$NFLX one last pump before falling further?NASDAQ:NFLX looks like it's setting up for a reversal here. I could see one last move higher into the $113-117 range as a final rally before heading lower.
We've formed a higher low on the $94.25 support level. Options flows starting to look bullish. Let's see if we get one final move higher into end of the year or early January.
Netflix
Netflix stock forecast analysis for the end of 2025Netflix stock end of 2025 forecast analysis.
Netflix american stock has reached a decent and strong monthly imbalance trading at $98 per share. Let's see if the streaming company wants to move to higher prices before the end of 2025. The bullish impulse is made of strong bullish candlestick bodies created between April and June 2025. It took a few months to pull back but Netflix is there now.
$NFLX #Netflix Outlook [High Margins, Low Debt, High Growth]NASDAQ:NFLX is attempting to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD). The stock has dropped roughly 31% from its highs. In big acquisitions, the stock of the company doing the buying usually drops because investors worry they are overpaying or taking on too much complexity. The fact that a bidding war is starting with Paramount adds uncertainty.
Strengths:
PEG is 1.14
Netflix is a consumer growth stock. Finding a tech giant growing earnings at 25%+ per year (EPS next 5Y is 25.64%) trading at a PEG of 1.1 is rare. The recent price drop has made the valuation very attractive relative to its growth.
Debt/Eq is 0.66
Netflix has very manageable debt. This gives them the power to make bold moves, like trying to buy Warner Bros without risking bankruptcy.
Profit Margin is 24.08
For every dollar of subscription money they take in, they keep 24 cents as pure profit. This is high for a media company that spends billions on content creation. It shows their business model has fully matured.
Weaknesses
If Netflix wins the war for WBD, they have to integrate a massive, legacy media company. This is messy, expensive, and dilutes existing shareholders. If they lose the war to Paramount, the stock might bounce back, but they lose a strategic asset. Uncertainty kills stock prices!
IMO, Netflix's problems are strategic which is a merger drama, not structural.
Not an investment advice, DYOR!
#AHMEDMESBAH #Stocks #NFLX #NETFLIX
Netflix - This stock will drop another -30%!📽️Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is still totally bearish:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of months ago, Netflix retested a major resistance trendline. This was a clear sign for us to take profits and Netflix has already been dropping about -30%. Looking at structure, the next support is the previous all time high, meaning Netflix will drop another -30%.
📝Levels to watch:
$70
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Netflix Paramount - Acquisition war - What You need to know. Netflix is selling off because it announced a massive, high‑risk acquisition of major Warner Bros. Discovery assets — and the market hates the price, the leverage, and the regulatory risk.
The bid is in the range of $72-$82 Billion.
Trump tweeted last night putting the deal under scrutiny.
This tweet comes on the back of Paramount Skydance announcing a hostile take over bid $108B of warner bros discovery. Trumps son in law Jared Kushner hold private equity in Para and would benefit from the takeover.
Netflix is sitting pretty as the stock has sold off in anticipation of higher cap ex. If the deal doesn't go through it will likely rebound.
Netflix wont have to pay the 5.8 Billion break up fee if WBD board votes down their deal. In fact Netflix will receive $2-$3 Billion.
Netflix to Acquire Warner Bros: Effect on NFLX SharesNetflix to Acquire Warner Bros: Effect on NFLX Shares
A major development in the stock market is the news that Netflix is buying the assets of Warner Bros. Discovery for $82.7 billion. How might this influence the price of NFLX shares?
To assess the outlook, context is essential.
In the second half of October, a bearish gap appeared on the NFLX chart following a disappointing earnings report. On 24 October, we noted that the price might find support near the lower boundary of the established trend channel. Indeed, the price staged a modest recovery (as shown by arrow 1), but the upper edge of the gap acted as resistance.
In mid-November, Netflix (NFLX) carried out a stock split – traditionally viewed as a bullish signal for retail investors. Splits typically make shares more affordable and often lift prices on expectations of fresh liquidity. However, the share price moved lower instead (as indicated by arrow 2).
As a result:
→ the ascending channel was extended downwards, giving greater prominence to the downward trajectory (marked in red);
→ Netflix shares continued to underperform the broader equity market.
Against this backdrop, the mega-deal to acquire Warner Bros. may raise serious concerns for NFLX shareholders:
→ Dilution effect. To finance the deal, Netflix will issue new shares, which dilutes earnings per share (EPS). Existing shareholders effectively receive a smaller portion of the company’s profits.
