Bitcoin's 2024 Halving to 2025 Peak: Will BTC Reach $294K?📌Historical Observations
- 2012 Halving → 2013 Top:
Duration: ~1 year.
Price increase: ~8,600% (from ~$12 to ~$1,150).
- 2016 Halving → 2017 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~2,900% (from ~$650 to ~$19,500).
- 2020 Halving → 2021 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~900% (from ~$8,600 to ~$69,000).
- 2024 Halving → Projected 2025 Top:
Halving price: ~$64,000.
📌Identified Patterns
- Time from Halving to Peak: Peaks occur around 1.33 to 1.5 years after the halving.
- Diminishing Returns: Growth rates decrease with each cycle:
2012 to 2016: ~66% reduction in returns.
2016 to 2020: ~69% reduction in returns.
Expected reduction for 2024 cycle: ~60-70%.
📌Projection for the 2024 Cycle
Duration to Peak:
Add 1.33 to 1.5 years to the halving date (April 2024).
Projected top: June to October 2025.
Price Growth:
Assuming diminishing returns, we estimate 300% to 360% price growth from the halving price.
Next Top Price=Halving Price×(1+Growth Rate)
300% growth: $64,000 × 4 = $256,000.
360% growth: $64,000 × 4.6 = $294,400.
📌Final Projection
Next Bitcoin Peak Price: Estimated between $256,000 and $294,400.
Timing: Likely between June and October 2025.
Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉
You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet.
~ Rich
Longterm
Johnson & Johnson | Analysis In this case of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock, it is at a sensitive point where support from a descending channel on the daily chart is being challenged. This level can be a turning point for the stock and if the level holds, then there is a possibility of the stock rising to the $155 – $157 range as shown by the potential target. There are some technical indicators which show that the downtrend is weakening and there is a possibility of the prices turning around in the near future as the MACD depicts a bullish divergence while the RSI shows that the prices are in the oversold region.
Also, volume will be a major tool in determining the validity of the reversal. Thus, if the stock goes up, the volume should increase substantially, which would increase the probability of the stock reaching the channel’s upper edge. From the macroeconomic perspective, the current Fed Funds interest rate and the negative Sharpe Ratio suggest that the market is becoming more cautious, which, however, does not rule out the possibility of the stock movements similar to those of JNJ.
This is a make-or-break time for the asset. If support continues to hold and there are other signs of a reversal such as patterns or higher volumes then JNJ can experience a substantial change in trend.
ETH/BTC Long-Term Bullish Scenario 2025-2035 TAThe Mother of #ALTS Show is here to provide comprehensive insights on how we plan to navigate and capitalize on the current cycle of #ALTSeason. This season is crucial for traders and investors focusing on Ethereum and other altcoins.
Current Market Phase:
The crypto market is presently in the Disbelief Phase. This phase is typically observed in the market cycle following a downturn, where sentiment remains cautious and investors are skeptical about any potential recovery. This phase is particularly evident in Ethereum and several altcoins, where prices have reached significant lows.
Market Strategy:
Our strategy revolves around identifying and seizing opportunities at these low levels. History has shown that during the Disbelief Phase, those who invest wisely often reap substantial rewards during the subsequent phases. As the market begins to recover, we anticipate a sharp increase in the value of altcoins, leading to regret for those who did not invest when prices were at their lowest.
Target for #ETH/BTC Pair:
Our primary target for the #ETH/BTC pair is to reach around 0.5 BTC per Ethereum. This target is based on historical data and technical analysis trends, indicating a robust potential for growth as the market transitions out of the Disbelief Phase.
Future Market Outlook:
Post this recovery, we predict a new crypto winter, a period characterized by stagnation or decline in crypto prices. This crypto winter is expected to last until approximately 2033-2035. This extended period will likely lead to a consolidation phase where market participants recalibrate their strategies, setting the stage for the next cycle.
Technical Analysis Perspective:
Our main scenario for this #altseason is closely aligned with the #Ethereum Technical Analysis (TA). By closely following TA patterns and leveraging historical data, we anticipate a market trend that mirrors past cycles, providing a framework for making informed decisions.
In summary, this cycle of #ALTSeason presents a significant opportunity for those who are prepared to act strategically during the Disbelief Phase. By setting ambitious targets and preparing for the long-term market outlook, investors can position themselves for success in the ever-evolving crypto landscape.
Please don’t waste your time; the time to act is now, ahead of the anticipated market shifts.
