MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Nasdaq
NASDAQ Bullish Monday (MMBM, Quarterly Theory) Hello guys, looking at the current weekly profile, as well as the 4h bullish outbreak, im expecting to see Monday pushing into my marked weekly Orderblock. This scenario is especially to my liking of a high probability for a London Reversal. I want to see London sweep Sell Side Liquidity and tap into a Discount Area.
A Long-term Bullish Trend ?With an upcoming Earnings report we can observe rather uncertain future behavior.
But since the trend has been bearish for a longer period of time and the price is "nearly" at the same position which was achieved for the first time in early April in 2019, we can, mostly based only on the technical analysis and Earnings report, determine quite confidently that the price is ready to rise.
Important data:
EPS Estimate: -$3.12
Revenue Estimate: $106 million to $166.7 million
Notable developments:
Cost-cutting initiative = Targeting $1.1B in reductions by 2027
By the end of 2024 $9.5 billion allocated in investments
$MAGS Repeating History? - Nasdaq Oscillator Flashes Caution📉 CBOE:MAGS (MAG 7 ETF) is showing striking similarities to its previous top, right before a 30% drop. Both price action and the Nasdaq Oscillator are echoing that same setup.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price has rallied into a confluence of resistance near the previous breakdown zone.
The Nasdaq Oscillator has returned to a historically high reading – the last time this happened, MAGS topped and dropped hard.
A similar structure could suggest a -30% move, targeting the $32–$33 range.
⚠️ Caution: We’re in a potential bull trap zone. Unless we break cleanly above the red trendline and consolidate, this rally may be short-lived.
🧠 Smart money may already be unloading into this strength.
ADMA Biologics, Inc. (ADMA) – Plasma Power with Policy TailwindsCompany Snapshot:
ADMA Biologics NASDAQ:ADMA is carving out a dominant position in plasma-derived immunotherapies, with a 100% U.S.-based supply chain that delivers both regulatory resilience and logistical strength in a vital healthcare segment.
Key Catalysts:
Strategic Domestic Advantage 🇺🇸
Fully U.S.-based manufacturing and supply chain
Aligns with national healthcare policy and reduces global exposure risk
Elite Healthcare Partnerships 🏥
Works with Mayo Clinic & Cleveland Clinic
Validates product quality and ensures recurring revenue streams
Strong Insider Conviction 📈
CEO Adam Grossman purchased $1.2M in stock
Insiders own 12%, showing long-term commitment
Plasma Therapy Demand on the Rise 🚨
Growing market for immune deficiency and infectious disease treatments
Reliable production scale + strategic partnerships = compounding value
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $19.00–$20.00
🚀 Target Range: $29.00–$30.00
🔑 Thesis: Fully domestic moat + institutional partnerships + insider alignment = high-conviction growth biotech
📢 ADMA: A rare mid-cap with stability, growth, and a policy-aligned advantage.
#BiotechStocks #PlasmaTherapy #Immunology #ADMA #InsiderBuying #HealthcareMoat
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse.
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1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution
Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression.
- The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone.
- Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now).
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2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box)
Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up.
- This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance.
- It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation.
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3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity)
The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains.
- Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry).
- Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing.
- It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting.
This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher.
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4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill
Price is forecasted to:
- Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity
- Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand
- Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout
This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling.
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5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback
While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation:
- No signs of aggressive selling below structure
- Current flow is corrective, not distributive
- FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE)
If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down.
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Conclusion:
This setup is textbook:
- Efficient rejection at resistance
- Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence
- Potential structural shift post-rebalance
Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
Nasdaq on Thin Ice? Smart Money is Bearish!📊 COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures
Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows.
Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce.
✅ COT Conclusion:
Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish.
🧠 Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade
📉 Structure:
Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation.
Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure.
🎯 My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP):
Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone
Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000
Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance
📈 Post-trade context:
Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700.
🧭 What’s Next?
🔹 If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup
🔹 If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500
✅ Trade Summary
🔥 Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply
🧠 Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence
🐻 Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
US30 Approaching Key Support Zone – Potential Reversal Ahead?📊 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: Looks like an intraday (maybe 1H or 2H).
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): 38,964.7
EMA 200 (Blue): 39,637.0
🔍 Key Levels & Structure:
🔵 Support Zone (Highlighted):
Around 36,800 – 37,200 range.
This is a well-tested support level where price previously bounced.
Current price action is approaching this zone again, which increases the chance of a potential bullish reaction.
🟣 Resistance Level:
Defined around 40,500 area.
Price has rejected multiple times from this zone.
Previously served as a consolidation/decision area.
📍 Focus Point (Previous Support Turned Resistance):
Near 38,700 – 39,000.
This level may act as a reaction point on the way back up.
📉 Current Price Action:
Strong downward momentum heading into the support zone.
Price is under both EMAs, suggesting short-term bearish trend.
However, the drawn arrow suggests a potential reversal bounce from the support.
🧠 Interpretation & Scenario Plan:
🅰️ Bullish Scenario:
Price touches or sweeps the support zone.
Bullish structure or reversal candle forms (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing).
Break back above EMA 50 & Focus Point could confirm the shift.
Target: Revisit Resistance Zone (above 40,000).
🅱️ Bearish Scenario:
Support fails to hold.
Clean break below 36,800 with volume could lead to accelerated sell-off.
Watch for breakdown retests of support turned resistance.
🔔 Takeaway:
⚠️ Current move is bearish, but price is approaching a key demand zone. Bulls might step in if the zone holds. Confirmation is key before going long. Reclaiming EMAs would strengthen bullish bias.
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels.
Current Situation:
The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322.
Conclusion:
The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
NASDAQ Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 19,400 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next.
Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic.
Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy.
We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
NASDAQ Breakout Done , 5oo Pips Waiting For Us , Are You Ready ?Here is my opinion on Nasdaq , we have a stop hunt very clear and then we have a very good breakout with amazing bearish candle , so i`m waiting for the price to go up a little to retest the broken support and new Res , and then we can enter with good bearish P.A And Targeting from 300 to 500 pips .
Upcoming Saia Earnings Announcement Draws Investor Attention Saia Inc. (NASDAQ:SAIA) is expected to release its first-quarter earnings soon, drawing investor attention amid recent downward revisions in analyst estimates. Wall Street forecasts earnings of $2.77 per share, marking an 18.1% decline from the same quarter last year. Revenue is projected to increase by 7.3% year-over-year to $810.08 million.
Over the past month, consensus EPS estimates have been revised down by 7.6%, reflecting a shift in analyst sentiment. These estimate changes are often used as signals to predict short-term stock movement.
Beyond the top and bottom lines, analysts have modeled key metrics to provide deeper insight into the company's performance. The operating ratio, a critical efficiency indicator in the transportation sector, is projected to rise to 87.6% from 84.4% a year earlier. A higher ratio suggests an increase in operating costs relative to revenue.
Analysts also expect Saia’s Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) revenue per hundredweight to drop to $24.75 from last year’s $26.51, signaling potential pricing pressure. Saia stock has declined 14.4% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500’s 8.9% drop. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting performance in line with the broader market.
Technical Analysis
Saia’s share price has broken below a key support level at $360, continuing a bearish trend. The next support lies near $258. All major moving averages are above the current price and sloping downward—50-day at $447, 100-day at $458, and 200-day at $404—confirming the downward momentum.
Analysts Revise Alaska Air Group Forecasts Ahead of EarningsAlaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings results after markets close on Wednesday, April 23. Analysts expect the airline to post a loss of $0.77 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.92 per share during the same period last year. Revenue is projected to come in at $3.16 billion, up from $2.23 billion a year earlier, according to Benzinga Pro.
The company last reported earnings on January 22, posting better-than-expected results for both revenue and earnings per share. As anticipation builds for the upcoming earnings call, several top analysts have adjusted their outlooks.
Barclays analyst Brandon Oglenski maintained an "Overweight" rating on April 8 but lowered the price target from $80 to $62. Susquehanna’s Christopher Stathoulopoulos, with a 74% accuracy rate, kept a "Positive" rating but cut the price target from $95 to $55 on April 7. UBS's Thomas Wadewitz downgraded the stock to "Neutral" from "Buy" and dropped the target from $75 to $54.
On March 18, Citigroup analyst Stephen Trent reaffirmed a "Buy" rating and slightly trimmed the price target from $83 to $81. JP Morgan’s Jamie Baker raised the target from $85 to $89 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating on March 3. On Tuesday, Alaska Air shares rose 2.93% to close at $44.94.
Technical Analysis
The stock found support near the $44 level, forming a potential base. If this support holds, ALK may target the $50 range or higher. However, a break below support could push the price down toward $40. All major moving averages are trending lower. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages stand at $57, $61, and $51, respectively, signaling ongoing bearish momentum.
Global Payments Inc. Hits 52-Week Low Amid Analysts DowngradeGlobal Payments Inc. (NYSE:GPN) dropped to a new 52-week low of $66.90 on Monday after Wells Fargo slashed its price target from $105.00 to $77.00. The firm issued an "equal weight" rating. Shares last traded at $67.22, down from the prior close of $69.46, with over 1.25 million shares changing hands.
Several other analysts also revised their targets. Barclays reduced its price from $125.00 to $110.00 and maintained an "overweight" rating. Citigroup cut its target slightly from $138.00 to $135.00 while retaining a “buy” recommendation. Morgan Stanley followed suit with a target cut from $166.00 to $163.00 and kept an “overweight” stance.
Evercore ISI began coverage with an “in-line” rating and set its target at $85.00. Meanwhile, Robert W. Baird lowered its price objective significantly from $145.00 to $100.00 while keeping an “outperform” rating.
