Longtermtrading
USDJPY STRUCTURE ANALYSIS|FUTURE MOVEMENT FORECASTThat is a possible way for the pair to continue downward movement towards the demand zone.
If the price reaches the level, the price action around it will determine the future of the pair for mid-long term.
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Wish you all luck in your trading!
S&P500 Choppy Previous Week - Potential further declinesPrice has been range bound now for the last couple of weeks and I wouldn't be surprised if we move lower in the coming week, falling into the 2700 handle as The TVC:SPX failed last week to create new highs. I think the market needs a strong catalyst to break the most recent high around 2900, however I wouldn't add a any new positions until we break the 3000 handle. Alternatively I think buys will look good around 2700. My overall bias for the marker remains bullish!
XRP Ripple / BTC Correlation Good time to buy Ripple?
Approaching Halving we almost all expect a nice pump and dump (of some sort)...
If we can hold above 2246, I'd personally say it's a fair bet to get in with some more Ripple. Bitcoin has been rather bullish since the dump to 4k along with nearly the entire Stock Market. My outlook on the correlation between XRP and Bitcoin is rather simple...
Looking Back To Last Halving...
2017's biggest cryptoassets ranked by performance
1. Ripple | 36,018%
2. NEM | 29,842%
3. Ardor | 16,809%
4. Stellar | 14,441%
5. Dash | 9,265%
6. Ethereum | 9,162%
7. Golem | 8,434%
8. Binance Coin | 8,061%
9. Litecoin | 5,046%
10. OmiseGO | 3,315%
14. Bitcoin | 1,318%
Long-Term Entry: 2248 Sats
Long-Term Stop-Loss: 2239 Sats
Will Update With Target...
This will be like the related play below on a much larger time-frame
DO NOT TRADE THIS, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE :)
DotcomJack
Ontology on critical resistance. If it holds above, bag ‘em.Follow me for more ideas. It will give me motivation to publish more ideas.
Another my favourite blockchain Ontology is facing critical resistance. However rsi is conforming convergence so, we can get huge upside move.( The only thing which can drop ontology’s price is BTC/USDT.) If it holds above $0.5, i’ll suggest to hold for medium term.
DXY bearish biasBeen holding onto this TA for a while now. I posted it on twitter a lot earlier, you can follow me @thecolour_red.
On the chart you'll find 3 seller owned levels and one key liquidity area below that holds bullish sentiment. Currently, 100.39 has rejected price and is being challenged by buyers in the aforementioned zone.
Fundamentals:
-the rejection was printed before the Core Durable Goods figure release and the flow was corroborated on the DOW
-additional QE will drive down the bid in the long term
Sentiment:
-Dollar is overvalued at the moment when compared to G7 currencies
Price action:
-major squeeze playing out, as you can see from the chop of last week's PA on lower TFs
-more patterns printed on lower TFs
Technicals:
-double top and resistance holding
-price currently in range (floor is the bullish area)
Additional notes:
-BoJ MP statement early in the week (key part of macro analysis and will add bias to global flow)
LONG CRUDE WHEN EVERYONE IS BEARISHGood Day Traders!
Here's the trade idea and do let me know if you have any questions! 💰💰💰
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Our CRUDE setup
Rules:
1. LONG ONLY when price touched the white box. (Checked)
2. LONG ONLY when bullish candlestick formed in 4H/1D chart.
3. DO NOTHING when above #1 & #2 are not met.
TP 1 : level near 28.00
TP 2 : level near 36.00
CL : closed below 15.00
RR > 5
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"All winning professionals know the enormous importance of psychology. Most losing amateurs ignore it."
DISCLAIMER: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Trade at your own risk.
The Next Bullah's RunThis is a Long Term Analysis... Every Bull Run has 2 things in common with a Bear Market and that is of course the Long Term Resistance and Trend Lines, by ANALyzing :-D the past I've come up with the next bull run's resistance and support lines. Don't make ur investment into a complicated web of complex strategies, I will sell whenever it hits the long term resistance line and buy when it hits the support trend line. The next Bull Run will last at least 1200 days this will put BTC at a staggering price of $392,000 - $650,000.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE (Do Your Own Research).
May The Creator Give Us The Wisdom 2 Invest
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btc longterm analysisHello folks!
Today will see the expiry of 49,400 BTC worth of outstanding derivative contracts. This is equivalent to $328 million in Bitcoin open interest.
Surely a return to volatility yeah!
Let's see tuesday where the market close but I have already an idea...
