BTC - Liquidity Mapping to Predict MovementAs a part II to my previous post on “Bull Market OR Bearish Retest?” - Here is a 2 day liquidity map on BTC’s chart.
I’m anticipating a sharp drop to 7,000 - why is this number significant?
There is a mass amount of liquidity in the chart down towards 7,000-10,000.
This liquidity is in the form of long stop loss orders.
In layman’s terms - the sell orders required to take price to this extreme low are already within the chart. It is a pre-set consequence to traders decisions in a market dominated by leveraged buys and sells.
If we consider what the “floor” price of BTC is (IE all long term secured holders) - we first have to seperate out the leveraging liquidity used in the futures market.
How much of the BTC market cap is injected liquidity from futures / derivatives? In my view, anything above 7,000.
This liquidity can flow in and out, and the business and function behind it isn’t affected. This liquidity is extremely fluid. It can drop 90,000 and rise 90,000 shortly after without any affect on the fundamental value of Bitcoin.
Sure there is a psychological consequence with perceived value and market stability - but the fact is, leveraged liquidity can enter the market and leave the market with no impact at all on the wallets of market makers.
Food for thought - happy trading.
Marketmaker
TARGET SUCCESSFULLYThis chart highlights a textbook liquidity sweep and reversal pattern in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined above 3,360, with multiple rejection points.
- Support Level: Around 3,250, acting as a strong demand area.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below the support to trigger stop-losses and trap sellers before reversing upward.
Price Action Insights:
- After grabbing liquidity below the support zone, the price rallied back, confirming a reversal setup.
- The move reached the target zone at 3251.225, fulfilling the projected bullish objective.
Outcome:
The trade idea played out successfully with the target marked as complete. Now, price is hovering at the former support-turned-resistance zone.
Next Steps:
Traders should monitor for:
- A potential breakout above this zone for continuation.
- Or rejection signals for a short-term pullback.
Elliott Wave top on SPY’s monthly chartTechnical Analysis:
Wave Structure (Elliott Wave)
• Wave 1–2: Early 2020 correction (COVID crash) marked a clear wave 2 bottom.
• Wave 3: Strong impulsive rally from mid-2020 to late 2021 — massive liquidity-driven.
• Wave 4: 2022–2023 pullback — clean retracement to ~0.382 Fib, validating wave structure.
• Wave 5: Parabolic final rally peaking around $550–560 (currently topping or topping out).
Bearish Signals:
• Volume divergence — Price up, but monthly volume flat-to-declining. Distribution behavior.
• Completed 5-wave structure — Indicates exhaustion.
• (A)-(B)-(C) Correction Starting: The projection shows:
• Wave A targeting ~$420–440.
• Wave B dead cat bounce.
• Wave C projecting a deeper correction into $300–340 zone (around 0.5 to 0.618 retracement).
Fibonacci Confluence Zones:
• 0.382 = ~$450
• 0.5 = ~$390
• 0.618 = ~$340
These zones will act as major liquidity pools for institutional entries or macro rebalancing.
Macro Headwinds Fuel the Narrative:
• Sticky inflation
• Rising interest payments on U.S. debt
• Deteriorating liquidity (QT regime)
• Over-leveraged consumer and commercial debt sectors
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Technical Highlights:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection.
- Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Projected Move:
The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance.
If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone.
Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TARGET SUCCESSFUL
This chart displays a successful bullish breakout on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the previous consolidation range.
Key Levels & Zones:
-Resistance Zone: Around 95,576, which was clearly broken with strong bullish momentum.
Support Level: Maintained around 93,592, where price previously bounced from.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Efficiently filled, providing the base for the bullish rally.
Target Achieved: The price decisively hit and exceeded the projected target of 95.576, confirming the bullish setup.
Market Sentiment: Strong bullish bias with volume surge, indicating continued interest above resistance.
Conclusion: The breakout and target completion validate the strength of the structure and buyer control in this range. Further bullish continuation could be expected if momentum sustains.
BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward.
Key Technical Zones:
- Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply.
- Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact.
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up.
Current Outlook:
- Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound.
- If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576.
Next Target: 95,576
Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
GOLD UPWARD COMING SOON Gold (XAU/USD) shows the price currently trading within a defined range between the support level at 3272.581 and the resistance zone around 3367.926.