MarketBeat data shows that 15 analysts currently rate the stock as a hold. Eleven analysts recommend buying, and one has issued a sell rating. The average consensus price target now stands at $117.36.
Technical Analysis
The daily chart highlights a sharp sell-off with high volume in April, pushing GPN below critical support. The price failed to hold the $92 level, breaking down with a gap and falling into oversold territory. Moving averages point to downward momentum. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages all hover above the current price.
RSI currently sits at 32.27, close to the oversold threshold. A minor bounce has occurred from the low, but resistance near $92 could cap gains. If selling pressure resumes, the price may revisit $66 or break lower towards $60.
Nasdaq 100 Prepares for Launch — Reclaiming Critical GroundNAS100 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 💻🧠
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — Structure is shifting bullish. Recent higher lows and strong rebounds from April lows confirm the current upward momentum. This is supported by 12/13 Moving Averages flashing BUY , including critical 50- and 200-period EMAs/SMA clusters. MACD and Momentum indicators also favor continued upside.
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES
22,248.00 — 🔴 SELL STOPLOSS | Final Pivot High
21,955.77 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 2
21,364.19 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 1
🎯 TARGETS & BUY ORDERS
21,065.42 — 🎯 TP4 | EXIT THE RALLY
19,989.54 — 🎯 TP3 | Momentum confirmation
19,291.55 — 🎯 TP2 | Mid Pivot Zone
18,286.55 — 🎯 TP1 | Initial Profit Target
17,258.99 — ✅ BUY ORDER 1
16,630.74 — ✅ BUY ORDER 2
16,335.10 — ✅ BUY STOPLOSS | Pivot Low
🟢 SUPPORT STRUCTURE
PIVOT LOW @ 18,286 — Support holding for now
PIVOT LOW @ 17,258 — Strong confluence with previous structure
BUY ORDER zones between 16,330 – 17,258 — Demand cluster for reversals
🤓 STRUCTURAL NOTES
MACD shows bullish divergence with a rising histogram and crossover confirmation Momentum (+694) and RSI (66.69) suggest strength, though nearing overbought territory Price has reclaimed 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA levels — rare alignment of major trend confirmation
Only outlier: Hull MA (9) signaling short-term overextension — may suggest brief consolidation before continuation
🌍 GLOBAL TECHNICAL SUMMARY
📊 12 of 13 Major Moving Averages = BUY
📈 MACD & Momentum Oscillators = BUY
🧭 Majority of Oscillators = Neutral — supporting a “calm before breakout” thesis ⚖️ CCI shows slight overbought = caution near resistance zones
📉 No major bearish divergence detected — trend remains intact
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📈 Bullish Bias above 18,286.55 (TP1) targeting 19,291.55 (TP2) and beyond
📉 Bearish rejection likely near 21,065+ if volume fades — monitor RSI/MACD
👀 Watch for volume confirmation as we approach 19,989.55
🧪 STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE BREAKOUT ENTRY:
— Entry: 18,286.55
— TP Levels: 19,291.55 / 19,989.55 / 21,065.42
— SL: Below 17,258.99
RISK-ON DIP BUY STRATEGY:
— Buy Zone: 16,630 – 17,258
— TP: 18,286.55 / 19,291.55
— SL: Below 16,335.10
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025
📈18210 18365
📉17910 17760
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough?
Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:US100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Barclays Raises TechnipFMC (FTI) Price Target to $43TechnipFMC (NYSE: NYSE:FTI ) closed at $31.23 on the previous trading day, staying close to its one-year high of $33.45. Evercore ISI analyst Jason Bandel maintained a Buy rating on the stock, setting a price target of $39. Meanwhile, Barclays reaffirmed its Buy rating with a higher target of $43 in a report dated March 26.
Currently, the consensus among Wall Street analysts rates TechnipFMC as a “Strong Buy.” The average price target stands at $37.22, suggesting an upside of 19.18% from current levels. The stock has an average daily trading volume of 4.33 million shares. TechnipFMC’s performance is under close watch, though analyst Jason Bandel has posted a -5.4% average return with a 31.58% success rate. He follows the energy sector, covering companies like Helmerich & Payne and NOV in addition to FTI.
Insider activity on the stock shows negative sentiment. Over the past quarter, 55 corporate insiders have sold shares. Earlier this month, Director Eleazar de Carvalho Filho sold 9,381 shares worth $279,178.56.
Technical Analysis
The stock recently bounced off a key support zone around $22, close to the 200-day moving average at $21.86. This bounce formed a bullish reversal setup. The price is now hovering near $25.20. If it holds this area, the next resistance is around the $28.00 level, followed by a possible move back toward its recent high of $33.45.
The volume profile shows increased buying near the bottom of the bounce, suggesting accumulation. RSI is around 42, indicating neutral momentum but potential for recovery if buying pressure continues. A break above $28 may signal continuation toward $33.45.