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Harmonic Patterns

XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading. If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
20
GBP/USD Technical OutlookGBP/USD is exhibiting signs of bearish momentum, with clear bearish divergence observed on the oscillator, signaling potential exhaustion of the recent uptrend. A double top formation is developing near the recent highs, further supporting the bearish bias. Price action is also approaching a key trendline and the lower boundary of an ascending channel. A confirmed break below these technical structures would validate the formation of a new lower high, offering a high-probability short setup.
Short
by AnalytixEdgeByQasim
XAUUSD: Gold Crossed $3400 For The First, What Next? Gold has crossed the 3400$ region for the first time after a period of consolidation and correction. We are now on the verge of crossing $3450 and potentially touching $3550, which would set a new record for gold. With accurate risk management, you can monitor three potential targets. You can take entry on these ideas based on your own bias. Good luck and trade safely. If you like our idea, please like, comment, and share. Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
2
XAGUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by dkb14246
1
#ARB/USDT#ARB The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward. We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports the upward move by breaking it upward. We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.3382, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound. Entry price: 0.3408 First target: 0.3466 Second target: 0.3523 Third target: 0.3596
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by dkb14246
1
SHORT BTC✅ Short Setup Summary – BTCUSDT (15m chart) 🧭 1. Context Volume Profile shows clear value area and Point of Control (POC) between ~104,000–106,000 Price is expected to retrace to supply at 106,400 (previous HVN & resistance) Trade plan: Short from 106,400 → down to 100,600 zone 📌 Trade Idea Breakdown 🔄 Trade Direction: Short 🟩 Short Entry Zone: ~106,400 🟥 Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high (~107,000+) 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 100,600–100,300 (previous demand/liquidity zone) 📏 Checklist-Based Analysis ✅ 1. Market Structure Current short-term structure is bearish (lower highs, lower lows) Plan to enter at pullback into resistance, in-line with the trend 📘 Rule: Always trade with MS unless you have a trap or reversal ✔️ Structure: Bearish → short pullback is valid ⚠️ 2. Key Level (106,400) Acts as supply zone / resistance Also lines up with previous POC / volume cluster High probability reaction area 📘 Rule: Trade from areas where volume or liquidity previously reacted 🔻 3. Entry Confirmation Watch for: Trap wick (SFP) or Bearish engulfing / 3-bar reversal On M15 or M5 before entry 📘 Rule: Do not enter blindly — wait for confirmation 📊 4. Volume Check Monitor if volume increases during the test of 106,400 Preferably with aggressive sellers stepping in 📘 Rule: Volume spike + rejection wick = institutional activity 🛡 5. Risk Management Component Value / Zone Entry ~106,400 SL Above 107,000 (last clean high) TP 100,600 – 100,300 R:R Target at least 1:3 📋 Execution Rules Summary Step Status Market structure bearish ✅ Supply zone identified ✅ Entry confirmation seen? 🔲 Wait Volume reaction checked? 🔲 Wait SL/TP based on structure ✅ 🧠 Final Thoughts This is a solid short setup plan with the trend. You’re selling from a liquidity cluster + resistance + supply area — a confluence zone. Just ensure you: Wait for trap confirmation or bearish price action Don’t jump in early — let price show weakness first Watch for volume spike confirming rejection at 106,400
Short
by tienbmdev97
1
LONG BTC✅ Long Setup Summary (BTCUSDT) 🧭 1. Daily Timeframe Context (D1) Price is approaching a key low zone at 100,300 – 100,600 This is a previous liquidity area, often where large players hunt stop-losses Expecting a trap or reversal if price sweeps below and quickly recovers 📌 Rule: Always check the Daily chart to: Understand current trend bias Identify if price is at support/resistance Spot any trap or reversal signals (e.g., engulfing, pin bar, 3-bar reversal) 📐 2. Market Structure (M15–H1) Short-term structure is currently bearish (lower highs, lower lows) Trade idea is a counter-trend long, so confirmation is critical 📌 Rule: Confirm market structure on M15/H1 before entry Counter-trend trades must have trap confirmation to reduce risk 🔻 3. Trap / SFP Confirmation (Key Entry Condition) Watch for price to break below 100,300 (previous low) and reject sharply Look for a swing failure pattern (SFP) or false breakout wick Entry is valid only if price closes back above the trap zone 📌 Rule: Never enter just because price is at support Only enter after trap wick + bullish candle confirmation 📊 4. Volume Confirmation Look for a spike in volume at the trap wick Confirms real interest and activity from institutional participants 📌 Rule: A proper reversal setup includes price trap + volume confirmation Avoid setups with low or flat volume during the move 🎯 5. Entry Plan Component Details Buy Zone 100,300 – 100,600 Entry After confirmation: trap wick + bullish candle Stop Loss Below the trap wick (example: 99,800) Take Profit 106,400 (prior resistance / supply zone) R:R Ratio Minimum 1:3, depending on execution 📌 Rule: SL must be based on trap invalidation, not random distance TP should be at the next key structure, not a fixed pip target ✅ Execution Checklist Step Check Daily bias aligns or neutral? ✅ Market Structure reviewed? ✅ Trap / SFP occurred? 🔲 Volume spike confirmed? 🔲 Bullish PA confirmation? 🔲 SL placed correctly? ✅ TP set at logical structure? ✅ 📌 Summary This is a high-probability counter-trend long setup from a key liquidity zone. Success depends entirely on: A clean trap/SFP wick Volume spike at the low Bullish price action confirmation Without these, avoid entering. Stick to the rules, and let the market come to you — don’t force the trade.
