ALUMINIUM trend may push it towards ATH the script is trading less than 10% away from ATH .
7 Days healthy consolidation already took place
the stock is trading with healthy volumes .
hindalco too trading healthy
Moving Averages
$IREN – First 20 SMA Retest + Flag Breakout SetupIris Energy ( NASDAQ:IREN ) is setting up a powerful flag breakout after its first real pullback of this entire move — and it’s happening right as crypto momentum heats up again.
🔹 The Setup:
After a strong rally from $50 → $75, NASDAQ:IREN pulled back in a controlled, low-volume correction.
Price undercut the 20 SMA, quickly reclaimed it, and now sits back above the 9 EMA — a perfect base reset.
Tight flag pattern forming, primed for expansion once momentum kicks in.
🔹 Crypto Sector Strength:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH both popped this weekend — that’s classic risk-on behavior.
The entire crypto stock basket is running hot, with leaders like NASDAQ:CIFR and NASDAQ:IREN showing clean technical setups.
This is the first 20 SMA test of the move — historically the most powerful retest in trending names, as late buyers finally get their chance to enter.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry Zone: Watching dips Monday or Tuesday to build a position near the 9 EMA / 20 SMA zone.
2️⃣ If It Gaps Up: I’ll skip swing entries and just day trade the strength — no chasing.
3️⃣ Stop: Below the 20 SMA — tight, logical risk level.
Why I Like This Setup:
First 20 SMA test after a big run = high probability continuation.
Crypto momentum is back — strong sector correlation.
Technical structure is perfect: shallow pullback, rising EMAs, and a clear trigger.
Nike Isn’t Flying AnymoreNike was once an unstoppable consumer giant. However, with its last all-time high four years in the rearview mirror, some traders may see downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the June 11 high of $64.85. NKE bounced above that level on October 10 but ended the month slightly below it. That may indicate support isn’t holding.
Second, the falling 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is falling. Prices are also slipping back below it, which may suggest its long-term trend is bearish.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. That could mean its short-term trend is also bearish.
Fourth, the stock tried to rally after its last earnings report but buyers soon evaporated. Does that reflect a lack of enthusiasm about its fundamentals?
Finally, chart watchers may see risk of NKE revisiting its 52-week low at $52.28.
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LTC - GREAT Potential : ALT for 2026Hello Traders 📈
LTC / Litecoin may still present great opportunities for 2026.
From a bigger perspective, it may seem like LTC doesn't move much. But if we zoom in, we see massive bounces over the course of 3-4 weeks which presents big opportunities if you can buy in low:
From a technical indicator perspective, in the 4h LTC is still trading UNDER< showing that bears are still in control:
In the daily, we still see the same story however there seems to be a bullish W pattern appearing. As soon as the price reclaims the MA in the DAILY timeframe , that would be the first positive indicator of more upside:
For the short term, we need to see LTC trade ABOVE ALL the 4h moving averages in order to begin anticipating a bigger move up.
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap DANGER ZONESame same, but different.
Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap is still indecisive...
playing with fire within the DANGER ZONE 🔥
Bulls need back above the 20WMA and .236 fib ASAP
Clock is ticking 🕘
$GOLD 2nd Bearish Weekly CloseTVC:GOLD prints its 2nd consecutive bearish candle on the Weekly Close 🛎️
PA respected my boundaries and closed just above the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Note the test of the WEMA9 & .382 Fib 🤓
I very much expect this next Weekly Close to be well within the danger zone borders.
EUR/AUD downside pressure intensifiesEUR/AUD finds itself just above a key zone consisting of horizontal support at 1.7600 and the key 200-day moving average, providing decent two-way trade setups depending on how the near-term price action evolves.
Should we see a break and close beneath both levels, it would allow for shorts to be established below the 200DMA with a stop above for protection, targeting 1.7465 or 1.7400 initially depending on desired risk/reward from the trade. The option would also be there to sell the break should we see a close beneath 1.7600, allowing for a stop to be placed above targeting the same levels. However, consider squaring or even flipping the trade should the price be unable to break beneath the 200DMA.
Should the price continue to hold above 1.7600, you could flip the setup and establish longs, allowing for a stop to be placed beneath the 200DMA for protection. 1.7726 or the intersection of the 50DMA with horizontal resistance at 1.7800 screen as logical targets.
Momentum indicators favour downside over upside, increasing the appeal of bearish setups. RSI (14) is trending lower beneath 50, pointing to building downside pressure. MACD has confirmed the bearish message, crossing the signal line from above before pushing into negative territory.
Good luck!
