Harmonic Patterns
Will gold rise or fall this week?Last Friday's non-agricultural data had little impact on the market, and gold is still fluctuating around the range. At present, the gold moving average crosses downward in a short position, and is now under pressure from the 3270 line. 3270 is the turning point for gold bulls and bears. The rise in gold will not be easily reversed for the time being unless there is a big news impact.
Gold Trade Plan 5/5/2025Dear Traders,
If we take a look at the gold chart, it is currently in a descending channel, and the price is trying to reach the top of that channel. Given these conditions, I believe the price will reach the target zone around 3285–3290 by midweek. If we observe a rejection at that level, we can enter a sell position, with the first target being the midline of the channel and the final target being the bottom of the channel. If the descending channel is strongly broken and the price stabilizes above it, a new update will be necessary.
Trend-base Fibo Extension AB=CD 3290
Fibo Retracement(1.618)= 3298
Top Of Descending Channel : 3290-3300
So we Are looking for Reversal 3290-3300 Area !
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Regards,
Alireza
Short-Term Trade Setup: NZDCAD Eyes 0.82898–0.83110 TargetsGood day Traders,
Trust you are well.
Below is my analysis of NZDCAD.
Overview:
NZDCAD is retracing from the recent high at 0.83050, currently trading around 0.82628. Price action is approaching a key support zone between 0.82470 – 0.82285, an area that previously triggered bullish reactions. Momentum indicators are showing bearish pressure, with red histogram bars visible on the chart.
Idea:
Although bearish momentum is present, the histogram shows a slight decrease in selling pressure, hinting at a potential slowdown in the current downtrend. If the pair holds above the 0.82287 level, it could signal a potential reversal or bounce. This would open room for bullish targets at: 0.82898, 0.83039 and 0.83110.
However, a confirmed break below 0.82287 could expose the next support around 0.82100.
Conclusion:
The pair is at a critical support zone, with decreasing momentum suggesting that sellers may be losing strength. A bounce from current levels could provide a short-term buying opportunity, while a break below 0.82287 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Cheers and happy trading!
SCRTUSDT UPDATE
SCRT Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: $0.2453
Target Price: $0.59
Target % Gain: 160.55%
Technical Analysis: SCRT has broken out of a falling wedge on the 1D chart, indicating a bullish reversal. The breakout is confirmed with strong green candles and volume build-up.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure in the evening is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 3336-45 line, stop loss 3353, target 3280-3295 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold falls back to 3280-3295 line and goes long, stop loss 3274, target 3325-30 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
GBPAUD possible bearish for 2.0360#GBPAUD made a new high, then moved in a range 2.0685-2.1010 for a whole month. now support level 2.0685 broken. better to wait for correction/pullback to test the imbalance area between buyers and sellers. ideal level for short is 2.0960-65. stop loss: 2.1050, target: 2.0450 & 2.0360.
Very Good Weekly Closing.
Very Good Weekly Closing.
Monthly Closing above 780 is Important,
otherwise, Tweezer Top is Expected which
is a Negative sign.
Channel Top is around 825 - 830.
Initial Support seems around 700 - 705.
& Double Bottom (in case of Selling Pressure)
is around 640 - 645 (which may also act as Support).
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8111, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8236, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8037, a swing low support.
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Has Bitcoin Begun Its Final D-Leg Correction?Bitcoin could be starting the final stage of a larger corrective pattern — known as the D-leg — which often follows major trends in the market. This kind of structure typically forms after a big move up, and signals that the market might need a deeper reset before continuing higher.
Recently, Bitcoin was rejected from a key resistance zone around $98,300, which aligns with several technical indicators including a major daily support/resistance flip, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the Point of Control (a price level with the most traded volume). This rejection has sparked concerns that a local top may already be in for this cycle.