Technical Highlights:
- Support Level: Strong demand seen around 3272.581 where price has previously rebounded.
- Resistance Zone: 3367.926 marks a key supply area that has held several past tests.
- Current Structure: A bullish corrective move appears underway with the potential to test the target area at 3338.838, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
- Price Behavior: Recent rejection from the support zone indicates bullish pressure; if momentum holds, price is likely to challenge the next resistance.
Next Target: 3338.838
Outlook: If gold sustains above the mid-range support, bullish continuation toward 3338.838 is favored. However, price must break minor resistance cleanly for further upside confirmation.
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USOILOil shows price moving between a clear support level and a strong order block resistance above. Currently, price is trading inside a resistance zone around 63.25.
The chart indicates a potential bullish move, targeting the 64.22 level, where the order block resides.
Key Technical Points:
- Support Level: Strong demand area near 62.00.
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gap filled below current price.
- Resistance Zone: Price facing resistance around 63.00-63.50.
- Order Block: Major target area near 64.22.
Target Projection: $64.22
Outlook:
If buyers sustain momentum above the resistance zone, we could see a rally toward the 64.22 target at the order block. Confirmation of a breakout and retest would strengthen the bullish bias.
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GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) shows price action ranging between a strong support level and a visible order block above. Price recently tested the support zone near 3,260.000, showing potential signs of a bullish reaction.
The chart highlights a possible upward move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, targeting around 3325.626.
Key Technical Points:
- Support Level: Price bounced from the 3,260.000 zone.
- FVG Area: Gap available for price to fill up toward 3325.626.
- Order Block: Major resistance near the 3,440.000 region.
- Structure: A potential bullish short-term recovery setup.
Target Projection: $3325.626
If buyers maintain control around the current support, we could see a move into the FVG before facing major resistance at the order block above. Watch closely for bullish confirmations or possible rejections around the FVG area.
If the price enter these red-marked zones!Gold Market Analysis (Engulfing & Zone-Based Strategy)
This analysis is based on a straightforward zone-trading method using engulfing patterns and filtered key levels. The marked zones on the chart highlight high-probability trading areas.
Red Zones (Sell Areas):
If the price enters these red-marked zones, we look for bearish confirmation to enter sell trades.
These zones are derived from the 4H timeframe, making them more reliable. If the market reacts from here, you can target around 60–80 pips in profit.
A second sell zone offers potential for a larger move—up to 150+ pips—if the price respects it.
Green Zones (Buy Areas):
If the price drops and enters the green-marked zone, it’s a signal to look for buy setups.
This area may deliver a strong bounce, potentially yielding 100+ pips.
There’s no need for complicated patterns or indicators—just follow the zones. If the price hits a zone and shows confirmation, you trade it.
Trade at your own risk DYOR!!
SILVER Silver (XAG/USD) shows a potential bearish correction setup forming after rejection from the upper resistance channel. Price is currently consolidating below the resistance zone after testing the upper band and is projected to move downward toward the order block and potentially the support trendline.
The chart suggests a bearish move targeting the next level at 32.8153, which aligns with a confluence of support between the lower trendline and the order block zone.
Key Technical Elements:
- Resistance Zone: Price failed to break above33.70, confirming a strong supply area.
- Bearish Projection: Lower highs and consolidation hint at possible downside movement.
- Next Target: 32.8153
- Order Block Trendline Support: Could serve as a bounce zone or continuation support.
Outlook: If price breaks below the intermediate channel support, it may trigger further downside toward32.81. However, watch for reactions around the order block for potential bullish reversals. This setup is ideal for short-term traders monitoring key levels for entry and risk control.
USOILThis chart for WTI Crude Oil presents a bullish continuation setup following a rebound from the support level around 61.50. After breaking above a minor consolidation range, price is now retracing slightly before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The chart highlights a target at63.95, just below the upper resistance zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area.
Technical Breakdown:
- Support Level: Firm bounce near 61.50, confirming demand.
- Minor Breakout: Price broke above local structure and retesting for continuation.
- Resistance Zone: Located near64.00, target aligns with historical supply.