DS
SPS Commerce | SPSC | Long at $77.51SPS Commerce NASDAQ:SPSC is a leading cloud-based supply chain management software provider, specializing in electronic data interchange (EDI), fulfillment, and e-commerce integration solutions. Key customers include major retailers like Walmart NYSE:WMT , Target NYSE:TGT , Home Depot NYSE:HD ; Procter & Gamble NYSE:PG , Nestlé OTC:NSRGY ; Sysco NYSE:SYY , and US Foods NYSE:USFD . As of 2025, SPS Commerce serves over 12,000 customers and connects to more than 100,000 trading partners globally.
Technical Analysis
The price fell through my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). This area is often an algorithmic share accumulation zone. The price spiked into the "crash" zone as the day went by after the earnings release. While this is still a high growth stock, there is still risk with the slowing economy, P/E ratio of 36x, and two open price gaps on the daily chart near $58 and $38. These price gaps will likely get filled if the US enters a recession, but are we really there yet? Depending on where you look (retail vs tech), there answer varies. But my bets are no - publicly. There is usually a Christmas rally every year, and NASDAQ:SPSC is in "oversold" territory in the near term. The price may dead cat bounce to $53, but I suspect it would take major negative economic news or a breakdown in company fundamentals to get there.
Financial Health
Debt-to-equity: 0x (healthy)
Quick ratio / ability to pay current bills: 1.5 (healthy / able to pay)
Altman's Z Score / bankruptcy risk: 19 (extremely low risk)
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Earnings per share growth from 2024 ($3.48) to 2028 ($6.52): 87.4%
Revenue growth from 2024 ($638 million) to 2028 ($1.03 billion): 61.4%
www.tradingview.com
Action
Given the overall health of the company, potential for a Christmas rally, and technical analysis "crash" entry, NASDAQ:SPSC is in a personal buy zone at $77.51.
Targets into 2028
$90.00 (+16.1%)
$100.00 (+29.0%)
FLNC 1D – The power comeback!On the daily chart, Fluence Energy (FLNC) shows a clean cup and handle formation followed by a golden cross (MA50 crossing above MA200) - a textbook bullish reversal setup.
Price broke out of the structure and is now pulling back into the buy zone ($14.57–$16.80) - a confluence of Fibonacci support and previous resistance.
✅ Golden cross confirms trend reversal
✅ Rising volume supports the move
✅ MAs below price - bulls are in control
The first target sits near $27.43, while the second projection extends to $40.28 if momentum continues.
Fundamentally, Fluence remains a leader in energy storage and grid technology - a hot spot for global investment as the renewable sector accelerates.
Let’s just say - this chart looks fully charged ⚡️
DIS Falling WedgeDis rallied from April '25 until July '25 and then consolidated around $120, forming a bullish falling wedge. The red line is the 200-day moving average which is acting as support at $110. It has been bounced off twice. The seasonals look bullish going into the last 2 months of the year when considering 2023 and 2024 price movement. The P/E ratio is 17.66 which is almost a 3rd of its 2-year moving average which is 47.43, indicating a low valuation with lots of room for upside. The aqua line is the 50-day sma which needs to be closed beyond along with the top side of the rising wedge before this thing can really take off. Fundamentals look bullish as well, with an uptrend in annual revenue growth and downtrend in debt/equity.
LCI LongThe primary long-term trend remains bullish, as the 200-day SMA (black line) is sloping upward and price has taken support from it..
RSI suggests weak momentum, close to the oversold zone, hinting at possible short-term rebound potential.
In my view, stock broke the trendline yesterday and today, it tried to break above it but couldn't succeed. If it breaks it next week, it will be a very positive signal.
The stock seems to be bouncing from support. A decisive daily close above 310–316 would be the first bullish signal of trend reversal.
If the price holds above 300 and closes above 316–320, momentum could turn positive.
Upside targets: 330 → 363 → 392.
Getty Images | GETY | Long at $2.29Bull Thesis
Data is "knowledge" for AI.
Getty Images NYSE:GETY holds immense importance in the generative AI race due to its control over a vast, high-quality library of over 500 million licensed images and metadata.
By licensing content (e.g., via deals with Nvidia), NYSE:GETY monetizes its assets, promotes responsible AI, and challenges open-source models.
Standardized license deals will boost AI's commercial viability and prevent a "wild west" of IP theft, ultimately accelerating safe deployment in industries like advertising and media.
The merger with Shutterstock will only help NYSE:GETY be the ultimate leader in this licensed data space.
Bear Thesis
The "wild west" of IP theft continues for years and the company's debt / poor fundamentals build until and ultimate collapse or acquisition.
