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Moving Averages

Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. A Disappointing First Quarter The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets. Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability. The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows. Whale Activity and Market Manipulation Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations. Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics. Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support? The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines. Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including: • Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment. • Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations. • Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price. • Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior. • In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
How Low Could the Nasdaq Go?The Nasdaq-100 has pulled the broader market lower since late February. What could be next for the tech-heavy index? The first pattern to consider is the 20,315 level: its post-election pullback low on November 15. NDX slid below that price in early March and rebounded to stall at the same area last week. That could make some chart watchers think old support has become new resistance. The index also peaked at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which may suggest the longer-term trend has grown more bearish. The falling 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) may paint a similar picture in the shorter term. That combination of patterns, including a lower high at old support, could make traders expect a lower low. The September trough near 18,400 may be a logical place to look. We’ll next consider two important charts impacting the Nasdaq. First, Apple NASDAQ:AAPL made a potentially lower high at its falling 21-day EMA. It also stalled at a 50 percent retracement of a recent move. The 50-day SMA may be nearing a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA, as well. Second, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index NASDAQ:SOX closed slightly below its previous low from April. Does it face risk of a further breakdown? If those two charts result in bearish price action, it may additionally keep pressure on NDX. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradeStation
HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak. Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups. Current Market Structure – Bears in Control HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead: 🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance 🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone 🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum 🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign 🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator 🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend 📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet. Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is: 🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target 🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence 🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone 🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support 🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports 🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line 📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce. Potential Trade Setups 📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone) Entry: DCA around $0.12 Stop Loss: Below $0.098 Target: $0.166 Potential Gain: +40% R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better 🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities. 📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels) Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12 Stop Loss: Above $0.20 Market Outlook With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen). 📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly. What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
6
Whitbread Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Whitbread Stock Quote - Double Formation * 012345 Wave Set Up / Long | ((No Trade)) * 012345 Wave Set Up / Short | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (Continuation Argument)) | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100 - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 88.00 GBP * Entry At 83.00 GBP * Take Profit At 70.00 GBP * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:WTB.GBShort
by TradePolitics
What Is The #1 Candlestick Pattern?When I decide to help the Trading community I think about which market news gets the most "organic" likes I noticed it was the Dow Jones industrial Average (US30). Because of this i decided to help you trade them now my expertise is in buying Bitcoin,Gold & Silver. So learning to trade stock options was going to be a challenge. I decided to learn 3 things: #1-So I started by learning about the "3 Step-Rocket Booster Strategy" #2 -Then I learned about the Candlestick Patterns #3 -Then I learned about how to use oscillators -- What Is The Rocket Booster Strategy? -- This is a strategy used in trend analysis it has 3 Steps -- 1)The price has to be above the 50 EMA 2)The price has to be above the 200 EMA 3)The price has to Gap up Remember the last step is very important because that step is what you need in order to execute the best candlestick pattern - What Is The #1 Candlestick Pattern? - They are alot of candlestick patterns and you have to choose your favorite in this case I chose to use the "long lower shadow" If you want to learn more about candlestick patterns read Steve Nissan's Book about Japanese Candlestick Patterns - What is The Best Oscillator ? - Now the most common one is called MACD. But I prefer to use Bull Power Because this is the oscillator I first used when I was learning about forex trading and lost when I didn't understand how to use it. Now thanks to the new TradingView Screener I have been able to use in stock options trading. I will try to make a video tomorrow demonstrating how to trade stock options on US 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average As today I was so exhausted from a very long walk and day from yesterday. Stay tuned for a video demo tomorrow Rocket boost this content to learn more Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies and feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
NASDAQ:EBAYLong
by lubosi
EURCAD Long Bias ! chart shows a potential buy setup after a pullback. Price found support around 1.5350, which lines up with key Fibonacci levels, making it a strong area for a possible bounce. Buyers have stepped in, pushing the price back above 1.5500. The idea here is to target 1.5850 while keeping a stop loss below 1.5350. As long as price stays above 1.5500, the bullish outlook makes sense. But if it drops below 1.5350, the setup could fail, leading to more downside. The overall momentum suggests a good chance of continuation upwards.
Long
by Justfxtrades
ACH/USDT - Potential Bounce Incoming 30%+ Gains PossibleI'm analyzing the ACH/USDT 4-hour chart and spotting signs of a potential rebound. Here’s what I’m seeing: ✅ Support Zone: Price is testing a key support level around $0.02119, which has held strong in the past. The market appears to be accumulating in this area. ✅ EMA Crossovers: The chart shows a bearish crossover between the 12 EMA and 20 EMA, but watch for a bullish reversal as price approaches this support. Potential for a rebound if the EMAs cross back to the upside. ✅ Volume Delta Analysis: There's a notable increase in volume with a Delta Volume of 28.42%, indicating heightened interest at these levels. ✅ Reversal Probability: The chart shows an impressive 85.6% reversal probability, suggesting a strong chance of a bullish move soon. ✅ Targets: Looking for a potential 30%+ bounce towards key resistance levels at $0.02559, $0.02657, and $0.02845. 📉 Risk Management: Setting a stop loss slightly below the $0.02119 support level to minimize risk in case of further downside. 📈 If support holds and momentum shifts, a strong move upward could follow. Stay vigilant! 🚨 Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
Long
by ictc3d
American Electric Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # American Electric Stock Quote - Double Formation * ABC Wave Feature | Completed Survey * EMA Settings | Range & Retest Area | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 012345 Wave Set Up | Long Set Up | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 102.00 USD * Entry At 107.00 USD * Take Profit At 114.00 USD * (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
PEPPERSTONE:AEPLong
by TradePolitics
My market direction guide with extended-hour. Work best for >+1 day till expiration contract. (SWING) Personal Interpretation of Indicator: 5MA=yellow(scalp trend) 20MA=orange(pullback of a larger timeframe’s 5MA trend) I read how previous candles are behaving around 1hr 20MA and use pullback test rejection for direction signal. (Trade Planning, knowing the MA are align with larger timeframes like 4hr or day) Then, I use 15min 20MA pullback test with wick rejection to find cheaper price entry.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by FIBivanSPY
CADCHF Short Bias ! The pair attempted to break above the 0.6200 resistance zone but failed, forming a rejection. This suggests potential bearish momentum ahead. Market Structure: Still bearish overall, despite a short-term ascending channel. Bearish Scenario: If price respects the 0.6200 resistance and breaks below the ascending channel, it could head towards 0.6000 as the next major support. Confirmation Factors: Price rejection at resistance. Moving averages acting as resistance. Possible breakdown of the ascending channel.
Short
by Justfxtrades
USDCHF Short Bias ! The pair is in a clear downtrend, trading below the moving averages and facing strong resistance around 0.8859. The price attempted to break this level but failed, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement. Expected Scenario: Further bearish continuation after this rejection, targeting 0.8660 as a potential support zone. Bearish Confirmation Factors: Price staying below key resistance. Moving averages acting as dynamic resistance. Overall bearish market structure.
