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Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next?Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next? As the chart shows, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply, forming a large bullish gap: while trading closed around $391 on 30 April, yesterday’s candlestick closed just below the $425 mark. What Drove the Rally in Microsoft Shares? Microsoft released its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, exceeding Wall Street expectations on both revenue (actual = $70.1 billion, 2.4% above forecasts) and earnings per share (actual = $3.46, 7.4% above forecasts). Particular attention was drawn to the strong performance of Azure – revenue from Azure and other cloud services soared by 33% year-on-year. A significant part of this growth was fuelled by robust demand for artificial intelligence services, which helps ease concerns about the return on large-scale infrastructure investments related to AI. In addition, Microsoft issued an upbeat outlook for the next quarter, which ultimately triggered the sharp rise in its share price. Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart Yesterday’s candlestick closed near its low (highlighted by the arrow), indicating that bears were active during the trading session. From a technical analysis perspective, this can be explained by the proximity of the price to two key resistance lines: 1 → The upper boundary of a descending channel drawn from significant price action patterns (marked in red). The relevance of this channel is confirmed by the price’s behaviour near its median line (dashed). 2 → A former trendline that served as support throughout 2024. Therefore, a short-term correction cannot be ruled out following the sharp rally in MSFT shares, potentially tempering some of the enthusiasm generated by Microsoft’s strong quarterly report. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
1
Tariffs, and Tumult: Wall Street Waits on Super WednesdayHello everyone, it’s April 30, 2025. The TVC:DJI just closed its sixth consecutive green session, with markets clinging to hope as rumors swirl of a first tariff deal—possibly with India—though nothing is confirmed. That tiny breadcrumb of optimism was enough to boost sentiment late in yesterday’s session, even if volatility is dipping below 25% and investor enthusiasm seems to be fading in lockstep. U.S. macro data continues to paint a picture of “not great, but not terrible.” Consumer confidence and job openings (JOLTS) came in below expectations but not disastrously so, prompting markets to collectively shrug and declare everything “less worse than feared.” It’s a strategy now: ignore bad data as long as it isn’t apocalyptic. As earnings roll in, companies are split between those who pretend the tariff storm is “manageable” (hello, NASDAQ:COKE ) and those flying blind through economic fog ( NYSE:UPS , Snap, and Super Micro—who might be losing a major client named Nvidia). The overall takeaway? Visibility is garbage, and most companies are bracing rather than building. All eyes are now on today’s so-called Super Wednesday, packed with economic data (U.S. GDP, PCE, ADP jobs, Chicago PMI) and mega-earnings from NASDAQ:MSFT and NASDAQ:META . But as usual, expectations may outpace reality. Markets often dream of clarity and wake up to more noise. Meanwhile, China flashed its first big red light: a manufacturing PMI of 49, signaling contraction—the lowest in two years. No shock, considering their ongoing trade war with the U.S., which seems to be giving the global economy the flu. On the political front, Trump celebrated his 100 days in office with a campaign-style detour to Detroit, throwing shade at Fed Chair Jerome Powell while declaring the economy in perfect health (despite the worst market performance since Nixon’s early days). He promised tax cuts, again, while doubling down on trade threats. Powell, of course, is just trying to survive the week. Oil briefly dipped under $60 as markets considered the broader implications of economic warfare, gold sits at $3,311, and Bitcoin hovers around $95,000—looking resilient despite the madness. As for corporate earnings, Starbucks missed on sales due to weak U.S. demand, Pfizer beat on EPS but saw revenue fall, and Visa continues to rake in profits as Americans keep spending like inflation isn’t real. Novartis crushed it but got no love from the market because apparently, +22% net income just isn’t sexy enough. In short: chaos remains king. Markets seem oddly calm on the surface, but under the hood, it’s still all about tariffs, Trump tweets, and the fantasy that maybe—just maybe—some clarity will come today. Don’t hold your breath. Enjoy the ride, and see you tomorrow for more market mayhem.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SmartApingAI
1
Microsoft in Focus Ahead of Key Earnings, AI Outlook Under WatchMacro: - Microsoft (MSFT) climbed on cautious optimism ahead of major earnings and economic data. - Four of the “Magnificent Seven,” AMZN, AAPL, META, and MSFT, are set to report, with investors focusing on Microsoft (MSFT) today. - Wall Street expects EPS of 3.22 USD and revenue of 68.44 B USD, both up YoY. Microsoft’s strength in AI, cloud, and enterprise software, along with its continued investment in AI talent and solid dividend history, makes this a closely watched report. - Key drivers will be its results, AI/cloud growth outlook, and forward guidance, while any surprises could shift the stock sharply. Technical: - MSFT recovered and tested the resistance at around 396, confluence with EMA78. The price is sideways, and we await a clearer breakout to determine the following direction. - If MSFT breaks above 396, the price may approach the following resistance at 405, confluence with the 100% Fibonancci Extension. - On the contrary, remaining below 396 may prompt a retest to the support at around 378, confluence with the broken descending channel. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DatTong
Microsoft's Downtrend Poised for Deeper RetracementsMSFT 4D TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📉 OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — Confirmed by the descending pivot structure, cluster of recent lower highs, and bearish rejection from the 430–455 zone. The downtrend is confirmed with a moderately confident score of 23.8%, with a Trend Score of -0.50. 🔴RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 468.3500 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 455.7494 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 430.2472 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 381.6944 — SELL ORDER & | TP 1 🎯 340.8905 — SELL ORDER & | TP 2 | MID-PIVOT 🎯 310.8399 — SELL ORDER & TP 3 🎯 264.4180 — EXIT SELL & TP 4 🟢SUPPORT ZONE 🟢 253.2621 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 226.1769 — BUY ORDER 2 🟢 213.4130 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW ✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES Major lower high rejection seen near 455–468 zone—clearly defined by the last bullish failure to break above Recent candles show moderate bullish defense near 380, but unable to create a higher high All key short-term MAs (10–50) are bearish, with crossover confirmation stacking downward Longer-term moving averages (100–200) show mixed signals; short-term selling strength remains dominant Oscillators show mixed-to-weak bearish signals, with MACD and Awesome Oscillator suggesting negative momentum 📉TRADE OUTLOOK 📉 Bearish Continuation Bias with potential downside continuation toward TP3 @ 310.84 and TP4 @ 264.41 📈 Temporary bounce possible at 381.69–340.89 range, but expected to be corrective unless higher highs are confirmed 🔍 Watch for retest and rejection at 430.24 or 455.74 zones to validate reentry setups on the short side 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following): — Entry: 381.69 (on rejection confirmation) — TP: 340.89 / 310.84 / 264.41 — SL: Above 430.25 AGGRESSIVE REVERSAL PLAY: — Entry: 253.26 (Buy Order) — TP: 310.84 / 340.89 — SL: Below 213.41 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by ProfessorCEWard
Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold?Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold’s Breakout in April 2025 Fear-Driven Flight to Gold is Real If margin calls continue and top stocks like Microsoft and NVIDIA keep showing weakness: • Expect more bond market stress • A persistently weak dollar • And a sustained gold rally Gold is the cleanest beneficiary of the current chaos. Every chart, every data point, every political move validates it. ////////=====//////// What’s Happening in the Stock Market and Trump’s Tariffs – Simple Summary (Updated & Validated) 1. Margin Loans: Many investors borrowed money using their stock portfolios as collateral. For example, if someone owns $100,000 in Microsoft stock (now trading at $388.45), they could borrow up to 90% of that value — $90,000 — and use it to buy other stocks like NVIDIA ($110.93). 2. Margin Calls: When the market fell earlier this month, Microsoft and NVIDIA dropped sharply. Brokers issued margin calls, forcing investors to either deposit more funds or sell off assets to cover their positions. 3. Forced Selling: As stocks fell further, more investors were forced to liquidate. This increased selling pressure pushed prices down even harder. 4. Vicious Cycle: The deeper the drop, the more margin calls got triggered, which led to even more forced sales — a self-perpetuating loop of destruction. 5. Bond Selling Instead of Stocks: Some investors didn’t want to sell their stock positions and instead began selling bonds to raise cash — including even U.S. Treasuries. 6. Bond Market Shock: This rare, broad-scale bond selloff shook up the entire fixed-income market — everything from corporate to government bonds dumped. 7. Rising Yields: As bond prices fell, yields spiked. But this wasn’t due to strong growth — it was pure fear-driven liquidation. 8. Unexpected Dollar Weakness: Usually, during times of crisis, the dollar strengthens. But not this time. The U.S. dollar fell, while currencies like the euro and Swiss franc gained. The Chinese yuan stayed weak under its own pressures. 9. Trump’s Reaction: In response to the chaos, Trump’s administration paused tariffs for 90 days — a political move under pressure. But the damage to market psychology was already done. 10. Tax-Loss Harvesting by Smart Investors: During the crash, savvy investors sold declining stocks like Microsoft to lock in tax deductions, then bought similar alternatives like NVIDIA to stay in the market while writing off losses. Impact on Gold (XAU/USD) – Real-Time Validation As of April 12, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at: $3,235.91 (+$60.13 for the day | +12.02% over the past month) Let’s validate the theory with what actually happened: 1. Gold vs. Stocks and Bonds: While Microsoft and NVIDIA were collapsing earlier this month, gold surged. This shift confirms a flight to safety — gold became the preferred hedge during equity and bond volatility. 2. Falling Dollar = Bullish for Gold: With the dollar under pressure, gold became cheaper in foreign currencies — driving international demand and pushing prices even higher. 3. Rising Yields – But Driven by Panic: Normally, higher yields compete with gold. But this time, yields rose because bonds were being dumped, not because of economic strength. That fear drove even more capital into gold. 4. Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s late response and inconsistent trade policies fueled further market unease. That pushed more investors toward gold as a non-political store of value. 5. Liquidity Crunch Risk: Some gold may have been sold during the panic to raise quick cash, but overall, the trend shows that gold held firm and then broke out even harder — a textbook crisis hedge move. Real Example: Microsoft and NVIDIA Margin Trap Let’s walk through the actual setup: • An investor owns $100,000 in Microsoft (MSFT at $388.45). • They take a $90,000 margin loan to buy NVIDIA (NVDA at $110.93). • Early April: • MSFT dropped below $320. • NVDA fell under $100. This triggers: • Margin calls. • Forced selling of both positions. • Possibly even bond liquidation. • And systemic panic across portfolios. Result? • Tech sold off. • Bonds dropped. • Yields rose. • Dollar weakened. • Gold exploded. ///////======////// Impact on Gold (XAU/USD): Real Events, Real Movement • Microsoft & NVIDIA Down: Confirmed panic in tech. • Bond Selloff = Higher Yields: But from fear, not confidence. • Weaker Dollar: Confirmed. • Gold Breakout: Real. • RSI above 70 • ADX shows trend strength • Volume surging • Price broke $3,200 and held Gold moved exactly how a textbook safe haven asset should behave in this //////======/////// XAUUSD market behavior and trader mindset: 1. Monday: Continuation After Breakout (Euphoria Phase) Psychological Insight: Traders and institutions are chasing momentum. After a clean breakout, FOMO kicks in, especially for those who missed the first leg. They buy pullbacks aggressively, creating a bullish Monday. Projection: Bullish continuation Range: 3,230 – 3,270 Bias: Buy dips Reason: Momentum from last week’s breakout still pushing higher. RSI >70 but not topping, and no reversal pattern on daily chart. Weak USD persists. 2. Tuesday: Pullback from Overextension (Reality Check) Psychological Insight: Once price pushes too far, short-term traders start locking profits. This creates a dip. But smart money (institutions) sees the pullback as cheap entry — especially with no bearish reversal confirmation. This is textbook reaccumulation psychology. Projection: Intraday pullback, then bounce Range: 3,250 – 3,280 Bias: Buy on VWAP pullback Reason: Small retracement likely due to overextension. Support at VWAP (~3,219). Bullish engulfing pattern might trigger dip-buyers. 3. Wednesday: Retest / Breakout (Conviction Phase) Psychological Insight: After a healthy pullback and hold, traders regain confidence in the trend. Breakout traders load in here — and weak shorts get squeezed. This is where bullish conviction peaks, triggering high-volume moves. Projection: Breakout attempt Range: 3,265 – 3,310 Bias: Scalpers can long breakout Reason: If momentum holds, this is likely the day gold retests highs and pushes through short-term resistance (~3,300 psychological + fib extension zone). 4. Thursday: Sideways Chop (Indecision / Distribution) Psychological Insight: Market participants are split. Some want to hold into the weekend; others fear a Friday sell-off. You see hesitation, tighter ranges, and volume drop-off — classic signs of short-term indecision and distribution by early buyers. Projection: Consolidation / Sideways Range: 3,280 – 3,310 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish Reason: After a breakout, price typically stalls for distribution/re-accumulation. Expect reduced volatility unless triggered by macro news (watch bond yields). 5. Friday: Final Move (Greed vs. Fear Showdown) Psychological Insight: End-of-week decisions are all about book-squaring. If the week was strong and the narrative holds, we get greedy breakouts into the weekend. If uncertainty creeps in (e.g. Fed noise, geopolitical tension), profit-taking overrides conviction, leading to a dip. Projection: Second leg breakout or profit-taking Range: 3,270 – 3,330 Bias: Depends on Thursday’s behavior Scenario 1: If Thursday consolidates tightly, breakout possible. Scenario 2: If extended already, profit-taking dip possible into close. /////=====///// Weekly Summary: • High probability: Gold hits $3,300 – $3,330 this week • Support zones: $3,219 (VWAP), $3,175 (previous breakout zone) • Resistance zones: $3,298 (fib cluster), $3,330 (round number magnet) This projection isn’t just TA — it’s behavioral trading at its core, based on how traders actually react: • FOMO, • profit-protection, • fear of reversal, • and end-of-week positioning. Every day’s move is driven by human emotion wrapped around market structure.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
2
MICROSOFT On 4th largest correction in 15 years. Buy or trap?Microsoft (MSFT) has corrected by -26.50% from its All Time High (ATH), representing the 4th biggest correction since June 2010, which was the first pull-ack after the historic 2008 Housing Crisis. At the same time the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold limit for the first time since that low of June 2010! Not even the Housing bottom didn't exhibit such low 1W RSI. All while the current Tariff War correction stopped a little before testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the long-term Support since 2011 and was last hit (for the 2nd time during that time span) in December 2022 during the previous Inflation Crisis. As a result, this is a unique long-term buy opportunity for such a tech giant. The 2010 rebound hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level before pulling back while the rally that was initiated after the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom reached +117.45%. Based on the above, we have a medium-term Target on MSFT at $440 (Fib 0.786) and a long-term at $700 (+100%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradingShot
Microsoft Regains Top Spot as Most Valuable Company Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) has reclaimed its place as the world’s most valuable public company. The tech giant now holds a market capitalization of $2.64 trillion, surpassing Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ), which fell to $2.59 trillion. Apple’s sharp decline followed a major 23% sell-off over four days. This came after President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs. These tariffs hit countries like China, India, Vietnam, and Brazil. Apple’s heavy reliance on these regions for manufacturing intensified investor concerns. Meanwhile, Microsoft appears less exposed to tariff risks. Analysts say the company remains a stable large-cap stock during ongoing market volatility. Microsoft previously held the top spot briefly last year but was overtaken by Apple and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), now ranked third at $2.35 trillion. Technical Analysis Microsoft’s stock is trading at $383.15, up 8.06%, with a high of $387.07 so far today. The price rebounded sharply from the support level near $345. This zone had previously acted as resistance in late 2021 and early 2022. It now serves as strong support. The volume spike confirms buyer interest at this level. The projected path shows a potential bounce toward $468, the recent high. If the trend holds, Microsoft may attempt a new all-time high.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
Microsoft - A Little Lower And Much Higher!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is about to retest strong support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 In mid 2024 Microsoft perfectly retested the previous channel resistance trendline and the recent weakness has not been unexpected at all. However the overall trend still remains rather bullish and if Microsoft retests the previous all time high, a significant move will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
4
U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index. Another Day. Another DollarThe remarkable performance of U.S. large cap equities in the past two years was closely tied to the dominance of tech-related sectors, exemplified by companies akin to those in the high-performing NYSE FANG+ Index ICEUS:NYFANG . The NYSE FANG+ Index (“Index”), also known as the NYSE U.S. Big Tech 10 Index, is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors. The Index undergoes a reconstitution quarterly after the close of the third Friday in March, June, September and December (the “Effective Date”). The NYSE FANG+ Index provides exposure to 10 of today’s highly-traded tech giants Access the index through a futures and options contract designed to help you increase or reduce exposure to this key group of growth stocks in a capital-efficient manner. Ten constituents of The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index as of Friday, December 9, 2022 (10% equal weighting): Meta NASDAQ:META Apple NASDAQ:AAPL Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT Google NASDAQ:GOOGL Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA Snowflake NYSE:SNOW Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD The main technical weekly graph indicates The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index remains aboму 200-day SMA (so far), following the upside path that has been taken in early 2023 after 50 percent decline in 2022. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
