Ictconcepts
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability.
the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block.
Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target.
For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart.
First, the price can move down from here.
second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario)
As always we need LTF confirmation for entry.
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🔎 DYOR
🗓️07/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
GBPJPY: Month-Long Bearish Outlook Revealed!Greetings Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
The market's movements are governed by smart money, which controls the majority of liquidity. It is not governed by retail traders. They dictate market terms, while we trade patterns they generate. Smart money has two primary objectives: order pairing (entering the market against liquidity) and order booking (scaling out their positions). Due to their substantial liquidity, smart money enters the market against large amounts of liquidity, typically found on higher timeframes. This movement is necessary for them to enter and exit the market, driving market dynamics.
Market Analysis📉:
Currently, on GBPJPY, buy stop liquidity has been taken, indicating that smart money has entered their positions in a premium. The expectation is a draw towards the downside, targeting significant liquidity areas such as relatively equal lows and trendline liquidity. The daily bearish order block is expected to resist price, initiating bearish institutional order flow.
Things We Have Seen👀:
Relatively Equal Lows: These areas possess substantial liquidity, making them attractive targets for smart money.
Sell-Side Liquidity: A significant amount of investments exist at these lows.
Engineered Trendline Liquidity: More investments exist at these lows, increasing the plausibility of the market drawing towards this level to absorb the existing liquidity.
What's Important Now❗:
Stay observant of how the market reacts at these critical levels. Understanding the objectives of smart money can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
XAUUSD: HTF Narrative | NFP | Fair Value Gap Theory | EntriesGreetings, Traders!
In today's video, I will provide an in-depth analysis of Gold to establish what I anticipate for today's trading, as well as for tomorrow, especially with the upcoming NFP news release. This video will be both narrative-driven and educational, covering the Fair Value Gap (FVG) theory. You will learn how to identify high-probability FVGs, which will help you understand the market narrative and predict its likely direction. Additionally, we'll discuss entry strategies using the FVG theory.
For a deeper understanding of why I anticipate a bullish draw on Gold, please follow the link below to yesterday's post.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
ES1! PM long opportunity using algorithmic levelsToday we'd seen beautiful reaction to algorithmic levels! +1/3 AWR acted as support after yesterday push above it and -1/3 ADR likewise! another confluence was D -M OHLC statistical mapping (tool) and H4 IFVG!
ADR is usually TRUE Support & Resistance! and most of the time we can use it within Higher Time Frame context. same goes with OHLC statistical mapping when we are bullish we use -manipulation! combining this with ADR/&AWR can be really helpfull!
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
We then waited for liquidity to be taken on either side of our trading zone, which will give us our directional bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 15 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Precisely at 10:00, there was a significant bearish shift in GBPUSD that broke the structure, creating an FVG in the process. Keep in mind that high-impact news for the USD occurred at 8:15 and 10:00 EST, which can influence price movements.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved against us to fill part of the FVG left behind, it later moved slightly in our direction. However, it took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
Accepting the calculated risk of 1% of our account for the possibility of a 2% return, the closeness of the price to our stop loss did not shake us, and we kept our faith in the strategy. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x longer for the trade.
We waited patiently, but our persistence did not yield results this time, resulting in a 1% loss in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
ICT Long setup of a Hong Kong stock: Tencent (700)👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in Hong Kong stock : 700 for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
YM countertrend short from -M OHLC maanipulation!Beautiful example of algorithmic precision! Tapped -M D OHLC manipulation to the tick and then news spooled price to 1/3 ADR & +M D OHLC maanipulation (opposing manipulation where we also got opportunity go long!) This repeats every single week.
OHLC manipulation + ADR really often stop the "Judas Swing" alias fake move against orderflow
and tends to reverse there! then we can target opposing manipulation or another ADR!
ICT Short setup AUDJPY, H4 timeframe👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in AUDJPY for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Sell Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
BTCUSDT - Market Analysis (ICT Concepts)Hi everyone,
Here is a quick analysis on Bitcoin using predominantly the Monthly and Daily chart for my analysis.
We see a reaction from a Monthly Bisi with price moving higher. On the Daily timeframe for a closer look, we see that there is a Premium Sibi and a Discount Bisi. So we may see some back and forth movement between the two. But, I will be looking for where the Daily candle(s) close in the Premium Sibi, either inside/below it, or above it. This will likely determine my next course of action. I provide further analysis in the video so do check it out.
- R2F
FAKE BLACK SWAN EVENT IMOToday is election day in India. Its a major event. We see huge black candle. This is all a manipulation event to create panic in th emarket.
NAS100USD: Potential Buy Opportunity for NY SessionGreetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, institutional order flow on US100 is bullish, therefore we are looking for price to take sell stops in order for a turtle soup trade condition (false break).
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Institutional Order Flow📈: Anticipating price to continue to the upside after sell stops have been taken. Smart money will look to order pair (buy against the sell-side liquidity).
Potential Sell Stops🔄: Price may take sell stops before buying, presenting a turtle soup condition (false break of structure). After sell stops have been taken, I will look to take a confirmation entry.
Bullish Targets📉:
Daily FVG: The primary target.
M15 Bearish Order Block: The secondary objective, with an expectation to fill the liquidity void there.
What's Important Now❗
Stay observant for price action around these key levels to confirm bullish continuation.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
June 03, DXY & GBPUSD: Trading Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
We are in the first week of June, a period marked by high-impact news, including the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report. In this video, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD pairs, offering valuable insights for the upcoming week in trading.
Things We Will Cover👀:
Lecture on Draw On Liquidity🧠:
Understanding how to analyze the market objectively.
Studying key concepts such as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), order blocks, mitigation blocks, breakers, and more.
Market Analysis📉📈:
DXY and GBPUSD: Detailed analysis of these pairs to uncover potential trading opportunities for the week ahead.
Draw On Liquidity: Understanding what the draw on liquidity is for this week and how it impacts our trading strategies.
What's Important Now❗
Stay tuned to gain a comprehensive understanding of market analysis and to identify profitable trading opportunities in the upcoming week.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
SPOT ONHow to enter on these kinds of runs. The only way is to be patient and wait for a retracement.
NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE.. DYORHello Traders! hope you are enjoying your weekend
If you want to smash this setup you should know about the trade confirmation on the favorite zones. and you should have a grip to identify the liquidity sweeps and confirmation.
LET's GO.... !!!
All the details on the chart... with invalidation point.
As predictedPrice has delivered exactly as predicted weeks ago. Look for buys at the fvg or ideally the OTE.
MARKET STRUCTURE USING SMART MONEY CONCEPT (ICT)The market structure, when viewed through the lens of the smart money concept, refers to the way financial markets operate and how price movements are influenced by institutional investors, or "smart money." These entities, such as banks, hedge funds, and large financial institutions, have significant capital and access to superior information, allowing them to impact market prices and trends. The smart money concept suggests that these institutions leave discernible footprints on price charts, which can be identified through patterns like accumulation and distribution, liquidity hunts, and manipulation of key support and resistance levels. Traders who understand and recognize these patterns can potentially align their strategies with the smart money, improving their chances of making profitable trades by following the sophisticated moves of these influential market participants.