Action
The bull thesis makes the most sense given the amount of data NYSE:GETY has and the future of data licensing deals. Now, I would love the price to go lower to accumulate more shares (under $2 is not out of the question in the near-term). But, at $2.29, NYSE:GETY is in a personal buy zone, and a starter position was made. More shares will be gathered in the $1 range if the earnings and revenue growth projections continue to look promising beyond 2025: www.tradingview.com
Targets into 2028:
$3.07 (+34.1%)
$5.00 (+118.3%)
Sequent is about to give breakoutSequent is about to give breakout of reverse head and shoulder pattern, SL should be day's low
#ZECUSDT #1D (ByBit) Rising wedge near breakdownZcash had a great bull run but looks exhausted right now on daily TF.
It's printing a bearish divergence between price and volume + RSI, a retracement seems likely.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (3.0X)
Amount: 3.9%
Current Price:
353.99
Entry Zone:
355.71 - 392.39
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 298.48
2) 241.58
3) 184.67
Stop Targets:
1) 437.28
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #1D #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +60.6% | +106.2% | +151.9%
Possible Loss= -50.7%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
BTCUSD Bearish📉 BTCUSD Short Setup
EMA rejection
Trendline break
Structure shift to the downside
1H bearish engulfing confirmation
EURUSD Bearish📉 EURUSD Short Setup
EMA rejection
Trendline break & retest
Structure shift to the downside
15-min bearish engulfing confirmation
Kroger May Be CrumblingKroger hasn’t made a new high since August, and some traders may think the grocery chain is starting a downtrend.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the September 11 candle after quarterly results. KR tried to rally but couldn’t hold the gains. Two weeks ago, it stalled near that session’s high of $69.89. Has new resistance been established below the old peak?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is on the verge of a potential “death cross” below the 200-day SMA. That may suggest the long-term trend is getting bearish.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those signals are potentially consistent with short-term bearishness.
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Bitcoin Price Target for this Cycle TopPrediction model
As a basis for my calculations, I will use my Halving-Corrected Puell Multiple indicator, which allows one to assign an overvalued threshold of 12.49 to the indicator.
Step 1: Predicting the Puell Multiple
Looking at the historical behaviour of the indicator, I came up with these three cases:
Conservative case: 10.4 : this was the value at peak (5), when there was a cycle top, but the indicator didn't reach the overvalued territory
Base case: 12.5 : just a bit above the overvalued line (12.49)
Bull case: 13.61 : the value at peak (3) from December 2013, when the indicator shot over the threshold by a good margin. It hasn't been there since, and it is unlikely to revisit that value.
The current correction factor, after the 4th halving, is 1,63^4 = 7.059 . Dividing the above three cases by 7.059 , I transformed them back to the original Puell Multiple's scale:
Conservative case: 1.4733
Base case: 1.7708
Bull case: 1.9252
Step 2: Calculating the Miner Revenue from the Puell Multiple
The Puell Multiple is a ratio between the current (Daily) Miner Revenue ("Miner Revenue" from now on) and the 365-Day Moving Average of the Daily Miner Revenue . We know the ratio. In order to calculate either term of the ratio, we have to know the other one. Here, it is easier to predict the Moving Average , as its movement is much smoother and more predictable than the erratic raw Miner Revenue .
The 365-day Moving Average of the Mining Revenue is at 44.752M USD on the monthly chart at the time of writing. We can expect that it will go higher as the Miner Revenue goes higher while we are approaching the cycle top, so even the conservative case should be higher than the current value. My Miner Revenue MA estimates based on this, are (see picture below. Yellow line: Miner Revenue , Green line: Miner Revenue MA ):
Conservative case: 46.8M
Base case: 50M
Bull case: 52M
Multiplying the Miner Revenue MA values by the previously estimated Puell Multiples gives us nine (three times three) possible Miner Revenue values at the cycle tops. I leave the arithmetic to the reader.
Step 3: Calculating Bitcoin's price from Miner Revenue
Miners get their rewards in Bitcoin for their effort to secure the network. Since we have Miner Revenue estimations from the previous step in USD, we need to know (estimate) how many Bitcoin are issued daily, then it becomes a simple division:
Bitcoin price = Miner revenue / Bitcoin's daily issuance
Luckily, this data is publicly available. The Miner Revenue (and thus the Bitcoin issuance) consists of two parts:
The block reward: it is fixed and doesn't change between halvings
Transaction fees: depends on the network traffic
If you look up the Bitcoin issuance chart, you can see that it changes from day to day, and in the past one year
The highest value it hit was 575 Bitcoin (BTC)
560 BTC was a well respected level, touched only 3 times
We can consider 520 BTC relatively high, with most of the days being below it
The average falls between 480 and 440 a day, so we can say that 480 is above average
When Bitcoin's price hits All-Time Highs (ATH), we can expect more attention from traders and investors, which translates to more transactions on the network, therefore I expect above average transaction fees issued. My estimates are:
Conservative case: 480
Base case: 520
Bull case: 560
By dividing our Miner Revenue estimates by these daily issuance values, we will get three estimates for each.
