-term trend lines that have guided every major expansion and slowdown since Bitcoin’s early cycles. When price tapped the upper boundary of this structure, the reaction was enough for me to start unwinding my longs. Nothing mystical here — just respecting a level that has mattered for nearly a decade.
The point of sharing this is to show how even the oldest, simplest charts can keep you grounded. Markets get noisy. Narratives change every week. But the big structure rarely lies. This chart helped me stay disciplined, and it still sits on my screen the same way it did years ago.
BTCUSD Holds Triangle Support - Bounce Toward 88,500 ExpectedHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a downward channel, Bitcoin found a base near the lower boundary and reversed sharply, signaling seller exhaustion and a shift in momentum. This reversal was followed by a breakout above the descending resistance, confirming the end of the bearish phase. Price then entered a consolidation range, where accumulation took place before a confirmed breakout pushed BTC higher. Following the range breakout, the market formed a triangle structure, with price respecting the Triangle Support Line while facing pressure from the Triangle Resistance Line. Recently, BTC revisited the Buyer Zone around 86,300–85,500, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. Buyers stepped in at this level, defending the structure and keeping the recovery scenario intact. Currently, BTC is attempting a rebound from the Buyer Zone and is aiming toward the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1). As long as price holds above the support zone, a move toward this resistance remains likely. A clean breakout above 88,500 would confirm further upside continuation, while rejection could lead to another consolidation or retest of support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 86,300–85,500 as key support and 88,500 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD Buyers Defend Support — Market Targets $91,5K — $93K ZoneHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After a strong bullish recovery from the lower demand area near $83,500–$85,000, the price formed a steady impulsive move upward and entered a consolidation phase inside the marked range below the key $93,000 resistance level. Multiple breakout attempts from the range were followed by corrective pullbacks, showing active participation from both buyers and sellers. Once BTC broke above the range, the price initiated another bullish leg but quickly transitioned into a symmetrical triangle structure, defined by the descending Triangle Resistance Line and the rising Triangle Support Line. Currently, BTC is compressing inside this triangle while holding above the critical $89,500 Support Level, which is acting as the main short-term demand zone. Buyers continue to defend this area, keeping the bullish bias technically valid. The price is now approaching the upper triangle resistance again, hinting at a possible volatility expansion. As long as BTC remains above $89,500, the bullish scenario stays in play. I expect a breakout from the triangle toward TP1 at $91,500, followed by a potential continuation toward TP2 at $93,000, which is the major resistance zone. However, a breakdown below the triangle support would invalidate the setup and may trigger a deeper corrective move. For now, the market remains in a compression phase, preparing for its next directional impulse. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin: Weakness Is Where Opportunity Lurks.Bitcoin is coming off a double top lower high within what appears to be a bearish triangle formation. While this pattern is going to elicit bearish reactions from the herd (experts), it is important to ANTICIPATE potential turning points that can catch everyone off guard. While Bitcoin can break lower and potentially test the low 70Ks, it can ALSO hold the 80K area, form a double bottom/failed low and reverse. Such a formation would confirm a HIGHER LOW on the larger time frames like weekly. How you navigate this situation will totally depend on the time horizon component of your strategy.
The illustration on this chart emphasizes the double bottom scenario. The arrow points to minor support areas to watch price behavior for reversals. The time frame you use to observe will depend on what type of trader you are: day, swing or position. The reason I anticipate price will find support is because the broader fundamentals are still generally bullish, particularly when it comes to future actions by the Fed. It is important to realize, they just cut again and while no futures cuts were announced for the near term, it takes TIME for these recent cuts to be felt, like at least half a year. Sine Bitcoin is anti inflationary, it is likely to benefit.
