Examples of Conditions for Starting a Trade
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This time, I'm going to talk about when to start and when to close a trade.
Trading has no beginning or end.
In other words, you can start a trade at any time and close it at any time.
The only question is whether you can profit from the time you start the trade and when you close it.
Therefore, it's best to be clear about why you need to start trading.
In other words, you need to be able to explain why you need to start trading now.
If you can't, it's best not to start trading.
You should also be able to explain why you're closing the trade now or selling in installments.
If you can't, it's likely that you don't have a well-established trading strategy.
A trading strategy should be developed from a broad perspective.
After that, you should develop a detailed response strategy that stabilizes your psychological state according to price volatility and guides your trading accordingly.
Therefore, a basic trading strategy is essential.
This basic trading strategy may vary depending on your investment style, so it's important to establish a basic trading strategy that suits you.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
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To initiate a trade, you can determine whether support is available at important support and resistance levels or areas.
The optimal range for this is when support is found and the price rises in the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range.
This corresponds to the conditions for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart.
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Next, the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts converge and break upward, sustaining the price.
In other words, the price rises when support is found around the current price range of 0.000010612-0.00011445.
This represents an important turning point from a trend perspective.
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If you bought in the above range, the sell range would be 0.00013521-0.00014824.
This sell zone corresponds to the high point, HA-High ~ DOM(60).
This means that a stepwise uptrend, or a full-blown uptrend, is likely to begin only when the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
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If you start trading at other support and resistance points or zones, it can be difficult to respond to price volatility.
Therefore, it's best to check for support and initiate trading within the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low and HA-High ~ DOM(60) zones, if possible.
From a trend perspective, if the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts converge, and the price breaks upward and sustains, as is currently the case, trading is possible if support is found at the support and resistance levels near those points.
While this trading method cannot guarantee profit, it is worth developing a trading strategy and attempting it.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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MS
August is a key turning point
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(ABNB 1M chart)
ABNB is at a key turning point.
The key question is whether it can find support near 126.34 and rise.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 126.34-133.72 range.
If it falls below 133.72,
1st: 112.91-118.67
2nd: 97.35-106.30
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
We'll have to wait and see whether this decline is temporary.
This is because the Low Line ~ High Line channel's On-By-Volume (OBV) indicator shows convergence between the Low Line and High Line.
The next period of volatility is expected to begin around August 20th.
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Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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Next Volatility Period: Around August 13th (August 12th-14th)
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(USDT 12M Chart)
A lot of money has been flowing into the coin market through USDT.
A decline in USDT indicates capital outflow from the coin market.
(USDT.D 12M chart)
As USDT continues to rise, its dominance naturally rises.
However, if USDT is used to purchase coins (tokens) in the coin market, its dominance will decline.
USDT dominance peaked in 2022 and is showing a downward trend.
This indicates that a significant amount of capital flowing into the coin market was used to purchase coins (tokens).
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 this year before beginning an upward trend, marking the end of its three-year bull market.
I believe this trend will inject new vitality into the coin market.
For the coin market to maintain an upward trend, USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or show a downward trend.
If this fails and the price rises above 4.91, the coin market is likely already in a downward trend.
A decline occurred on May 8, 2025, creating a reverse trend.
To maintain this reverse trend, we need to see if it can fall below 4.24.
If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As the new week begins, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new level at 114454.57.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 114454.57-115854.56 range.
The formation of the HA-High indicator means that the price has fallen from its high.
This also means that further declines are highly likely.
Therefore, if possible, the price should rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range and maintain its upward momentum.
This period of volatility is expected to last until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range after the volatility period.
If not, we assume the price will decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator and consider countermeasures accordingly.
This is because the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired.
As the price declines, indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60) may appear.
Therefore, if the price declines, you should monitor for the emergence of indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60).
The basic trading strategy is to buy between the DOM(-60) and HA-Low ranges and sell between the HA-High and DOM(60) ranges.
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If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that the trend will be re-established upon meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price fails to rise to the 114454.57-115854.56 range, it is highly likely that the price will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, a key support and resistance level is expected to be around 108353.0.
When new support and resistance levels are formed, they must remain horizontal for at least three candlesticks to function as support and resistance.
In other words, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming, but it hasn't yet.
Therefore, if the current price holds this week, it will form next week.
Therefore, for the HA-High indicator to function properly as support and resistance, it must remain horizontal for three candlesticks, or three weeks.
This rule must be acquired through significant time and observation.