ICEUS:NYFANG
by PandorraResearch
Microsoft (MSFT): The "Can’t Go Wrong" Stock... Until It DoesAh, Microsoft—the tech titan that could probably survive a meteor impact. 🌍☄️ With a market cap so large it could buy entire countries and still have spare change for a few yachts, MSFT is the stock that everyone loves... even when it’s overvalued. But hey, let’s take a look at the "genius" behind the current price action. 🔍💰 📊 The Almighty Stock Performance (Because Fundamentals Don’t Matter Anymore?) 📉 Price: $385.76 (up a whole 0.00584%! Call the champagne guy! 🍾) 📊 Intraday High: $387.88 📉 Intraday Low: $383.27 (because even Microsoft has bad days, right? 😅) 🔮 200-day moving average: $423.98 (oh look, it's trading below that... bearish much? 🐻) So, let me get this straight. MSFT is 7.80% down year-to-date, but analysts are still screaming “BUY! 🚀.” Sure, because blindly trusting price targets has always worked out well for retail investors. 🤑 💰 Valuation: Overpriced? Who Cares, It’s Microsoft! 📢 Intrinsic Value Estimate: $316.34 😬 Current Price: $385.76 💰 Overvaluation? About 18% But let’s be honest—does valuation even matter anymore? If people are throwing money at meme coins, why not pay a premium for MSFT? 🤷‍♂️ It’s basically a subscription service at this point—you pay every month, and the stock just keeps draining your wallet. 💸 🤖 AI Goldmine or Just Another Buzzword? Microsoft has been riding the AI hype train harder than a teenager with ChatGPT. 🚂💨 Their enterprise AI growth is over 100%, and they’re pulling in a $13 billion annual run rate from AI services. But sure, let’s pretend that no one remembers the last time “the next big thing” crashed and burned. (cough dot-com bubble cough). 💀💾 Evercore analysts claim MSFT will dominate AI for enterprises. Well, duh. If you’re an enterprise and don’t buy Microsoft AI services, Satya Nadella himself might show up at your office and force you to install Windows 11. 🏢💻 📉 Risk Factors? No Way! MSFT is Invincible... Right? 🦅 Hawkish Fed = Potential Market Sell-Off (But don’t worry, just HODL, right? 🤡) 🚀 Tech Bubble Concerns (Microsoft will totally be the exception… like every overhyped stock before it. 😬) 🧐 Overvaluation? Pfft, who cares? (People said the same about Tesla at $400. Look how that turned out. 🪦) 📢 Analyst Hot Takes (Because They’re Always Right 😂) 📊 D.A. Davidson: Upgraded to Buy with a price target of $450. (Ah yes, let’s just throw numbers out there. Why not $500? $600? 🚀) 🔮 UBS: Predicts $3,200 for gold, but Microsoft will somehow go even higher. (Probably. Because… reasons. 🤷‍♂️) 🎭 Final Thoughts: Buy? Sell? Just Panic? Microsoft is basically the “safe” tech stock everyone clings to while pretending that the market isn’t built on dreams and overleveraged hedge funds. 🏦💰 If you believe in the power of monopolies, overpriced AI services, and analysts pulling price targets out of thin air, then MSFT is your golden ticket. 🎟️💎 Otherwise, maybe—just maybe—waiting for a dip below fair value isn’t the worst idea in the world. But what do I know? I’m just some guy on the internet. 🤷‍♂️ 🚀💸 Good luck, traders. You’ll need it. 😈📉 💬 What do you think? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by thunderpips
MICROSOFT Channel Down bottom formation targets $440.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 05 2024 High. The stock is on its latest Bearish Leg in the past 3 months and almost completed a -17.62% decline, similar with the Bearish Leg that led to the August 05 2024 Low. As the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed, which is what it did on the April 30 2024 Low that kick started a rally of +20.63%, we expect the stock to initiate its new Bullish Leg of the Channel. The previous one was +18.16%, so we expect a similar range and target $440. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradingShot
2
Your Stock, My Analysis – Key Levels Straight to Comments!Hey-hey I want to give back to this amazing community! If you need a technical analysis (TA) on almost any asset, here’s all you have to do: 📌 Like this post & Follow me 📌 Comment your ticker 📌 Tell me what you want – Buying zones? Selling zones? I’ll personally send you my TA straight to comments as soon as possible! 📩 Let’s spot the best setups together – Drop your request below! 👇 💡 Does Technical Analysis Work? 🔗 I picked 75 stocks from the S&P 500 purely based on technicals – and they outperformed the index. Cheers, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
14
