Mantra token (OM) to $4 on return to market structure40 days ago on April 13th price action corrected 95% (if this is not enough convince you the Crypto tokens are a Ponzi scheme I don’t know what is), a number of reasons now exist for traders to open a long position into the remaining sell orders of the once project faithful. The reasons?
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. Trend reversal, price action prints a higher low.
3. A rally followed on the same bullish divergence configuration that printed throughout the history of this token. That positive divergence has printed once more.
4. The forecast is formed on the idea price action returns to market structure before continuing the downtrend. Was about to say nothing goes down in a straight line ;-)
Is it possible price action continue to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTC - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENT (⊙ˍ⊙)This time IS DIFFERENT. Bitcoin has made a new ATH as I predicted in a few previous posts, but something's off...🤔
If we look at BTC from a macro view, the dates for this run up was quite extended. We do see some similarities in terms of the retracement (highlighted in blue) but from a timeframe analysis, there is no comparing this high to the previous:
stretching from March to October where classical bear market symptoms were show - lower highs and lower lows, with a duration unlike any of the previous cycles.
Interestingly, the previous season we increased not even 7% from the previous peak. And if we were to look at the same fractal, that places us around $116k.
But the ONE thing, that has had me suspicious this entire time (🥁) was ETH. Overlaying the ETH chart, we see that historically, ETH peaked a week or two after the BTC ATH - until this time.
The fact that BTC made such a dramatic ATH and Ethereum didn't? That was a new one. And even up to now, ETH is still 80% away only from it's previous ATH - imagine the altseason we will have IF ETH makes a new ATH... or will this time just be , different ?
Short trade
Entry Day:
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session PM
🧠 Setup: Rejection from Supply Zone + FVG Target
📅 Date: Thursday, 22nd May 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 111,675.68
🔹 Profit Target: 109,058.96 (+2.34%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 112,042.74 (-0.33%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.13
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side trade was initiated after BTC reached a pivotal supply zone, with the price breaking previous highs, indicating a possible reversal. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) below provides a logical downside target, representing an unmitigated imbalance where price is likely to revisit. The entry aligned with Tokyo PM session volatility and was structured to capitalise on this inefficiency.
Overview 30min TF
Dow Jones Index (US30): Time to Grow
As I predicted yesterday, US30 nicely respected
a wide daily support cluster.
A pullback from that is now confirmed with a violation
of a minor horizontal resistance on a 4H.
The index may reach 42200 level soon.
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Your Plan to Buy Explained
There is a high chance that US30 will resume growth soon.
The index is currently testing a wide daily support cluster.
My signal to buy will be a bullish violation and a candle close above
41920 minor horizontal resistance.
A bullish movement will be anticipated at least to 42200 level then.
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WTI Crude: Bears Target 60.549 USDHey traders and investors!
🔹 Crude Oil — 1D / 4H
📍 Context
Daily (1D): clear short trend; price capped below 65.40 USD.
4-Hour (4H): sideways range — its boundaries are marked by black lines on the chart — with seller initiative in control.
Higher-time-frame levels reinforce the bearish bias.
🔎 Analysis
Sellers keep the upper hand on 4H. The daily shows no strong buyer bars, sustaining downward pressure. If price retests the IKC zone and prints bearish confirmation (high-volume seller bar or buyer absorption), the odds of breaking 60.549 USD increase.
🎯 Trade Idea
Setup: hunt for short patterns inside the IKC range.
Target: 60.549 USD (range low).
Confirmation: pattern on M15–H1 + seller-side volume.
📌 Takeaway
Bears remain in control. Wait for a trigger inside the IKC zone and lower-TF confirmation before joining the move toward 60.549 USD.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Skeptic |Ethereum (ETH) Analysis: Altcoin Rally Ready to ExplodeHey everyone, Skeptic here! Did you see Bitcoin finally smash through the $107K resistance? Now, with BTC.D dropping, liquidity’s flowing back into altcoins like ETH , which could be gearing up for some wild rallies! 😊 Stick with me for a deep dive into Ethereum’s charts. Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
After breaking the downward curve trendline, ETH has started a sustainable uptrend. Rising volume and Bitcoin’s rally confirm this move, so we can cautiously say the weekly major uptrend is regaining steam. This gets confirmed if we hold above the daily resistance at 2886.63 . Our spot trigger is a consolidation above 2886.63 , backed by increasing volume and momentum, plus a key condition: ETH/BTC needs to be in an uptrend.
Let’s take a quick peek at the ETH/BTC chart.
For a long time, ETH/BTC was in a sharp downtrend on the daily, but recently, it’s kicked off an uptrend momentum. A break above the 0.02588 resistance would confirm ETH/BTC’s uptrend, signaling it’s time to buy spot ETH. Until that break, I don’t recommend jumping in. Always confirm with ETH/BTC—otherwise, Bitcoin is the safer buy since, if ETH/BTC stays bearish, Bitcoin will likely outperform ETH.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Let’s zoom into the 4-hour timeframe for long and short triggers. For my long setup, I’ve already opened a position after the break of 2701.33 .
On the 15-minute timeframe, rising volume and RSI hitting overbought during the breakout gave solid confirmation. It looks like it’s pulling back to this level now, but there’s a chance it could be a fakeout. I’m letting it play out—if it hits my stop loss, no big deal; I’ve got risk management in place, and one stop won’t blow up my account :) For a short setup, a break below 2381.51 , coinciding with a break below ETH/BTC support at 0.02289 , could be your short trigger. But I don’t recommend it—the major uptrend is bullish, so shorting means going against the trend, which is risky.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Let's grow together! 🤍
EURNZD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Odds are high that EURNZD will retrace from the underlined blue resistance.
The pair looks bearish from the intraday perspective after a release
of German fundamentals this morning.
I think that the price may drop to 1.9027 level.
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Now this is extremely interesting... and potentially scaryTake this how you like - but eerily similar pattern to what we saw back in 2022 prior to a massive pullback (almost 90% of the previous bullish breakout move).
Does the crypto market want to shock the world and trap every HODLER?
We know what to look out for...
Happy Trading :)
GOLD LONG VIEW.............
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
If you like this idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
PLZ! LIKE COMMAND AND SUBSCRIBE
EURCAD BUYPrice is in a Weekly Uptrend.
Price attempted to reverse with head & shoulders but failed instead making new higher low at (1.54797).
Price is making rising higher lows and higher highs as it approaches head & shoulders neckline.
Key Support & Resistance level that is tested multiple times at (1.56981 - 1.56659) the more a level is tested 80% chance it breaks.
Rising trendline in H4.that price has respected.
If price breaks and closes above 1.57608 the B.O is confirmed.
For more conservative entry wait for the retest to confirm the BO and enter the trade