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Liquidation

BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF? Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price. These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off. Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely. Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively. I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas: Possibility 1 - 30% Probability 96,700 to 34,500 34,500 retrace to 68,500 68,500 to 7,000 Possibility 2 - 70% Probability 96,700 to 43,000 43,000 retrace to 60,000 60,000 to 7,000 Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense. Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.
Short
by DickDandy
Millions Of Trades Liquidated —Bitcoin Flash Jump Beyond $100KMillions of people are about to get liquidated. The thing is that they set up their orders so that liquidation only happens above 100K and they think they will be able to close their position before Bitcoin reaches that level if it doesn't break down. First, Bitcoin is not breaking down. Just notice that every time there is any type of bearish action it is quickly bought. Second. No, no second that's all. Bitcoin is set to grow and will do so in a flash. Rather than a flash crash, a flash advance. Bitcoin always surprises so prepare because this is what will happen. Rather than going down as the majority actually expect, Bitcoin will break-up and do so strong, so strong that there will be no time to react. People will be caught in the shock and while they wait to look around and see what happens, Bitcoin will be moving up. Instead of $100,000, it will go to $102,000 or $104,000 or higher just to make sure that all the over-leveraged are kicked out before additional growth. This is just a friendly reminder. Pray for the dead bears and people without a clue, they are about to lose everything, for them, it will be tough. On our side though... Enjoy the profits as they come. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
8
Bitcoin - Back Under Intersecting Bearish TrendlinesBitcoin is back underneath these two intersecting bearish trendlines. I have laid out two potential paths Bitcoin could take to play this out. When an asset in crypto goes only up for so long, it leaves behind a trail of leveraged liquidity in the form of stop losses. These wide open gaps filled with long stop losses, is the fuel that would make such a move possible. In other words, the sell orders are already in the chart in order to make this possible. Personally, I expect this to happen. DXY is showing a major breakdown and bearish retest at the moment - with a falling dollar over the next 2-3 years, that translates to a true bull market for Bitcoin and related assets. The market has a very small time window to recollect all of the long position liquidity in the chart, which is in the billions. See my previous posts to see confluences, liquidity mapping, etc. Happy trading and I will be trading this myself.
Short
by DickDandy
USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy?USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy? USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the critical threshold with the recent decline. As seen in the chart, the direction is now down with the break of the uptrend. However, the general acceptance that this decline is the beginning of the bull season may mislead many investors. Because when we look at the past, the 3.80% - 3.60% range has usually been the end point of the bull season, not the beginning. What does this mean? 🔹USDT.D falls while BTC rises. However, these declines usually coincide with the last days of the bull. 🔹If there's a rapid descent into this zone, we could see a sharp rise in BTC. But this move is often the last wave. 🔹So when it comes to that level, while everyone is waiting for new highs, smart money may be preparing to exit. Also another point to pay attention to; 🔸 On the BTC side, the 102K - 104K zone still remains the strongest liquidation area. 🔸 If USDT.D falls below 3.80% while testing this region, attention! That peak may be the last. Therefore, while waiting for the above liquidation levels, we should keep an eye on the USDT.D chart. Because when it approaches 3.80 levels, risk bells may start ringing. This is the target for now. As a result, when you start dancing to the song that will soon play in the background, do not forget that the music may suddenly stop and the lights may be switched off.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by ugurtash
Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line. As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750). Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
1
BTC - ABC Correction to Absorb Long Liquidity Further to my previous recent post, I wanted to highlight two indicators that accurately present us with liquidity on the BTC chart. Connecting the pieces of the puzzle of this prediction - this ABC correction pattern allows the market to absorb the Long position liquidity left in tact on the chart. Since these long positions leave a trail of leveraged sell orders (stop losses) - we should expect a mass chain reaction of these orders setting off one into the next, with increasing speed and momentum of the drop. We do not need a black swan event for this to occur. The orders are already in the chart to allow it to happen, as an adverse consequence to open interest and open traders positions during the last 2 years. There is many confluences to support this correction pattern, if interested in learning more, see my previous posts on Trading View. Enjoy!
Short
by DickDandy
8
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines. We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones. Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling. If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move. The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero. I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones. The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it. This is my personal trading plan. Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
Short
by DickDandy
BTC - Watch this Trendline - Potential Short to 36,000I’ve drawn the main trendline and marked the contact points in red circles if you’d like to replicate this on your own chart I’ve also demonstrated that when the correct trendline is identified, it can be duplicated and placed at different points on the chart that price seems to follow - IE support / resistance works on a diagonal grid I’ve marked my personal entry in green, stop loss in red - minor targets in grey dashed lines and major targets in black solid lines Fundamentally this drop makes sense as there is a mass amount of liquidity in these below zones. Not financial advice, do your own research and experimentations. God speed!
