NFLX-USD Greetings,
Since ATH, the paper has fallen in price by 75% due to loss of Russian subscribers and a general market correction. There were only two such strong corrections in 2004 by 77% and 2011-12 by 80%. Could the decline continue? I think so, with a rebound and a test of support around $90-130, where the 2015-17 accumulation zone is located.
The company predicts this quarter's drop in subscribers could drop another 2 million, from the current 220 million, due to the unstable world situation and higher US subscription costs.
The company's average monthly returns statistically are January, May, August, October, December. And the weakest months are April and July, the current drop in April confirms this statistic, May has every chance to close better on the rebound.
But fundamentally the company is developing, and the number of users of the service will grow worldwide. For private investors it is worth thinking about several entry points, which would reduce the risk and get a better average price for further correction.
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Netflix
Are Nasdaq stocks now reasonably priced?Over the past two years, technology companies have enjoyed explosive growth as investors were upbeat about the prospects for the sector at a time when people relied on technology to stay connected while cooped up in their homes.
Internet firms like Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM) were among those to reap substantial gains from the tech boom during the pandemic. Zoom’s stock surged to a record $559 in October 2020 around the time that its platform’s usage became ubiquitous for people working at home and regular users that wanted to connect with friends and families.
The confidence in Zoom and other internet stocks like Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) fueled a herd mentality that propelled the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index to an all-time high in November 2020.
But with concerns about high valuations and interest rate hikes that could lower companies’ future earnings, the Nasdaq has been on a freefall for about half a year now, retreating from its November peak of over 16,000 points to an over 18-month low of just under 12,000 points on Wednesday.
Pandemic favorites lose shine
Zoom, the poster child for 2020, is now trading at less than $90 from its October peak of $559. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), another pandemic favorite, has lost 62% over the past year and 69% year-to-date as of Wednesday, trading at less than $190 after touching an all-time high of $690.31 in October 2021.
The drop in Netflix’s shares comes as the company reported its first quarterly loss of subscribers in over a decade. It lost 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter, which the company blamed on people sharing accounts, among other factors.
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman in April sold his entire stake in Netflix, taking $400 million in losses. His firm, Pershing Square Holdings, said that while Netflix’s business is fundamentally simple to understand, "we have lost confidence in our ability to predict the company’s future prospects with a sufficient degree of certainty."
Valuation worries
The appeal of tech stocks has dimmed in recent months mainly due to high valuation coupled with missed or slowing sales targets. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), in October 2021, missed the market’s revenue expectations due to the lingering global chip shortage that has been affecting its iPhone production.
Apple’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a measure of whether it is over- or under-valued, surged to 35.45 at the end of 2020 before retreating to 28 in the first quarter of 2022. This means that investors are paying $28 for every $1 of the company’s earnings.
The iPhone maker’s current PE ratio, however, is still lower than that of its peers, including Netflix, Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), whose P/E ratio’s are all above 50.
Most overvalued tech stock
Tesla’s stock price has jumped 26% over the past year, but down 40% year-to-date. Over a month ago, the carmaker joined a growing list of megacap companies to enact a stock split after its shares blew past $1,000 in October 2021. Stock splits make shares more attractive to retail investors but doesn’t change its PE ratio.
Many analysts say Tesla is the most overvalued tech and automotive stock in the market and even its own CEO Elon Musk shared the same view at one point, tweeting two years ago that the company’s stock price “is too high imo.” That tweet knocked 10.3% off Tesla’s stock price on May 1, 2020.
However, some still see the company's current market value as reflective of Tesla’s potential to further expand its dominant position in the electric-vehicle market. In 2021, Tesla held a nearly 14% share of the global EV market, beating rivals Volkswagen, BYD (HKG:1211), General Motors (NYSE:GM) and BMW, among others.
A counter to the recent pessimism
While many financial watchers cast doubt on tech firms’ ability to meet sales targets and justify their high valuations, some say the recent tech sell-off is irrational while remaining upbeat about tech’s future performance especially in the area of new tech trends like big data and artificial intelligence.
Netflix 171% move coming but first...some thoughts. Netflix pulled a squid games, (look up squid games crypto if you're lost) but honestly Netflix shit the bed. But now the beds being cleaned and you can start accumulating in this area $190 - $217 to sell in the mid $500's.
Reasoning: Gap fill at $198 and lots stop losses hit me thinks <$200 and then run up to the top of the Ichimoku cloud on the daily which coincides with ~540.
I'm setting a tight stop just in case of future Ackman scares.
Netflix, Inc. - Long tradeEver since it hit a high of 701.0 back in November 2021, Netflix has fallen dramatically to trade at 162.71, its lowest level since August 2017. Looking at the daily chart, a clear 5-wave decline can be seen, pointing to an imminent correction. While we do not rule out small losses still, we recommend to go long at market with a stop at 124.0, targeting 280.0, the 50% retracement of the 5th wave.
NETFLIX HORRIBLE !!! WILL NFLX DROP ANOTHER +10% ¿?DAMN... $NFLX doing so bad :(
Anyway, I think it will recover in the long term (RSI shows undervalued & price dropped so hard) but I don't think ATH will be easy for NFLX anymore... Sorry guys :(
These are my scenarios for Netflix... It could drop more and accumulate there (very possible) or Netflix could recover step by step and accumulate at those levels...
We'll see, I never invested on NFLX but I won't buy stocks this year that's sure. I prefer wait and see what happen next year because this company looks so bad IMO.