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If you sold partially in the 115854.56-119177.56 range according to your basic trading strategy, you will find it easier to observe the current movement. If not, you will likely become anxious.
The key to trading is maintaining a stable psychological state.
If you begin to feel anxious, you should consider how to stabilize your psychological state.
Otherwise, you'll end up making the wrong trades.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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The key is whether it can rise above 590.0
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(BCHUSDT 1M Chart)
If the price holds above 473.4, it is expected to attempt to rise above 678.7.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can find support in the 541.9-572.6 range and rise above 590.0.
If it falls below 541.9, we need to check for support near 473.4.
The upward trend is expected to continue only if it breaks above the intermediate-term trend line.
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Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Check if it can rise to around 0.5452
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(AUSDT 1D chart)
It hasn't been long since EOS changed to A.
Nevertheless, the formation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators suggests that a wave has begun to form.
However, since the DOM (-60) indicator hasn't yet formed, if it fails to find support from the HA-Low indicator, further declines could occur, so we need to consider countermeasures.
With the HA-Low and HA-High indicators in place, we can now trade in line with our basic trading strategy.
In other words, this refers to a trade where you buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
This ultimately refers to a trading strategy within a box range.
Trend trading strategies proceed by either rising in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range or falling in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range.
In other words, a rise in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is likely to lead to a stepwise uptrend, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In this sense, key support and resistance levels are the 0.5013 point and the 0.5847-0.6238 range.
Currently, the price is rising above 0.5013, so if support is found around 0.5013, it would be a good time to buy.
The first sell zone is around 0.5452, where a volume profile zone has formed.
If the price rises above this level and maintains, it is expected to continue upward, likely reaching the 0.5847-0.6238 range.
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The low trendline has not yet been formed.
The low of the candlestick indicated by the finger is the first selection point for drawing the low trendline.
Since a high trendline has been formed, we should also examine whether the price can rise along the high trendline.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Important Trend Determination Area: 3708.87-3762.33
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
The price began to rise after breaking above the important 2419.83-2706.15 area.
This can be interpreted as the beginning of a step-up trend, with an upward breakout of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range corresponds to the 2581.59-2681.60 range.
This suggests that the price is currently testing whether a second step-up trend will continue or whether it will simply end as the first step-up trend.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is currently 3708.87-3762.33.
Therefore, if the price rises above 3708.87-3762.33 and maintains this level through the upcoming volatility period, a second step-up trend is expected.
The conditions for this are as follows:
- The K value of the StochRSI indicator must rise from the oversold zone and show an upward trend with K > D. - The OBV indicator must rise above the High Line and maintain an upward trend.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must continue its upward trend. (If possible, it's best to stay above 0.)
The next volatility period for ETH is expected to last from around August 6th to 10th.
However, it's worth keeping an eye on the movements during the BTC volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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A potential break and retest on MS.OptionsMastery:
🔉Sound on!🔉
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
The key is whether it can rise above 115854.56
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the newly created DOM (60) indicator point of 119086.64.
If this fails and the price declines, we need to check for support near the previous all-time high (ATH) of 108,353.0.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near 108,353.0, this area is expected to serve as important support and resistance.
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(1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115,854.56 and maintain its upward momentum.
If not, further declines are likely.
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To rise above 115,856.56,
- The StochRSI indicator must rise within the oversold zone and remain above K > D.
- The On-Bottom Volume indicator must continue its upward trend with OBV > OBVEMA. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should maintain an upward trend. (If possible, it's best to rise above the 0 point.)
If the above conditions are met and the price rises above 115854.56, it is expected to attempt to rise above 119177.56.
This period of volatility is a significant period of volatility.
Therefore, if the price falls below the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and encounters resistance during this period, you should prepare for further declines.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to result in a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended as the basic trading strategy.
When executing a trade, appropriate profit taking secures the liquidity of your investment, giving you the opportunity to seize new opportunities.
To achieve this, you should consider your intended investment horizon before initiating the trade and divide the trade accordingly.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 89294.25.
Therefore, I believe the market believes it's in a position to take profit.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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The key point to watch is whether it can rise to 3900.73-4107.80
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
The upward trend continues, with the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if the price holds above 3265.0-3321.30, a medium- to long-term uptrend is likely.
Currently, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is formed across the 3265.0-3762.33 range on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found within the 3265.0-3762.33 range.
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While the price is trending upward along the short-term trendline, if it falls below the short-term trendline and encounters resistance by falling below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, a decline to the 3265.0-3321.30 range is likely.
ETH's volatility period is expected to last from August 6th to 10th.
The key point to watch is whether it can rise above the 3900.73-4107.80 range after this volatility period.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered an oversold zone, the downside is likely to be limited.
Since the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel remains OBV > OBVEMA, a significant decline is unlikely.
However, since the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below zero, selling pressure is dominant.
Therefore, a decline below 3708.87 could lead to further declines. However, as previously mentioned, the decline is likely to be limited, so a significant decline is not expected.
Once the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is encountered, the trend is expected to re-establish itself.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th
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(BTCUSDT 1M Chart)
Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins.
There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year.
For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below.
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My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36).
If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again.
Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins.
Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86.
More details will likely be available once the movement begins.
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The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms.
Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance.
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Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not.
This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone.
Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line.
Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line.
We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line.
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(1D chart)
If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility.
By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th.
Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th.
The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range.
This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support.
This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56.
If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64.
Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point.
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The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend.
If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet.
Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator.
The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend.
In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend.
Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend.
However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse.
In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response.
In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level.
As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Check if the second step-up trend can be maintained
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(TRXUSDT 1M Chart)
We need to see if the price can sustain itself by rising above the left Fibonacci level 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci level 1 (0.3742).
When the next monthly candlestick is formed, we need to check the movements of the supporting indicators.
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(1W Chart)
The DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new trend.
Accordingly, we need to examine whether a rise above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607) will trigger a new wave.
The left Fibonacci level was created during the first rising wave.
Therefore, if the price rises above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607), a new wave is expected to form.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 0.2683, if the price declines, support near 0.2683 will be crucial.
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(1D chart)
If the price maintains above the 0.3079-0.3261 range, further upside is expected.
For the price to rise above the left Fibonacci ratio of 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci ratio of 1 (0.3742), the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must rise above the High Line and remain above it.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered an overbought zone, the upward movement may be limited.
Therefore, we need to consider how to reset the indicator.
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The price is continuing a stepwise upward trend, rising above the HA-HIgh indicator.
It is currently in its second stepwise upward movement.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can sustain above the HA-High indicator.
Whether a third stepwise upward movement occurs will depend on whether the price can sustain itself around or above the 0.3079-0.3261 level.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
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#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
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The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Volatility Period: July 24-26
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BTC is in a step up trend.
Looking at the bigger picture, it can be seen that it is in the second step up trend.
The important volatility period in this step-up is expected to be around August 2-5 (up to August 1-6).
Therefore, we need to look at what kind of movement it makes as it passes through the previous volatility period of around July 25 (July 24-26) and around July 31 (July 30-August 1).
In other words, we need to check which section is supported and which section is resisted, and see if it breaks through that section.
What we can see now is that it is checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section, that is, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) section.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart has risen to the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can receive support at the 115854.56 point and rise.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and shows resistance, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
This flow is an interpretation of the separation learned when studying the price moving average.
Therefore, we can see that the maximum decline point is when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
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Industries (coins, tokens) that are renewing the ATH are actually outside the predictable range.
Therefore, we should think of it as a situation where it is not strange whether it falls or rises at any time and think of a response plan.
Since it is currently within the predictable range, we can create a response strategy by checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the volatility period is about to begin, so caution is required when making new transactions.
That is, you need to check whether it breaks out of the 115854.56-119086.64 range during the volatility period that continues until July 26.
And if it breaks out, you need to check whether it is supported or resisted in that area and respond accordingly.
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The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a pattern of rising above the High Line.
Accordingly, if the OBV indicator is maintained above the High Line, it is expected to show an additional rise.
In accordance with this, you need to check whether the K of the StochRSI indicator shows a movement to rise in the oversold range and a transition to a state where K > D.
You also need to check whether the TC (Trend Check) indicator continues its upward trend and can rise above the 0 point.
If these conditions are met, it is expected that BTC will rise above 119086.64 or show a pattern of rising.
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This decline created a low trend line, creating a perfect rising channel.
Therefore, we need to see how far we can go up along the rising channel created this time.
In that sense, we should pay close attention to the movement during the volatility period around July 25th (July 24-26).
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if HA-High indicator is forming at 3587.13
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
HA-High indicator is showing that it is about to form at 3587.13.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is newly created, the support in the 3587.13-3762.33 section is an important issue.
If it falls below 3587.13, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we should check whether it touches the area around 3265.0-3321.30 and rises.
