AUR OUTLOOK It is expected to hold at the long-term upward channel support. If the correction in the Nasdaq deepens, it may fall to around 1 dollar. Solid/strong closes should be seen, and a tight stop should be used.
No need to rush let's be patient :)
“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.'' -Warren Buffett
This is not financial advice.
Nasdaq
Nasdaq Slips as Traders Brace for Nvidia EarningsUSNAS100 | Overview
Traders remain firmly in risk-off mode as concerns grow over stretched AI and tech valuations ahead of Nvidia’s earnings, set for release after tomorrow’s market close.
Nvidia shares are already down about 1% in premarket trading, reflecting cautious sentiment across the tech sector.
At the same time, investors are watching for the resumption of key U.S. economic data, including the jobs report due Thursday, after recent shutdown-related delays.
There is growing worry that incoming data may discourage the Fed from delivering further rate cuts, adding pressure to equity markets.
Technically:
USNAS100 continues to trade under bearish pressure, and as long as the price remains below 24760, the downtrend is expected to continue toward 24575.
A break below 24575 would open the next bearish targets at 24340 and 24150.
To shift into bullish movement, the index must close a 1H candle above 24880, which would signal a rebound toward 25010 and 25230.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 24760
Support: 24575 · 24340 · 24150
Resistance: 24880 · 25010 · 25230
PLUG: recharged on the retest, or another fork with no voltage?PLUG tapped perfectly into the 1.85–2.00 zone - a clean confluence of the MA200, the ascending daily trendline, and the main support that launched the summer rally. Oscillators dipped into oversold, candles show buyer tails, and volume confirms defense of the level. As long as price holds above the trendline, the bullish scenario stands: breaking above 2.70 opens 3.36, and a move above 3.36 targets 4.58. The extended target at 6.56 requires a full breakout from the broader accumulation range.
Company: Plug Power is one of the key players in hydrogen fuel-cell technology, producing electrochemical systems, electrolyzers, and industrial energy solutions for logistics, manufacturing, and infrastructure.
Fundamentally , as of November 19, Plug remains pressured but gradually stabilizing. OPEX continues to decline, manufacturing efficiency improves, and the company expands partnerships in the green hydrogen ecosystem. Revenue volatility persists, but contraction slows, while new electrolyzer deployments build the future pipeline. Scaling production decreases unit costs, and margin improvements suggest the company is climbing out of the worst phase. Policy support and industrial demand keep hydrogen a long-term thematic growth story - though near-term risks remain.
Technically , the bullish structure holds above 1.85–2.00. A breakout above 2.70 activates 3.36, and strength above 3.36 brings the 4.58 target into play. Losing the MA200 risks a prolonged range, but current reaction shows buyers stepping in with precision.
Plug pretends it's collapsing, but really - it’s just plugging itself in for the next run.
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower.
Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts.
Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market.
This week’s NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility.
USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure.
If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000.
Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.
NASDAQ Signal : US 100 H1 / H4 : long !!!Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on NASDAQ ?
This correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity, with potential for a move back toward the recent highs.
NASDAQ ( US100 ) :
Market price : 24400
Buy limit 1 : 24200
buy limit 2 : 24000
Tp1 : 24600
Tp2 : 25000
Tp 3: 25700
Tp 4 : 26300
SL : 23700
Traders, Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Remember this is a position that was found by me and it is a personal idea not a financial advice, you are responsible for your loss and gain.
EUR/USD | Euro Preparing for a Bearish Reversal Zone! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see the price trading around 1.1590. I expect a small push upward first, followed by a potential rejection from the 1.16085–1.1640 zone. If we get a strong rejection there, a powerful bearish move could follow.
This bearish scenario only fails if the price breaks above 1.1660.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Nasdaq 100: Bulls on the Back Foot as 50DMA Gives WayOur Nasdaq 100 contract is looking heavy. Very heavy.
The price action has been increasingly unconvincing for bulls in November, culminating on Monday with the price closing beneath the 50-day moving average for the first time since April. That’s a noticeable departure from what was seen when tested in the recent past, with the price often reversing higher immediately after. Not on this occasion.
Should the price remain below the 50-day moving average, the next focal point is uptrend support that’s been in place for over six months. In each of the past two sessions the price has traded through the level only to reverse higher, attracting buyers on dips beneath 24650—that’s the battleground to watch in the near term.
If the price were to close beneath uptrend support and 24650, it would bolster conviction that a deeper downside flush may be coming, allowing for shorts to be established with a stop above the uptrend to protect against reversal. 24000 provided support and resistance earlier this year, making it a potential initial target.