REMEMBER ALWAYS #DYOR :)
A corrective bounce for wave B is inevitable for #NFLXTimeframe: Weekly
Price may find bottom to complete the bearish impulsive wave a at 0.236 fibonacci retracement of the previous general motive phase wave 1.
When this level holds and this analysis be validated, price may then resume its corrective bounce for wave b.
#elliotwaveforecast
@marketpainterPH
Visually presenting the basic general representation of the principle of Elliott Wave Theory.
NETFLIX WHERE IS THE BOTTOM?Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across various genres and languages. The company provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, television set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It also provides DVDs-by-mail membership services in the United States. The company has approximately 222 million paid members in 190 countries.
Right now Netflix, it seems they reach a saturation of subscribers and even start to lose some.
Quarter 1 report of Netflix came and they lose around 200.000 members worldwide. A worrying shift for a business which sustained growth never interrupted for over 10 years.
This caused by new and strong competition along with the covid restrictions worldwide.
I do not think, income will be problem for now since they cancel productions that seems redundant. They will cut costs.
Also price may have found the bottom already.
This week, investors seems to think this levels are good for buying.
In the "weekly" chart, price hit the bottom of Bolinger Bands with the RSI below oversold area. MACD is in the deep negative zone with going deeper. If selling pressure stops for the next couple of weeks MACD line will probably cut the Signal line which means buy if we are still near bottom of Bolinger Band.
Important support levels
190 is highly important as price seems to bottom there this week.
180 if 190 cant hold it.
These levels can be considered as stop loss zones.
Important resistance levels
203
210
221
240
262
These levels can be seen as take profit zones.
Thanks.
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Netflix - It's time for a comeback! 😎After the published reports of Netflix, its shares have already fallen by 47%, due to a decrease in the number of active subscriptions.
Since then, Netflix has given away a huge number of free subscriptions, some of which will soon be converted to paid ones and the company will be able to regain its positions.
Also, from a technical point of view, we have an excellent gap that needs to be closed.
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Netflix Going Long after correction phaseHello Traders!
Here is the most possible scenario for Netflix on the next weeks.
Netflix Now in a correction phase and After NFLX Break 3 Important High Low, i expect Netflix To Be retracement from the red rectangle as buying zone
Let Me Know In The Comment Section Below If You Have Any Questions
Netflix, LONG!Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for Netflix , let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
The ellipse could represent a possible zone with good risk/reward to accumulate long position.
Please note that all the information and publications hera are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. What you will find here, are only views of a Cat passionate about Finance.
NETFLIX NFLX Stock Is SHORT This Week!After the big fall that the stock has made recently after subscriptions raised rates of Netflix services + the new term that Netflix has revealed of having 1 account per user which in other words means that he would no longer be able to share his password with anyone else and has to pay for the service to consume the service that Netflix produces, in confluence with Netflix withdrawal of Russia after the Ukrainian-Russian war, which made the company lose more than 700K users at once. All of these signs are still impacting the stock and will for few weeks if not months still, that's why the price will surely reach the lowest selected zone of the chart if not even break and fall even more.
I'm Short on Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX !!
NETFLIX HAS LOST OVER 65% IT'S VALUE AND AT FIB73.6In October last year, Netflix's market capitalization was $310bn as of market close the past Friday; it's just over $99bn. Year to date, Netflix shares are down almost 65%.
For context, if you bought $1,000 worth of Netflix shares at the start of 2022, those shares will be worth about $360 today. Netflix is the worst-performing S&P 500 stock to date.
From the technical analysis NETFLIX has retraced (LOST) over 65% of it's all time high and currently STRUGGLING with FIB76.8.
At these point, the questions are
1. What fundamentals is going to turn the table around?
2. What will NETFLIX team and stakeholders do to change the trend?
3. Will NETFLIX ever take back its percentage of the streaming market share?
KINDLY: like, share your thought and FOLLOW.
NetFlix needs to Attention nowNetflix is so ready to start a Reverse and Rise Price Cause it falls more than 50% of Price and now on a Strong support that can push price to up, so Buy carefully and buy it in 4 Step.
Buy@ 210$, 180$, 140$, 90$
Stop loss@ 80$
Take Profit@ 700$, 950$, 1200$
it's so Important to buy Step by step and not be Greedy and buy More Volume in 90$
Netflix, What happened?Overview
After poor revenue release and news of losing subscribers in large quantities, Netflix has posted two major losses in recent times. This brings the valuation of Netflix shares down a total of nearly 70% from November highs.
The future
At this rate, the stock has been poorly rated by many analysts and has strongly bearish momentum. The question now is whether or not Netflix will try to implement a new way of doing business or alter current operating methods to try and bring its value back. In the event that Netflix is able to find a viable solution to return to successful business, we may see golden opportunities to buy back into such a large company with huge potential. However, given the rise in popularity in other video streaming services, it's unlikely that Netflix will be able to continue on its success by solely providing video streaming services without a major change in operation.
It is buy opportunity in 200As the chart shows price decreased and it is near 203 as the good support and the price of 2018 , netflix is not exploded so dont sell yours cheap, from 203$ it can come back to pull back .
I believe that Netflix market maker buy all your in the dip for comming days to sell you again
203$ support in exactly equal to the channel width and if we see and signs of come back such as divergence with RSI or good volume we can enter with target of higher price
Have a good days
NFA
NFLX Netflix: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX).
The chart is self-explanatory. Death cross may be coming up. RSI just broke out of the support line. Keep an eye on the Support Zone.
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI, MFI, Death Cross, Simple Moving Average, EMA Ribbons, Volume.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
I have additional charts below on cryptocurrencies, stocks and more to review. Check them out!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk