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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Forex Weekly Round-Up: DXY, GBPUSD, EURUSDKey Price Zones (DXY): 97.422 - 97.685 🟦 DXY (Dollar Index): On paper, USD had a strong week: 🔹 Durable Goods smashed expectations (+8.6% vs 0.5%) 🔹 PMIs, GDP Price Index, and Jobless Claims came in solid But the market ignored it: 🔻 Consumer Confidence disappointed (93.0 vs 99.4) 🏠 New Home Sales missed 🕊️ Fed Chair Powell stayed soft — no aggressive tightening talk Result? Despite strong fundamentals, DXY broke down, sweeping daily lows and printing fresh bearish structure. It’s now down ~10% YTD — the worst first half in over 50 years. 📈 EURUSD & GBPUSD: Holding Strong Despite Weak Data EURUSD German Retail Sales: –1.6% Import Prices: –0.7% ECB tone: muted Still, EURUSD held daily support and gained — thanks to broad USD weakness. GBPUSD Current Account widened (–£23.5B), GDP unchanged No standout UK catalyst Yet GBPUSD held its ground and edged higher as DXY continued to fall. 🧠 What This Tells Us Strong data isn’t always enough. When price action, market sentiment, and liquidity targets align — they override the numbers.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince
Gold - Sell before longer term buyLooking at gold we are a matter of a few pips away from entry. looking to play gold down till our larger 4H area of demand seeing as we have had a CHoCH to the upside. There for i will be looking to take my sell position down to 3283.5 at a bare minimum as it was the previous structure level in which we turned around. Lets see if we get tagged in. If not i will jump down to the lower TF and see if we can get a confirmation that price is going to turn from here.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
1
July 2025 - Duolingo trading opportunityGood news for Duolingo... The chart is now showing some promising signs that it might be ready to turn things around and head higher. Some simple clues why: RSI resistance breakout: The "RSI" indicator (bottom of chart) tells us strength is returning. A break of resistance that has been active over the last month is now no more. This usually means the buyers are taking control again. Hidden strength: Even though the price might look a bit sleepy, oscillators now print significant bullish divergence with price action. Past resistance confirms support: Certainly one of the most simplest concepts to take advantage of, previous resistance now confirms support. This test occurs as price action strikes the 50% Fibonacci level. 20% Forecast Look left, previously market structure failed. Typically past breaks of structure shall be tested to confirm resistance, which is between 20-30% away. Is it possible price action continues to print lower lows? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:DUOLLong
by without_worries
6
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?! Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily. I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame and a double bottom pattern formation. Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309 will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement. Goal will be 3327. Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push the prices lower. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
USDCHF: Short Sell Trigger on 4HGood morning everyone, yesterday evening my LuBot Ultimate indicator sends me an alert for a sell signal I entered. The signal is in favor of the trend and the main period structure both on the current timeframe and on the higher timeframes. The indicator provides exit levels which I will follow as I think they are already optimal for a short term trade. The stop is located above the highs and leaves some space for any spikes, and the take profit is located in the low area where it would be appropriate to exit. 👍 If you want to see other similar posts, like/boost 🙋‍♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. TAGS: FPMARKETS:USDCHF FX_IDC:USDCHF KRAKEN:USDCHF SAXO:USDCHF FOREXCOM:USDCHF OANDA:USDCHF FX:USDCHF
Short
by LuTrader_LB
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
SPX: 75% chance Multi-Timeframe Reversal to 5,775-6,103 Zone **SPX MULTI-TIMEFRAME CYCLE CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS - SUPER VERSION** **CURRENT SITUATION: July 7, 2025 - Price: 6,238** Based on our quantitative cycle analysis across 4 timeframes, applying **ACTRAGEA hierarchical dominance principles** where ITM >> MTY >> TCY >> TYL. --- ## **CYCLE HIERARCHY STATUS** | **Timeframe** | **Cycle Phase** | **Status** | **Hierarchy** | **Key Level** | |---------------|-----------------|------------|---------------|---------------| | **ITM (1D)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | **DOMINANT** | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** | | **TCY (1H)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | Secondary | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** | | **MTY (270m)** | Phase 1 | LONG (+1.64%) | Subordinate | Seeking max: 6,359 | | **TYL (15m)** | Phase 2 | LONG (+0.11%) | Subordinate | Max: 6,242.7 **awaiting confirmation** | --- ## **PRIMARY SCENARIO (Probability: 75%)** **DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** **Multi-timeframe reversal upon ITM maximum confirmation** **RATIONALE:** - **ITM timing**: 0 bars remaining from 50° percentile window → Maximum at 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** → Statistical pressure for confirmation increases daily - **Hierarchical cascade**: **When ITM confirms maximum** → all subordinate cycles transition into Phase 3 (minimum search) - **Current LONG positions** (MTY +1.64%, TYL +0.11%) face hierarchical override risk upon ITM maximum confirmation. Subordinate cycles will align regardless of current profitability. **STATISTICAL PRICE LEVELS (50° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 5,775.84 - **TCY**: 6,103.58 - **MTY**: 5,996.35 - **TYL**: 6,170.98 **STATISTICAL TIME WINDOWS (50° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 65 bars | **TCY**: 58 bars | **MTY**: 62 bars | **TYL**: 81 bars **EXTREME SCENARIOS (20° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 5,420.71 | **TCY**: 5,934.73 | **MTY**: 5,728.16 | **TYL**: 6,084.71 --- ## **⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (Probability: 25%)** **DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** ITM extension toward 80° percentile before maximum confirmation **CONDITION:** ITM exceeds statistical time boundaries, allowing subordinate cycles temporary independence --- ## **CRITICAL DECISION POINT** **Confirmation Trigger:** ITM maximum validation at 6,284.65 → Phase 2→3 transition → Activation timeframe: Within 1-3 trading sessions (statistical pressure) **Hierarchy Activation:** Immediate subordinate cycle alignment into Phase 3 upon ITM confirmation **Invalidation:** Sustained break above 6,285 (negates ITM maximum thesis) --- ## ** PROBABILITY FOUNDATION** **75% probability derived from:** - ITM expired timing creating high statistical pressure for confirmation - Historical dominance patterns (85%+ subordination rate upon ITM phase changes) - Dual Phase 2 alignment (ITM + TCY at identical maximum level awaiting confirmation) --- ## **ACTRAGEA METHODOLOGY FOUNDATION** Our **quantitative cycle framework** operates on **hierarchical dominance principles** where longer timeframes command shorter ones. Statistical levels represent **50° percentile probabilities**, not certainties. The **ITM critical juncture** at 6,284.65 creates high-probability setup for **coordinated multi-timeframe reversal initiation**. **Performance Context:** Systems demonstrating 65.71% to 82.86% statistical reliability across timeframes. --- *Analysis based on ACTRAGEA hierarchical cycle principles and statistical percentile distributions. All levels represent probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.*
SP:SPX
by Actragea
GBPUSD - 2 potential selling opportunitiesLooking at GBPUSD We have 2 potential selling POI's. The first one being a point in which we will need to sit on our hands for a little bit to see what price does at there is no inducement in the push down in the impulse leg. With that being the case we will need to see some sort of inducement built before we enter that POI IF we clear the first POI I think I will take a more aggressive entry on the secondary POI that sits a little bit higher. This is due to us having already put in some sort of liquidity in and around that POI before pushing lower. Will wait and see what happens. Tomorrow could be a very good trading day
by BenFxLDN
EURUSD Short, 08 JulyHTF Bearish Continuation & Intraday Confirmation HTF bias remains bearish, reacting from W/D OB and completing the daily imbalance left from yesterday. Now looking for continuation lower, supported by a clean 4H OB. 📉 Confluence: 15m Decisional OB in play 5m OB entry zone with a clean 1m BOS DXY gap + imbalance still open in our favor + Correlation between EU and DXY Asia session structure aligned 🎯 Entry: Retest of 5m OB after 1m BOS 🛡️ SL: Above recent high, ~10 pips 📌 TP: Asia low – 1:3 RR ⚠️ Risk: OB is mid-Asia (less ideal), and DXY Daily imbalance not filled yet Still a solid setup with structure + HTF narrative backing it.
Short
by sTax11
10