Of course, should the price remain above the uptrend, the setup could be flipped with longs set above it or the 50DMA, should the price reclaim it. 25200, downtrend resistance from the record highs, or 25715 are all potential targets. Given the unconvincing price action recently, an obvious bullish reversal signal would be preferable before considering long setups.
The message from RSI (14) and MACD is tilted lower when it comes to directional bias, with the former trending beneath 50, indicating building bearish pressure. MACD remains in positive territory, although having already crossed the signal line from above, at the very least it’s indicating waning topside strength. Given its trajectory, it may soon confirm the bearish signal.
Good luck!
DS
MSTR – Approaching Major Support as Downtrend ContinuesMicroStrategy remains in a clear higher-timeframe downtrend, and if Bitcoin continues to weaken, NASDAQ:MSTR could slide further toward the next major support level — now sitting roughly 63% below its all-time high. This zone may act as a potential reversal area, especially if market sentiment stabilizes.
Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $170 – $180
• Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $280
🥈 $360
• Stop Loss: $122
NASDAQ Can the 1D MA50 give one more rally??Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and Friday saw the price breaking below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the pattern, but managed to close back above it for the 2nd time in a week (blue circles).
This resembles the September 02 break, which eventually also closed above it and initiated a +9.59% Bullish Leg. With the 1D RSI also testing a similar Support Zone with September's, we expect the index to initiate the new Bullish Leg, as long as it continues to close its daily candles above the 1D MA50.
Our Target is 26900 (+9.59%).
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NAS100 Trade Plan: Counter-Trend Opportunity Into Friday CloseI’m currently watching the NASDAQ NAS100 📊 and looking for a potential setup as we head into the Friday close. The market has pushed into the weekly low, and I’m anticipating the possibility of a retracement, which could offer a counter-trend opportunity during the New York session. 🚀📉📈 All details are broken down clearly in the video — this is not financial advice. ⚠️
LPX Weekly Outlook!LPX is currently on its weekly EMA! After starting its decline from $121, LPX is now approaching the long-term ascending channel support. At the same time, this region coincides with a horizontal support zone between $71–75, which could offer a good buying opportunity but it’s important to watch the price closely.
If the price closes below $70, levels around $48 could come into play. The stop loss should be placed at $67.
Wishing everyone profitable trades!
US100 | Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone — Targeting 25,200 LiqUS100 has reacted strongly from the 24,400–24,900 major demand zone, showing a sharp rejection and reclaiming structure. Price is now building momentum toward the 25,200 buy-side liquidity level.
A clean consolidation + breakout pattern is forming just below liquidity, indicating potential continuation to the upside.
Market Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bullish
Demand Zone: 24,400 – 24,900
Intraday Target: 25,201 liquidity zone
Extended Target: 25,722 (major buy-side liquidity)
Confirmation: Break & retest above 25,100
Invalidation: Clean break below 24,950
Mastercard (MA) Hits Key Cycle Top — Correction Incoming!🧠 Mastercard (MA) — In-Depth Multi-Framework Market Analysis
Mastercard’s long bull run has matured into a classic Wave 5 exhaustion.
Multiple frameworks agree: a deep corrective phase is likely ahead.
Understanding market structure, smart money moves, and Fibonacci levels can help you navigate this reset .
🌀 Wave Theory & Elliott Wave Context
Mastercard’s chart shows a clear completed 5-wave impulsive structure spanning roughly 15+ years, typical of a major secular bull cycle. The small sub-waves within Wave 5 suggest final exhaustion:
Wave 5 ending near key Fibonacci extensions signals an exhaustion climax.
After such extended waves, expect a significant corrective ABC pattern or even a complex correction resetting much of the prior gains.
The correction here is likely a large Wave 2 on the higher degree, meaning the retracement could be deep and prolonged, typically lasting multiple years.
📉 Market Structure Breakdown & Key Price Action Signals
Price has failed to push to new highs with conviction, showing lower highs and a breakdown of previous support levels.
This breakdown in market structure suggests the shift from an accumulation or markup phase to distribution and markdown.
Multiple wick rejections and volume spikes near highs imply liquidity sweeps and stop hunts by institutions, signaling transfer of risk.
Price action shows signs of fatigue — smaller candles, overlapping bars, and diminished momentum — classic exhaustion signals.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Institutional players often engineer liquidity grabs above key levels (stop hunts) to shake out retail participants.