- Next Target: 63.95
Volume spikes during the bounce suggest strong buyer interest. A clean break and hold above 63.00 could open the path toward the $63.95 target. Traders may look for bullish price action confirmation for entry.
GOLD
This Gold (XAU/USD) outlines a bullish retracement setup, targeting a potential move toward the order block around 3,373.348. After bouncing from the support level near3,280, price is consolidating in a tight range and showing signs of upward momentum.
The move aims to revisit the order block, which previously acted as a breakdown zone. If price successfully reaches and reacts from this level, it may also attempt to fill the nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG) above.
Key Technical Zones:
- Support Level: Around 3,280, where buyers stepped in.
- Order Block: Immediate resistance and primary target at3,373.
- FVG Zone Above: Suggests a potential bullish continuation if broken.
Short-Term Target: 3,373.348
If momentum holds, a breakout above the order block may expose price to further upside toward3,440 and beyond.
Traders can watch for breakout confirmation or signs of rejection at the order block for the next directional cue.
USOIL Chart Overview:
WTI Crude is trading around 61.44, consolidating inside a key resistance zone near62.00. After a strong bullish impulse, price has stalled under this resistance, forming both bullish and bearish paths, highlighting a conflicting market structure
Key Discrepations Identified:
1. Bullish Momentum vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Continuation to 64+ after breakout.
- Reality: Price is struggling below resistance, rejecting upper boundary multiple times.
- Discrepation: Bullish momentum is slowing, and repeated rejections are exposing potential reversal pressure.
2. Volume Strength vs. Breakout Potential
- Volume d…
- Visually this implies strength, but price is hovering in indecision, neither breaking up nor down convincingly.
- Discrepation: Chart setup shows both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown possibilities, confusing structure
4. Double Scenario Projection
- The projection shows both:
- A bullish breakout to 64.
- A rejection and selloff to 58.
- Discrepation: Market is giving mixed technical signals, suggesting traders should wait for confirmation before committing
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expectation | Observed Reality | Discrepation | Projection Conflict | Clear trend continuation | Dual projection shown | Market indecision + low conviction |
📉 Conclusion:
While WTI remains inside a short-term bullish structure, the presence of conflicting breakout signals, resistance rejections, and declining volume point toward a discrepation. Traders should watch the 62.00 resistance zone closely. A clear rejection or breakout will resolve this divergence, with downside targeting 58.00, and upside toward $64.00.
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BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
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GOLD The chart shows price moving in a tight consolidation zone between the resistance area near 3,245 and support at3,213. While the price has tested the resistance multiple times, it has failed to break out decisively, indicating possible bearish weakness emerging.
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🔍 Discrepation Zones (Key Conflicts):
1. Price vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Breakout continuation above $3,245 due to repeated testing.
- Actual: Price rejected again after touching resistance.
- Discrepation: Buyers are unable to sustain upward momentum, revealing fading bullish strength despite frequent attempts.
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2. Volume Behavior vs. Price Actio…
This hidden bearishness suggests sellers may be stepping in before each breakout attempt completes.
—
4. Target Discrepancy at3213.070
- While current price appears stable, the projection clearly anticipates a pullback to 3213.070.
- This level sits just above a major support block, marking a key imbalance between current consolidation and the expected move down.
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🧭 Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expected Behavior | Observed Behavior | Discrepation |
|————————–|——————————-|————————————-|———————————————|
| Resistance Test | Breakout after repeated tests | Another rejection | Buyers failing to gain momentum |
| Volume Analysis | Increased …
: Gold is showing signs of hidden bearish pressure. Although still inside a range, multiple failed breakout attempts, declining volume, and a projected drop to3213.070 point to a clear discrepation between expected bullish continuation and emerging bearish signals.
📌 Watch how price behaves near the $3,230 level. A decisive break could validate the bearish target, especially if volume increases on the move down.
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BTCUSD Market Discrepancy Analysis (April 11, 2025)
📉 Chart Overview:
The chart reflects Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with significant price movements between 77,417 (support) and 83,846 (resistance). The asset recently rallied to fill a Fair Value Gap (FVG) before facing resistance and dropping back to retest the lower region.
1. Resistance Rejection at $83,846:
- The price spiked aggressively into the resistance zone, but quickly reversed after failing to sustain above it.