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This can be seen as a time to test whether it will continue the first step-up trend while rising in the important section of 2419.83-2706.15.
ETH's volatility period is around August 6-10, but we should check what kind of movement it shows after passing the volatility period of BTC.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
0.002198-0.002671 The key is whether it can break above
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-------------------------------------
(BOMEUSDT.P 1D chart)
BOME is a BOOK OF MEME, which is a meme coin and belongs to the Solana Ecosystem.
If the price breaks through the 0.002198-0.002671 section upward and maintains, it is expected to rise to around 0.005200-0.007204.
As a condition for this,
- The K of the StochRSI indicator should show an upward trend with K > D below the overbought section.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the High Line. It should maintain a state where at least OBV > OBV EMA.)
When the above conditions are met, if the 0.002198-0.002671 section breaks through upward, it is expected to continue the upward trend.
If not and it falls, you should check if it is supported near 0.001921.
This is because I think that the upward trend can continue if it receives support near the 0.001921 point, which is the volume profile section.
Therefore, if it falls below 0.001921, you should stop trading and watch the situation.
You can trade with a SHORT position in futures trading, but since it falls below the volume profile section, you should be aware of the volatility.
Therefore, if you insist on trading, a short and quick response is required.
-
(15m chart)
The trading method is simple.
Buy near DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low, and sell near HA-High ~ DOM(60).
However, if it falls from DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it rises from HA-High ~ DOM(60), it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, you should maximize your profits by taking a split transaction format.
Other indicators can be used as points where you can conduct split transactions depending on the situation.
That is, sell about 25% at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and sell about 10% at the support and resistance points on the 15m chart to maximize your profits.
While conducting transactions in this manner, you may wonder if you can actually drag the transaction to around 0.005200-0.007204, but it is possible.
It is good to hold to make a big profit, but since the current price range is in the support and resistance range, I think it is an unstable range to just hold.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. Wishing you a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Check support at 115854.56-119086.64
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
On the 1W chart, the DOM(60) indicator was created at the 119086.64 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 119086.64.
The meaning of the DOM(60) indicator is to show the end of the high point.
In other words, if it rises above HA-High ~ DOM(60), it means that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it fails to rise above DOM(60), it is likely to turn into a downtrend.
The basic chart for chart analysis is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if possible, check the trend of the 1D chart first.
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is currently formed at the 111696.21 point.
And, the HA-High indicator was created at the 115854.56 point.
Therefore, since it cannot be said that the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart has been created yet, if the price is maintained near the HA-High indicator, it seems likely to rise until the DOM(60) indicator is created.
We need to look at whether the DOM(60) indicator will be created while moving sideways at the current price position or if the DOM(60) indicator will be created when the price rises.
If the price falls and falls below 111696.21, and the HA-High indicator is generated, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is formed, so whether there is support in that section is the key.
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Since the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart was generated, if it fails to rise above the DOM(60) indicator, it is highly likely that the HA-High indicator will be newly generated as it eventually falls.
Therefore, you should also look at where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is generated when the price falls.
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The next volatility period is around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, you should look at which direction it deviates from the 115854.56-119086.64 section after this volatility period.
Since the K of the StochRSI indicator fell from the overbought section and changed to a state where K < D, it seems likely that the rise will be limited.
However, since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is above 0 and the OBV indicator is OBV > OBV EMA, it is expected that the support around 115845.56 will be important.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Need a trading strategy to avoid FOMO
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1D chart is the standard chart for all time frame charts.
In other words, if you trade according to the trend of the 1D chart, you can make profits while minimizing losses.
This can also be seen from the fact that most indicators are created based on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are suitable indicators for confirming trends.
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term, so it is recommended to take note of this advantage especially when trading spot.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart shows the medium-term and short-term trends.
The M-Signal indicator uses the MACD indicator formula, but it can be seen as a price moving average.
You can trade with just the price moving average, but it is difficult to select support and resistance points, and it is not very useful in actual trading because it cannot cope with volatility.
However, it is a useful indicator when analyzing charts or checking general trends.
Therefore, what we can know with the M-Signal indicator (price moving average) is the interrelationship between the M-Signal indicators.
You can predict the trend by checking how far apart and close the M-Signal indicators are, and then checking the direction.
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If you have confirmed the trend with the M-Signal indicator, you need support and resistance points for actual trading.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The order of the roles of support and resistance points is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
However, the strength of the role of support and resistance points can be seen depending on how long the horizontal line is.