→ Financial strain. The vast cost of the acquisition worsens Netflix’s financial metrics, increases debt-servicing expenses, and reduces the overall attractiveness of NFLX shares.
→ Regulatory scrutiny. A Netflix–Warner Bros. merger creates a giant controlling nearly half of the streaming market. President Trump has already suggested it could raise antitrust issues.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that rising risks and uncertainty may continue to weigh on Netflix shares – and although the psychological $100 level may act as support, traders should not rule out the possibility that NFLX will continue to move within the downward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NETFLIX ($NFLX): Key Technical Zone With Strong ConfluenceNETFLIX ( NASDAQ:NFLX ): Key Technical Zone With Strong Confluence
Netflix has retraced to a notable support area after reaching an all-time high on June 30th, 2025. The current structure suggests a potential continuation of the long-term bullish trend, supported by technical and fundamental developments.
Why This Zone Matters
The current price region aligns with multiple significant technical factors:
1. Ascending Trendline Support
This trendline originated in mid-October 2023 and has repeatedly acted as a strong support throughout the uptrend.
2. $100 Psychological Price Level
Round numbers often serve as key decision zones for market participants, influencing order flow and trader sentiment.
3. Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Zone
This level aligns closely with the trendline and psychological level, adding strength to the support.
4. Multi-Factor Confluence
The combination of the trendline, Fibonacci level, and psychological support creates a high-value technical confluence area, often associated with trend continuation or major reversals.
Market Catalyst
Recent reports of Netflix acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery add a potential fundamental driver supporting bullish momentum.
Trade Plan
Entry $100
Take Profit 1 $126
Take Profit 2 $133
Stop Loss $92
Risk-to-Reward (TP1) 1:3.3
Risk-to-Reward (TP2) 1:4
This trade plan is based on the TA that price respects the current support confluence and resumes upward momentum.
Trade with care. Please like, share your thoughts, and kindly follow me.
Breaking: Netflix to Acquire Warner Bros Inc (WBD) is up 3.7%In a shocking turn of event, Netflix is set to acquire Warner Bros Inc. (WBD).
Netflix announced that it will acquire the HBO Max streaming service as well as the Warner Bros. film studio from Warner Bros. Discovery. The deal values the company at $27.75 per share, which implies a $72 billion equity valuation for the assets. The company will also assume $10.7 billion in net debt on Warner Bros. Discovery's balance sheet.
The acquisition is a cash-and-stock deal. Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders will receive $23.50 in cash for each share they own, plus $4.50 in Netflix stock.
Netflix investors should be aware that the company is financing this deal primarily with debt. In addition to the $10.7 billion in net debt the acquired company brings, Netflix is taking on an additional $50 billion in debt to fund the purchase.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, NASDAQ:WBD is up 3.44% breaking out of a bullish symmetrical triangle as the stock eyes the $50 resistant zone. However, with the RSI at 74 possible drawback might occur before the leap.
About WBD
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Studios, Network, and DTC. The Studios segment produces and releases feature films for initial exhibition in theaters; produces and licenses television programs to its networks and third parties and direct-to-consumer services; distributes films and television programs to various third parties and internal television; and offers streaming services and distribution through the home entertainment market
NETFLIX - Bottom is in?NASDAQ:NFLX
The bottom looks close based on this weekly chart.
- Deeply oversold RSI
- Bounced off the POC in anchored volume profile
- W%R deeply oversold and starting to curl up
Overall, the acquisition of WBD is expensive, but Netflix is playing the long game.
This provides content as far as the eye can see with the addition of DC, GoT series, and more.
Overall it's a blockbuster, but I feel NFLX reaching a $1T market cap is inevitable... currently sitting sub $500B.
Netflix’s $70B Bid: The End of the Streaming Wars?Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is rewriting the global media playbook. The streaming titan has submitted a binding, predominantly cash offer to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD). This $70 billion maneuver marks a definitive pivot from disruptive builder to dominant consolidator. Management now signals that securing the next decade of dominance requires buying the industry’s most established moats.
