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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Gold Analysis – Daily Outlook I initially anticipated a deeper move toward 3225 — the 25–30% retracement zone of the discount array — but price bounced quickly during Monday’s open, then confirmed a market structure shift by breaking above 3350. However, the buy signal wasn’t convincing at the time, as Silver lagged and leaned bearish. Following the latest 4H chart, Silver has now invalidated the short idea by trading above 36.83, which offers stronger confirmation for the bullish bias — far clearer than what was seen on Monday. Retracement might occur around last week’s high at 3394, offering a possible discount re-entry point before further upside. Still, price could head straight toward ATH, so keeping 3394 in view remains wise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Dolf_1x
80% drop into the abyss for Solana? - July 2025** The months ahead ** Examination of the 3-week chart for SOLANA reveals several compelling technical signals that suggest a potential bearish trend reversal. This analysis highlights crucial patterns traders and investors of Solana should consider. 1. Formation of a 3-Week Death Cross: A notable bearish signal prints on the chart: a ‘3-week death cross’. This follows a ‘2-week death cross’ that preceded a significant downward movement, just as in early 2022. The death cross, where a shorter-term moving average crosses below a longer-term one, is a strong indicator of a shift towards a bearish trend, especially on higher timeframes like this 3-week chart. 2. Broken Market Structure: The chart clearly indicates a “broken market structure.” This typically occurs when the price fails to create higher highs and higher lows during an uptrend, or in this case, breaks below a significant support level that had previously held. It is absolutely possible price action backtests past support for a resistance confirmation, however on looking left, such a test never occurred on the last death cross. 3. Resistance from Previous Peaks (Head and Shoulders Pattern): Price action leading up to the recent highs resembles a potential ‘Head and Shoulders’ pattern. The three distinct peaks, with the middle peak being the highest, suggest a classic reversal pattern. A subsequent break below the ‘neckline’ (implied support level below the peaks) would confirm the bearish outlook. 4. RSI Oscillator (bottom of chart) resistance The lower panel of the chart displays an RSI oscillator indicator, which shows a clear pattern of "resistance." following a period of support since 2023. The RSI has clearly confirmed resistance from almost 3 years of support. 5. Solana vs Bitcoin All the bearish observations made on the SOL-USD trading pair can be observed on the same 3 week time frame for the SOLANA - BITCOIN trading pair: 6. Potential for Significant Downside Target: Based on the measured move from the previous death cross and breakdown and Fibonacci extension, the chart illustrates a potential downside target of approximately -70% from current levels toward the $30-40 area. While this is a projected target and not guaranteed, the historical precedent following similar bearish signals provides a context for the potential severity of the downturn if the bearish momentum continues. Conclusion: Considering the confluence of a 3-week death cross, broken market structure, resistance from previous peaks (suggesting a potential Head and Shoulders pattern), and the confirmation of RSI resistance, the outlook for SOLANA on the 3-week timeframe appears distinctly bearish. Is it possible price action continues upwards after a 3200% rally? Sure. Is it probable? No Ww
Short
by without_worries
15
EURUSD Long, 02 JulyAsia Fill Trade Despite being inside a Daily Bearish OB, this trade is purely an Asia fill setup, so HTF bias is not heavily weighted here. We had clear 1m BOS and retrace into the 1m OB, right inside a 15m Decisional POI, backed by inverted hammer rejections on both EU and DXY. 📉 Entry: 1m OB after BOS 📊 Confluence: DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia 🎯 TP: Asia Low (1:3 RR) 🛡️ BE: 1.5RR or LTF BOS continuation Clean execution based on intraday logic & structure, with correlation as additional confidence.
Long
by sTax11
XAU/USD 02 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
USDJPY| - Weekky OutlookBias: Bullish HTF Overview (4H): Price has shown bullish intent by breaching a major internal high and taking out significant sell-side liquidity (SSL) before mitigating the 4H order block below. This suggests a bullish narrative is forming, even though the 4H swing high hasn’t been taken yet. LTF Confirmation (30M): Currently showing bearish momentum. I’ll wait for a clean CHoCH to confirm shift in intent. Once price sweeps liquidity and mitigates a valid 30M OB, I’ll look for entries. Entry Zone: After liquidity sweep + OB mitigation on 30M (or refinement on 5M), I’ll execute the setup. Targets: • Scalp: 5M structure highs • Short-Term Hold: 30M structure highs • Extended Hold: 4H structure highs (if price action is strong) Mindset Note: Structure tells the story, but price action confirms whether it’s worth riding. Even when structure looks awkward, respect is often still given—so stay fluid, but focused. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDCAD Bullish week AUDCAD Bullish Confluence Analysis: 1. Daily Timeframe: Bullish daily candle closed after sweeping the previous day’s sell-side liquidity — indicating a strong rejection and potential shift in momentum. 2. 4H Structure: Price closed decisively above the key support/resistance level at 0.89300, confirming a break and potential continuation. 3. Daily Imbalance: A breakaway fair value gap (FVG) remains unfilled, with buyers showing strong intent by driving price higher — suggesting bullish pressure is still active. 4. Intraday Confirmation: Both 1H and 15M charts show breaker blocks and fair value gaps being filled, aligning with bullish targets and providing refined 15 min entry zone.