Swiss Military long consolidation breakoutIt has been consolidating for the last 16 years and is now giving a breakout on both weekly and monthly timeframes. Whenever a breakout occurs, it's often accompanied by changes in revenue, profits, and other fundamental ratios, indicating that the company is performing well.
I do use logarithmic charts, so the long position might look like 1:1 RR, but it's actually 1:5 RR.
Remember to do your own research before investing.
Prakash Ind Long Weekly BOIt has been consolidating for the last 16 years and is now giving a breakout on both weekly and monthly timeframes. Whenever a breakout occurs, it's often accompanied by changes in revenue, profits, and other fundamental ratios, indicating that the company is performing well.
Remember to do your own research before investing.
AMD - Long-term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AMD has been in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the red channel.
Moreover, the $100 is a strong round number and support!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AMD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BUY SCILAL LONG TERMInvestment Recommendation: SCILAL
Action: Consider buying SCILAL for the long term.
Target Price: ₹133 within the next 1.5 years.
Allocation Strategy:
Allocate 25% of your capital at the current price level.
Gradually increase your position as the opportunity evolves.
Exit Plan: Await further updates before exiting at ₹133.
This trade has the potential to be one of the most rewarding opportunities available
Alikze »» GRT | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario in the ascending channel - the target of the previous major ceiling - 1W
- In the previously presented analysis , a bearish flag pattern was observed, after which the BINANCE:GRTUSDT currency entered a correction phase, which was completed by the size of the correction flag bar in the Buyer Zone box.
- As can be seen, the weekly and daily timeframe is moving in an upward channel.
- Currently, a descending channel has been formed inside the ascending channel, the descending flag pattern has been completed in the Buyer Zone.
- Now, according to the current momentum, it can touch the neck line area in the first step.
💎 In addition, an AB=CD pattern has been formed, and the above modification is a response to the mentioned pattern.
- So it can include a motivational wave in the form of wave 3 or bigger C, which can crown the previous major ceiling.
⚠️ Note: It should be noted that if the bottom area is touched before, the ascending scenario will be invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 8hr chart we can see a formation of "Rising Channel Pattern in #BTC. Right now we can see that there is an instant support level. We would see a pullback from support level.
🔖 Current Price: $96800
Target Price: $107500
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. 🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
POLYMATH has some very interesting long-term upsideThere's potential here for a long term break-out. It's looking like there's a huge upside potential if we can break free of this channel. Perhaps, we've on wave 2 of the highest degree of trend with wave 3 ready to burst through the upper trend line. The sooner it does, the more violent we will go to the upsde. Let's keep a close eye on it as the longer the projection, the more there is likely to change. In any case, huge potential upside here. Follow for more.
20% downside risk still persists MT ; Long term upside 100%- In the short term, NYSE:UBER price can go down to test $47 at 200 SMA on weekly timeframe.
- This will present a solid opportunity to buyer Uber at an attractive valuation.
Risks & Opportunities:
- Many investors are selling it because of AV i.e waymo & robotaxi by tesla.
- These AVs are not a risk for at least 3-5 years. On top of that, Uber is a global platform which allows one to use the same app in various countries.
- AVs are capital intensive and will eat up lot of capital from Google & Tesla. It is not scalable beyond US where there's huge population like Asia or where the roads aren't good, traffic signs are confusing. Therefore, there will always be a demand for rideshare with an actual driver.
- Rideshare with driver will always be cheaper to operate in countries where population is high & labour is cheap like south America, asia, south-east asia. It is capital light because car is of the cab driver whereas for AV, the car needs to be modified, infrastructure needs to be maintained, software updates, car maintainence etc can't compete with rideshare with human driver.
- Uber is a "verb" for ride hailing and can be used as a benchmark for right pricing as local taxi drivers might dupe tourists.
- CEO Dara is amazing and has turned Uber from a loss making company to a profit generating machine. His execution is top class.
- I remember when Uber & Lyft used to trade hand in hand till 2022. But Dara's execution proved Uber to be a rideshare winner.
- Uber should perform well even if we hit a recession because in a recession although there would be demand compression but the supply of drivers will increase ( gig economy ) so price paid to driver will decrease ( simple supply & demand ) which will lead to stabilization of margins.
- People ain't stopping to buy food from uber eats as they are too lazy to cook and won't stop taking rides if they have to go from A to B. Plus, in a recession, people are likely to invest less in buying new car which can be seen from cooling down of auto industry despite several rate cuts.