MICROSOFT: On the way to the top of the channel!! We're in!!On Wednesday, January 29, Microsoft presented its results. Its results were better than expected in Sales, EBIT and BNA, however, the growth of Azure (cloud) disappointed and the value began to fall towards the bottom of the LATERAL channel in which it has been moving for months. Main figures compared to the Bloomberg consensus: Sales: 69,632 million dollars (+12%) vs. 68,903 million dollars expected. EBIT: 31,653 million dollars (+17.1%) vs. 30,258M$ expected. BNA: 24,108 million dollars (+10.2%) vs. 23,443M$ expected. Within the three major segments of the company, the cloud business is slightly disappointing (growth of +31% vs. +32% expected by consensus). In addition, the management team at the earnings conference pointed out that Azure (cloud business) growth will be somewhat more moderate than expected (range +31%/+32% vs. +33% in this quarter). --> What do we do with Microsoft? Despite the cloud disappointment, if we have a long-term view, Microsoft is a very attractive stock to have in our portfolio. --> What does it look like technically? The technical aspect is BULLISH/SIDEWAYS, therefore, if we want to enter the stock, we should wait for the price to touch the bottom of the channel and give us a signal of the start of bullish momentum. AND THAT IS JUST WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW!!. In H1 timeframe we already have bullish STRENGTH and MOMENTUM (Bull) and in H4 timeframe the MOMENTUM, therefore, we can now enter LONG in the value. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions in the current area of ​​414 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 446 area (+7.5%) --> Stop Loss at 385 (-7.5%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-7.5%) (coinciding with 385 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (446). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by jmesado
What's next for Microsoft?The 50 EMA (green line) has historically acted as dynamic support, but with price now trading below it, there is a clear shift in momentum toward the bearish side. If price fails to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently around $415-$420) and faces rejection, it could signal further downside toward the $380 support zone, making a short trade viable with a stop above $426. However, if buyers step in at $387-$390 and we see a strong bullish reaction, it could lead to a rebound toward the 50 EMA and potentially the $427-442 distribution zone. The key decision point lies in whether price can reclaim or decisively reject the 50 EMA, dictating the next major move. A clean reclaim would signal bullish continuation, while a firm rejection could confirm further downside before any recovery. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MysticMads
Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
21
MICROSOFT: Rectangle bottom buy opportunity.Microsoft is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.052, MACD = -6.600, ADX = 39.471) but that is to be expected as the price breached the 0.786 and almost touched the bottom of the 5 month Rectangle pattern. All breaks under the 0.786 have been strong buy opportunities targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The trade is long (TP = 438.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by InvestingScope
1
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay. We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry. Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation. According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play. _______________ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by CryptoCheck-
2
Name Your Stocks! I’ll Analyze the Most Voted Picks!Hello readers, Let’s Do It Again! Name Your Top 3 Stocks for a Technical Breakdown! A while back, I did this with crypto, and the response was insane – hundreds of comments and great discussions. Now, I’m bringing it to stocks! Will this get the same hype? Probably not… but prove me wrong! 😏 🔹 Drop three stocks you’re most interested in. 🔹 Boost the post to make sure your picks count. 🔹 I’ll analyze the most mentioned ones, highlighting key technical strengths, weaknesses, and possible scenarios. If the chart offers clear insights, I’ll break them down. If it doesn’t, I’ll tell you why technical analysis isn’t reliable in that case – because knowing when NOT to rely on TA is just as important. Let’s see what the TradingView community is watching – drop your picks below and let’s try this! Cheers, Vaido
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VaidoVeek
124
Microsoft Diamond Formation doesn't seem to be forEVAMicrosoft is also in troubled waters with the fight of tech and AI wars taking place. Azure Slowdown: Cloud growth wasn’t as strong as investors wanted. AI Competition: DeepSeek’s cheap AI models are shaking things up. High Spending: They’re pouring cash into AI, worrying investors about profits. And as Bullish as I am normally with Blue Chips, Right now, things are looking down for the tech giant. Medium Probability Analysis DIamond Formation Island reversal - Downside to come Price<20 but above 200MA Target $318
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Timonrosso