Usually, in order to perform the role of support and resistance points, at least 3 candles or more form a horizontal line.
Therefore, caution is required when trading when the number of candles is less than 3.
The indicators created considering this point are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and indicate when the Heikin-Ashi candle turns upward or downward.
Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of an upward turn.
In other words, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy.
However, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn.
In other words, if there is resistance from the HA-High indicator, it is a time to sell.
However, if it rises from the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward turn, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this.
This is where a dilemma arises.
What I mean is that the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, so you know that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, but if it receives support and rises, you think that you can make a large profit through a stepwise upward turn, so you fall into a dilemma.
This is caused by greed that arises from falling into FOMO due to price volatility.
The actual purchase time should have been when it showed support near the HA-Low indicator, but when it showed a downward turn, it ended up suffering a large loss due to the psychology of wanting to buy, which became the trigger for leaving the investment.
Therefore, if you failed to buy at the purchase time, you should also know how to wait until the purchase time comes.
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It seems that you can trade depending on whether the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are supported, but the task of checking whether it is supported is quite difficult and tiring.
Therefore, to complement the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators were added.
The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end of the low point.
Therefore, if it shows support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is the purchase time.
If it falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, it means that a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin.
The DOM(60) indicator indicates the end of the high point.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it means that a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
If it is resisted and falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely that a downtrend will begin.
With this, the basic trading strategy is complete.
This is the basic trading strategy of buying when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and selling when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
For this, the trading method must adopt a split trading method.
Although not necessarily, if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it will show a sharp decline, and if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it will show a sharp rise.
Due to this volatility, psychological turmoil causes people to start trading based on the price, which increases their distrust in the investment market and eventually leads them to leave the investment market.
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When looking at the movement of the 1D chart, it can be seen that it is not possible to proceed with trading at the moment because it is already showing a stepwise upward trend.
However, since there is a SHORT position in futures trading, trading is possible at any time.
In any case, it is difficult to select a time to buy because the 1D chart shows a stepwise upward trend.
However, looking at the time frame chart below the 1D chart can help you select a time to buy.
The basic trading strategy is always the same.
Buy when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
Currently, since the 1D chart is continuing a stepwise upward trend, the main position is to eventually proceed with a long position.
Therefore, if possible, you should focus on finding the right time to buy.
However, if it falls below the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart, the possibility of a downtrend increases, so at that time, you should focus on finding the right time to sell.
In other words, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is generated at the 115845.8 point, you should think of different response methods depending on whether the price is above or below the 115845.8 point.
Therefore, when trading futures, increase the investment ratio when trading with the main position (a position that matches the trend of the 1D chart), and decrease the investment ratio when trading with the secondary position (a position that is different from the trend of the 1D chart) and respond quickly and quickly.
When trading in the spot market, you have no choice but to trade in the direction of the 1D chart trend, so you should buy and then sell in installments whenever it shows signs of turning downward to secure profits.
In other words, buy near the HA-Low indicator on the 30m chart, and if the price rises and the HA-High indicator is created, sell in installments near that area.
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You should determine your trading strategy, trading method, and profit realization method by considering these interrelationships, and then trade mechanically accordingly.
If you trade only with fragmentary movements, you will likely end up suffering losses.
This is because you do not cut your losses.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Check support above 2.5102-2.6013
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-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
It has broken through the important support and resistance zone.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 2.5102-2.6013 and rise.
If the price is maintained above 2.5102-2.6013, it is possible that a stepwise rise will occur.
At this time,
1st: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618(3.2085) ~ Left Fibonacci ratio 3.618(3.2983)
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 1(4.1944)
You need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The strong support area is 1.5-1.9669.
----------------------
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the initial rising wave, and the right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the recent rising wave.
Therefore, if the price rises above 3.618(3.2983) of the Fibonacci ratio drawn in the initial rising wave and maintains it, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave.
Since the Fibonacci ratio is a tool for analyzing the chart, it is not good to use this point as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the DOM(60) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created and create a response strategy depending on whether there is support.
Currently, the DOM(60) indicator is formed at the 2.5102 point, and the HA-High indicator is formed at the 2.4269 point.
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it receives resistance in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, trading begins by checking whether there is support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is a description of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support and resistance zones: 115854.56-116868.0
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This decline created a new trend line.
This added a period of volatility around July 31st.
If the HA-High indicator is generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that point.