Another important point is : OPPORTUNITY often lurks in UGLY markets, NOT when Bitcoin is pushing 126K. Why were NONE of the experts calling for Bitcoin to have a healthy correction when it was pushing the highs? They were too busy telling everyone "its going to 200K from here". The herd mentality is REAL and a significant component of human nature. While I also had no idea that this correction was going to unfold, I at LEAST warned people that the RISK was extremely high at those levels. This point further illustrates that NOW is the time be to interested, NOT fearful. It's like going to the supermarket and your favorite food is on sale. What do you do? Stock up on it because normally it costs more, so you perceive value. The concept is the same in the financial markets, its just not as simple because substantial amounts of capital and leverage are also part of the equation.
The optimal mindset for Bitcoin in the coming weeks is: Maintain an OPEN mind because ANYTHING can happen. Be PREPARED for the possibility of price reversing at the major support levels because the broader price structure supports such a scenario. It's ALL about IF the market confirms or NOT. With this in mind, IF it breaks instead, you should at least know how to adjust by stepping aside if you are on smaller time frames, and being enthusiastic to accumulate relative to your risk tolerance as a position trader or investor.
Also note: 88K is the Wave 1, Wave 4 overlap that I have talked about many times. So far price has not spent a significant amount of time below this level. IF it breaks with conviction and stays below for days or weeks, that can be interpreted as we are in the broader Wave 2 which can increase the chances of more of an extreme corrective move within a structure that is still considered bullish.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC Awaits a Liquidity Sweep Before Any Real RallyBitcoin on the H4 timeframe continues to hover inside a tight equilibrium band around 91,500–93,500, with price repeatedly tapping both edges of the range without showing directional commitment. The current movement suggests liquidity hunting rather than trend development, as every push toward 92,000 quickly gets absorbed.
Macro conditions still lean supportive thanks to the low-rate outlook, yet capital flows are favoring metals over crypto, leaving BTC with a muted recovery after the prior drop. Buyers remain cautious while sellers lose momentum, causing price to float above two demand/FVG layers at 89,500–90,500 and 86,500–88,000.
The scenario with the highest probability is a final liquidity flush. BTC may continue consolidating around 92,000–93,000 before sliding to 90,000 and dipping into the deeper FVG at 88,000–86,500. A clean reaction there would open room for the next impulsive leg upward.
BTC/USD (2H timeframe) .....BTC/USD (2H timeframe) chart clearly.
Price has rejected from the top of the Ichimoku cloud and the range, and my drawn two bearish downside targets.
Here are the exact targets based on My chart:
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🎯 Target 1 (Short-Term Bearish Target)
➡️ $86,000 – $86,300 zone
This matches the first horizontal support level My marked.
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🎯 Target 2 (Extended Bearish Target)
➡️ $82,000 – $83,000 zone
This aligns perfectly with My second deeper liquidity zone.
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📌 Summary
Current price: ~$89,940
Price rejected from the cloud + range top
Momentum turning bearish
First Target: $86K area
Second Target: $82–83K area
High Probability Setups: Divergence in Price and VolumePrice defines direction, but volume defines participation. High probability setups emerge when both align. When they separate, conditions change. Divergence between price and volume is one of the clearest tools for assessing whether a move is supported by real commitment or driven by diminishing participation.
In strong market conditions, impulsive price movements are accompanied by stable or increasing volume. This shows that traders are actively committing capital in the direction of the move. Pullbacks during these phases typically show reduced volume, confirming that counter-moves are corrective rather than a shift in control. This alignment between price expansion and volume participation supports continuation.
Divergence forms when price continues to extend while volume contracts. The market is still moving, but fewer participants are involved. This shift indicates that momentum is weakening beneath the surface. The move becomes more fragile, and continuation requires increasingly less resistance to fail. These conditions often develop before structural changes become visible on price alone.
The relevance of divergence increases at key locations. When price reaches major highs or lows, premium or discount zones, or obvious liquidity pools, declining volume signals absorption. Orders are being filled without follow-through. Late participants provide liquidity rather than fuel. This explains why many apparent breakouts stall or reverse shortly after forming.