Disclaimer:
- I'm nibbling Uber as it goes down and want to build this as my biggest position for a safe & asymmetrical returns of 60-100%+
PIXEL/USDT Long Opportunity!NGM:PIXEL
USDT Long Setup
PIXEL is currently retesting a significant support zone marked by the green box and aligning with key levels such as the Fib retracement and the moving averages (MA). The price action shows a correction after hitting the $0.3067 high, but bullish momentum may resume if the support holds.
Entry Range: CMP TO $0.2
Targets:
T1: $0.2580
T2: $0.3067
T3: $0.4783
Stop Loss (SL): $0.183
DYOR, NFA
#XRP Breakout Alert! CRYPTOCAP:XRP USDT Long Setup:
Pattern: XRP has broken out of a descending channel, signaling potential bullish momentum. The breakout suggests a move toward higher resistance levels, with a strong target based on the measured move.
Entry Range: Current price ($2.4010), with accumulation possible in the $2.3500 to $2.4500 range.
Targets:
T1: $2.5477
T2: $3.0000
T3: $4.0000
Stop Loss (SL): For risk management, place a stop loss below the breakout level and recent support at $2.2000.
ETH/USDT Long-TermHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH/USD chart taking into account the interval of one weekend.
We can observe how the price is struggling to maintain the level of the downward trend line marked in blue.
Moreover, we can see how the price is currently fighting in a strong resistance zone from $3,677 to $4,087, we can see how the upper border of the zone has rejected the price, only when it manages to break out of it positively, the price will move towards the second very strong zone from $4,864 to $5,305 .
When the current resistance zone completely rejects the price and strong declines begin, support is visible at $3,336, then there is support at $2,889, and then a strong support zone is visible from $2,498 to $2,116.
POL/USD 1W !Hello everyone, I invite you to review the POL/USD chart taking into account the interval of one weekend.
As we can see, the price has been moving in a downtrend channel for a long time, where there is still room for price increases.
Additionally, it is worth mentioning that a positive upward exit from the channel may result in a strong increase close to the channel height around $1,89. However, before this happens, the price must overcome the strong resistance zone from $0.78 to $0.91, and then the resistance at $1.09 near the upper border of the channel, which will open the way towards strong resistance levels at $1.58 and then $2.38. Currently, we can see the price staying above the support at $0.59 and further protected by a strong support zone from $0.47 to $0.28.
XRP - History Repeating Itself... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📔I find the OKX:XRPUSDT 4H chart interesting.
Previous post:
Do you notice a pattern here?
is XRP doing again?
🔄 If history will repeat itself, a break above the green zone around $2.7 is needed to signal the start of the next bullish movement.
🎯Once the setup is activated, $3 will be the short-term target, and then $5.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
UNH Bounce - Don't Miss Out On This 15% OpportunityNYSE:UNH dropped after the tragic death of UnitedHealthcare CEO (not UNH Group CEO) as well as public backlash. Nevertheless, as always in such situation, this has nothing to do with the stock itself. As price action traders we do not trade political or news events since those drops have an unimportant impact mid- to long-term.
UNH now sits on the support zone at around $550 which was previous resistance. We also filled the daily gap at around $568 completely. We touched the 0.236 Fib from the $273 bottom (from 2020) and the RSI is nearly oversold on the daily. This gives us a got chance for a bounce from this zone up to $600 - $620.
Support Levels:
$550
$528
Target/Resistance Levels:
$600
$622-628
TSLA on the go...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After rejecting the $200 round number zone and breaking above the red channel, TSLA's momentum shifted from bearish to bullish.
Currently, TSLA is in a correction phase and approaching the green demand zone and round number $300.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #TESLA approaches the $300 zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MANTA Breaking Out: On Track for $10 and Beyond!OMXHEX:MANTA USDT: Long Position 🚀
MANTA is breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup. The price has recently breached the key resistance trendline and is trading above the 100 MA, suggesting a strong upward momentum. If the breakout sustains, significant upside potential lies ahead as indicated in the chart.
📌 Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP) around $0.80
📈 Additional Positions: Consider adding on retests near $0.74–$0.64 for a safer entry.
🎯 Targets:
$1.40
$1.90
$2.50
$3.20
$10.50 (Final Target)
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): $0.64 to manage downside risk.
⚖️ Leverage Advice: Use leverage cautiously, between 2x and 5x, depending on your risk tolerance.
#Crypto