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Tesla - The Next 7 Days Decide Everything!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is sitting at a crucial structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Despite the -60% correction which we have been seeing over the past couple of months, Tesla still continuously validates its overall uptrend. That's exactly the reason for my strong bullish thesis and the assumption, that after we see bullish confirmation, Tesla will reject the current support area. Levels to watch: $250, $400 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
4
US10YA bond is essentially a loan made by an investor to a borrower, which can be a government or a corporation. It is a fixed-income financial instrument where the borrower agrees to pay back the principal amount (face value) on a specified maturity date and usually makes periodic interest payments called coupons to the bondholder. What Is a Government Bond? A government bond is a type of bond issued by a national government to raise funds. When you buy a government bond, you are lending money to the government in exchange for regular interest payments and the return of the bond’s face value at maturity. These bonds are often considered low-risk because they are backed by the government’s credit and taxing power. Why Do Governments Offer Bonds? Governments issue bonds primarily to: Finance Fiscal Deficits: Bonds help cover budget shortfalls without immediately raising taxes or cutting spending. Fund Public Projects: Money raised can be used for infrastructure, schools, hospitals, and other public services. Manage Debt: Governments use bonds to refinance maturing debt or restructure their debt profile. Control Monetary Policy: Central banks may buy or sell government bonds to influence money supply and interest rates. Develop Financial Markets: Issuing bonds establishes benchmark yields that help price other financial instruments and deepen capital markets Provide Investment Opportunities: Bonds offer a relatively safe investment option, encouraging savings and investment within the economy. Summary Aspect Explanation Bond A loan from an investor to a borrower with interest payments Government Bond Debt security issued by a government to fund spending Why Issued To finance deficits, fund projects, manage debt, and control monetary policy Risk Level Generally low risk due to government backing Investor Benefit Periodic interest (coupon) and principal repayment at maturity In short, government bonds are a crucial tool for governments to raise capital sustainably while providing investors with a relatively safe income stream. Difference Between Bond Yield and Bond Price and Their Effect on the US Dollar Bond Price vs. Bond Yield: The Inverse Relationship Bond Price is the current market value or price investors pay to buy a bond. It can be above (premium), below (discount), or equal to the bond’s face (par) value. Bond Yield is the return an investor earns on a bond, expressed as a percentage. It reflects the income from coupon payments relative to the bond’s current price, and can be calculated as the current yield or yield to maturity. Key point: Bond price and bond yield move in opposite directions. When bond prices rise, yields fall because the fixed coupon payments represent a smaller return relative to the higher price paid. When bond prices fall, yields rise to compensate investors for the lower price paid for the same fixed coupon payments. Why This Happens If interest rates in the market increase, new bonds offer higher coupon rates. Existing bonds with lower coupons become less attractive, so their prices drop to increase their effective yield to match market rates. Conversely, if interest rates fall, existing bonds with higher coupons become more valuable, pushing their prices up and yields down. How Bond Yields and Prices Affect the US Dollar Higher US Treasury Yields (rising yields due to falling bond prices) tend to strengthen the US dollar. This is because higher yields attract foreign investors seeking better returns on US debt, increasing demand for USD to buy Treasuries. Conversely, falling yields (rising bond prices) make US assets less attractive, potentially weakening the USD as capital flows out or seek higher returns elsewhere. The US Dollar Index (DXY) often moves in tandem with US Treasury yields because both reflect investor sentiment about US economic strength, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policy. When the Fed raises interest rates, bond yields typically rise, boosting the USD. When the Fed cuts rates, yields fall, putting downward pressure on the USD. In essence: When bond prices fall and yields rise, the US dollar tends to strengthen due to increased demand for higher-yielding US assets. Conversely, rising bond prices and falling yields usually weaken the dollar.
TVC:US10YLong
by Shavyfxhub
Non-farm payrolls may bottom out and rebound!Today's opening continued to rebound and rise, and the daily line has gone through three consecutive negative lines. Today is the fourth day of the probability of correction, and the decline is bound to be not as large as yesterday. Therefore, the position of choosing a short position cannot be too low, because it is not extremely weak. The Asian session rebounded and corrected. In the afternoon, you can switch to a short position around 3260. The support below is 3230-3227! For the big non-agricultural data in the evening, according to the ADP data on Wednesday, it is likely to be bullish for gold. Under the influence of the tariff war, the employment data may not be too good, and the economic situation will only get worse. There is no doubt about this. Comprehensive analysis, I think the probability of the big non-agricultural data and unemployment rate in the evening is relatively high. Therefore, shorting is limited to intraday, and the focus in the evening is on the bottoming out and rebounding cycles.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by WinifredWalsh
DOLLARDXY and Bond Yield Correlation: Key Dynamics in 2025 Core Relationship The US Dollar Index (DXY) and US 10-Year Treasury yields exhibit a positive correlation, driven by shared sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy, inflation expectations, and global risk sentiment. Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD (DXY ↑) and pushes yields higher Strong US Growth Bolsters USD and raises yields via inflation risks Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD and lowers yields as capital flows to riskier assets Inflation Fears Raises yields but may not always lift USD if growth concerns dominate Current Correlation Metrics (2025) DXY and 10-Year Yield Correlation: Historically positive, with recent coefficients ranging from +0.50 to +0.93 depending on market conditions. USD/JPY and Yields: Extreme correlation of +0.93 in 2025, reflecting synchronized moves between the dollar and yields. Key Drivers in 2025 Monetary Policy: The Fed’s restrictive stance (4.50% rate) supports both USD and yields, but delayed cuts and tariff-induced inflation risks create volatility. ECB and BoJ dovishness amplifies USD strength, reinforcing the correlation. Economic Data: Robust US GDP growth (0.4% Q1 2025) and sticky inflation (2.1% in Germany) keep yields elevated, supporting DXY. Weakness in global markets (e.g., China, EU) drives safe-haven flows into USD and Treasuries, complicating the correlation. Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks: US fiscal deficit concerns and trade tensions (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) threaten to decouple DXY from yields. For example, rising yields due to debt supply fears may coincide with USD weakness if investors flee US assets. Bond market turbulence (10-Year yields at 4.47% in April 2025) highlights sensitivity to foreign demand and leverage unwinds. Exceptions and Divergences Risk-Off Scenarios: In crises, investors may buy both Treasuries (lowering yields) and USD, creating a temporary negative correlation. De-Dollarization Fears: Structural shifts, such as reduced foreign appetite for US debt, could weaken the link between DXY and yields despite high rates. 2025 Outlook Yield Range: Expected to stabilize between 4%–5%, supporting a firm USD if Fed policy remains hawkish. DXY Trajectory: Faces headwinds from fiscal risks and tariffs but could rebound if global growth slows and US data stays resilient. Summary Table Correlation Positive (DXY ↑ as yields ↑), but context-dependent Fed Policy Primary driver; higher rates lift both DXY and yields Inflation Supports yields, but may weaken USD if growth falters Global Risk Risk-off flows can strengthen USD while lowering yields 2025 Risks Fiscal deficits, tariffs, and de-dollarization may disrupt correlation In conclusion, while DXY and bond yields generally move in tandem, 2025’s unique mix of monetary policy, fiscal strains, and geopolitical shifts introduces volatility. Traders should monitor Fed rhetoric, inflation data, and global risk appetite for directional cues.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
Bitcoin on Bollinger Band touch the Bottom?📝 Bitcoin is currently testing the baseline of the Bollinger Bands, which historically indicates that the sideways phase is nearing its end. 📉 Volatility is stabilizing, and the market structure is tightening—this often precedes a significant new move. 💡 The next big trend is on the horizon. Will it be an explosive breakout or a controlled rally like in 2021? I'm leaning more toward gradual growth, what do you think?
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FeelsStrategy
1
Gold non-farm data fell into volatility!After the negative news of non-agricultural data today, gold fell as expected, but it bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound of gold, it began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. Therefore, the closing is very critical. Gold fell back to around 3240 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can look at the fluctuations in this range. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then there is still a great opportunity for gold bears. If you want to operate in the short term, don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short at a high level first. If it breaks through 3270, on the whole, it is recommended to go short on rebounds as the main operation strategy, and go long on callbacks as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper short-term resistance of 3265-3270, and the short-term focus on the lower short-term support of 3200-3197.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KittyBaldwin
BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) and US Dollar (DXY) Differential: Correlation and Trends Key Relationship: Inverse Correlation Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of major currencies. This relationship stems from Bitcoin’s role as a speculative, risk-sensitive asset and the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency. Factor Impact on BTC/USD Stronger USD (DXY ↑) Typically bearish for Bitcoin (BTC ↓) Weaker USD (DXY ↓) Typically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC ↑) Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD, pressuring BTC Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD demand, supports BTC Recent Trends in 2025 Decoupling from Historical Patterns: Despite the DXY falling 9% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, Bitcoin has declined 6%, diverging from its typical inverse relationship. This anomaly reflects Bitcoin’s growing correlation with equities (e.g., Nasdaq) amid global trade war tensions and its reduced linkage to gold. Monetary Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve’s restrictive policy (4.50% rate) has bolstered the USD, limiting BTC’s upside despite easing trade tensions. Bitcoin’s fixed supply and speculative nature amplify sensitivity to liquidity shifts. Correlation Metrics: 2024 Q1: BTC/DXY correlation coefficient of -0.65, indicating a strong inverse relationship. 2025: Correlation weakened due to macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and BTC’s shifting market role. Critical Factors Influencing BTC/USD Dynamics Fed Policy Signals: Delayed rate cuts (priced for June 2025) sustain USD strength, capping BTC rallies. Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven USD demand spikes during geopolitical crises (e.g., trade wars), pressuring BTC. Institutional Adoption: Growing BTC integration into traditional finance may reduce volatility and alter its correlation profile. 2025 Outlook Short-Term: BTC faces headwinds from USD resilience and equity market volatility but could rebound if Fed cuts materialize. Long-Term: Structural drivers (halving, institutional demand) may restore BTC’s inverse correlation with the USD as macro conditions stabilize. In summary, while Bitcoin and the dollar often move inversely, 2025 has seen this relationship tested by shifting market dynamics. Traders should monitor Fed policy, risk appetite, and BTC’s evolving role in portfolios for directional cues.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD: Neutral View First Buy and Then Sell! Hey everyone! Our first buy swing entry is going swimmingly! We’ve got over 500 pips running positively, and we reckon price can keep going up and then when it hits our selling zone, you can swing sell too. This is a fantastic opportunity where we can wait for price to do its thing and then when it reaches the sell zone, we can execute our order. But if you’re feeling adventurous and want to take a bit of a risk, you can take a buy entry at the given point and keep it up until it reaches our sell area. With just one shot, we can make two entries! Good luck and trade safely! Thanks a bunch for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to lend a hand, here are a few ways you can contribute: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Cheers, Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
by Setupsfx_
2
Gold Trade Plan 01/05/2025Dear Traders, The April monthly candle closed around 3285. Currently, the price has reacted to a previously identified zone and is now moving within a descending channel, with the channel's upper boundary at 3285. If the price gives a daily close above 3285, I expect it to rise toward 3370. otherwise complex Correction will be continue and my Final Target is 3170 if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Range-bound volatility. Sell high and buy low.After the data release, the market reacted swiftly but in different directions. The US dollar index was indecisive after the data release. Although it briefly touched 100.0418, it then retreated to 99.9507, with a daily decline of 0.23%, failing to continue its previous strength. Spot gold dropped about $9 to $3,250 per ounce within one minute after the data release, but then rebounded to $3,255 per ounce with a daily increase of 0.56%. The short - term resistance levels of $3,260 and $3,265 have become the focus of attention. Overall, the better - than - expected performance of the April non - farm payrolls data has injected short - term confidence into the market. However, the revision of historical data and external uncertainties still make investors vigilant. In the short term, there may still be room for risk - assets to rise, but in the medium to long term, the downside risks are building up. Trading Strategy: buy@3225-3240 TP:3275-3290 If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HilaryBloomer
Dollar Weekly CLS I Continuation setup Model 2 , Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
TVC:DXYLong
by David_Perk
10
ENA/USDT Daily Analysis – May 2, 2025ENA/USDT Pattern: Descending triangle or wedge-like structure Momentum: Bullish bounce forming near key trendline support Indicator: Bullish signals emerging on Prime Oscillator (green dot + rising histogram) Key Levels: Buy Zone: $0.295 – $0.311 (price currently in this zone) Support Levels: Major support: $0.280 – $0.295 Ultimate invalidation: $0.234 Resistance Levels: First target: $0.375 (top of the wedge) Major breakout target: $0.476 (supply zone overhead) ✅ Bullish Confluences: Price holding above the ascending trendline. ChartPrime Oscillator showing bullish signal (green dot and shift in momentum). Price currently retesting the previous breakout structure, offering a potential re-entry. ⚠️ Risks: If price breaks below $0.276, it could trigger a deeper correction. Be cautious if Bitcoin weakens sharply.
Long
by CHILL_TRADER99
Analysis of gold market trend in the future.Gold continued to rebound at the opening, and the daily line has gone down for three consecutive days. The probability of correction is relatively high, and the decline is bound to be not that large. The position of choosing short positions cannot be too low, and the support below is 3230-3227! According to the ADP data, it is likely to be bullish for gold. Under the influence of the tariff war, the employment data may not be too good, and the economic situation will only get worse. There is no doubt about this. Comprehensive analysis, I think the probability of big non-agricultural and unemployment rate bullish is relatively high. Therefore, shorting is limited to intraday, and the focus is on the bottoming out and rebound cycle.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BlairClara