Volume behaviour also clarifies breakout quality. Breaks that occur with low or declining volume often lack acceptance. Price may move beyond a level, but without participation the market struggles to sustain the new range. When price quickly re-enters the prior structure, divergence explains the failure before structural confirmation appears.
During consolidation phases, volume provides insight into preparation. Falling volume reflects compression and balance. Rising volume within a range reflects active engagement and positioning. Divergence during these phases often precedes resolution, especially when combined with liquidity interaction at range boundaries.
High probability setups form when divergence aligns with location and structure. Volume refines what price presents. It helps identify whether a move is being supported, absorbed, or exhausted. Reading this relationship consistently improves timing, reduces false entries, and keeps execution aligned with real market participation rather than surface-level movement.
Why Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real MoveWhy Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real Move
Have you ever placed a Bitcoin trade and noticed this? 🤔
Your stop loss 😭💸 gets hit… just a few pips from your entry… then the price suddenly rockets 🚀💎 in the direction you were expecting!
This is not bad luck. It’s a Stop Loss Hunt 💥, used by smart money 🏦💰 to collect liquidity before the real trend begins.
1️⃣ Liquidity Pools Above Highs & Below Lows 📊💎
Retail traders place stop losses at obvious highs/lows 📈📉
These stops create liquidity zones 💧, which smart money targets 🔍
Price moves to these zones to collect liquidity → fuels the next trend 🚀
Example:
BTC trending upward 📈
Traders place buy stops above the previous high ⬆️
Smart money pushes price to trigger stops 💥 → collects liquidity 💎 → then moves the price in the real trend direction 🚀
2️⃣ Stop Loss Sweep 💥⚡
Price triggers retail stop losses 🛑
Retail traders get stopped out 😭💸
Institutions enter large positions with minimal resistance 💹
Key Insight:
Price needs liquidity 💧 to move strongly.
Without collecting stops, smart money cannot drive momentum efficiently ⚡
3️⃣ Fake Breakouts & Wicks 🌪️🔥
Watch for wick spikes or sudden breakouts 🕵️♂️
These are stop loss hunts
Many traders panic 😱 and exit positions
Smart money uses this to trap retail traders and continue the trend 🚀
4️⃣ The Real Move Begins 🚀🔥
After liquidity is collected 💎💧
The true trend resumes 📈
Traders who waited can enter safely 🧘♂️💹
Often, the move is stronger and faster ⚡ because institutions now control the market
5️⃣ Market Psychology Behind Stop Hunts 🧠💭
Retail traders panic when stops are triggered 😅💸
Fear is used to manipulate sentiment 🧲
Recognizing this psychological trap helps you stay calm 🧘♂️ and trade strategically 🏆
6️⃣ How to Trade Stop Loss Hunts 💡🧠
✅ Avoid stops at obvious highs/lows 🚫
✅ Wait for liquidity sweep ⏳💧
✅ Watch for wick spikes 🌟 — early signs of stop hunts
✅ Follow market structure 📊 (BOS/CHoCH)
✅ Trade after confirmation ⏱️
✅ Patience + discipline = profits 💎💹
7️⃣ Examples in Bitcoin Trading 🔍
Double top wicks above high → triggers stops 💥 → continues trend 🚀
Price dips below support → triggers stops 😭 → rebounds ⬆️
💡 Observation: Every wick tells a story 🌟 — learn to read it!
💬 Key Takeaways
Stop Loss Hunts = institutional footprints 👣
Price hunts liquidity 💧 — that’s why your SL is hit 💥
Understanding this helps you:
Trade smarter 💎
Avoid losses 😅💸
Spot trends before they happen 🚀
BTC Isn’t Bottoming — It’s Bargaining: Why 75k Still Makes SenseAs I mentioned in my previous analysis, the idea that “BTC has bottomed” simply doesn’t convince me.