Macroeconomics: The Power of Cash
Financial maturity drives this aggressive acquisition strategy. In a high-interest-rate environment, cash offers reign supreme. Netflix utilizes its fortress balance sheet to outmaneuver the rival Paramount Skydance consortium. While competitors propose complex stock swaps, Netflix offers WBD shareholders immediate liquidity and a defined exit price. With a projected Free Cash Flow of $9 billion for 2025, the company can service the necessary bridge loans without jeopardizing operations.
Geostrategy: The Regulatory Battlefield
The acquisition’s greatest threat lies in Washington, not Wall Street. White House officials have flagged concerns regarding media consolidation. However, Netflix utilizes a sophisticated geostrategic argument. The company contends it competes against trillion-dollar ecosystems like Apple and Amazon, not just legacy studios. By framing the merger as essential for surviving against Big Tech, Netflix aims to navigate the Department of Justice’s antitrust maze.
Industry Trends: Buying Cultural Infrastructure
Netflix is purchasing history, not just content. The deal secures the DC Universe, Harry Potter, and the historic Warner Bros. Studio lot. These assets represent "cultural infrastructure" that original production spend cannot replicate. Data from WBD’s Q3 2025 earnings confirms the value here: theatrical revenue surged 74% driven by franchise hits. This allows Netflix to diversify revenue streams into box office and merchandising at an unprecedented scale.
Technology & Cyber: The Traffic Signal
Platform stability remains a key indicator of consumer demand. The recent premiere of *Stranger Things* Season 5 crashed the platform, causing widespread outages. While technically a failure, Wall Street interprets this cyber-stress test as a bullish signal. It proves organic engagement is explosive. Integrating WBD’s library into this high-traffic ecosystem leverages Netflix’s proprietary delivery architecture to maximize viewership of dormant assets.
Management & Leadership: The Strategic Pivot
Netflix leadership is executing a calculated evolution. For 15 years, the strategy focused on building IP from scratch. Now, the C-suite recognizes that acquiring established franchises is the fastest route to a defensible moat. This assertiveness reflects confidence. With a market cap of roughly $460 billion, they are acquiring WBD because they can, not because they must to survive.
Data Science & Innovation: The Algorithmic Multiplier
The true value unlocked lies in data science. Netflix’s proprietary recommendation algorithms will likely revitalize WBD’s deep library. Merging WBD’s content with Netflix’s user data creates a powerful feedback loop. This "algorithmic multiplier" ensures that back-catalog titles achieve higher engagement on Netflix than they ever could on standalone platforms. This technological synergy justifies the premium paid for the assets.
Conclusion: A New Media Era
Netflix is positioning itself to own the entire entertainment ecosystem. The deal eliminates a key competitor and secures irrefutable IP dominance. While the $109 stock price held firm, the long-term thesis has shifted. Netflix is no longer just a tech platform; it is becoming the definitive media empire of the 21st century.
Netflix: Long-Term Buy Zone in Focus Netflix shares have recently turned lower, moving towards our previously identified long-term entry zone between $96.27 and $75.19. Within this range, we expect the low of the turquoise wave 4 to form, setting the stage for the ongoing upward impulse in wave 5 to push past resistance at $134.11. In a new alternative scenario, there is a 30% probability that the beige wave alt.IV could establish a lower low below $81.27, though it would still remain within the long-term entry zone
NFLX — Bullish Structure Above 32.65 with Target at 154.29Summary:
Netflix (NFLX) maintains a broader bullish structure as long as price holds above the major key support at 32.65. Current retracement remains healthy within the Fibonacci levels, and buyers are still defending the mid-range supports.
Analysis:
Price is currently consolidating between the 0.5 Fib (85.28) and the 0.75 Fib (119.79) after a strong impulsive rally from the 32.65 base. The inability of bears to break below 32.65 confirms this zone as a long-term structural support. As long as price stays above this level, deeper bearish continuation remains unlikely.
A reclaim above 119.79 (0.75 Fib) would reopen the path toward 140.49 (0.9 Fib) and ultimately the major target at 154.29 (1.0 extension).
On the downside, a corrective pullback toward 71.48 (0.4 Fib) remains possible but does not invalidate the bullish macro trend unless 32.65 is broken.
Netflix Down After Earning, But Its Hunting SupportNetflix is coming down after earnings and is currently trading more than 10% lower. Whenever we see such a sharp reversal, it’s important to zoom out and look at the broader trend. From the 2023 lows, there is still a very strong and impulsive recovery, so this could be just a temporary deeper corrective pause before the uptrend resumes.
In Elliott Wave terms, it looks like a potential fourth wave retracement that could start to stabilize somewhere around the previous wave three high near the 1060 area, or possibly a bit lower, closer to the 1K level. This whole zone could be quite attractive for a rebound, especially since some of the gaps above the current price may still be filled — something that often happens when a stock remains in an uptrend.
In my view, there’s still a good chance for a nice recovery and continuation higher in the weeks to come.
Grega
Highlights:
Trend: Bullish (consolidation in wave four approaching support)
Support: 1060, 1000
Resistance: 1260
Note: Stock can stabilize after wave 4 and try to fill the earnings gap at some point in the future.
NETFLIX 23-year pattern started a correction. Could be massive.A month ago (October 14, see chart below) we published the following chart on Netflix (NFLX) calling for a strong correction, but the immediate split has distorted the price:
We thought it would be a good time to publish it again with the current price action and with the addition of its 23-year Channel Up, so that people can have a much better understanding of the multi-year dynamics involved.
As you can see, the price has been rejected 4 months ago on the 7-year Internal Higher Highs trend-line that started on June 2018. Both previous rejections on that trend-line hit at least the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), the 2022 one even broke below the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and almost touched the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
Both those rejections, as well as the current one, had another two things in common. A 1M MACD Bearish Cross and a 1M RSI bearish reversal from overbought (>70.00) territory. Those tops are fairly accurately displayed by the use of the time cycles. Even from the very start of this 23-year Channel Up.
As a result, this model suggests that the stock has clearly topped and is entering a Bear Cycle or at least a correction to the 1W MA100. That is why our first Target is at $88.00. If the market closes a 1M candle below the 1W MA100, as in January 2022, September 2011, August 2004 (all same Cycle Top conditions as described above), we even expect a deeper correction towards the bottom of the 23-year Channel Up. In that case our Target will be $58.00, potentially making contact with the 1M MA100.
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Netflix (NFLX) - Elliott Wave Map to $25K📘 Netflix (NFLX) – The Final Act of Supercycle Wave III, Setting the Stage for Wave V to $25,000+
Symbol: NASDAQ:NFLX
Timeframe: Monthly
Published: October 2025
Current Price: ~$1,120
Framework: Elliott Wave | Fibonacci Extensions | Price Action | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) | Fundamentals
🔍 Structural Overview – Supercycle Journey
Netflix has been moving through a multi-decade Elliott Wave supercycle that began in the early 2000s. This structural roadmap is now approaching the final phase of Wave III, before setting up for a corrective Wave IV and ultimately a euphoric Wave V.
Supercycle Wave I completed in January 2004 — a powerful impulse that marked Netflix’s transition into a mainstream tech-growth story.
Supercycle Wave II followed, completing in 2008 with a healthy 50% retracement. This wave set the long-term demand foundation and concluded right as the global financial crisis unfolded.
We are now in Supercycle Wave III, which began in 2008 and is currently in its final macro wave — the most dynamic phase of the entire structure.
⚙️ Breakdown of Supercycle Wave III (2008–2026 est.)
Wave III itself subdivides into five clear macro waves, each respecting Fibonacci and structural principles:
Macro Wave 1 ran from the 2008 bottom into mid-2011, kickstarting the secular bull trend.
Macro Wave 2 ended in 2012 with a textbook 0.618 Fibonacci retracement , a classic sign of wave-based correction.
Macro Wave 3 , the most explosive move of the cycle, lasted until 2018 and terminated near a 2.618 Fibonacci extension — a key confluence area and institutional distribution point.
Macro Wave 4 then corrected from 2018 to 2022. However, this retracement was shallow, bouncing from the 0.236 level — preserving long-term bullish market structure and confirming continued institutional control.
We are currently in Macro Wave 5 of Supercycle III . This leg is itself subdividing into five micro waves. Micro waves 1, 2, and 3 have already completed. Micro Wave 4 is now unfolding and is expected to bottom inside the Golden Pocket — the critical Fibonacci zone between approximately $771 and $548 .
Once Micro Wave 4 completes, Micro Wave 5 will initiate. This final thrust is expected to target the region near $7,447 — the 2.618 extension from prior waves. This level aligns with structural channel tops and institutional profit zones. It would also mark the formal completion of Supercycle Wave III .