Long
by Dlongoria90
2
GBPUSD Long, 1 JulyPrice is reacting from a Daily bearish OB, but this setup aims to catch the pullback — making a long valid here despite HTF structure. LTF gave a clean 15m BOS, followed by reaction from the extreme 15m OB. Entry was taken after a confirmed 1m BOS + OB retrace, in alignment with structure and location. 🎯 Target: 30 pips (1:3 RR) ⚠️ No clear Asia target, but structure favors this move 📍Entry: 1m OB after BOS 📉 Risk: 0.5% High-probability pullback play, executed with confirmation and clean structure.
Long
by sTax11
1
EURUSD – A Potentially Busy Day Ahead For TradersThis morning, EURUSD recorded a near 4 year high at 1.1807, the beneficiary of improving risk sentiment, uncertainty about the ECB’s next interest rate move, and concerns about what President Trump’s tax cut bill, that is progressing through the Senate currently, could mean for the sustainability of the US debt burden moving forward. Now, with the FX quarter end rebalancing completed yesterday, it is possible to look forward to the upcoming scheduled events for today that could influence where EURUSD moves next. First up, at 1000 BST this morning, traders receive the latest preliminary inflation (HICP) update for the Eurozone. The outcome of this release could provide further insight into whether the current market expectation for one more ECB rate cut in 2025 is possible, or if they may be on hold for the foreseeable future. Next up, starting at 1430 BST is a panel discussion attended by ECB President Lagarde, Fed Chairman Powell, BoE Governor Bailey and BoJ Governor Ueda at the ECB’s Central Bank Forum in Portugal. The topic, “adapting to change: macroeconomic shifts and policy responses”. The comments of these central bank heads on inflation, interest rates, tariffs and economic growth could be important for the direction of all the major G7 FX pairs. Then, at 1500 BST the ISM Manufacturing PMI survey is due for release. While US manufacturing activity is still expected to languish in contraction territory, below 50, traders will be focused on whether there has been any improvement in the headline print, and what the prices paid component could indicate for the direction of US inflation across the remainder of 2025. These events, when taken with real time updates from President Trump and members of this administration on his tax bill, trade deals and flexibility of the July 9th tariff deadline, sets today up as a potentially volatile period for EURUSD trading. Technical Update: Assessing the Recent Trend From a technical perspective, a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows remains in the EURUSD price and as the chart below shows, Tuesday has seen another new recovery high posted at 1.1807. While much will continue to depend on market sentiment and price trends, it might be argued that the posting of this new price high for the current upside move, suggests a further phase of strength is still possible. However, what are the levels traders may now be watching to gauge where the next directional price risks might lay over coming sessions? Potential Support Levels: Since posting the June 19th session low at 1.1446, EURUSD has rallied by over 3.00% (1.1446 to 1.1807) and while this doesn’t mean price weakness is necessarily on the cards, traders might become concerned a price correction is due after such a strong advance. As the chart above shows, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength, currently stands at 1.1668. This can mark a potential first support focus, after the recent move higher. Closing breaks under 1.1668, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1583, which is equal to the 61.8% retracement level. Potential Resistance Levels: As a result of latest strength, EURUSD has traded to levels last seen in mid-September 2021 and to gauge the next potential resistance levels, we switch to the longer term weekly chart shown below. If further price strength still emerges from current levels, traders may now be focused on 1.1909, the August 2021 failure high, as the next possible resistance level. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EURGBP sell, July 01HTF shows strong bullish trend, with price barely missing the Daily imbalance — signaling strong buyer momentum and no clear reversal point nearby. On LTF, we had a clean 15m BOS, confirming bullish continuation, and price reacted from a 15m POI with imbalance left behind. First entry missed by 1 pip, but it’s still in play — second entry aligns with the same narrative. 📍Entry: 15m imbalance 🧠 BOS in our favor, valid setup if triggered before London close 🎯 TP: Asia high for 1:3 RR 📉 Risk: 0.5% on each position Looking to continue the upside trend, staying patient and letting price come to us.
Long
by sTax11
BTC/USDT – 4H Liquidity Sweep Likely Before Bullish ReactionBitcoin is showing signs of distribution within a daily FVG range. The recent failure to break above 107,000 with strength suggests a sweep of downside liquidity is likely. 🧩 Key Observations: • Price is still respecting the daily FVG above (imbalance not fully filled). • A visible liquidity pool is sitting below recent 4H lows near 104,000. • Confluence with 4H support zone and lower daily FVG around 102,000. 🎯 What I Expect: • Price to sweep 4H liquidity → tag 104K area • Possible wick or reaction from there • If momentum increases, price could tap into the deeper imbalance around 102K 📌 Setup Bias: Short-term bearish (targeting liquidity grab), then reassessing for long setups near support + FVG convergence. 🧠 This setup is built on smart money principles — liquidity engineering, fair value gap fills, and mitigation. ⸻ Key Levels: • 🔴 Resistance: 107,000–108,000 (Daily FVG top) • ⚫ Target Zone: 104,000 (Liquidity + 4H support) • 🟣 Potential Bounce Zone: 102,000 (Lower Daily FVG)
Short
by ammarsandhu
2