Short
by Justfxtrades
BTC/USDT: Strategic Entry Points for a Potential Bullish ReversaAnalysis of Key Positions in the BTC/USDT Chart The chart provided shows a 30-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) on Binance. The chart includes two labeled positions ("Position 1" and "Position 2") that highlight key areas of interest for traders. Below is a detailed breakdown of these positions: --- 1. Position 1 - Location: Near the horizontal green support line, around the $83,600 level. - Significance: - Support Zone: This area acts as a strong support level, where the price has previously bounced back after testing it. The horizontal green line indicates that this level has held firm multiple times, suggesting it is a critical zone for buyers. - Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions near this support level if they believe the price will reverse higher. This is a classic "buy the dip" strategy. - Stop-Loss Placement: To manage risk, traders should place stop-loss orders slightly below this support level (e.g., $83,200–$83,400). If the price breaks below this level, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend. 2. Position 2 - Location: Near the descending blue trendline, around the $85,000–$86,000 range. - Significance: - Resistance Zone: The blue trendline acts as dynamic resistance, and the price has been bouncing off this level multiple times. A breakout above this trendline would be a strong bullish signal, indicating that buyers have overcome short-term selling pressure. - Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions after a confirmed breakout above the trendline. A breakout is typically confirmed when the price closes above the trendline on a candlestick. - Stop-Loss Placement: For safety, traders should place stop-loss orders just below the trendline (e.g., $84,800–$85,000). This ensures that the trade is exited if the breakout fails and the price reverses lower. --- Comparison Between Position 1 and Position 2 - Position 1 (Near Support): - Risk Profile: Lower risk, as it is closer to a well-defined support level. - Reward Potential: Moderate, as the upside target would likely be the next resistance level (e.g., the trendline or Fibonacci retracement levels). - Strategy: Suitable for traders who want to enter at a cheaper price but are willing to take on some downside risk. - Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout): - Risk Profile: Higher risk, as it requires waiting for a confirmed breakout. - Reward Potential: Higher, as a successful breakout could lead to a stronger upward move. - Strategy: Suitable for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions. --- Actionable Insights 1. For Short-Term Traders: - Entry Strategy: Look for pullbacks to the $83,600 support level to enter long positions. Use tight stop-loss orders below the support to manage risk. - Exit Strategy: Set profit targets based on Fibonacci retracement levels or previous highs (e.g., $85,000–$86,000). 2. For Long-Term Traders: - Entry Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the blue trendline ($85,000–$86,000) before entering long positions. This ensures that the bullish trend is sustainable. - Exit Strategy: Use trailing stops or take profits at key resistance levels (e.g., $87,000–$88,000). --- Risk Management - Always use stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected price movements. - Consider using position sizing to limit exposure to market volatility. - Monitor volume and momentum indicators to confirm the strength of any breakout or reversal. --- Conclusion The two positions highlighted in the chart provide distinct trading opportunities: 1. Position 1 (Near Support): A potential entry point for aggressive traders looking to buy the dip near $83,600. 2. Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout): A safer entry point for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions near $85,000–$86,000. By combining these positions with proper risk management and technical analysis, traders can increase their chances of success in the BTC/USDT market. --- Final Answer: The two positions indicate key trading opportunities: - Position 1: Near the $83,600 support level, suitable for traders willing to buy the dip. - Position 2: Near the $85,000–$86,000 trendline breakout, ideal for traders seeking confirmation before entering long positions.
Long
by Wall_Meme
APEUSDT: Will This Major Resistance Trigger a Sharp Rejection?Yello Paradisers, have you spotted what’s brewing on APEUSDT? We’re sitting at a critical zone—one that could either trigger a steep drop or trap late shorts before a breakout. Here's why this level demands your full attention. 💎APEUSDT is showing strong bearish potential, currently trading inside a rising wedge pattern accompanied by bearish divergence. What's even more crucial is that this price action is unfolding right at a key resistance zone, reinforced by both the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 200 EMA. This confluence of technical factors significantly increases the probability of a bearish rejection from here. 💎If APEUSDT consolidates around this level and begins forming clear bearish structures—such as an M-pattern, a bearish CHoCH (Change of Character), a Head & Shoulders, or even an Inverse Cup & Handle—the bearish case strengthens further. This would also allow for a tighter risk setup, improving the risk-to-reward ratio for traders who are patient and precise. 💎On the flip side, if the price breaks and closes decisively above the invalidation level, this will invalidate the bearish setup entirely. In that scenario, the smart move would be to wait for a new structure or a clean retest before making any trading decisions. 🎖This is the only way you will make it far in your crypto trading journey. Be a professional—stick to your plan, reduce your risk, and never chase the market. Timing and discipline are what separate consistent traders from the rest. Stay sharp, Paradisers. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
6
Free Report #2:The SImple Guide To Trading Stock OptionsThis is the 3 Step Strategy Am going to show you in this video to help you with trading stock options. Watch it to learn more. #1-Wait for Momentum/Rate Of Change/ Bull Power indicator #2-Wait for a candlestick chart pattern confirmation #3-Use the Rocket Booster Strategy If you want to learn more check out the resources and rocket boost this content Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
NYSE:KOLong
by lubosi