- This price rejection is clear evidence of strong seller presence.
- The FVG zone just below the resistance appears to have been filled, triggering a sharp correction.
2. Failed Breakout or Bull Trap:
- The s…
- This suggests that buying pressure was temporary, and mostly driven by short-term momentum traders rather than real demand.
4. Incomplete Fair Value Gap at77,417:
- Price moved sharply down and almost touched the FVG area near 77,417, but did not completely fill it.
- This leaves an imbalance and suggests that the market may revisit this area to fully mitigate it.
5. False Break of Lower High:
- The high near 82,290 was breached temporarily, but price did not close above convincingly.
- Indicates a fake breakout structure within a broader bearish context.
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🔧 Technical Summary:
| Zone | Level | Status |
|------------------|-----------------|-------------------------|
| Resistance | 83,846 | Rejected |
|…
This chart shows a clear discrepation between price momentum and volume confirmation. While price temporarily surged into a resistance zone, it lacked the strength to hold above key breakout levels, suggesting the rally was unsustainable.
> The Fair Value Gap (FVG) at77,417 remains unfilled, and current price structure points to a potential return to that zone. Expect bearish continuation unless BTC reclaims and sustains above $82,290 with volume.
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BTCUSD TARGET COMPLETE Market Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 10, 2025
Price Action Overview:
- Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating between 79,161 and 81,520, with price action forming within this range. A move to 79,161 has been achieved, completing the target and fulfilling the bearish target outlined earlier.
- BTC seems to be struggling around 81,500, and is showing potential signs of exhaustion at the upper end of the range near the resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
1. Resistance Zone (Red Box):
- The resistance level is clearly marked near 82,000 and 81,500, with price struggling to break above this level. If Bitcoin fails to break out of this resistance zone, the price could reverse towards support levels.
- The upper resistance zone remains a key level…
ChatGPT: - An FVG (Fair Value Gap) is evident in the 79,161 to 78,500 region. This could act as an area to fill, and could potentially see price retracement or sideways consolidation before a possible move up.
Market Structure Analysis:
- Bearish Trend: Bitcoin's price has been on a downward trend forming a descending triangle, indicating bearish sentiment.
- Breakout Potential: A breakout from the current consolidation zone will be important. Bitcoin will likely test 79,161 again. If it fails to hold support, further downside may be possible.
Volume & Momentum:
- Volume: The volume analysis shows increasing buying volume at lower levels, suggesting potential support around 79,161. However, the volume is diminishing at resistance levels, which indicates that bullish…
USOIL Oil – April 10, 2025
Price Action & Trend Analysis:
- Current Market Position:
- WTI Crude Oil is showing a bearish trend within a falling wedge pattern, a technical formation that often signals a potential breakout after consolidation. This pattern is visible with converging trendlines (blue), which suggest a potential move to the downside.
- The resistance zone is marked at 61.50, and the price is struggling to break above this level. If it does not break out of this level, further downside momentum may be expected.
Key Levels:
1. Resistance Zone:
- The resistance level is clearly marked near 61.50, and price action has repeatedly struggled to move above this level, showing signs of rejection. A failure to break this l…
ChatGPT: 4. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 58.12, which indicates a possible area of imbalance where price could potentially retrace to fill the gap before moving in its next direction.
Volume Analysis:
- The volume profile indicates decreasing volume as the price approaches the resistance zone at 61.50, which may suggest a weakening of bullish momentum.
- The increasing volume near the support level at 58.00 suggests that buyers are looking to step in at these levels, but this remains to be seen as the price moves toward this region.
Key Observations:
- The bearish divergence observed between price and momentum suggests that bearish pressure is mounting, especially with the price failing to breach resistance and forming lower highs.
- T
GOLD Chart Analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) – April 10, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Price Action and Trend:
- The price is currently in an uptrend, forming a bullish channel (green box) as it moves upwards.
- Resistance is positioned near 3,134.588 and 3,123.580 which are key levels to watch for potential price rejection or breakout.
- Support levels are defined at 3,067.613 and 2,974.936. The price has recently bounced off the support level, suggesting that the trend is still intact and may continue to push higher.
