Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade Pair BTCUSD
Buyside trade
Sat 3rd May 25
1.30 PM
NY Session pm
Entry 96016.41
Profit level 95952.34 (0.37%)
Stop level (0.07%)
RR 5.53
Reason: Price seemed to be at a pivotal demand zone (FVG) making a sweep of LND liquidity into NY session for a buyside trade idea.
1min TF entry and overview
EURAUD SHORT TRADEEuro futures indicate bearish momentum has set in seeking to drive prices towards imbalance and liquidity pools sitting at lower prices. On the daily chart, EURAUD has broken short term lows targeting the fair value gap before retracing. Our sell orders are sitting within unmitigated supply zones identifiable on lower time frames.
POPCATUSDT MidTerm Price StructurePOPCATUSDT experienced a decisive breakdown from a well-defined rising wedge pattern, a classic bearish reversal structure, leading to an aggressive 50% decline in price action. This drawdown culminated in a test of a key demand zone, characterized by prior accumulation and strong historical buying interest. Since the retest of this demand zone, price has exhibited signs of stabilization and consolidation above the support threshold.
Should this demand zone continue to hold, a bullish corrective phase may unfold, potentially driving price back toward the previous all-time high (ATH). However, the region surrounding the ATH represents a high-probability supply zone, where institutional distribution and profit-taking are likely to re-emerge, leading to a renewed sell-off.
The strategic approach involves initiating accumulation within or near the immediate demand zone while maintaining vigilance around the aforementioned major supply zone. The final projected upside target, derived from prior price structure and Fibonacci-based confluence, is annotated on the accompanying chart for reference.
USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward.
The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched.
If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap).
However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL),
Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.
GBPUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 Price Forecast (Main Scenarios)
📈 Bullish Scenario (if price reacts from current level):
Price may bounce from the current 1H LQ Close zone (gray).
It could rally toward the upper 1H LQ Close zone (purple) to retest it and potentially trigger Phase 2 Inducement.
🎯 First target: 1.33150
🎯 Second target: 1.33450 (just below the 4H LQ Close)
📉 Bearish Scenario (if the current zone breaks):
A clean close below 1.32500 could open the path toward the 4H LQ Close zone.
🧲 Expect potential reversal around 1.31600–1.31800 (major buy zone).
Long trade
1hr TF overview
🗓 Date: Saturday, 3rd May 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM
📍 Session: London to New York Overlap (AM)
🪙 Pair: ETH/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 1830.68
Take Profit: 1838.70 (+0.44%)
Stop Loss: 1830.28 (−0.02%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 20.05
🔹 Trade Context:
Entered during the London–New York session crossover, a time known for high volatility and volume.
EURUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025📊 Comprehensive Analysis – Multi-Layered Setup Based on LQ Close + Classic Liquidity Manipulation
✅ 1. Proper Reaction to 8H LQ Close Zone
Price reacted accurately to the 8-hour LQ Close zone. However, the 40% level of the ATI candle remains untouched. If price revisits this area, we can expect a potential sell setup, especially if we get confirmation through structure breaks, engulfing candles, or ATI invalidation.
🧠 2. Manipulation of Classic Liquidity Patterns (Trendline, Channel, Triangle)
We see a clean sweep of all classic retail patterns – trendlines, ascending/descending channels, and triangle breakouts. These acted as liquidity traps and were perfectly manipulated, representing Phase 1 and 2 inducements, similar to concepts in ICT and Vector strategies.
📈 3. Bullish Move From 1H LQ Close to Black Trendline
From the 1H LQ Close zone, we had a bullish impulse that pushed price toward the black trendline. However, this move failed to sustain due to a sharp drop caused by news, indicating it might have been a fakeout or part of an incomplete internal structure.
⚠️ 4. Suicide Level Below = Potential for Short-Term Reaction
There’s a key “suicide level” at the bottom of the chart – a high-probability zone for a quick bullish reaction. If price shows impulsive behavior or liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes, this level could push price back up to the 1H LQ Close zone.
🔁 5. If Suicide Level Fails → Watch for 4H LQ Close Zone to Act as Reversal Point
If the suicide level doesn't hold, we shift focus to the 4H LQ Close zone, which could act as a major reversal area. Look for bullish confirmations like order blocks, strong engulfing candles, or liquidity voids forming around that area.
🎯 Final Note:
This chart is a perfect example of how LQ Close zones across multiple timeframes, paired with classic liquidity traps and smart price action confirmation, can guide high-quality setups in the Phantom Pips style.
Right now, we’re waiting for a clear reaction from either:
The 40% ATI candle zone above → Sell opportunity
The 4H LQ Close zone below → Potential buy setup
USD/CHF: Bearish ForecastPrice is likely to retrace into the 0.83593 – 0.85750 demand zone or push higher into the FVG (0.8700 – 0.8800) before facing rejection. As long as price holds below these zones, the downtrend should continue, targeting new lows below 0.8100.