And let’s be honest: when a true bottom forms, you won’t see every account on social media announcing it. Markets don’t work that way — especially crypto, where optimism is often weaponized.
From a structural perspective, the entire rise from the 80k zone looks like a textbook corrective move. Yes, we had a perfectly normal rebound into the 94k area, but everything that followed has been classic corrective behavior:
- Mostly ranging price action
- Repeated spikes into 95k that were quickly sold
- Clear overlapping structure
- A bearish flag, which statistically favors continuation lower
If we also consider the four-month distribution phase between 110k–120k, it becomes even harder to justify a bullish reversal narrative. Distribution of that scale rarely resolves into instant trend reversals — instead, it usually marks the beginning of a deeper cycle shift.
So from a psychological standpoint, the crowd is still bargaining — trying to convince themselves the trend is intact, even though the structure keeps printing lower-probability bullish outcomes. That cognitive dissonance is exactly what fuels bear markets.
My view remains unchanged: 75k remains the primary downside target.
And for me, nothing changes unless BTC manages to stabilize above 100k — not just wicks above, but hold with clear buying interest.
Until that happens, selling rallies is the only rational play.
Radio Yerevan: Is Crypto the Biggest Wealth Transfer in History?Answer: Yes. But not in the direction people hope.
In the last decade, crypto marketing has repeated one grand promise:
“This is the biggest wealth transfer in human history!”
And in classic Radio Yerevan fashion, this statement is both true and misleading.
Yes — a historic wealth transfer took place.
No — it did not empower the average investor.
Instead, it efficiently moved wealth from retail… back to the very entities retail thought it was escaping from.
Let’s break it down: structured, clear, and with just the right amount of irony.
1. The Myth: A Decentralized Financial Uprising
The early crypto narrative was simple and beautiful:
- The people would reclaim financial independence.
- The system would decentralize power.
- Wealth would flow from institutions to individuals.
The idea was inspiring — almost revolutionary.
Reality check: Revolutions are expensive.
And someone has to pay the bill.
In crypto’s case, the average investor volunteered enthusiastically.
2. The Mechanism: How the Transfer Actually Happened
To call crypto a wealth transfer is not an exaggeration.
The numbers speak loudly:
Total market cap peaked above $3+ trillion.
Most of the profit was extracted by:
- VCs who bought early,
- teams with massive token allocations,
- exchanges capturing fees on every trade,
- and whales who mastered liquidity cycles.
Retail investors, meanwhile, contributed:
- capital,
- liquidity,
- hope,
- hype
- and a remarkable tolerance for drawdowns.
It was, in essence, the perfect economic loop:
money flowed from millions → to a concentrated few → exactly like in traditional finance, only faster and with better memes.
3. The Irony: A Centralized Outcome From a Decentralized Dream
Here lies the great contradiction:
Crypto promised decentralization. Tokenomics delivered centralization.
When 5 wallets hold 60% of a token’s supply, you don’t need conspiracy theories — you need a calculator.
The “revolution” looked more like:
- Decentralized marketing
- Centralized ownership
- Retail-funded exits
- And a financial system where “freedom” was defined by unlock schedules and vesting cliffs
But packaged correctly, even a dump can look like innovation.
4. Why Retail Was Doomed From the Start
Not because people are unintelligent, but because:
- No one reads tokenomics.
- Unlock calendars sound boring.
- Supply distribution charts kill the romance.
- Liquidity mechanics are not as exciting as „next 100x gem”.
- And hype travels faster than math.
In a speculative market, psychology beats fundamentals until the moment fundamentals matter again — usually when it's too late.
5. The Real Wealth Transfer: From “Us” to “Them”
The slogan said:
“Crypto will redistribute wealth to the people!”
The chart said:
“Thank you for your liquidity, dear people.”
The actual transfer looked like this:
- Retail bought the story.
- Institutions created the tokens.
- Retail bought the bags.
- Institutions sold the bags.
- Retail called it a correction.