2. Key Levels:
- Resistance: The resistance level near 3,134.588 is being tested currently. A breakout above this level could indicate further bullish momentum.
- Support: The support zone near 3,067.613 is crucial. If the price drops below thi…
ChatGPT: - The volume bars show a spike in activity, suggesting market indecision, but also strong bullish sentiment near the support level.
4. Target Price and Future Projections:
- The target price for this move is 3,134.588, where the price is expected to test resistance. If it breaks this level, the next target could be near 3,150.00.
- The bullish channel suggests that Gold is still trending upward, and the price is likely to continue moving towards the upper boundary of the channel.
Scenario Predictions:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If Gold successfully breaks the resistance at 3,134.588, it could continue to push higher towards the next resistance zone around 3,150.00.
- Support level at 3,067.613 holds strong, and the price continues to make higher highs…
XAUUSD BUY TARGET SUCCESSFUL HITTING READ IN CAPTIONSHere's a descriptive analysis of the chart you provided, which is a technical analysis chart for Gold (CFDs on Gold, USD/OZ) as of April 9, 2025:
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Chart Description: Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis
Time Frame: Intraday (Likely 1-hour or 2-hour candles)
Volume: Displayed at the bottom in green/red bars, showing buying and selling pressure.
Key Highlights:
1. Downtrend Channel:
The price has been moving within a downward channel (marked by red and blue trendlines).
Several lower highs and lower lows were observed until a breakout occurred.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level: Around 2,974.936 – This acted as a solid base before the bullish reversal.
Resistance Zone: Around 3,132.939 - 3,137.725 – This area is expected to be a stron…
BTCUSD ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for Bitcoin (1-Hour Timeframe) – April 08, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Price Action and Trend:
- Bitcoin is in a downtrend, as indicated by the blue descending trendlines, creating lower highs and lower lows.
- The resistance zone is near 80,000, with 79,161 acting as a key level of resistance.
- Price is currently approaching the support level, which is in the range of 75,000 to 77,000, indicating a potential area for price reversal or further decline.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The order block located near 79,161 to $79,000 is an important zone where price rejected and fell previously. This suggests that sellers have been controlling this level, and it may act as a strong resistance again if the price revisits.
- …
ChatGPT: - As Bitcoin approaches the support level, a surge in volume could indicate a possible breakout or a reversal from the support zone.
4. Target and Potential Movement:
- The target for the current setup is 79,161, near the upper resistance zone, with potential upward momentum from the support area.
- Bitcoin is likely to reach the 79,161 target after bouncing from the support zone. However, if the price fails to break through the resistance, a drop back to the support zone or even further downward movement may occur.
Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish Reversal: If Bitcoin bounces from the support level and breaks above the resistance at 79,161, it may push higher towards 80,000 and beyond. The FVG area will be a critical point to monitor for further upward m…
ChatGPT: Currently, Bitcoin is at a pivotal point, testing support while trying to break through resistance. The next price action will depend on how Bitcoin reacts at these key levels. Traders should keep an eye on 79,161, which could be a crucial turning point for the market direction. If the support holds, a reversal is possible, but failure to maintain the support could lead to further declines.
USOIL ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (1-Hour Timeframe) – April 08, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Trend and Price Action:
- WTI Crude Oil has been trading in a range-bound pattern, as shown by the blue trendlines. The price has been bouncing between the resistance and support levels. Currently, the price is at the lower end of this range near the support level around 58.88.
- The resistance level is at 59.05, and this has been tested multiple times without a sustained breakout, indicating that sellers have been in control around this level.
- The price just tested the support level and bounced slightly higher, which suggests the market may be consolidating before deciding the next move.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The order block is located…
ChatGPT: - Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been formed around the order block. This means there’s an imbalance in the market that could eventually be filled. Traders should watch for price action near this gap for further insight into whether the gap will be filled or left untested.
3. Volume:
- Volume is relatively low, which suggests a lack of strong momentum in the market. This is typical in range-bound markets, where buying and selling activity are often balanced.
- However, the volume has spiked during the downward move, which could indicate a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below 58.88.
4. Bearish Setup and Target:
- The chart is showing a bearish setup with the price trading below the resistance zone, and it is testing the support level near