Bearish momentum remains intact unless price breaks above the FVG.
Long trade
1min TF entry
🗓 Date: Saturday, 3rd May 2025
⏰ Time: 6:13 AM
📍 Session: London AM
🪙 Pair: ETH/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 1822.33
Take Profit: 1835.93 (+0.75%)
Stop Loss: 1821.33 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 13.6
Trade Context:
Executed on the London session open, and I assume a high-probability window for momentum.
Price surged following a liquidity sweep and volume spike.
Long trade
15min TF overview
🗓 Date: Saturday, 3rd May 2025
⏰ Time: 4:30 AM
🪙 Pair: DOGE/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 0.17912
Take Profit: 0.17998
Stop Loss: 0.17901
Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.82
🔹 Trade Context:
Chart Timeframe: 15-Minute
Key Observations: Price filled a 1-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) before moving up.
Trade positioned just above a key demand zone / FVG confluence.
The target is aligned near the prior session liquidity area.
1min TF entry
NFLX Institutional Momentum Anchored in Multi-Decade ChannelNetflix (NFLX) has maintained a structurally intact long-term bullish momentum, consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the early 2000s. Price action has respected dynamic support and resistance levels within the channel, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows that validate the primary uptrend.
Following a breakout from a major resistance zone around 2023, the stock exhibited accelerated bullish momentum, aligning with internal demand structures and confirming institutional accumulation. Price is currently advancing toward the upper boundary of the long-term channel, with the projected target around 4,935, coinciding with channel confluence and historical extension levels.
As long as the price action maintains structural integrity above the key anchored support near 1,154, the prevailing trend remains decisively bullish. A clean break and close above the upper bound of the channel may trigger an extended rally, while any rejection at this level would likely result in a cyclical mean reversion toward mid-channel equilibrium.
Nasdaq 100 - Bull trap print begins circa April 30thThe Nasdaq 100 index is seriously oversold as market participants are gripped by fear. Understandable… however, markets do not crash in fear. Instead the opposite happens, counterintuitive as that sounds.
The Index shall continue display volatility until sellers are exhausted, which is around April 30th when the bottom shall print. So yeah, this week is probably going to suck what life remains of your account. However selling now is not in your best interest, I would argue the opposite. Let me explain why.
On the above daily chart the Nasdaq 100 death cross approaches, forecast to print on April 30th (the dotted lines). The death cross (On the Nasdaq 100 only) is defined as the 65 day Simple Moving average (blue line) crossing down the 240-day SMA with price action under the 240-day SMA.
Now the date has been changing a lot with recent volatility, to counter that behaviour the forecast for the cross uses the "Box Jenkins" forecast method (Ww is a data scientist and engineer specialising in probability theory and stochastic processes, will be adding the tool to my collection of scripts shortly!). Read more about Box Jenkins method here:
www.investopedia.com
Now I’m not normally a fan of moving averages, but on "looking left"… you’ll find me on the front row seat. I tell you all that to tell you this, look left. Look left at past death crosses using this method:
17% rally from death cross on March 15th, 2022
22% rally from death cross on December 18th, 2018
17% rally from death cross on February 16th, 2016
You get the picture. This behaviour continues to repeat with the previous ten death crosses until the print on October 12th, 2000, where the bull trap was followed by a market crash of 80%.
In terms of probability there is a 90% chance the death cross shall result in a positive rally. However, it is my guess many readers will place more weight on the 10% chance of a crash. That’s emotion, not reason! In fact if you scan over many of the published ideas on tradingview you'll notice the bearish slant is strong.
Is this time is different?
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There are no certainties, only probabilities. Price action could continue selling off following the cross to reach new lows. That said, this idea is to forecast a bull trap, not a continuation in the market uptrend. The probability favouring a rally is incredibly high. After that, not so good. Not good at all.
Price action forecast on rally
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Approximately 19.2 to 19.5k
Conclusions
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The market is oversold as emotions run high. History tells us It is unlikely the correction ramps up in momentum after the cross prints. However the cross can indicate the index may be about to enter a bear market should price action reject the 50-day SMA, which it is very likely. That’s for the next post!
Ww
Long trade
Silver (Micro) Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Friday, 25th April 2025, 10:00 AM (New York Time)
Pair: Silver (Micro)
Session: NY Session AM
Entry TF: 5-Minute
🔹 Entry: 32.905
🔹 Take Profit: 34.175 (+3.86%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 32.525 (–1.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.34
Trade Reasoning
Price reclaimed a key intraday support zone after a false breakdown in the NY open.
Still in structure! Yet to break! As we can see despite the strong upmove in first half, it couldn’t close above the given structure hence we can still wait for the proper breakout and sustainment above the given structure for unidirectional move so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.