The immediate reversal following those liquidity grabs is a hallmark of distribution , where "smart money" sells into retail enthusiasm.
The absence of strong demand at these levels reinforces the notion of a shift from bullish to bearish control.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels
Wave 5 terminated near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension , an extreme but well-documented exhaustion zone for extended impulses.
The retracement target aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (~$89–95) , the first major support for Wave 2 corrections.
More conservative estimates place support near 0.5–0.618 retracement , which historically mark deep correction zones in longer cycles.
These levels also coincide with significant prior consolidation zones, increasing their validity as support.
💼 Fundamental Context & Market Cycles
Mastercard’s underlying fundamentals remain solid, with strong revenue growth and market dominance.
However, market cycles are driven by liquidity and psychology — no fundamentally strong company is immune to price corrections during macro resets.
This correction could coincide with broader economic or sector rotation phases, impacting valuation multiples and capital flows.
🔮 Strategic Outlook & Trading Implications
Expect a multi-year correction phase , potentially volatile, with several retracements and consolidations along the way.
Patience is key: major Wave 2 corrections often shake out weak holders and reset risk/reward dynamics for the next bull phase (Wave 3).
Traders should look for confluence zones combining Fibonacci support, prior market structure, and volume profile for entries.
Watch for price action confirmation of a base formation before resuming a bullish stance.
💡 Key Takeaways for Traders
Long-term cycle completion means caution: avoid chasing new highs here.
Use Fibonacci and wave structure to anticipate price targets and exits.
Monitor volume and liquidity sweeps to identify distribution phases.
Be prepared for deep, sometimes painful corrections even in high-quality stocks.
Focus on risk management and position sizing during volatile cycle resets.
Stay ahead of the market — follow for advanced wave counts, Fibonacci setups, and smart money insights.
Comment 👇 your ticker to get a personalized deep-dive analysis next! 🚀
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional before trading.
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UNH Liquidity Grab Signals Cycle Reversal - Are you ready?A multi-decade bull cycle doesn’t end quietly.
UNH’s Wave 5 has reached exhaustion, and the chart is finally revealing what the next macro chapter might look like.
When price, structure, Fibonacci geometry, and smart money behavior all align — the market is speaking.
🌀 Wave Theory
UNH has completed a full 5-wave macro cycle , with Wave 5 extending unusually far. Extended fifth waves often lead to deep corrections as the trend matures.
🔍 Market Structure
For the first time in years:
higher highs stopped forming
internal structure broke
price failed to reclaim the breakdown
These are early signs of long-term reversal.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts
Institutional behavior is visible at the top:
liquidity sweeps above prior highs
distribution in premium pricing
immediate sell-offs after stop hunts
These are not accumulation behaviors.
📈 Price Action
Wicks, compression, and fading demand show exhaustion.
Large inefficiencies remain unfilled far below current price — and markets revisit these over time.
📊 Fibonacci Geometry
Wave 5 halted nearly at the 2.618 extension , a textbook termination point.
Retracement zones at 0.382–0.5 match the likely landing zone for a large ABC correction.
🔮 Takeaway
Even fundamentally strong companies undergo cycle resets.
This setup suggests UNH may be entering a multi-year corrective phase , fully consistent with long-term market cycles and technical exhaustion.
If you found this breakdown valuable, follow for more multi-timeframe analysis, wave theory insights, and institutional-level charting.
Drop your tickers in the comments 👇 — We’ll analyze the next one 📊🔥
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Is This the Last Dip Before CoreWeave’s Next Leg Up? Fundamental View:
CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) remains one of the most watched AI-infrastructure plays, powering GPU cloud services used by NVIDIA, OpenAI, and multiple large-scale AI firms.
Recent billion-dollar expansions with both partners have reinforced its role as a backbone for AI compute, but after a parabolic rally, valuations look stretched — making any retracement zone highly valuable for accumulation.
Technical View:
Price clearly respected the short-term FVG and swept buyside liquidity at $149.50, closing the weekly candle below it — a classic sign of a liquidity sweep and potential correction.
The drop toward $84.55 tagged the sell-side liquidity and entered a major FVG + OTE golden zone (range $93–$65).
This aligns with the Fibonacci discount area from the previous impulse move, creating a high-probability reaction zone if bullish confirmation appears in the coming weeks.
Outlook:
If we see a strong bullish weekly candle from this level, it could signal the last discounted price range before CoreWeave re-enters its expansion phase.
However, failure to hold above this golden zone could invite deeper retracement.