Short
by DickDandy
Is Liquidity Zones The Hidden Battleground of Smart Money In every market move, liquidity zones are the battlefields between buyers and sellers. Understanding these zones is crucial for spotting reversals and breakouts before they happen. What Are Liquidity Zones? High Liquidity Areas, Where large orders are placed, typically around key support/resistance or round numbers. Low Liquidity Areas. Where price moves quickly due to fewer orders, often creating price imbalances. Why Liquidity Matters Smart money (institutions) seeks liquidity to execute large orders without massive slippage. Their footprints appear as wicks, sudden volume spikes, or rapid price reversals. Spotting Liquidity Traps False Breakouts, Price pierces a key level, triggers stop losses, and reverses quickly. Stop Hunts, Sudden price spikes beyond a key level, only to return inside the range. rading Strategy Example 1. Use volume profile or heat maps to spot high-interest price areas. 2. Wait for Reaction, Enter only after confirmation (e.g., a sharp wick or order flow shift). 3.Risk Management, Place stops beyond liquidity zones to avoid getting trapped. Master liquidity zones, and you'll start seeing the market through the eyes of institutional players.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by wolfchemist
BTC Long, bear trap doneDaily level the last fews days not being able to break belove 95.500-95.000 level. Looking at the btc liquidity heatmap, there is not really much liquidity left below, loads of liquidity left above 109.000. Aiming for this huge RR trade, small stoploss. Would be my best trade ever if this succeeds. Also lots of positive bitcoin news the last few days. Im bullish. I was also waiting and waiting for 60k 80k levels, but i don't really think it will drop that far anymore, perhaps in the case of a massive world event.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProdemoNL
It Appears as though the Bullish Wedge is our most probable playTrading Fam, Time for my weekly update on the Bitcoin. A lot has occurred in the last week or so since I updated you all last, not least of which includes Deepseek AI FUD causing panic in the GPU and Power stock plays which has spilled over into our crypto space. But does this panic have merit or is this simply another retail bait, shaking out paper hands while whales continue to buy? The charts are showing me the latter is most probably true and news seems to support my thesis here as Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy acquired another 10,107 Bitcoin on the 26th of Jan. Previously, you will remember that I had spotted a potential H&S on the charts and had posted a caution in this regard as it had potential to play out. Shortly thereafter, I also spotted this bullish pendant at which point my bias became conflicted. Was Bitcoin going to pop or was it going to drop? We had to wait and observe further price action before it became clear. It now looks like our bulls maintained the greatest strength as we bounced off or our neckline, and broke up above our bullish wedge, hitting resistance at 106K. We then formed another bullish pennant smaller in size, dropped from that quickly to perfectly retest the topside of our larger bullish pennant, and then came back inside the wedge for further consolidation. If I am reading this chart correctly, our greatest probability now lies with the bulls breaking to the upside of the smaller wedge and retesting that 106K resistance level again. In time, I believe we'll break 106k to the upside and continue towards our target of 140k. Why 140k? When we broke above our bullish descending channel in Oct. of last year, we continued up until we hit a new high at 109k. This was our local top. We can now measure the distance from that break up (around 68k) to our new high at 109k. This same distance can be utiliized to give us a new target from our bullish wedge breakout. This fractal gives us a reasonable target of around 140k. Hope this makes sense. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
2
SOL and BTC Longs and Shorts Clear inverse relationship between the longs and shorts on SOL. White (longs) Orange (shorts) Right now the longs have reached the same level as when SOL hit its high of 200 back in march this year. Longs got dumped on recently on this small sell off but interest remains at elevated levels. Shorts coming off their lows and seem to bottom when SOL price peaks. Longs build up pushing price to local highs then there leaves no one left to buy so price goes after the liquidity (shorts). Opposite happens with shorts buildup. Price sells off some, shorts pile on pushing price lower until it reaches the local bottom then price reverses once all the longs get liquidated. Then price goes after shorts liquidity. What then becomes the difference maker is how much spot volume comes in. At the bottom I have the aggregated volume of multiple exchanges showing the spot volume (light) compared to the perp volume (dark). Right now spot volume is pretty low; however, volume is low in general. My takeaways: SOL either needs to liquidate these longs while building up shorts. This would put shorts offside setting up for a nice reversal pump into the EOY taking out all the shorts creating a nice squeeze. Or perhaps spot buying picks up eventually and the longs interest slowly rises surpassing prev long interest causing the breakout. Similar analysis here on BTC but the short interest is pretty significant. Could be those who are arbitraging the perp funding rate by shorting instead of directional shorts but who knows exactly why. If BTC begins to break out with strong spot buying soon after election uncertainty and EOY capital flows then all this short interest could get squeezed setting up for a perfect pump higher breaking out of this wretched range. Time will tell. I think election uncertainty has market on edge as well as war/ recession fud.
by bhx10