Why This Matters:
If Bitcoin fails to hold its current support levels, we could see a continuation to the downside, with targets potentially reaching sub-$60K levels. This aligns with a broader corrective pattern some analysts call an ABCD structure — where the D-leg often marks the final leg down before the next larger trend can begin.
This scenario becomes more likely if the current support zone breaks down, which would confirm a shift in market structure. Until then, there’s still room for price to range or attempt another retest of the highs, but caution is warranted.
What’s Next:
Watch for a breakdown below the recent lows — this would strongly suggest the D-leg is underway.
A confirmed breakdown would likely lead to a longer correction over the coming weeks or months.
However, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance above $98,300, this bearish outlook could be invalidated and the structure may reset.
Right now, we’re at a major decision point in the market. While the signs are stacking in favor of a deeper pullback, it’s important to wait for price to confirm with structure and volume before acting on it.
US30 – Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction.
Chart Breakdown:
Supply Zone: 41,000 – 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction).
Current Price: 41,089
First Support: 40,971 – the last breakout zone.
Next Support: 39,703 – major structure break level.
Demand Zone: 38,735 – 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node).
Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum.
Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues.
Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs.
Upcoming Volatility Alert:
Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) – could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert!
Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management.
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Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
Will the price of gold continue to rise?The pressure position on the 44-hour chart is around 3270-3280, which becomes an important dividing point for intraday short-term trading. In the intraday trading, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further and breaks through, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the intraday trading, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to move steadily upward, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3230-3232, stop loss at 3220, target 3260-3270; it is recommended to go short when it touches 3270-3268, stop loss at 3280, target 3240-3230;
Gold continued to rise at the opening and broke upward!At present, the 4-hour chart of gold has formed an upward breakout trend. The decline may be over, and it will continue to strengthen! In the intraday, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the day, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to go out of a steady upward trend, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to adjust the thinking, go long if it falls back to 3240-3245, or directly chase the rise after breaking through 3270. At present, it has been long at 3243 in the early trading. If there is no more decline, continue to go long! Identify the bulls during the day! On the whole, it is recommended to do more on the callback and short on the rebound in the short-term operation of gold. Focus on the resistance of 3300-3310 in the upper short term, and focus on the support of 3222-3245 in the lower short term.
When will gold's plunge bottom out?For gold on Monday, it can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224. If it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
Gold intraday trading strategyGold operation strategy:
1. Go short at 3270-75 when gold rebounds, and cover short at 3388-93 when it rebounds, stop loss at 3397, target at 3230-3235, and continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Go long at 3220-3225 when gold falls back, stop loss at 3214, target at 3265-70, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Visit the Harmonic Museum in the Warren Diamond BuildingThe Diamond Glass Building, home to the Warren Buffett Harmonic Museum, is truly a sight to behold! As you enter, you'll find a fascinating display of creatures.
On the left, there's a charming exhibit featuring a crab vendor that catches the eye.
In the center of the hall, you can marvel at the wild bat, a remarkable fossil that tells a story of the past.
To the right, however, is where things get exciting—a live bloodthirsty shark!
While the crab and bat have been fossilized, the shark is very alive, so be sure to keep your distance and enjoy the view and trade safely.
My Recent Long Trade on XAUUSD | Bullish Crab Pattern
Weekly:: Price was reacting from the weekly key level of rejection block(wick)
Set Up: Bullish Crab Pattern on H1, the d-leg PRZ aligns with the weekly key level of rejection block. so bc projection of the d leg of 1.618 was fully tested and confirmed.
ENTRY: Entry was on H1 support after M15 CHOCH. Supply to Deman Flip entry model can also work here. sniper entry at H1 support.
H1 support entry, (sniper)
TP1 AT 0.382 WAS ACHIEVED ( Trade mgt, moved sl to breakeven)
TP2 AND TP3 WAS HIT AT 0.618 AD 0.786 Respectively.
that was how we made 1:7.4 R:R on Gold.
Hope you got value from this analysis. chat soon guys and drop your comments below.