Patience and confirmation are key before scaling in — this may genuinely be the “last chance to get CoreWeave”, but as always, DYOR and manage risk.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
TMUS – Trendline Break & Bounce From Support Zone🔍 Quick Summary
I’m seeing T‑Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) break a long-term descending trendline and bounce off a key support region. The chart suggests a breakout scenario where I expect price to push toward the strong high near $260 (≈ +20% upside).
⸻
📊 Deep Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe, TMUS formed a clear down-sloping trendline that has held resistance on multiple touches (three orange circles). Each successive rejection appears weaker, indicating bearish momentum is fading.
• The price recently broke above the trendline and found support again in the green zone around $214-$216, which aligns with past structure (a strong demand region).
• The big projected move (~$44 to $260) corresponds to previous swing highs and structural liquidity. That aligns with typical “liquidity above weak high” mechanics.
• From a fundamental angle: T-Mobile has delivered strong results — in Q4 it beat earnings and subscriber growth expectations and raised guidance for 2025, which supports a bullish bias.  Also, it launched a new fibre service with a 5-year price lock and is expanding its satellite messaging offering, which strengthens future growth potential. 
• Since the chart shows a low risk (stop-loss) around the support zone and big reward potential toward the strong high, this setup meets favourable risk-reward criteria.
⸻
🎯 Trade Idea Scenario
Bullish Scenario
• Entry: Around ~$214–$216 support zone (preferably on confirmation of trendline retest or bullish price action)
• Target 1: ~$245–$250 (intermediate structure)
• Target 2: ~$260 (strong high liquidity zone)
• Stop-Loss / Invalidation: Below ~$202-$200 (if price breaks below support, setup invalidated)
Bearish Scenario
• If price fails to hold support and closes below ~$202-$200, risk opens toward ~$180 or lower support regions. In that case, bearish momentum resumes and the upside target no longer valid.
⸻
📌 What I’m Watching Next
• Candlestick reaction around the trendline retest: a strong bullish close would validate breakout.
• Volume: higher volume on breakout confirms strength; low volume may signal a fake.
• Support break below ~$202-$200 would cancel the bullish case and shift focus to downside.
• Fundamentals: any new update on fibre rollout, satellite service, or earnings could trigger acceleration.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage your risk carefully. 📉📚
eBay’s Hidden Cycle | Correction Now, Explosion Next🔍 eBay (EBAY) – Full Spectrum Analysis
(Fundamentals + Elliott Waves + SMC + Market Structure + Fibonacci Confluence + Market Cycle)
eBay may be completing a major Wave 3 and entering a large corrective structure (W–X–Y) before a massive long-term Wave 5 rally toward the 2.618 extension (~$450) . This aligns surprisingly well with fundamentals and market behavior.
Let’s break this down clearly. 👇
📌 1. Fundamental Overview – “Stable but Slow” 💼
eBay is fundamentally a mature, cash-flow rich, low-growth digital marketplace . It’s not a hyper-growth tech stock anymore—more like a cash generator with strategic share buybacks.
⭐ Strengths
Strong free cash flow 🚰
Aggressive share repurchases (shrinking share count = upward EPS pressure)
Stable margins due to marketplace model, not inventory-heavy
Healthy balance sheet compared to most e-commerce peers
⚠️ Weaknesses
Sluggish revenue growth
Marketplace competition (Amazon, Walmart Marketplace, niche platforms)
Limited innovation compared to its early-2000s era
Sensitive to consumer spending cycles
🧭 Interpretation
Fundamentals support a long consolidation / corrective phase rather than a trend collapse. eBay isn’t dying—it’s simply slow and stable , perfect for a long drawn-out Elliott correction before a major cycle expansion (Wave 5).
🌊 2. Elliott Wave Theory
It demonstrates:
Wave 1 – early 2000 breakout
Wave 2 – deep correction following dot-com bust
Wave 3 – huge multiyear advance 2008–2025 (strongest wave ✔️)
Now entering Wave 4 – a complex W–X–Y correction
Projection: Wave 5 at 2.618 ext (~$450) – extremely reasonable for a long-term cycle top
Why this fits Elliott Wave perfectly:
Wave 3 is extended (very normal for tech).
Wave 4 is usually complex , time-consuming, messy.
Wave 5 often reaches 2.618 Fib extension when Wave 3 is extended.