Long
by tienbmdev97
BTC - FRACTAL!!!!I found a fractal, the price should rise to the range of 110888, and then there will be a sharp decline, a squeeze will form, with the price supposedly rising and crossing over, but in reality, the price will be pushed down sharply to a range below $90k. I have an idea related to this, I called it the dragon's wings pattern. At one point, I simply realized that the chart repeats what has already happened, and this is exactly what needs to be analyzed. I think the price will go exactly as I have drawn it. All the best and stay disciplined!
by FTT_TRADER369
USDCADBank of Canada (BoC) June 2025 Interest Rate Decision The BoC held its key interest rate steady at 2.75% on June 4, 2025, marking the second consecutive hold after a series of cuts totaling 225 basis points since mid-2024. The Bank Rate remains at 3.00%, and the deposit rate at 2.70%. The decision reflects ongoing uncertainty from U.S. trade policies and tariffs, which continue to pose risks to Canada’s economic growth and inflation outlook. The BoC emphasized the need to monitor the effects of trade tensions and inflation pressures before making further moves. The next BoC rate announcement is scheduled for July 30, 2025. Federal Reserve (Fed) June 2025 Interest Rate Decision The Fed held its target federal funds rate at 4.25–4.50% in its June 2025 meeting, maintaining a cautious, data-dependent stance amid mixed inflation and labor market signals. Recent data showed inflation moderating but still above target, and the labor market softening but resilient, leading the Fed to pause rate changes while assessing incoming economic information. Market pricing indicates a growing probability of a rate cut later in 2025, possibly starting in September, contingent on sustained disinflation and labor market trends. The Fed continues to monitor risks from tariffs and global economic uncertainties. JUNE 18th economic data will be watched by BOC Gov Macklem Speaks and BOC Summary of Deliberations Federal Reserve will update Federal Funds Rate 4.50% 4.50%,FOMC Economic Projections,FOMC Statement and FOMC Press Conference In summary: Both the BoC and Fed paused rate changes in June 2025, reflecting a cautious approach amid economic uncertainties—trade tensions for Canada and inflation/labor market data for the US. Markets expect potential easing later in the year if conditions deteriorate 1. USD/CAD and Oil Price Correlation Strong Negative Correlation: USD/CAD and oil prices exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When oil prices rise, the Canadian dollar (CAD) tends to appreciate against the US dollar (USD), causing USD/CAD to fall, and vice versa. Reason: Canada is a major oil exporter (over 3 million barrels/day), so oil revenues significantly impact Canada’s trade balance and economic health. Higher oil prices improve Canada’s terms of trade and strengthen CAD. Recent Trends: Although this correlation remains strong, its intensity has somewhat weakened recently due to other factors like global risk sentiment and trade dynamics. Still, oil remains a key driver of CAD strength. 2. USD/CAD and 10-Year Bond Yields Interest Rate Differentials Influence: The difference between US and Canadian 10-year government bond yields affects USD/CAD. A higher US yield relative to Canada tends to strengthen USD versus CAD, pushing USD/CAD higher. Conversely, if Canadian yields rise relative to US yields, CAD strengthens, lowering USD/CAD. Risk Sentiment and Yield Movements: Bond yields reflect economic growth expectations and monetary policy outlooks. Diverging economic conditions or central bank actions between the US and Canada influence these yields and thus USD/CAD. Example: If US yields rise due to Fed tightening while Canadian yields stay stable, USD/CAD may rise. 3. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Monetary Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve (Fed) and Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decisions are crucial drivers of USD/CAD. Rate Hikes: If the Fed raises rates or signals hawkishness while BoC holds or cuts, USD tends to strengthen against CAD, pushing USD/CAD higher. Rate Cuts: Conversely, if BoC hikes or signals hawkishness and Fed eases, CAD strengthens, lowering USD/CAD. Policy Divergence: Market expectations around these decisions create volatility in USD/CAD. 4. Carry Trade Advantage Carry Trade Basics: Carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with low interest rates and investing in a currency with higher rates to earn the interest differential. USD/CAD Context: If Canadian interest rates are higher than US rates, investors may borrow USD to invest in CAD assets, supporting CAD and lowering USD/CAD. Interest Rate Differentials: The attractiveness of carry trades depends on the interest rate spread between the two countries and market risk appetite. Risk Considerations: Carry trades can unwind quickly during market stress, causing sharp USD/CAD moves. 5. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) UIP Theory: Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) is an economic and financial theory that explains the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates between two countries. Key Points of UIP: Definition: UIP states that the difference in nominal interest rates between two countries equals the expected change in exchange rates between their currencies over the same period. In other words, if one country has a higher interest rate, its currency is expected to depreciate relative to the currency of the country with the lower interest rate. Implication: This means investors should expect no arbitrage opportunities from interest rate differentials alone because any potential gains from higher interest rates in one country will be offset by losses from currency depreciation. Example: Suppose the US has a 6% interest rate and India has a 14% interest rate. According to UIP, the Indian rupee is expected to depreciate against the US dollar by approximately 8% (the difference in interest rates) over the investment period. So, although an investor might earn higher interest in India, the currency depreciation offsets the gain. Relation to Law of One Price: UIP is similar to the "Law of One Price," which states that identical goods or securities should have the same price globally when adjusted for exchange rates. Difference from Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIP): UIP does not involve hedging exchange rate risk with forward contracts; it uses expected future spot rates. CIP involves using forward contracts to lock in exchange rates, eliminating currency risk. Formula: The expected change in exchange rate ≈ difference in interest rates between two countries. USD/CAD Implication: Traders watch interest rate differentials and expectations to forecast USD/CAD moves, but must consider that other factors (oil prices, risk sentiment) also influence the pair. Summary Table Factor Impact on USD/CAD Explanation Oil Prices Higher oil → CAD strengthens → USD/CAD ↓ Canada’s oil exports support CAD 10-Year Bond Yield Differential Higher US yields → USD strengthens → USD/CAD ↑ Reflects monetary policy and growth outlooks Central Bank Rate Decisions Fed hike > BoC hike → USD/CAD ↑ Interest rate differentials drive flows Carry Trade Higher CAD rates → carry trade inflows → USD/CAD ↓ Investors seek higher yields in CAD Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Interest rate gap ≈ expected exchange rate change Theoretical equilibrium, often imperfect Conclusion The USD/CAD pair is heavily influenced by oil prices, with a strong negative correlation due to Canada’s oil export dependence. Interest rate differentials and central bank policies between the US and Canada also play a critical role, affecting bond yields and carry trade flows. While carry trade strategies can amplify movements, they carry risk during market volatility. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity provides a theoretical framework for exchange rate expectations but is often influenced by other market factors, including commodity prices and risk sentiment. #USDCAD
by Shavyfxhub
CAPRI GLOBAL CAPITAL LIMITED 1DCapri Global Capital Limited is currently trading around ₹176. The stock has recently broken a key resistance level with significant volume, indicating strong upward momentum. This development suggests potential for further gains, with a possibility of testing or surpassing its all-time high. Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a certified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Stock market investments are subject to market risks; read all related documents carefully.
BSE:CGCLLong
by saimandali
$BTC Bounced from $103K – Hedge Short Still Active Bitcoin was supposed to break out, but fear of war changed the plan. Instead of pumping, BTC dropped to retest support around $102,700 — and bounced strongly. 🔸 Key Support Zone: $100K – $99K This area is holding well for now. But if BTC loses $99K, we could see a deeper drop. 🔸 Short from $108,500 is still open We’re using it as a hedge in case the market crashes. If the price drops more, we’ll take profit on the short. If BTC goes back up to $108K+, the short will be closed on entry. That’s the best-case scenario. 🔸 What’s Next? Everything depends on global news. If war fears grow, BTC may drop fast. If things calm down, we could see a strong recovery. ✅ We’re in a strong position — low risk, high reward. No panic. We’re ready for both outcomes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal