WaitMarket is telling you to wait cause there's no clear direction , If you trade , you will lose. It's that simple. Try to not trade instead of observe and think over price action. When opportunity is there , Ride it !!! Wish you great weekend , no trade executions on Friday , Wait for Weekly close :)
Markets
EUR/GBP SIMPLE ELLIOTT WAVES EUR/GBP price made a bearish move to the mental post-brexit barrier and strong 1D support level.
We are currently following a comfortable Elliott-Wave pattern hitting A.B,C,D waiting on E
Daily Bearish hammer formed at 1D support level (0.833) which is a strong indication of a reversal.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks should turn Blue (Bullish) tomorrow if price follows reversal candle, setting price up for a bullish move towards 1D resistance
SL: Below 1D support
TP1: 0.86
TP2: 0.87
RISK/REWARD: 5.23
Dow Jones Bearish FibonacciHere we have some Fibonacci ratio confluence that could be very powerfull
We have stops above the 1.618 extension wich, in case that price action breaks it, means that the price is not overextended and that it has a high likelihood of going bullish.
So we will expect a move towards of take profit or stop loss next week.
You also have to have in mind that in summer markets are very slow so, patiente. Remeber your setups, do not trade other setups wich you dont know nothing about, just in case. Trade responsibly!
US Dollar Trade PlanUS Dollar has shown very little price movement since the 2014 bull run. US Dollar has stayed in a tight range and based on technical indications we could be seeing one more low before a catapult to higher highs.
US OIL , GOLD , SILVER, EMERGING MARKETS
Rapid movement in US Dollar can have a big impact on USOil as well as silver XAGUSD and gold XAUUSD. Higher US Dollar can also have a big impact on emerging markets EEM and we could see money flow from US into other investments.
USD/CHF - Breakout pendingWill be looking to take a long position on USD/CHF based on the following reasons:
- 0.618 fib support held strong
- Inside a falling wedge which is normally a sign of reversal
- Following NFP earlier this month, the dollar has seen unprecedented strength, therefore I expect this to continue
As always, trade safe
Easy Jet - Risk of a sharp correctionWith oil prices down and looking bearish, airliners may see a much needed corrective rally.
Easy Jet daily chart shows, rising bottoms on the hourly chart. As long as June 27 low of 990.50 is not breached on day end closing basis, the risk of a snap back to 1100 levels is high.
AUDNZD WAITING ON BREAKOUT 4HOURBreakout out of critical level followed up by a retest of that level and 61.8% fib level.
Stuck in a ranging market since the beginning of the month,
just awaiting a breakout to the downside confirmed by the careful use of MA's.
Looking for a downtrend towards target 1 at 1.03602 (monthly critical).
Price action at this level will confirm my further position or to capitalise on profits made.
Upon completion of this level the next to the downside would be target 2 at 1.02406.
GBPUSD - Brexit pendingWill be taking a long position on GBP/USD based on the following reasons:
- Bullish hammer candle on Weekly TF.
- Rejection of 0.786 fib
- Respected ascending trendline
You might be thinking that I am super crazy by taking this trade, especially with the referendum only a couple of days away, however I feel as though the UK will not be leaving the EU and this is purely my opinion. I am willing to take on a higher risk as the risk/reward ratio is a lot higher. I expect a 1500 pip move as a minimum, which would blow away some really key levels regardless of which way the vote goes.
If you are taking a similar trade and running the risk, ensure that your brokers either have a guaranteed stop loss or a NBP (negative balance protection) to ensure that you do not end up with a blown account.
Trade safe
Large divergence between volatility expectations and stocksA Tweet from Tracy Alloway with Bloomberg caught my eye this morning (twitter.com). She points out that the one-month VIX just tipped over the 3-month VXV. While this has happened many times in the past, I did notice that there is a rather large divergence between the VXV/VIX ratio and the SPX right now. The chart says it all folks. This certainly doesn't guarantee a sharp decline in stock markets, but this is definitely something to watch for today and tomorrow.
NZDJPY / 15M / BAT PATTERNJUNE PROMO: www.StarProsper.com
PAIR: NZD/JPY
TIME-FRAME: 15M
TRADE: BAT PATTERN
NOTE: These are potential trade opportunities. Please
re-analyse the trade before executing.
Star Prosper
Philip Stewart
WEBSITE: www.StarProsper.com
FACEBOOK: facebook.com
YOUTUBE: www.youtube.com
AUDJPY / 15M / GARTLEY PATTERNJUNE PROMO: www.StarProsper.com
PAIR: AUD/JPY
TIME-FRAME: 15M
TRADE: GARTLEY PATTERN
NOTE: These are potential trade opportunities. Please
re-analyse the trade before executing.
Star Prosper
Philip Stewart
WEBSITE: www.StarProsper.com
FACEBOOK: facebook.com
YOUTUBE: www.youtube.com
USDJPY / 15M / SELLING OPPORTUNITYJUNE PROMO: www.StarProsper.com
PAIR: USD/JPY
TIME-FRAME: 15M
TRADE: Gartley Pattern
NOTE: These are potential trade opportunities. Please
re-analyse the trade before executing.
Star Prosper
Philip Stewart
WEBSITE: www.StarProsper.com
FACEBOOK: facebook.com
YOUTUBE: www.youtube.com
Dow30-USD/JPY comparisonMajor part of the rally in US stocks since late 2012 appears to have been fuelled by Yen carry trade. Remember Bank of Japan was the first one to fire and the stage was set after Abe came to power. BOJ announced easing in April 2013 and followed it with another surprise in October 2014.
BOJ's aggressive actions also forced ECB and other central banks to press the easing button.
However, the situation now is Yen is not in mood to weaken, markets are not responding positively to aggressive central bank actions and oil has already doubled from its bottom in February. Moreover, oil helped indices recover from Feb lows even though funding currencies like JPY, EUR were on the rise.
Hence, oil better stay resilient other wise, odds of a corrective move in Dow would rise. From technical perspective a break below rising trend line (black) could bring in chart driven bears as well.
NZDJPY / 4HR / GARTLEY PATTERNJUNE PROMO: www.StarProsper.com
PAIR: NZD/JPY
TIME-FRAME: 4HR
TRADE: GARTLEY PATTERN
Taking a look at the markets this morning and have
come across a Deep Gartley pattern on the NZD/JPY.
NOTE: These are potential trade opportunities. Please
re-analyse the trade before executing.
Star Prosper
Philip Stewart
WEBSITE: www.StarProsper.com
FACEBOOK: facebook.com
YOUTUBE: www.youtube.com
NFP EURUSD FridayDoes it get any better than trading on EURUSD on the NFP Friday?
With such strength within the US market and such instability within the European sector we strongly recommend you get in on this action today.
Short term signals are very SHORT based. Everything long term from end of day and end of month is all LONG.
Get in touch for more banter!