Step 4: Putting it all together
As we have seen, in Steps 1, 2 and 3, we have three parameters of the equation that I had to estimate:
The Puell Multiple
Moving Average of the Miner Revenue
Daily Issuance
Bitcoin price = (Miner Revenue MA * Puell Multiple) / Bitcoin's daily issuance
I have estimated three cases (conservative, base and bull) for each of these parameters. Calculating all combinations yields 3x3x3 = 27 Bitcoin price estimations. Here are the highlights:
The minimum estimated price is 123125.5 USD, which Bitcoin has already surpassed at the time of writing.
The maximum estimated price is 208563.5 USD
The average of all estimations is 165009 USD
Conclusion
I picked the average value of the result set, which is 165009 USD. I feel it realistic. The minimum is already out of the game, and the maximum feels unrealistically bullish.
Rounding it, my bottom line is 165000 USD for Bitcoin.
ANET - Rebounds from EMA 50ANET - CURRENT PRICE : 148.00 - 149.00
Technical Rationale:
1. Rebound from Key Moving Average Support
The stock price has rebounded strongly from the 50-day EMA, which has acted as a dynamic support level throughout the uptrend. This rebound indicates renewed buying interest at a technically significant area.
2. Bullish Momentum Confirmation
ANET has crossed above the 20-day SMA, suggesting a short-term shift back to bullish momentum after a healthy pullback. This crossover reflects improving short-term trend strength.
3. Rising Support Line Intact
The long-term rising support trendline remains intact, confirming that the broader uptrend structure is well-maintained. Each corrective phase has so far been supported near this line, reinforcing the bullish bias.
4. Momentum Indicator (RSI)
The RSI is recovering from the mid-zone (~53), showing that bullish momentum is building again without being overbought. This supports the potential for further upside continuation.
ENTRY PRICE : 148.00 - 149.00
FIRST TARGET : 162.00
SECOND TARGET : 173.00
SUPPORT : 136.00
Fiserv | FI | Long at $69.91For the first time since its IPO in 1986, a "major stock" crash has happened to Fiserv NYSE:FI . Previously, the stock "crashed" and followed the trajectory of ups and downs of the S&P 500, but this one is different. And, perhaps, a major opportunity for savy investors.
I won't say much about the financials since after today's earnings call the stock plummeted and earnings/revenue projections will get revised serval times, but this was a high-growth opportunity in the past. What I see today is a huge overreaction to a company going through a growth transition, but by all means, not dead... yet www.tradingview.com
I think we'll see leadership shakeups, layoffs, and system adaptions into 2026. This drop, and where it landed near my major crash simple moving average, hints this price cut was planned (at least algorithmically) and I won't be surprised if the near-term bottom is in or almost in in the $60s. Thus, at $69.91, NYSE:FI is in a personal buy-zone.
Conservative Targets into 2028:
$85.00 (+21.6%)
$100.00 (+43.0%)
Ford’s 50% RetracementFord Motor jumped last week, and some traders may think there’s still gas in the tank.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally after third-quarter results beat estimates. The surge overcame a resistance level from earlier in the month and established a new 15-month high for the Dearborn automaker.
Second, F pulled back but is holding a 50 percent retracement of the move. That may confirm its direction is pointing higher.
Third, MACD is rising. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Finally, F is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of about 260,000 contracts per session in the last month ranks 15th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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INTC Target Hit, Now Showing Another Bullish Setup!INTC - CURRENT PRICE : 41.53
My earlier INTC buy call has reached its projected targets. The previous analysis is shared below for reference.
Technical Highlights
1) New 52-week High – Price has broken into a fresh yearly high, confirming strong bullish momentum.
2) Pennant Breakout – The breakout from a bullish pennant pattern suggests continuation of the prior uptrend, with a potential target of $49 based on the pattern projection.
3) Golden Cross Intact – The 50-day EMA remains above the 200-day EMA, maintaining the long-term bullish bias.
4) RSI in Bullish Territory – RSI remains above 70, indicating strong momentum and persistent buying strength.
ENTRY PRICE : 40.00 - 42.00
FIRST TARGET : 45.00
SECOND TARGET : 49.00
SUPPORT : 36.43 (the low of 23 OCTOBER 2025 candle)
Hudco, about to give great moveHUDCO, bouncing from EMAs after taking support, book first profit after 10% Gain