- Institutions called it a cycle.
Everyone had a term for it.
Only one group had consistent profits from it.
6. So, Was It the Biggest Wealth Transfer in History?
Yes.
But not because it made the average investor rich.
It was the biggest because:
- no previous financial system mobilized so many people
- so quickly
- with so little due diligence
- to transfer so much capital
- to so few beneficiaries
- under the banner of liberation.
It wasn’t a scam.
It wasn’t a conspiracy.
It was simply financial physics meeting human psychology.
7. The Lesson: Crypto Isn’t the Problem — Expectations Are
- Blockchain remains a brilliant invention.
- Tokenization has real use cases.
- DeFi is a groundbreaking paradigm.
- And so on
The issue wasn’t the technology.
It was the narrative that convinced people that buying a token was equivalent to buying financial freedom.
Real freedom comes from:
- understanding liquidity,
- reading tokenomics,
- respecting supply dynamics,
- and asking the only question that matters:
“If I’m buying… who is selling?”
In markets — especially crypto — this question is worth more than any airdrop.
8. Final Radio Yerevan Clarification
Question: Will the next crypto cycle finally deliver the wealth transfer to the masses?
Answer: In principle, yes.
In practice… only if the masses stop donating liquidity.
BTC: Liquidity Sweep SetupBTC: Liquidity Sweep Setup
Bitcoin continues to operate inside a broad equilibrium zone after completing a prolonged downward phase earlier in the month. The decline lost momentum as price entered a high-participation area, where trading activity became increasingly balanced and rotational. Since then, the market has developed a wide consolidation band, signaling a temporary standoff between directional conviction and liquidity accumulation.
Recent sessions show price repeatedly rotating through the center of this zone, forming alternating impulses that lack continuation. This pattern reflects a market focused on collecting orders rather than trending. Each short-lived push quickly transitions back into the range, indicating absorption on both sides and limited willingness from participants to sustain directional movement.
The lower portion of the range has begun attracting more activity, suggesting interest from larger players seeking efficient fill zones before any expansion. Price behaviour here is characterized by controlled sweeps, shallow recoveries, and frequent re-tests of the mid-band — signs of liquidity harvesting rather than aggressive distribution.
Forward behaviour on the chart implies that the market may first dip into the lower liquidity pocket to finalize order collection. Once this pocket is satisfied, conditions become favourable for a transition into an expansion phase targeting the upper boundary of the current equilibrium. This type of structure is common before major repricing, as it reflects the buildup of untriggered positions awaiting execution.
Overall, Bitcoin is in a preparation phase where energy is being stored, volatility is compressing, and liquidity is reorganizing. The next significant development is likely to emerge once the market completes its sweep of inefficient areas inside the range and finds a stable base for expansion.
BTC/USD (2H timeframe)....BTC/USD (2H timeframe) chart clearly.
I have drawn two bearish targets after a trendline break and market ranging structure.
Here are the targets exactly as your chart suggests:
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🎯 Target 1 (Short-term target)
➡ $87,000 – $87,300 zone
This is the first major support level and matches My first arrow.
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🎯 Target 2 (Extended target)
➡ $83,000 – $83,500 zone
This is my deeper downside target and aligns with the second marked zone.
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📌 Summary
Current price: around $90,400
Bearish structure: Yes (trendline broken + lower highs)
Target 1: $87K area
Target 2: $83K area
Bitcoin Daily: Bear Flag / Rising Wedge – Breakdown to 76K?Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a rising wedge after a strong impulsive sell-off on the daily timeframe.
This structure appears corrective in nature and aligns with a classic bear-flag / rising-wedge continuation setup. Momentum indicators (SQZMOM and ASO) are showing signs of exhaustion, suggesting the current bounce lacks strength.
A breakdown below wedge support would likely open the door for a move toward the 75k–76k horizontal support zone.






