Fans are typically drawn from changes in trend or reversal points such as tops or bottoms and are a good way to measure a market's trend or strength. During an uptrend, if price stays in the space above an ascending angle without breaking below it, the market is considered bullish . During a downtrend, if price remains below a descending angle without breaking above it, the market is considered bearish .
It's a powerful indicator and it becomes even more powerful if you combine it with another powerful indicator like Ichimoku
I have done a lot of good shorts from the beginning of the month.
Let's take a look at the weekly chart with ichimoku >>>>
NZDCAD setupThe monthly has been in an uptrend but it has been broken. Be watchful near the most recent low, as price may find support. However, if we can hold below the 0.84000 level, we will retest the all time low area of 0.61441.
If we hold above 0.84000, expect a retest of the high around the 0.99300 area.
EURCAD is NOT a reversal, yet...Alot of traders on here are calling EURCAD a short play. As of now, it's not. This chart shows what should have happened if it was ready to fall. We'll have to drop & hold below the 1.54855 area before calling this a short. For now, the Bulls are still in control.
The Weekly is in an uptrend & the Monthly bar is just in a pullback. If it closes above this area by April, there wont be much resistance until 1.69000. A new high could easily be made if we remain above this area. The monthly is in a Reverse Head & Shoulder's pattern, signaling Bullish momentum.
The weekly is also above my 369 EMA, meaning price has been bullish all year, recovering all of the previous year's selloff.
The daily is simply in consolidation, a prime area for retail traders to get shaken out of the market by institutions who are just taking short term profits, waiting to buy up retail positions.
Clean 4Hour analysis GBPAUDI was scalping lately, as volatility was available. Trends are looking more like they are ready to continue their original directions. I'm going to be entering for more long-term holds, as I'd like to go on vacation & relax soon. Perfect timing, as there's no need to day trade if the trends are there to just ride...
Going to go through the list of pairs I'm watching or already in. Decided to do cleaner analysis's, using the 4H & 1H charts.
Divergences are noted. Be on the lookout for Reversal signals, as we retest tops & bottoms.
My moving average is 369...because Tesla said so lol!...you know, harmonics or whatever. It's just there to guide me on short term pullbacks. I could really trade without it & the On Balance Volume. It's there for anyone needing confirmation. Using The Bollinger Band in my previous analysis was doing the same thing, as it guided me on the 1H at support areas to re-enter the trend continuation (Again, my settings are .382 & I enter when 5 bars close & price passes above the high of all 5. This is a strategy I learned from Seven Primo).
I'm also keeping track of Daily & Weekly Supply & Demand Zones, watching closely for double tops when we enter.
Red or Green indicates trend direction. If trend changes or I take profits, I'll update.
Buy your Lambo from this one trade...USDJPY!!Weekly & 4Hour time frame analysis. USDJPY has just retested the upper downtrendline & failed. The profit zone is marked in purple. The divergence signals a regular bullish divergence so that profit area could turn into a demand zone, pushing the pair to new highs. If price retests & fails the upper (weekly) trendline after hitting the profit zone, USDJPY should make a new low.
This is a weekly entry meaning It will more than likely take a year to complete. Add on pullbacks & invest every paycheck you get, you'll be driving a Lambo in not time ;)
STOP LOSS is above the most recent high. If price gets above, I'll reverse & trade to new highs.
Long Term View | Before & Post Halving | Entry Levels4 HOUR ANALYSIS
Price consolidation failed to form bearish momentum within our ascending and descending trendlines forming a wedge as seen on my previous posts. The price broke out of the minor resistance of 6000, and went up going to 6500 where we had our short entry placed. Fundamentally speaking, Friday started off with positive economic news, which ultimately spiked the price higher on Bitcoin reaching furthest points of the resistance area around 6900.
Buying volume remains very low at the moment and the situation with COVID-19, stock market, oil, etc. is still looking very weak. We saw Bitcoin form significant correlation with the S&P index recently, and any positive signs of the indexes performing well, will keep boosting the Bitcoins price higher. Whereas negative signs, will keep boosting the price lower. Indeed, Bitcoin is going to end up being a hedge against the economy in general, but for that we need more stability to form up and the volatility to take a chill pill. With that being said, let's take a look at the higher time frame technicals:
DAILY ANALYSIS
Bitcoin managed to come up to the 6500 resistance area, but failed to hold it and formed further upside momentum to 6900. BUT, despite going up all the way up there, we still remain in the resistance zone. Frankly speaking, a clear break out of 7000 would trigger bullish view points but in the meantime we are still circulating at the zone of confluence within this resistance (6500-6900), which can be seen more clearly looking at the daily time frames. Personally, I have placed another short entry at 6850.
