Macroeconomics
UNDERSTAND MACRO-FINANCE!WHILE ALL PRICES HAVE RISEN SINCE 1913 (THE CREATION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE), SOME HAVE DONE SO MORE THAN OTHERS!
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM HAS BECOME SO LARGE AND COMPLEX THAT IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO TRACE THE ACTUAL SIZE OF THE ENTIRE MONEY SUPPLY ( M3 )!
WHEN IT COMES TO ESTIMATION, YOUR GUESS IS AS GOOD AS ANY EXPERT'S!
THE ONLY WAY TO DETERMINE IF M3 IS RISING OR FALLING IS BY LOOKING AT THE PRICE OF OIL , THE PRICE OF THE 1-MONTH TREASURY BILL AND THE YIELD CURVE, ALL OF WHICH INDICATE THERE WAS A DEFLATIONARY PERIOD AT THE BEGINNING OF 2020!
STOCKS, WHICH ARE THE MOST FINANCIALIZED ASSET CLASS, HAVE SEEN THE GREATEST INCREASE IN PRICE, BECAUSE MUCH OF THE CREDIT THAT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM CREATES BIDS UP THEIR PRICE BEFORE ANYTHING ELSE!
COPPER AND OIL , THE PRICES OF WHICH ARE MUCH MORE IMPACTED BY SUPPLY AND DEMAND CONDITIONS WITHIN THE REAL ECONOMY, HAVE BARELY MOVED IN COMPARISON AND REFLECT THE LACK OF REAL ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR THE PAST HALF CENTURY!
GOLD , FOR ANYONE WHO CONSIDERS ITS PRICE EVEN REMOTELY ELEVATED, HAS BARELY EVEN KEPT UP WITH THE INCREASE IN M2 (WHICH INCLUDES PHYSICAL CURRENCY, CHEQUING ACCOUNTS AND SOME SAVINGS ACCOUNTS).
THROUGHOUT HISTORY, THE MARKET CAPITALIZATION OF GOLD HAS ALWAYS EVENTUALLY MATCHED THE TOTAL MONEY SUPPLY, AND THEREFORE THE PRICE OF GOLD MUST INCREASE BY SEVERAL TIMES EVEN FROM HERE TO BE VALUED CORRECTLY!
BUY HAND OVER FIST!THE RECENT 8.205$ CORRECTION WAS SIZABLE AFTER THE PRICE OF SILVER ALMOST TRIPLED IN LESS THAN 5 MONTHS!
THIS IS MOST LIKELY DUE TO THE VAST AMOUNT OF NAKED SILVER SHORTS UNLOADED ONTO THE COMEX MARKET BY BULLION BANKS!
THIS IS A GOOD PRICE TO RE-ACCUMULATE HOLDINGS OF SILVER!
THE 26-32$ PRICE RANGE OFFERS CONSIDERABLE SUPPLY, BUT WHEN IT HAS BEEN ABSORBED BY GREATER DEMAND, THE PRICE OF SILVER WILL FLY!
IS BUFFET RIGHT?WARREN "NEVER BET AGAINST AMERICA" BUFFETT IS CLEARLY DIVERSIFYING OUT OF THE U.S. DOLLAR!
HE HAS RECENTLY LOADED UP ON SHARES OF "UNDERVALUED "JAPANESE FINANCIAL GIANTS!
THE QUESTION IS, IS JAPAN THE RIGHT PLACE FOR LONG TERM INVESTMENT?
I WOULD CONTEND THAT IF YOU SEE A GRIM FUTURE FOR THE WESTERN WORLD, ASIA IS THE PLACE TO BE!
JAPAN'S PRODUCTIVITY AND THEIR HIGHLY HOMOGENEOUS CULTURE (UNLIKE THE WEST) MAKES THEM AN ALLURING PROSPECT!
UH-OH!I AM A DOLLAR BEAR, BUT THIS DOES NOT LOOK PRETTY FOR THE EURO!
FACE IT, FRANCE AND OTHER NON-GERMAN EU COUNTRIES CARRY DEBT LOADS THAT FAR OUTWEIGH THAT OF THE US!
I STILL AGREE WITH PETER SCHIFF'S POSITION, BUT IT IS IMPORTANT TO KEEP AN OPEN MIND! A GLOBAL HYPERINFLATION WOULD BE DXY POSITIVE!
IS VIX LAGGING OR WARNING!EQUITIES ARE MAKING NEW HIGHS, HAVING ERASED ALL PREVIOUS LOSSES, YET S&P VOLATILITY REMAINS AT A HIGHER LEVEL THAN BEFORE THE CRASH!
IS VIX HEADING EVEN LOWER AS EQUITIES MELT-UP, HAVE WE ENTERED A 70s-LIKE KANGAROO MARKET OR IS ANOTHER CRASH IMMINENT?
REGARDLESS, HEADING INTO AN ELECTION PERIOD, A VIX SPIKE IS PROBABLE WITHIN THE COMING MONTHS!
CREDIT: JGM0706
WORSE THAN 2008!THE FED'S HOLDINGS OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES IS GROWING FASTER THAN DURING THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS!
QUARTERLY MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES JUST SMASHED THE PREVIOUS RECORD FROM 2008!
THE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE MARKET IS IMPLODING!
MARKETS ARE COMPLETELY IGNORING THIS FACT!
WORSE THAN 2008!THE FED'S HOLDINGS OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES IS GROWING FASTER THAN DURING THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS!
QUARTERLY MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES JUST SMASHED THE PREVIOUS RECORD FROM 2008!
THE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE MARKET IS IMPLODING!
MARKETS ARE COMPLETELY IGNORING THIS FACT!