Nasdaqsignals
NAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market AnalysisNAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market Analysis
Technical Analysis
1. Breakout Above Trend Line:
• The NAS100 has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trend line, signaling a reversal from bearish momentum to bullish strength.
• This breakout is further supported by sustained bullish candles, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
2. Key Resistance Levels Breached:
• The price recently broke above a significant resistance level at 21,500, turning it into a support zone.
• With this key resistance cleared, the next target levels are 21,750 and 22,000 in the short term.
3. Support Levels:
• Strong support is visible around 21,400, which aligns with the trendline retest and consolidation area.
• The 21,150 level provides additional downside protection, serving as a critical pivot.
4. Momentum Indicators:
• Stochastic Divergence: Momentum remains bullish, with no signs of overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement.
• Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by increased volume, validating the strength of the upward move.
Market Analysis
1. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration:
• Markets often react positively to pro-business policies, which are historically associated with Trump’s administration.
• Investor sentiment today is driven by expectations of renewed focus on technology growth, infrastructure spending, and potential tax cuts. These policies directly benefit tech-heavy indices like NAS100.
2. Tech Sector Performance:
• The NAS100 heavily relies on major tech companies, which are likely to see increased investment flows due to optimism about innovation and deregulation.
3. Speculative Sentiment:
• Political transitions fuel short-term speculative buying, further adding to the index’s upside momentum.
Buy Opportunity
1. Entry Zone:
• Current price levels around 21,500–21,550 present a strong buying opportunity, as this zone has become a solid support after the breakout.
2. Target Levels:
• Short-term target: 21,750.
• Medium-term target: 22,000, aligning with psychological resistance and historical price zones.
3. Stop Loss:
• Place a stop loss below the support level at 21,400, allowing room for minor pullbacks while limiting downside risk.
Conclusion
The NAS100 is positioned for further upside due to the trendline breakout, strong technical setup, and positive market sentiment fueled by Trump’s inauguration. Buyers should focus on buying dips near support zones to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum.
NASDAQ Reversal: Bullish Patterns AlignThe NASDAQ, after enduring bearish pressure, is beginning to exhibit signs of bullish momentum at a significant daily support level. A combination of technical signals, including a bullish divergence, the completion of an ABCD pattern, and the formation of a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, points toward a potential reversal. A confirmed breakout above the neckline could validate further bullish momentum, presenting an attractive buy opportunity at 21,056. A strategically placed stop loss at 20,521 allows for adequate room to account for market fluctuations.
NASDAQ Major Lower Highs break-out just took place!Nasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above the Lower Highs trend-line that started more than a month ago on the December 16 2024 High that initiated the recent correction. This has technically been a Bearish Leg within the +2 year Channel Up and every time such a structure broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, a strong rally followed.
At the same time, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 neutral level and out of the 9 previous time this took place, it only failed to produce an immediate rally 2 times.
We technically see that the current Bullish Leg that started on the August 05 2024 Low, isn't over yet, so we still expect it to complete a +47% to +48% rise before a stronger correction. As a result, our Target is 25000.
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US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
OUR TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQAs I said in the previous post, I didn't share today's trades, since my clients and I focused on recovering the losses silently without sharing the trades to public.
Our entry was after we got a reversal point in which we entered and targeted the PVL inside of the liquidity zone.
Follow for more!
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured
On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point.
The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory.
This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets.
All the best!
Namaste.
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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Potential bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 20,941.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 21,195.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 20,573.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS100 - lets focus on recoveryTeam,
Yesterday, we got DOW to hit two targets. and 3 target short for the DAX
We are now entering long at 21076-85 ranges
STOP LOSS at 21035 or extend to 20987
Target 1 at 21112-26 - NOTE: once it hits our first target range, take partial and bring stop loss to BE.
Target 2 - 21187-95 - I would prefer to take this target as confident.
Target 3 - 21286-21332
NAS100 - TIME FOR ENTER THE TRADE LOOKING FOR RECOVERYTeam,
Again, I hope you have a fantastic new year and lets kill the BEAST (market) together
I found a good entry for NAS 100 at 21185-92
STOP LOSS at 21050 or 21105
Target 1 at 21236-57
Target 2 at 21315-45
Target 3 at 21385-21425
NOTE: Please ensure you take your partial once it hits the first target range of 21236-57. Please bring STOP LOSS to BE to secure the trade
NASDAQ rebounding strongly on its 1D MA50. 1 month rally ahead.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and hit last Tuesday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly on the Channel's bottom. Even though it marginally broke it, the 1D candle closed exactly on the 1D MA50, causing a strong bullish Friday reaction.
As today opened equally green, we technically view this sequence as the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, which may be confirmed today if the 1D RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line), as both previous Bullish Legs did.
Our Target is 22600, which represents a +9.00% rise, the minimum a Bullish Leg had within this Channel Up.
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NASDAQ headed into a volatile January but uptrend remains intactNasdaq (NDX) is yet again testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the direct hit of December 20. Despite the pull-back, it is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
Until we get a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern remains intact and the strategy is to continue buying into the current Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg has been trading above its 1D MA50 since September 12, it is not unlikely to see a correction below it.
Technically, it could be similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), as we are trading within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. This means that one more rise above the 0.382 Fib is to be expected in the first week of January but it is likely to then see a correction for the rest of the month below the 1D MA50 into the first 2 weeks of February.
If after that, the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA200 levels hold, we expect the Bullish Leg to resume the uptrend and target 25300. That would be a rise of around +48%, which is the % rise of both previous Bullish Legs.
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"US100 / NASDAQ 100 / US TECH" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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NAS100 go to 230001. NAS100 has risen for three consecutive days and closed above the midline of the trendline.
2. Resistance is expected near 22140, with a potential pullback. Support during the pullback is still anticipated around the trendline midline. If the daily close fails to hold above this level, the outlook turns bearish toward 20750.
3. If the pullback finds support at the trendline midline (around 21400), the bullish momentum is likely to continue, potentially reaching a new high of 23000 before pulling back toward 20750.
4. The key level to watch is the trendline midline support (or around 21400).