WEEKLY ANALYSIS
Going into the weekly analysis, we can see quite an important ascending trendline formed, where the past 2 weekly candles seemed to have closed above it with the wicks just below it. This doesn't exactly confirm our bearish breakout yet so the following few weeks to come are very important to look out for. In other words, we need to see a clear breakout of this ascending trendline on the weekly chart in order to have a clear bearish sentiment.
MINING SITUATION:
I am still waiting for the mining difficulty to be updated (which should be coming up within the next 4 days), but I can tell you that it wont be looking too strong with the overall hash rate dropping significantly. This is showing that bitcoin miners are pausing their operations for the moment, as the electricity fees are causing them higher overall expenses than the profits generated on mining (unless you are one of those lucky bastards with $0.01 electricity costs per Kw/h). This generally pushes the Bitcoins price lower but this isn't the major fundamental factor that is driving the markets now as previously stated. We saw Bitmain announce it's new retail mining units that are capable of generating over 100TH/s, and once they are put out in action, we will see a significant recovery for the Bitcoin mining world.
HALVING AROUND THE CORNER
Bitcoin halving is going to occur in May. Previously, we saw this as a long term positive effect on Bitcoins price action. This doesn't happen right away though and we can see the situation play out differently this year due to Coronavirus. I won't go too much into detail on this point. You can view my previous post on Bitcoin Halving if you are looking to get more detailed information.
CONCLUSION
I am still bearish on Bitcoin with the negative fundamental situation happening around the world and placed my short entry at 6850 which was already triggered and is in profits. I am expecting to see further downside over the weekend, and we should see Monday opening up with huge gaps on all asset classes (including Bitcoin futures on the CME exchange), which can also be taken as an indication for further price action.
I will keep the post updated if anything comes up or changes!
*This is NOT a financial advice, trade at your own risk!
Thanks for taking the time to read this, leave a like if you found this useful!
CLM0 3 Day Chart: Long-term Buy Oil opened the week with a massive gap of more than 30%; a clear selling climax move. At this point, most of the selling was absorbed by institutionals and I do not see the selling continuing for much lower. Oil has already regained 20% since the low was printed early in the morning hours. A great opportunity for long-term buy entries. Mind the risk though - have at least a $6k risk buffer per contract here. Depending on the exclusion of the "lower for longer" approach here by the oil giants, we could see a mean-reversion to the $50 area rather quickly - by H2 2020. Around $50, a decent profit of under $20k per contract expected.
AUD/USD Hello Guys !
I have an other interesting idea for you !
So this pair is approching the 2008 crisys level.
As you can see on the chart, after hit a certin price, the pair rejected, we have a strong support on that level.
I want to enter in this trade on the price of 0.5900, it could go to 0.5800 but i'm very sure that it will be rejected.
After that I'm in this long trade till hit my long term price 0.6765.
For those who want some short term TP's : 0.6178
My SL is at 0.5500.
Thank you for your time !
Have a nice day !
Dash Long Term low Risk Trade PlanSetup is pretty smooth and easy to do
Green circle shows where i can enter the trade. I'm planning 2 entries in it. ( $77 and $57) Stop Below the ATL
I may compound on the way up, if that happens
It is not suitable to risk lower than R and risking more than 5R,
I have to make an exception because while market retracing i need as much as cash i could spare.
I have too much altcoin trades/waiting orders so my rules says do not overexposure myself is a must and its not negotiable!
I can risk .75 R for 4-5 trades if i wont close/take profit with my current trades.
Since shitcoins has too much to offer i'm ok with low risk/reward.
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The Color Map of The Chart
Red = (M)onthly
Yellow = (w)eekly
White = (D)aily
Green = 4H
Blue = 1H
Rainbows = Mins
.....................................
GBPUSD Cable Long Term TradeI am looking at the potential for a long term buy & hold on GBPUSD.
There is a nice daily wedge pattern forming with price being supported by a lower bullish trendline and the daily 50EMA.
Multiple daily wick rejections are forming at this current zone and I think we could see a push upwards and break of the upper wedge trendline.
Risky entry = buy now and anticipate the break of the wedge.
Low risk entry = Wait for the wedge trendline to break first.
TP1 = Previous resistance at 1.35
Long term profit target = weekly/monthly resistance at 1.43500






