🧭 What Comes Next: Supercycle Wave IV and V
After Wave III completes at the ~$7,44 7 area, a significant correction is expected.
Supercycle Wave IV will be the most complex corrective structure since 2008 — possibly multi-year, combining flat, zig-zag, or triangle formations. This wave will likely retrace a large portion of Wave III and reset sentiment across the broader market.
But this correction is not the end — it’s the setup.
Supercycle Wave V will emerge from the Wave IV base and drive Netflix into its ultimate secular top . Based on the Fibonacci 4.618 extension from the base of the cycle, Wave V is projected to reach the $24,774 to $25,332 range.
This would be the euphoric blow-off move where fundamentals, monetary policy, and sentiment combine to form a parabolic top — consistent with historical market cycle conclusions.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence Zones
Each major wave has respected key Fibonacci ratios . Wave II retraced to 0.50, Wave III extended to 2.618, and Wave IV retraced to 0.236. Current projections place Wave V near the 4.618 extension level — a historically significant threshold for secular tops.
The current Micro Wave 4 pullback is unfolding into the Golden Pocket zone — the 0.618–0.65 retracement range — which has repeatedly served as the institutional reaccumulation zone across prior waves.
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
Smart Money Concepts further validate this wave count:
In 2018 , we saw classic signs of institutional distribution at the top of Macro Wave 3 — including high-volume price exhaustion, deviation from trend, and liquidity sweeps.
Between 2018 and 2022, accumulation returned during Wave 4, as institutional players re-entered at discounted levels and retested key demand blocks .
The 2022 breakout into Macro Wave 5 has been efficient, clean, and impulsive — with minimal resistance and wide-range bullish candles, signaling continued institutional participation.
The current Wave 4 micro correction may again serve as a liquidity grab — offering another accumulation window before the final markup toward the $7,447 zone.
🔍 Netflix Fundamentals – Fueling the Cycle
Netflix's fundamentals are now structurally aligned with the technical setup:
Diversified Monetization:
The shift from pure subscription to a multi-layered model (ad-supported tiers, gaming, IP licensing, live events) is broadening both revenues and engagement.
Ad-Supported Growth:
Netflix’s advertising business is scaling rapidly, offering higher ARPU and access to price-sensitive users — a major tailwind for Wave V.
Global Expansion:
With strong localization strategies, Netflix continues to dominate key international markets, boosting user stickiness and content ROI.
Strong Financials:
Consistent free cash flow, improving margins, and disciplined content spend are creating a sustainable growth engine.
These dynamics are not just supporting price — they are helping to drive the type of institutional confidence needed for Wave V to materialize.
🎯 Strategic Levels and Outlook
Watch the Golden Pocket between $771–$548 — this is the high-probability completion zone for Micro Wave 4.
Once Micro Wave 5 begins, price is expected to rally toward $7,447 — the projected top of Supercycle Wave III.
After a broad correction during Wave IV, the final Wave V is projected to target $24,774 to $25,332 — where the entire super-cycle would culminate.
🔚 Final Word
Netflix is moving through the final stages of a 20-year Supercycle Wave III — one of the strongest impulsive phases in equity history. The micro pullback underway now is not a sign of weakness, but a preparation for the final push.
Wave IV will offer the last major reset before a euphoric Wave V redefines valuations. If the fundamental narrative continues to align, the $25K target is not speculative — it’s structural.
📘 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management.
#NFLX #Netflix #NASDAQ #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #WaveTheory #Fibonacci #Supercycle #PriceAction #LongTermInvestment
💬 Respected traders and analysts!
Your insights matter. Share your views, confirmations, or constructive criticism in the comments below. Let’s build a high-quality discussion around Netflix’s structural evolution and long-term investment context.
— Team FIBCOS
Netflix Inc Eyes Video Podcast Expansion Amid Platform EvolutionNetflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) appears ready to expand its media ecosystem once again — this time, into the growing world of video podcasts. Following its recent partnership with Spotify that introduced 16 video podcasts to the platform, Bloomberg now reports that Netflix is developing its own lineup of original video podcasts to be featured exclusively on its streaming service.
The move aligns with Netflix’s ongoing strategy of diversifying beyond traditional film and TV content. Sources familiar with the plans suggest Netflix has already reached out to creators to produce original podcast shows, while also negotiating licensing deals with major audio players like iHeartMedia and SiriusXM. The company’s early licensing strategy appears experimental, offering one-year deals, some reportedly valued under $10 million, as Netflix gauges consumer interest and platform performance in this new category.
Internally, Netflix is said to be redesigning parts of its mobile app interface to better highlight podcast content, indicating that management sees potential in expanding the discovery experience beyond scripted or reality-based programming. This could allow the company to position itself as a one-stop entertainment hub, uniting streaming, documentaries, live events, gaming, and now, video podcasts, under one user ecosystem.
Technically, the stock chart for NASDAQ:NFLX shows price action consolidating near the $1,100–$1,150 zone, supported by a long-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a rebound toward $1,341 previous highs could be the next leg higher, consistent with Netflix’s broader narrative of innovation-driven growth.
With audio-visual storytelling becoming an increasingly dominant medium, Netflix’s entrance into video podcasts could mark another pivotal moment, one that reinforces its dominance not only in streaming entertainment but also in the creator-driven content landscape.
Volume-Based Market AnalysisUsing Indicators:
Smart Money Support/Resistance and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Configuration
This analysis combines two advanced indicators. The calculation period for both has been set to 52 bars, based on a lower timeframe of 1 second (1S), which provides 72 valid LTF candles. This configuration ensures that volume-based calculations remain within the valid data window for maximum accuracy.
Current Market Context
On the latest candle, a Bear Trap Risk signal appeared right after detecting an OverSold condition. This combination usually suggests weakening selling pressure near the end of a bearish leg and indicates the potential for buyer reaction. At that candle, both buy and sell volumes reached their highest values within the 52-bar window, but sellers maintained a slight advantage — approximately 260K sell volume versus 210K buy volume. This dominance by sellers in the OverSold zone reinforces the concept of volume exhaustion
Key Zones
• Support Zone: 1134 – 1163 USD
• Resistance Zone: 1198 – 1217 USD
Price is currently oscillating between these two zones. Based on the data, a short-term move toward the lower edge of the support zone is possible. If strong support holds, a rebound toward the upper boundary of resistance can be expected to retest or potentially break above it.
Structural Observation
In previous data, ATAI identified a Bull Trap at the resistance zone, which initiated the current bearish leg. Now, the emergence of a Bear Trap Risk near the support boundary is an intriguing reversal signal. If this trap functions similarly to the previous Bull Trap but in the opposite direction, we could expect a movement from the support base toward the resistance ceiling in the upcoming phase.
Summary
According to both indicators’ volume-based calculations, this is the most probable short-term scenario. However, this analysis is purely technical and volume-driven, and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice.
Netflix (NFLX) | FVG + OTE Entry Loading | Multi-Confluence ICT Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is currently retracing into a high-probability multi-timeframe setup, aligning several ICT confluences that suggest a potential re-entry opportunity within a bullish continuation narrative.
Market Structure:
Price remains bullish overall, with clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The recent decline represents a healthy retracement inside a developing higher-timeframe structure.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Alignment:
The current pullback has driven price into an overlapping Monthly and Weekly FVG, an area of institutional interest where price has previously shown strong reactions.
This zone often serves as a re-accumulation region before expansion.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE):
The FVG aligns directly within the 62%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone, known as the golden OTE zone.
This overlap of structural retracement and imbalance discount makes it a prime setup from a smart money perspective.
Liquidity & Target Zones:
- Discount Range: $944 – $1,033
- Primary Buyside Liquidity (BSL): $1,345
- Extended Target: $1,872 (100% expansion projection)
Each level aligns with liquidity pools and Fibonacci extension targets visible on higher timeframes.
Trade Bias:
Bullish, with focus on accumulation and confirmation within the OTE discount range.
A weekly bullish displacement or rejection candle within this zone would strengthen the case for long continuation plays.
Summary:
NFLX is presenting a multi-timeframe high-probability setup, where a clean retracement into an overlapping Monthly/Weekly FVG and OTE zone creates a strong case for re-entry.
If the discount zone holds, expect expansion toward buyside liquidity and potential continuation into 2026.
Popcorn Ready? Netflix Layering Setup for Bold Traders🎬 Netflix Stock | Thief Trader’s Profit Realization Blueprint 🍿💰
🧭 Market Outlook
Netflix (NFLX) is lining up for a bullish playbook — and here’s how the Thief Strategy goes down. This setup is purely educational and shares how I personally view price behavior with a layering approach.
🎯 Trading Plan (Swing/Day Trade Idea)
Entry (Layering Style 🥷): Instead of one-shot entries, the thief strategy is about multiple buy-limit layers. Example blueprint:
👉 1160 | 1170 | 1180 | 1190 | 1200 (more can be added if liquidity allows)
Stop Loss 🛡️: Thief-style SL ~1120 (after breakout levels are confirmed).
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Manage your own SL & adapt risk. My level is an example, not a fixed call.
Target 🎯: Eyeing the 1340 zone, where resistance + overbought vibes + possible trap signals align. The thief rule? Escape before the crowd escapes 🚪💨.
⚠️ Again — not a fixed TP. Manage your own exits depending on profit goals & risk appetite.
🕵️♂️ Thief Trader Philosophy
This is not financial advice. It’s a “steal-and-escape” blueprint to show how layered entries can help smooth entries across zones instead of one rigid buy point. Adapt, manage, and steal profits like a pro before the market takes them back.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:AMZN — often shows correlation in big tech swings 📦
NASDAQ:AAPL — mega-cap sentiment driver 🍏
NASDAQ:MSFT — growth stock momentum check 💻
NASDAQ:QQQ — ETF to track Nasdaq 100 flow 📊
AMEX:SPY — broad market sentiment monitor 🏦
📌 Key Correlation Notes
Big tech stocks often move in sympathy — when Nasdaq pumps, Netflix usually gets extra popcorn 🍿 fuel.
Watch volatility spikes in TVC:VIX , as they can trap over-leveraged longs & shorts.
Macro cues (USD strength, yields, Fed talk) can shift momentum across all growth stocks.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NFLX #Netflix #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Options #StockMarket #TradingView #ThiefTrader #Equities #QQQ #SPY #StockAnalysis
Netflix (NFLX) Shares See a Sharp DeclineNetflix (NFLX) Shares See a Sharp Decline
According to recent charts, Netflix (NFLX) shares have traded below $1,100 this week — for the first time since late May. The stock has fallen more than 17% from its July peak, while the S&P 500 index remains close to record highs.
Why Has Netflix (NFLX) Fallen?
The main catalyst for the drop was the company’s earnings report, which showed results well below expectations: actual EPS came in at $5.87 versus a forecast of $6.96 and a previous reading of $7.19.
Despite the success of several new releases, the figures were weighed down by a tax dispute in Brazil, which significantly dampened market sentiment. Nevertheless, the bulls still have reasons for cautious optimism.
Technical Analysis of the NFLX Chart
The NFLX share price remains within a long-term upward channel (marked in blue). It has now approached a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the main channel, which previously provided support in April;
→ the lower line of a short-term downward trajectory (marked in red);
→ the psychological level of $1,100.
Bulls are taking encouragement from the fact that:
→ the RSI indicator has entered oversold territory;
→ the price previously moved confidently through the $1,000–$1,100 range, suggesting that strong buying interest may still persist in this area.
From the sellers’ perspective, however, attention should be paid to the large bearish gap formed earlier this week, with its lower edge near $1,100, which could now act as resistance.
Taking all this into account, it seems reasonable to assume that:
→ the current support zone may prevent further declines in NFLX shares;
→ the impact of the Brazilian tax case (reported losses of around $600 million) may already be priced in;
→ bulls could attempt to resume the broader uptrend, potentially turning the red trajectory into a bullish flag pattern.
On the other hand, failure to hold within the blue channel would expose the $1,000 level to another test.
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Netflix: Key Support Zone in sightNetflix shares have continued to decline since our last update. We have now provided additional detail on the ongoing turquoise wave 4, which is subdivided into a magenta three-part structure. Within this structure, wave is expected to push price further down into the turquoise Target Zone, between $962.77 and $845.22. The low point of the larger wave 4 is anticipated within this range. Only after reaching this level should wave 5 drive price back above the $1,341 mark. As such, the turquoise Target Zone presents long entry opportunities, which can be protected with a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. However, if price rises directly above the aforementioned resistance at $1,341, our alternative scenario would be triggered, and we would initially need to prepare for a higher wave alt.3 top (probability: 30%).






