This is a textbook count. 📘🔥
🔐 3. Smart Money Concepts – “Distribution → Accumulation → Expansion”
Looking at price behavior leading into 2024–2025:
🔴 Distribution Signs (near Wave 3 top)
Choppy, wick-heavy candles
Liquidity hunts above equal highs
Failure to sustain breakout levels
Bearish divergence on volume
This shows institutions unloading at premium prices.
🟡 Expected: Accumulation Phase (your W–X–Y)
Wave 4 = the zone where smart money loads up quietly before a big cycle advance.
Expect:
Sweeps of lows
Long wicks down
Tight ranges after capitulation
Volume spikes at bottoms
🟢 Expansion (Wave 5)
Once the long correction completes, smart money typically drives a massive markup—the Wave 5.
📉 4. Price Action & Market Structure
🔻 Structure Turning Bearish Temporarily
It shows:
Loss of trendline support
Lower highs forming
Price failing at the 1.618 extension → classic Wave 3 exhaustion
So yes, Wave 4 correction is structurally valid.
🔻 Support Levels of Interest
These align beautifully with W and Y targets:
0.382 retracement → mid-correction support
0.5 retracement → perfect W–Y completion zone
These fibs are exactly where long-cycle Wave 4 structures tend to land.
📐 5. Fibonacci Confluence
All fib levels match long-term cycle behavior:
✨ Key Confluences
1.618 = Wave 3 termination (hit)
0.382 and 0.5 retracements = Wave 4 corrective basins
2.618 extension = Wave 5 terminal projection (~$450)
The 2.618 target has high probability if Wave 4 remains orderly .
🔄 6. Market Cycle Psychology
Right now eBay is in the late-complacency → early anxiety phase.
We can map it like this: [/b
Euphoria (Wave 3) → everyone bullish
Complacency → “the dip will be bought”
Anxiety → price begins trending down
Fear → W wave leg
Doubt / Despair → Y wave completion
Hope / Belief / Thrill → early Wave 5
Euphoria → Wave 5 top
This fits our projected cycle perfectly.
🎯 7. Final Take – Summary
This eBay chart i s one of the cleanest long-term Elliott counts we’ve seen. The scenario we’re mapping is not only technically sound, but supported by fundamentals, smart money behavior, fib confluence, market structure, and economic cycles .
eBay is not a rocket ship right now. It’s a maturing, slow-growth platform entering a long correction (Wave 4). But that correction is setting the stage for a massive, multi-year Wave 5 that could take the stock to its all-time highest valuations.
In other words:
👉 Wave 3 is done.
👉 Wave 4 is coming — slow, corrective, messy, multi-year.
👉 Wave 5 will be explosive once correction completes.
This is a very natural long-term market rhythm for a mature tech company like eBay.
Save this post before the move happens!
Drop a comment: Bullish or Bearish on eBay?👇
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and reflects our personal opinion, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. We are not responsible for any profits or losses. Trade safe and manage your risk. 📉📈
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NAS100 8H - real correction or just another dramatic rehearsal?NAS100 held the 24850–25000 demand zone with precision, forming a classic false break followed by a sharp recovery back into the rising channel. Volume expansion on the reversal, strong lower wicks, and sustained support at the dynamic trendline all signal that the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. The path toward 26300 inside the channel stays open, and a breakout above this level unlocks the next target at 27300 - the upper boundary of the current impulse.
The NAS100 index represents the core of the US tech sector, reflecting demand for IT, cloud infrastructure, AI technologies, communication platforms, and high-growth digital companies.
Fundamentally , the backdrop on November 15 strengthens the bullish case: the market continues to price in a softer Fed stance, bond yields are easing, major tech companies are raising guidance, and demand for AI-driven solutions remains stable. With inflation trending into a manageable range and expectations for improved credit conditions rising, liquidity is rotating into high-beta assets, providing structural support and limiting corrective depth. Strong margins, solid earnings and resilient tech demand continue to anchor the broader uptrend.
As long as price holds above 24850–25000, the bullish scenario remains active. A confirmed breakout above 26300 opens the way toward 27300. Any controlled pullback into 24850–25000 remains a buy zone within the prevailing trend.
NASDAQ likes to overact, but more often than not it’s simply warming up before the next performance.
Doge Coin 0.06$ inc soon lolHey guys,
Doge coin has been sleeping for a while and its going to wake up soon but first price needs to
Touch down on the key FIB level at 0.06$ which is in my opinion the safest entry price.
We might see a small pump to 0.20$ first but after that 0.06$ is a magnet so don't be fooled
When it pumps a little in the upcoming days.
Let me know what do you guys think about this.






