If it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a downward trend.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at which support and resistance points the price is maintained at as it passes the volatility period around July 18 (July 17-19).
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Since the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed at the 116868.0 point, it is important to be able to maintain the price above 116868.0 if possible.
Therefore, assuming that the HA-High indicator will be generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
Next, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising above 116696.20, we need to check if it is supported by the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or around 116696.21.
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So far, we have talked about how to maintain an upward trend by breaking through a certain point or section.
That is,
- The K of the StochRSI indicator should be below the overbought section and should show an upward trend with K > D.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be maintained by rising above the High Line.)
I said that when the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the upward trend will continue.
On the other hand, in order to change to a downward trend,
- The DOM (60) indicator should be created and show resistance near the DOM (60) indicator.
- When the HA-High indicator is generated, it should show resistance near the HA-High indicator.
- When the K of the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone, it should switch to a state where K < D and show a downward trend. (However, caution is required as volatility may occur when K reaches around the 50 point.)
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show a downward trend. (If possible, it is better if it is located below the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show a downward trend. (However, it should show a downward trend in the state where OBV < OBV EMA is present.)
When the above conditions are satisfied, there is a high possibility of a downward trend.
Among these, the most intuitive thing to know is whether the DOM (60) indicator and the HA-High indicator are generated.
This is because, in order to first switch to a downward trend, a signal that the current price position is a high point must appear.
The DOM(60) indicator is an indicator that indicates the end of the high point.
Therefore, if the DOM(60) indicator is generated, it is likely to be a high point.
However, since it can be supported and rise near the HA-High indicator, you should check whether there is support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and respond accordingly.
The HA-High indicator is an indicator created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart, and if it falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to be a point where a downtrend will begin.
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Since the same principle applies to any time frame chart you trade, it is easier to understand the chart and determine the timing of the start and end of the transaction.
However, the basic trading method must be a split trading method.
The reason is that if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
This basic trading method, that is, buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator, will eventually make you familiar with day trading, which will have an effective influence on finding a buying point when making mid- to long-term investments.
It is wrong to say that you are good at mid- to long-term investments when you are not good at day trading.
You were just lucky.
Unfortunately, this kind of luck cannot last.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 300.17
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(MCD 1D chart)
Before following the basic trading strategy, the first thing to check is whether the current price is above or below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If the price is below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, there is a possibility that it will turn into a medium- to long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to trade stocks whose prices are above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If the price is below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should respond quickly and briefly using the short-term trading (day trading) method.
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The support and resistance zones can be seen as the 287.46-290.14 zone and the 307.41-314.89 zone.
The 287.46-290.14 zone is the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low zone, and the 307.41-314.89 zone is the HA-High ~ DOM(60) zone.
These two zones are likely to form a trend depending on how they break through, so they can be seen as support and resistance zones.
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The 300.17-316.56 zone is the HA-High ~ DOM(60) zone on the 1W chart.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can receive support and rise in the 300.17-316.56 zone.
Therefore, if it falls near the 307.41-314.89 range, you should check for support near 300.17.
-
If it rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it is likely to show a step-up trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, it is likely to show a step-down trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
Can we break above the 0.8063-0.8836 range?
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(ADAEUSDT 1D chart)
ADA is forming a long-term rising channel and is showing an upward trend as it breaks above the mid-term high downtrend line.
We need to see if it can rise above 0.8836 and maintain the price to rise above the previous mid-term low trend line.
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The DOM(60) indicator is showing signs of being newly created.
Accordingly, we need to see where the DOM(60) indicator is formed.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at 0.8063, in order to continue the upward trend, it must rise at least above 0.8063 to maintain the price.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 0.6328.
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It is possible to show a mid- to long-term upward trend only if it breaks through the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section of the 1W chart upward.
Therefore, the 0.8836-1.1936 section is likely to be the resistance section.
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Based on the current price position, the support section is the 0.5824-0.6328 section.
However, since the positions of the HA-Low indicator and the DOM(-60) indicator are switched, if it shows a downward trend, there is a possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created.
If a new HA-Low indicator is created, it is important to determine whether there is support near it.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Resistance zone: 3265.0-3321.30
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If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward breakout of the important zone of 2419.83-2706.15.
We need to see if the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 (2788.93).
If so, it is expected to rise to the resistance zone of 3265.0-3321.30.
The important zone of 2419.83-2706.15 is the support and resistance zone that can lead to a full-fledged uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls below this zone, we should stop trading and watch the situation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------