Ichimokukinkohyo
BTC worst case scenario forecastThis situation is very likely to play out on BTCUSDT pair. Looking at this doom triangle and all the uncertainty in the market this is most likely going to result in a crash after breakout.
Some hope for holders: This setup is so clear and logical and I see alot of people post about it, now look at it from the perspective of the composite man/market maker. How will he make the most money? By doing exactly the opposite. Give the traders a triangle breakout to the downside so they load some more short positions. At the same time market maker will be filling long positions ready to crush all retail traders. Give them a false breakout and then rally towards all time high. This whole situation can be seen as an accumulation phase.
Kumo cloud bounce + line bounce GBPUSDPullback in downward trend. This trend is not only short term down but in the very longer term we in a channel downwards. I expect this trade to go very well. Stop right above slow Kijun-Sen and past fast Kijun-Sen line, right in the cloud, this should be a very strong resistance level. Take profit at 2X stop loss.
BTC/USD ✡️ At the end of June 2021, I predicted the last correct BTC according to the prediction (time). Thereby creating an equilibrium with strong price in this area (29k-35k).
1️⃣ After creating the double top pattern, BTC reversed and the price is now responding to the previous balance area (32k).
From the point of view of ichimoku BTC is currently on the cyclical timeframe completing the N wave pattern or we can understand it in the West as the ABCD pattern wave. Duplicate point of this wave model is gives us a reversal result at the end of the N wave or the D point (wave ABCD).
2️⃣However, it is necessary to save the most recent candlestick patterns in the present. We all gave us a “continuity SD (supply) view” at the 42k price area.
Therefore, to have a clearer view we have to analyze the multi-frame time intraday chart (D1).
3️⃣ In the process BTC's horizontal range is moving in a small triangle like the trendline in the picture.
𝑲𝒆̂́𝒕 𝒍𝒖𝒂̣̂𝒏: The main scenario will be ichimoku's first wave island. However, the component condition depends on the order when the line breaks the small triangle in chart D1.
𝑳𝒖̛𝒖 𝒚́: The document will be canceled when the valuation line through the equilibrium point is created before the 32k area.
EURGBP Tension at top of range.The EURGBP pair is showing indecision at the top of the range but given the very long term trendline (purple) close to top I see price will go back down. Stop right above previous high in a safe area, this is the moment I would call the range to have transformed into a breakout. TP close to bottom of the range with 1:2 risk to reward.
Three peaks at resistance pointI have been watching this pair very closely today as it broke the very long term trendline (purple) and I am expecting it to move back down to the bottom purple line of channel in due time. Distance from Kijun is also very high and a retracement has to happen naturally. Possibility is to wait for more clear trend direction change and use a bigger stop loss instead of guessing top with red trend line as I do here. You can target much lower than this take profit and increase risk to reward but probability of trade finishing will be much lower.
Trend lines when zoomed out:
Luna possible bounce from Kijun and support zone.We crossed short term trendline at 8:00 and retraced back to it but this time we also have a situation with support of previous range. I expect a nice move up from this zone, a different trading plan would be to move stop below the zone by quite alot and move take profit higher for a more long term swing. I recommend the shorter term move however with all the fear in the markets.
CADJPY SIGN TO UPTREND !CADJPY shows signs of an upward trend. this was determined by ichimoku analysis. I have marked 3 marks which include tenkan, kijun and chiko span bent upwards this is called "sanyaku koten". even the cloud has also twisted and bent upwards. I will wait for the break 92.154 first to open a position.
Probability of a pullback is highA couple days ago we got a morning star bounce from the 38K-39K support zone right into double Kijun-Sen. We currently are back into the zone and I expect the pair to consolidate for a while in between Kijun Sen and support area. This to me is day trader territory and not clear enough to see if we get a trend change to the upside for a multi week position.
NZDJPY has reached the “taito suchi number” but bullish !The NZDJPY price pattern has formed a broadening wedge/trumpet but in Ichimoku's analysis it will almost form a “Y wave” if a bearish probability is formed due to the appearance of an “S Wave”. but if the resistance area on 28 May 2021 is broken, the price pattern will form an "N" wave and the price will fly. here's the scenario I think will form. don't go against the trend!
the symmetrical triangle on the usd jpy indicates a continuationtoday the price of usd jpy has broken through support 5 years ago. supported by various macroeconomic indicators and technical analysis. we can find a symmetrical triangle at m15 usually this indicates that there will be a continuation of the trend. don't go against the trend !!
Tension building up for BTC, how to move forward.We have seen huge swings lately and BTC has been ranging for the past weeks. The range has been long enough that it now is entering a phase where we can get a squeeze inside a trend line triangle. My expectation is that BTC will break out to the upside to enter Kumo Cloud, I estimate that because BTC has been pushing against it and not respecting the resistance alot.
When it does break out and stay in the kumo for a couple of days my execution would be to put a limit order at the Kumo Cloud bottom which now will have become support. I expect BTC to test the top of the cloud in the future espacialy as it also is an area of resistance based on past price action. If the market starts to go bearish this thesis is no longer valid and that is wy stop loss would be at the level where I think we confirm market is going bearish.
In a bearish situation I will not open any position at all as we are in a very discounted area for BTC and if we can learn one thing from the past it is that BTC has made it's most respectable increases in value after a period of consolidation -50% below it's ATH at that time.
The Ichimoku on this chart has settings: 20,60,120,30. This is because I see many people use this setting on crypto. This setting is good because with crypto being very volatile a longer length Ichimoku can help in having a clear view on the market while standard ichimoku does clutter the chart in the crypto space. However, it is good as an ichimoku trader to consult both the standard and the edited version.
USDJPY broke Daily P wave and continuously bullishComment:
USDJPY broke the Daily P wave and looking bullish as per Ichimoku trend confirmation.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis:
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Kijun sen up
- Tenkan sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
The market may retrace back to 116.34 level, then continue to be bullish.
🔔dxy Will it be ready for downtrend ? The trend line is broken and we expect correction, but we must be careful, this correction is not much.
Enter into a deal with a minimum loss.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
CENSOF STARTING TO TREND UP?1. Tenkansen above Kijunsen (Crossing happened on 4/2)
2. Price above both spanlines and leaving to hover above cloud
3. Chikou Span out of cloud as expected
4. Buyers in control the past three sessions
5. The above reflect buyer confidence which is also boosted by a positive quarter results. Looking at all the signs, Censof can be seen as starting to trend up.
SYSTECH ON UPTREND1. Tenkansen above Kijunsen
2. Price above both Tenkansen and Kijunsen
3. Systech completed Fibo levels of 61.8% @ 0.30, now it may retrace back to the 100% mark of 0.375 achieved in June 2021
4. Buyers still in control.
5. Volume building up with forward Kumo bullish.
6. Chiko span heading away from price line






















